Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 79.57 | NA | NA | 1.00478065840307 | NA |
2 | 77.45 | NA | NA | 0.999655069878869 | NA |
3 | 75.79 | NA | NA | 0.997184710808545 | NA |
4 | 74.88 | NA | NA | 0.997168202783886 | NA |
5 | 74.5 | NA | NA | 0.996117864481581 | NA |
6 | 74.59 | NA | NA | 1.00024002862165 | NA |
7 | 74.59 | 74.8066123342019 | 74.4291666666667 | 1.00507120641597 | 0.997104369153436 |
8 | 73.57 | 73.9476887160132 | 73.8679166666667 | 1.00107992824147 | 0.99489248788473 |
9 | 73.3 | 73.3555322252226 | 73.4020833333333 | 0.999365806718328 | 0.999242971545048 |
10 | 73.23 | 72.9693937304069 | 73.0191666666667 | 0.999318357925297 | 1.00357144627727 |
11 | 73 | 72.5824843922981 | 72.6533333333333 | 0.99902483564367 | 1.00575229149563 |
12 | 72.31 | 72.3384513202796 | 72.2666666666667 | 1.00099333007767 | 0.999606691603701 |
13 | 72.31 | 72.2169351882899 | 71.8733333333333 | 1.00478065840307 | 1.00128868403883 |
14 | 71.24 | 71.4565939637789 | 71.48125 | 0.999655069878869 | 0.996968873664918 |
15 | 70.82 | 70.8686709162748 | 71.06875 | 0.997184710808545 | 0.999313223803332 |
16 | 70.66 | 70.4495180399304 | 70.6495833333333 | 0.997168202783886 | 1.00298769907766 |
17 | 69.94 | 69.9158527115214 | 70.1883333333333 | 0.996117864481581 | 1.00034537644243 |
18 | 69.87 | 69.7329838953942 | 69.71625 | 1.00024002862165 | 1.00196486794271 |
19 | 69.87 | 69.6418026722318 | 69.2904166666667 | 1.00507120641597 | 1.00327672919155 |
20 | 68.88 | 68.9614764400972 | 68.8870833333333 | 1.00107992824147 | 0.998818522393905 |
21 | 68.09 | 68.4465641021383 | 68.49 | 0.999365806718328 | 0.994790620876072 |
22 | 68.38 | 68.0448361390808 | 68.09125 | 0.999318357925297 | 1.00492563256724 |
23 | 66.78 | 67.6818513131177 | 67.7479166666667 | 0.99902483564367 | 0.986675138229516 |
24 | 67.2 | 67.5186684359556 | 67.4516666666667 | 1.00099333007767 | 0.995280291461052 |
25 | 67.2 | 67.4827436527808 | 67.1616666666666 | 1.00478065840307 | 0.995810134006472 |
26 | 66.67 | 66.8619293488482 | 66.885 | 0.999655069878869 | 0.997129467385741 |
27 | 65.86 | 66.458621532724 | 66.64625 | 0.997184710808545 | 0.99099256772232 |
28 | 66.05 | 66.2073983105873 | 66.3954166666667 | 0.997168202783886 | 0.997622647700958 |
29 | 66.31 | 65.9317963027052 | 66.18875 | 0.996117864481581 | 1.0057362868677 |
30 | 66.39 | 66.0516838233879 | 66.0358333333333 | 1.00024002862165 | 1.00512199170451 |
31 | 66.39 | 66.1889642985236 | 65.855 | 1.00507120641597 | 1.00303729939888 |
32 | 65.72 | 65.7538495033568 | 65.6829166666667 | 1.00107992824147 | 0.999485208795949 |
33 | 65.52 | 65.5109270449032 | 65.5525 | 0.999365806718328 | 1.00013849529393 |
34 | 64.93 | 65.3903967508418 | 65.435 | 0.999318357925297 | 0.992959260476794 |
35 | 65.27 | 65.2396518503172 | 65.3033333333333 | 0.99902483564367 | 1.00046517951617 |
36 | 65.04 | 65.2347353211617 | 65.17 | 1.00099333007767 | 0.997014852283787 |
