Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[60])
5962-------
6058-------
613947.715524.844670.58640.22760.18910.18910.1891
624946.339523.433269.24580.410.7350.7350.1592
635847.837924.480571.19530.19690.46120.46120.1969
644749.452525.771173.1340.41960.23960.23960.2396
654250.42326.670374.17560.24350.61120.61120.2659
666250.821927.067774.57610.17820.76670.76670.2768
673950.906727.14774.66640.1630.18010.18010.2792
684050.87527.10374.64690.1850.83620.83620.2784
697250.826427.041974.6110.04050.81380.81380.2772
707050.793826.998474.58930.05680.04030.04030.2764
715450.778926.974174.58380.39540.05680.05680.2761
726550.774926.961474.58830.12080.39530.39530.276


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
610.2446-0.1827075.959300
620.25220.05740.127.078141.51876.4435
630.24910.21240.1508103.26962.10217.8805
640.2443-0.04960.12556.014848.08036.934
650.2403-0.1670.133870.946352.65357.2563
660.23850.21990.1482124.950464.7038.0438
670.2381-0.23390.1604141.76975.71248.7013
680.2384-0.21380.1671118.265381.03159.0018
690.23880.41660.1948448.3192121.841311.0382
700.2390.37810.2131368.8768146.544812.1056
710.23920.06340.199510.3752134.165811.583
720.23930.28020.2063202.3547139.848211.8257