| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.4601 | 0.1307 | 0.2491 | 0.3212 | -0.014 | -0.6595 |
| (p-val) | (0.3023 ) | (0.3754 ) | (0.0503 ) | (0.4832 ) | (0.9636 ) | (0.0954 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -0.4592 | 0.1313 | 0.2483 | 0.3211 | 0 | -0.6755 |
| (p-val) | (0.3044 ) | (0.373 ) | (0.0502 ) | (0.4832 ) | (NA ) | (4e-04 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | -0.156 | 0.1683 | 0.203 | 0 | 0 | -0.6568 |
| (p-val) | (0.2231 ) | (0.1802 ) | (0.1111 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (3e-04 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | 0.1843 | 0.1751 | 0 | 0 | -0.7005 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.1457 ) | (0.1708 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (4e-04 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0 | 0.1585 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.757 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.2104 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0014 ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.7631 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0016 ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 0.931604094340952 |
| -1.35079999378479 |
| 16.9515622856283 |
| 0.462687294067202 |
| -2.76380239410492 |
| 8.59847388662093 |
| 5.2673841709568 |
| 68.9574411607092 |
| -54.3462028466642 |
| -8.71298681196569 |
| 38.1584581442671 |
| 4.72027528910337 |
| -44.3580329075925 |
| -2.26926684539219 |
| -19.2707054086556 |
| 16.7526364424981 |
| 38.6689153084354 |
| -82.2994954701198 |
| 49.2130678619394 |
| -38.3948813150166 |
| 40.8604103836102 |
| 65.9420019680111 |
| 25.6672692867789 |
| 32.6845522956179 |
| 51.9794607888822 |
| 26.0333505591676 |
| -3.38902152767911 |
| -15.4945199118163 |
| -6.70069799728095 |
| -42.0722794202535 |
| -25.602959767193 |
| -37.7201640124299 |
| 29.2456691202212 |
| 23.3777129594913 |
| -8.76725447722645 |
| -14.5685757880171 |
| 6.36718657550943 |
| -23.4997143268269 |
| 37.6196169680179 |
| 24.5813903284862 |
| -80.4444032857175 |
| 33.4514120281896 |
| -4.21820049440099 |
| -26.8850185153783 |
| 49.3059217170244 |
| 15.8778274236481 |
| 0.0471764120420078 |
| 3.28626679901741 |
| -8.5274874544803 |
| 14.179620575668 |
| -26.1656140512272 |
| -28.0748030028607 |
| -3.3354826450112 |
| -31.0637828212144 |
| -5.45980617194966 |
| -25.1578492523924 |
| 38.7866504893429 |
| 7.57368788413811 |
| -2.17106379028225 |
| -5.74927230466776 |
| -1.34213129555684 |