37 | 65.02 | 65.3408862159516 | 65.03 | 1.00478065840307 | 0.995089044019222 |
38 | 64.72 | 64.9005227971566 | 64.9229166666667 | 0.999655069878869 | 0.997218469291521 |
39 | 64.68 | 64.6719989258587 | 64.8545833333333 | 0.997184710808545 | 1.00012371774917 |
40 | 64.41 | 64.6090207788749 | 64.7925 | 0.997168202783886 | 0.996919613136437 |
41 | 64.79 | 64.4687481892479 | 64.72 | 0.996117864481581 | 1.00498306264314 |
42 | 64.71 | 64.6600998835681 | 64.6445833333333 | 1.00024002862165 | 1.00077172965278 |
43 | 64.71 | 64.9054046119966 | 64.5779166666667 | 1.00507120641597 | 0.996989393823755 |
44 | 64.83 | 64.5442112567317 | 64.4745833333333 | 1.00107992824147 | 1.0044277982131 |
45 | 64.77 | 64.2871203340927 | 64.3279166666667 | 0.999365806718328 | 1.0075112971836 |
46 | 64.19 | 64.1137675485922 | 64.1575 | 0.999318357925297 | 1.00118901843274 |
47 | 64.27 | 63.8718203461817 | 63.9341666666667 | 0.99902483564367 | 1.00623404267579 |
48 | 64.23 | 63.7595214009597 | 63.69625 | 1.00099333007767 | 1.00737895436952 |
49 | 64.23 | 63.7822202196038 | 63.47875 | 1.00478065840307 | 1.00702044831388 |
50 | 63.03 | 63.2223518485975 | 63.2441666666667 | 0.999655069878869 | 0.996957534116128 |
51 | 62.85 | 62.7956296950206 | 62.9729166666667 | 0.997184710808545 | 1.00086582944137 |
52 | 62.15 | 62.5191224205403 | 62.6966666666667 | 0.997168202783886 | 0.994095847698286 |
53 | 61.69 | 62.1905436233565 | 62.4329166666667 | 0.996117864481581 | 0.991951451230465 |
54 | 62.1 | 62.1795046125864 | 62.1645833333333 | 1.00024002862165 | 0.998721369475654 |
55 | 62.1 | 62.2076259821084 | 61.89375 | 1.00507120641597 | 0.998269890862909 |
56 | 61.81 | 61.7449415073865 | 61.6783333333333 | 1.00107992824147 | 1.00105366514285 |
57 | 61.28 | 61.4647447349524 | 61.50375 | 0.999365806718328 | 0.996994297531877 |
58 | 61.05 | 61.2931914833481 | 61.335 | 0.999318357925297 | 0.996032324676483 |
59 | 61.08 | 61.107435373886 | 61.1670833333333 | 0.99902483564367 | 0.99955103051342 |
60 | 60.98 | 61.0167996765469 | 60.95625 | 1.00099333007767 | 0.999396892712466 |
61 | 60.98 | 61.0123748712727 | 60.7220833333333 | 1.00478065840307 | 0.999469372052129 |
62 | 61.11 | 60.4807978194547 | 60.5016666666667 | 0.999655069878869 | 1.01040333797222 |
63 | 60.58 | 60.1360549725683 | 60.3058333333333 | 0.997184710808545 | 1.00738234371434 |
64 | 60.37 | 59.9472594308602 | 60.1175 | 0.997168202783886 | 1.00705187481719 |
65 | 59.44 | 59.6990038148219 | 59.9316666666667 | 0.996117864481581 | 0.995661505246799 |
66 | 59.29 | 59.7622578767507 | 59.7479166666667 | 1.00024002862165 | 0.992097723654875 |
67 | 59.29 | NA | NA | 1.00507120641597 | NA |
68 | 59.33 | NA | NA | 1.00107992824147 | NA |
69 | 59.06 | NA | NA | 0.999365806718328 | NA |
70 | 58.75 | NA | NA | 0.999318357925297 | NA |
71 | 58.92 | NA | NA | 0.99902483564367 | NA |
72 | 58.73 | NA | NA | 1.00099333007767 | NA |