Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[73])
61	93.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
62	95.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
63	112.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
64	98.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
65	91.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
66	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
67	76.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
68	84.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
69	114.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
70	108.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
71	104.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
72	111.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
73	90.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
74	109.1	101.8733	91.9187	111.5437	0.0715	0.9876	0.9119	0.9876
75	121	116.5808	106.9635	125.9654	0.178	0.9409	0.7912	1
76	95.2	99.074	88.7238	109.1089	0.2246	0	0.5446	0.947
77	110.5	97.4365	86.9132	107.6286	0.006	0.6664	0.8732	0.8991
78	102.4	112.8143	102.7487	122.6169	0.0187	0.6782	0.5647	1
79	86.7	75.5506	64.0441	86.5516	0.0235	0	0.4189	0.0033
80	99.1	85.1105	74.0305	95.7724	0.0051	0.3851	0.5301	0.1478
81	126	118.5372	108.5705	128.2583	0.0662	1	0.7683	1
82	110.3	113.5369	103.4282	123.3822	0.2597	0.0065	0.8468	1
83	104.6	107.2097	96.9153	117.2152	0.3046	0.2725	0.6954	0.9993
84	103.1	109.077	98.8404	119.0327	0.1197	0.8109	0.3308	0.9998
85	102	91.3359	80.6176	101.6886	0.0217	0.013	0.5404	0.5404

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
74	0.0484	0.0709	0	52.2256	0	0
75	0.0411	0.0379	0.0544	19.5296	35.8776	5.9898
76	0.0517	-0.0391	0.0493	15.0077	28.921	5.3778
77	0.0534	0.1341	0.0705	170.6545	64.3543	8.0221
78	0.0443	-0.0923	0.0749	108.4572	73.1749	8.5542
79	0.0743	0.1476	0.087	124.3098	81.6974	9.0387
80	0.0639	0.1644	0.098	195.7066	97.9844	9.8987
81	0.0418	0.063	0.0937	55.6932	92.698	9.628
82	0.0442	-0.0285	0.0864	10.4777	83.5624	9.1412
83	0.0476	-0.0243	0.0802	6.8106	75.8872	8.7113
84	0.0466	-0.0548	0.0779	35.7247	72.2361	8.4992
85	0.0578	0.1168	0.0811	113.723	75.6933	8.7002