| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.1299 | -0.2457 | 0.0927 | -0.1576 | -0.4799 | 0.089 | 0.4523 |
| (p-val) | (0.9316 ) | (0.0152 ) | (0.8222 ) | (0.9172 ) | (0.5865 ) | (0.5074 ) | (0.6142 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0 | -0.2494 | 0.0576 | -0.028 | -0.4844 | 0.0922 | 0.4645 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.0061 ) | (0.5276 ) | (0.7668 ) | (0.5697 ) | (0.4492 ) | (0.5902 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0 | -0.2496 | 0.0556 | 0 | -0.5479 | 0.0833 | 0.5297 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.0061 ) | (0.5349 ) | (NA ) | (0.4234 ) | (0.4615 ) | (0.4415 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | -0.2502 | 0 | 0 | -0.6082 | 0.083 | 0.6007 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.006 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.2207 ) | (0.4289 ) | (0.2234 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0 | -0.2643 | 0 | 0 | -0.8188 | 0 | 0.7651 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.003 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0029 ) | (NA ) | (0.0103 ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 0.422398872253588 |
| -46.5755364712077 |
| -29.1067772163687 |
| -24.2491658744021 |
| -26.4937694019997 |
| 29.2857781624729 |
| -37.2174494572549 |
| 5.29695787036023 |
| -23.9554938039659 |
| -1.35883299857793 |
| 8.2197027608406 |
| 9.99108472065253 |
| 10.9181297466702 |
| -35.5579376894916 |
| 15.1445419517572 |
| -12.1284575654504 |
| 2.00337809654612 |
| -8.50123830585792 |
| 48.119460719289 |
| -13.1395107493045 |
| -36.7297672707246 |
| -16.7050299139096 |
| -8.47532585377664 |
| -3.79500013182153 |
| 4.97690366855195 |
| 21.569998259504 |
| -13.5223395324215 |
| 5.96848022308855 |
| -12.4187639669352 |
| 11.8377781078366 |
| -4.58702802728922 |
| 28.0038571663375 |
| 6.63953626119125 |
| 41.9181090363692 |
| 7.10823370346965 |
| -7.43709103279055 |
| -0.844339643176258 |
| 44.7927056019831 |
| -7.8699559253762 |
| 12.8429694246479 |
| 18.6125577478976 |
| 4.10503557504502 |
| 2.90767888096994 |
| 47.5705927589587 |
| -46.3268830621839 |
| 1.26897256786461 |
| 9.30235597815152 |
| -15.9838408359169 |
| 4.53565787655195 |
| 46.9439240909609 |
| 55.4219939960996 |
| 25.5719573369135 |
| -38.2558298048258 |
| -46.8706903095794 |
| -50.817952664014 |
| 7.86882869637018 |
| -19.795589131901 |
| -26.2052411682652 |
| -22.942467560323 |
| -4.66199103876448 |
| -10.4516403710732 |
| -13.3122241222493 |
| 14.7047411266304 |
| 15.5549124104996 |
| -10.0867302951576 |
| -14.8553710048811 |
| -18.3806351770871 |
| -7.99045441922293 |
| 5.44981801426113 |
| -4.43227491472835 |
| 18.5892267631393 |
| 21.371261570353 |
| -6.70096706671877 |
| -43.690014047989 |
| -6.33125489349656 |
| -9.89848305184116 |
| -0.262188704873707 |
| 21.0957898629753 |
| -6.5711146551503 |
| -4.81918548764235 |
| -0.33817239580079 |
| -0.0176166186259791 |
| 5.73853745315611 |
| 17.8410314518947 |
| 33.8344541183728 |
| 3.36403158735534 |
| 31.1631912698359 |
| -21.080935354185 |
| -1.47500852414466 |
| 57.9251224810859 |
| -1.94644964102286 |
| -12.2443061855557 |
| 3.89370949293619 |
| 63.3215792888623 |
| -31.6680271149772 |
| 16.5055468257006 |
| 33.8967147986324 |
| 76.1264226001273 |
| -50.1042170145959 |
| -8.86215443694991 |
| 60.9178867393497 |
| -64.9891108252644 |
| 23.6941725037038 |
| -39.743131098818 |
| -24.9834389969674 |
| -14.5199026222053 |
| -26.7890738485571 |
| 45.5160126378551 |
| -29.3005427683496 |
| -15.6752871881573 |
| -25.3170686498375 |
| -23.3345184452023 |
| -12.8551927821138 |
| 4.08058661288928 |
| 10.594618457309 |
| 10.3945152630413 |
| -30.9929710030276 |
| -0.563991087093949 |
| -21.0198712586335 |
| -1.63170340810032 |
| 1.51621258807914 |
| -5.66177733473868 |
| 5.60937784410343 |
| 50.4292583133531 |
| -3.62920275253544 |
| -67.431810665987 |
| 0.0877629367111546 |
| -13.9573050341663 |
| -5.23796585221059 |
| 17.8743509626932 |
