Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[60])
4869-------
4960-------
5056-------
5158-------
5250-------
5351-------
5453-------
5537-------
5622-------
5755-------
5870-------
5962-------
6058-------
613964.670844.989784.35190.00530.74680.67910.7468
624951.390431.710671.07020.40590.89140.32310.2552
635859.420939.391479.45050.44470.84610.55530.5553
644753.079233.034573.12380.27610.31520.61830.3152
654246.150526.054766.24630.34280.4670.31810.1239
666259.037338.917479.15710.38640.95150.72180.5402
673932.605412.455852.7550.2670.00210.33450.0068
684025.55075.374945.72640.08020.09570.63498e-04
697250.599630.396870.80240.01890.84810.33470.2364
707064.107543.878384.33680.2840.22220.2840.723
715454.119733.863874.37550.49540.06220.22290.3537
726564.035843.753484.31810.46290.83390.72010.7201


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
610.1553-0.39690658.99100
620.1954-0.04650.22175.7139332.352418.2305
630.172-0.02390.15582.019222.241314.9078
640.1927-0.11450.145536.9566175.920113.2635
650.2222-0.08990.134417.2268144.181412.0076
660.17390.05020.12038.7778121.614211.0279
670.31530.19610.131240.8904110.082210.492
680.40290.56550.1855208.7835122.419911.0644
690.20370.42290.2118457.978159.704112.6374
700.1610.09190.199934.7211147.205812.1328
710.191-0.00220.18190.0143133.824811.5683
720.16160.01510.1680.9297122.750211.0793