Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[68])
56	23	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	40	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	29	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	37	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	51	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	20	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
62	28	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
63	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
64	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
65	25	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
66	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
67	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
68	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
69	16	16.2131	7.3731	35.6519	0.4914	0.627	0.0082	0.627
70	17	14.5969	6.0495	35.2209	0.4097	0.447	0.0855	0.5603
71	9	15.2389	5.8982	39.3723	0.3062	0.4431	0.0386	0.5721
72	17	14.4878	5.391	38.9345	0.4202	0.67	0.0017	0.5475
73	25	15.0965	5.126	44.4607	0.2543	0.4494	0.3717	0.5556
74	14	14.8392	4.7063	46.7887	0.4795	0.2665	0.2097	0.5449
75	8	14.9896	4.4631	50.3433	0.3492	0.5219	0.5439	0.5439
76	7	14.8232	4.1909	52.4298	0.3417	0.6389	0.3542	0.5379
77	10	14.9313	3.9854	55.9404	0.4068	0.6477	0.3152	0.5368
78	7	14.8859	3.7647	58.8609	0.3626	0.5862	0.5335	0.5335
79	10	14.9217	3.5814	62.1707	0.4191	0.6288	0.4822	0.5318
80	3	14.8877	3.4036	65.1211	0.3214	0.5756	0.5294	0.5294

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
69	0.6117	-0.0131	0	0.0454	0	0
70	0.7209	0.1646	0.0889	5.7748	2.9101	1.7059
71	0.808	-0.4094	0.1957	38.9238	14.9147	3.862
72	0.8609	0.1734	0.1901	6.311	12.7638	3.5726
73	0.9924	0.656	0.2833	98.0791	29.8268	5.4614
74	1.0985	-0.0566	0.2455	0.7042	24.9731	4.9973
75	1.2033	-0.4663	0.2771	48.8544	28.3847	5.3277
76	1.2944	-0.5278	0.3084	61.2018	32.4868	5.6997
77	1.4013	-0.3303	0.3108	24.3179	31.5792	5.6195
78	1.5072	-0.5298	0.3327	62.1879	34.64	5.8856
79	1.6155	-0.3298	0.3325	24.223	33.693	5.8046
80	1.7215	-0.7985	0.3713	141.3177	42.6617	6.5316