| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ma1 | sar1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.0453 | 0.0673 | -0.9577 | -0.4644 |
| (p-val) | (0.7423 ) | (0.6231 ) | (0 ) | (3e-04 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0 | 0.0641 | -1.0517 | -0.4645 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.6381 ) | (0 ) | (3e-04 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0 | 0 | -0.9431 | -0.4633 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (3e-04 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -0.201497524315712 |
| -14.6160422399917 |
| 13.8353188356834 |
| -3.86605358986163 |
| 4.68239162432255 |
| 0.911510165225623 |
| 15.3515169888633 |
| 10.3146271420724 |
| 4.02149205058815 |
| -13.4043560509851 |
| 1.42939214992038 |
| -3.12256535128889 |
| 11.6625185332302 |
| 16.8340280191626 |
| 4.27304837455443 |
| -7.05319837421854 |
| -5.10175122402635 |
| 7.82502130742385 |
| -9.84141720520133 |
| -0.253864958081601 |
| -2.24495720867465 |
| 5.04457067506108 |
| -6.92932247132068 |
| -12.3460600739339 |
| 16.9692667833597 |
| -2.84414091707229 |
| -12.5519556606282 |
| 12.1916317295115 |
| -10.0776972326739 |
| 6.06168628332075 |
| -13.2579052038108 |
| -1.66937800947606 |
| -8.27774900559116 |
| 2.19009242876324 |
| 6.09704302630278 |
| 25.5470069593653 |
| 3.26770835209406 |
| 2.27904141384267 |
| -6.58007321083258 |
| 0.960936210565109 |
| 7.4836500744974 |
| -9.4062198889009 |
| 6.67298765481016 |
| -4.75000039130907 |
| 6.13661624582411 |
| 10.7704988163662 |
| 19.0057131773835 |
| 1.31821457895027 |
| -22.9814275284514 |
| -1.28213267569022 |
| 1.65319635009 |
| -4.29586644241292 |
| -2.80653419579362 |
| 5.02575010463935 |
| 7.30412914279907 |
| 14.6086138338173 |
| 19.8247693400734 |
| 3.48025720014281 |
| -2.92340377790687 |
| 0.0697108901276008 |
