| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.2221 | 0.0805 | -1 | -0.5764 | -0.3272 | 0.0187 |
| (p-val) | (0.0997 ) | (0.5542 ) | (0 ) | (0.3723 ) | (0.285 ) | (0.9783 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -0.2214 | 0.0815 | -0.9998 | -0.5584 | -0.3203 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.0958 ) | (0.5339 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.0511 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | -0.2453 | 0 | -0.9771 | -0.5646 | -0.3308 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.0653 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.0428 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.5852 | -0.3803 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.0159 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -4777.30286489562 |
| 23070.528130001 |
| -8821.63337214709 |
| -13679.6541906858 |
| 11180.1829460996 |
| 5010.30329824689 |
| 236674.448197586 |
| -161375.659804557 |
| -66545.1106213107 |
| 49070.753796459 |
| -414.212527423893 |
| -100241.675308561 |
| -45068.1859403939 |
| -68982.1874235818 |
| 11587.4031169388 |
| 82435.5025568545 |
| -201025.240256427 |
| 85808.8345528482 |
| -171483.174924518 |
| 128829.63550774 |
| 174210.399792212 |
| 90027.2143187103 |
| 76257.9363622707 |
| 105978.353626142 |
| 33463.7685088742 |
| -24997.5673105846 |
| -71607.2543106451 |
| -71553.3799814415 |
| -141257.563981324 |
| -127220.357709647 |
| -166137.167340866 |
| 20653.5916399585 |
| 36293.6892237336 |
| -15222.9612910265 |
| -42215.9997280694 |
| -17642.7870087212 |
| -54791.4829764715 |
| 52866.3269837782 |
| 56987.2562525371 |
| -181764.973301219 |
| 62087.9921826122 |
| -14743.6269557767 |
| -111665.242178474 |
| 152134.382136938 |
| 58944.9312124372 |
| 2088.81779593873 |
| 3656.95695730158 |
| -8639.39533530233 |
| 21079.2813432086 |
| -53529.5967977272 |
| -86176.3987739534 |
| -29380.3585565979 |
| -55862.0659882518 |
| -49947.6945639323 |
| -52455.1801053568 |
| 52284.44440755 |
| -14839.3636447341 |
| -15921.6970385855 |
| -29059.9219029117 |
| -27618.8745902494 |
