Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[63])
51	9946	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
52	9701	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
53	9049	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
54	10190	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
55	9706	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
56	9765	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	9893	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	9994	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	10433	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	10073	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	10112	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
62	9266	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
63	9820	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
64	10097	9841.9833	9278.6101	10405.3565	0.1875	0.5305	0.6881	0.5305
65	9115	9365.1197	8793.8889	9936.3505	0.1954	0.006	0.861	0.0593
66	10411	10220.0289	9641.0472	10799.0106	0.259	0.9999	0.5405	0.9122
67	9678	9867.4797	9280.8497	10454.1097	0.2633	0.0347	0.7052	0.563
68	10408	9918.372	9324.1922	10512.5517	0.0531	0.7861	0.6935	0.6272
69	10153	9985.1885	9383.5539	10586.8231	0.2923	0.0842	0.618	0.7048
70	10368	10041.7116	9432.7134	10650.7097	0.1468	0.3601	0.561	0.7622
71	10581	10388.9432	9772.6696	11005.2167	0.2707	0.5266	0.4443	0.9648
72	10597	10121.9404	9498.4765	10745.4043	0.0677	0.0745	0.5611	0.8287
73	10680	10160.8694	9530.2973	10791.4415	0.0533	0.0876	0.5604	0.8553
74	9738	9520.8118	8883.2108	10158.4128	0.2522	2e-04	0.7833	0.1789
75	9556	9922.0231	9277.47	10566.5762	0.1328	0.7121	0.6218	0.6218

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
64	0.0292	0.0259	0	65033.5255	0	0
65	0.0311	-0.0267	0.0263	62559.8509	63796.6882	252.5801
66	0.0289	0.0187	0.0238	36469.9637	54687.78	233.8542
67	0.0303	-0.0192	0.0226	35902.5615	49991.4754	223.5877
68	0.0306	0.0494	0.028	239735.6161	87940.3035	296.5473
69	0.0307	0.0168	0.0261	28160.7039	77977.0369	279.2437
70	0.0309	0.0325	0.027	106464.1476	82046.6242	286.4378
71	0.0303	0.0185	0.026	36885.8327	76401.5252	276.4083
72	0.0314	0.0469	0.0283	225681.6071	92988.201	304.9397
73	0.0317	0.0511	0.0306	269496.5863	110639.0395	332.6245
74	0.0342	0.0228	0.0299	47170.7252	104869.1928	323.8351
75	0.0331	-0.0369	0.0304	133972.8989	107294.5016	327.5584