| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ma1 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.3024 | 0.186 | 0.4119 | -0.9998 |
| (p-val) | (0.5803 ) | (0.1626 ) | (0.4528 ) | (0.0027 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0 | 0.1486 | 0.1162 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.2658 ) | (0.3658 ) | (0.0023 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0 | 0.1353 | 0 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.3006 ) | (NA ) | (0.007 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0577 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 0.0589999409995141 |
| -1.41417450501306 |
| -18.3846475755861 |
| 4.24266776527226 |
| -9.89940750475467 |
| -1.41416601970523 |
| -4.94968147844429 |
| 8.48527118362683 |
| 5.65684722004823 |
| 2.12135156036077 |
| -12.7278137906086 |
| -1.41417238368611 |
| -5.65678640867546 |
| 5.71546709301464 |
| 11.430917448217 |
| 4.0824915417843 |
| -5.71542749248443 |
| -4.89893277693375 |
| 5.30722585896545 |
| -8.98140023237252 |
| -0.816480018948223 |
| -3.67419274460486 |
| 2.44950292718234 |
| -7.34841447478369 |
| -12.2473676641251 |
| 13.5676795115537 |
| -7.50550178552387 |
| -10.1035605510469 |
| 4.61879420118808 |
| -12.9903024874634 |
| 3.7527758629083 |
| -14.1450008210891 |
| -2.30938107887528 |
| -11.2582591729112 |
| -4.33008822361948 |
| 1.29908651985677e-05 |
| 16.454417696876 |
| 7.82621147962468 |
| 4.02491438422167 |
| -8.72060773063855 |
| -0.894411455568734 |
| -0.223594253653449 |
| -6.93176357788012 |
| -2.01244265593132 |
| -7.1553761680782 |
| 0.223617958497356 |
| 8.27342503551901 |
| 15.2051986751483 |
| 2.90688653528183 |
| -12.7801213366766 |
| -3.10373653589491 |
| -7.12034669123719 |
| -3.46888342810694 |
| -8.3983624583384 |
| 2.55603701106735 |
| 0.182580385499283 |
| 10.5892565952768 |
| 15.7013138196074 |
| 6.75522353446613 |
| 5.11206123957597 |
| 8.76352852127385 |
