| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.3286 | 0.1219 | -0.0838 | -1 | 0.3516 | 0.4831 | -0.9998 |
| (p-val) | (0.0086 ) | (0.3568 ) | (0.5005 ) | (0 ) | (0.0272 ) | (0.0032 ) | (8e-04 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.3141 | 0.1039 | 0 | -1.0001 | 0.3366 | 0.4959 | -1.0001 |
| (p-val) | (0.0092 ) | (0.393 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0.025 ) | (0.0019 ) | (0.0022 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.3496 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0.3491 | 0.4505 | -0.9995 |
| (p-val) | (0.003 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0.0334 ) | (0.0045 ) | (0.0176 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -38.2805910380235 |
| 777.505350462662 |
| 1061.84589538549 |
| 405.105603545765 |
| 652.752791058235 |
| 77.4042746480946 |
| 119.985956267112 |
| 119.094246151143 |
| 87.6992125357233 |
| -238.198889869428 |
| -156.971230954284 |
| 551.540961161193 |
| 143.241556857497 |
| 267.224949825606 |
| 332.209873467933 |
| 239.247470746765 |
| -91.160240190191 |
| -97.1898209219373 |
| 262.91586807927 |
| 48.5165895066445 |
| 93.9436667923795 |
| 401.420428952458 |
| -280.814792745847 |
| 561.723148372828 |
| -787.526147034464 |
| 404.896712603186 |
| 340.808043988964 |
| 348.750765427474 |
| -386.544293240681 |
| 40.1534247718902 |
| 59.81431288849 |
| 313.014849163822 |
| 314.290878771059 |
| 185.936114831155 |
| 96.6210468038424 |
| 684.77622533899 |
| -644.737856222727 |
| -374.673398506 |
| -241.355118204965 |
| -379.823993644635 |
| -157.178138648107 |
| -53.3997539192356 |
| -148.395892713347 |
| -445.817227306197 |
| 2.86682292036768 |
| -37.307523381813 |
| -136.69081174371 |
| -362.145328035104 |
| 66.0032259836581 |
| 736.80630099335 |
| 1012.19933207122 |
| -720.416784643495 |
| 102.370824861145 |
| -14.6768747306916 |
| -628.531576732233 |
| -533.824690182997 |
| -132.969609814253 |
| 35.4702854243875 |
| -229.541811382881 |
| -379.545510494863 |
| -308.052273463815 |
| -37.7273001391964 |
| 222.795609481481 |
| 11.1774116731748 |
| 20.9934124316241 |
| 121.444872599491 |
| 1172.78774462833 |
| -376.860497154435 |
| -43.0510447499842 |
| -296.795689535833 |
| -33.2523640678701 |
| -553.792967060671 |
| -215.993623071733 |
| 359.552283351927 |
| -777.980127352455 |
| 390.239732296415 |
| -270.892981274191 |
| -139.157508072443 |
| -192.534857032478 |
| 175.872115095657 |
| 176.039253792518 |
| 181.59722429896 |
| 718.554402301482 |
| -675.815739954088 |
