Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[60])
4869-------
4960-------
5056-------
5158-------
5250-------
5351-------
5453-------
5537-------
5622-------
5755-------
5870-------
5962-------
6058-------
613953.001235.771870.23060.05560.28480.2130.2848
624952.400135.170669.62950.34950.93630.34110.262
635865.799148.569783.02850.18750.9720.81250.8125
644750.799933.570568.02930.33280.20640.53630.2064
654251.199333.969968.42870.14770.68360.5090.2196
666259.199741.970376.42920.3750.97480.75970.5543
673938.799121.569756.02860.49090.00420.58110.0145
684028.399411.1745.62890.09350.11390.76674e-04
697254.799537.570172.02890.02520.95390.49090.3579
707062.600345.370979.82980.20.14250.20.6996
715448.400931.171465.63030.26210.0070.06090.1374
726555.400638.171272.630.13740.56330.38370.3837


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
610.1659-0.26420196.033400
620.1678-0.06490.164511.5604103.796910.1881
630.1336-0.11850.149260.825889.47329.459
640.173-0.07480.130614.439570.71488.4092
650.1717-0.17970.140484.627673.49738.5731
660.14850.04730.12497.841462.55477.9092
670.22660.00520.10780.040353.62417.3228
680.30950.40850.1454134.573163.74277.9839
690.16040.31390.1641295.857989.53339.4622
700.14040.11820.159554.755186.05559.2766
710.18160.11570.155531.350381.08239.0046
720.15870.17330.15792.149182.00459.0556