Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[72])
60	10132	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	9849	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
62	9172	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
63	10313	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
64	9819	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
65	9955	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
66	10048	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
67	10082	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
68	10541	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
69	10208	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
70	10233	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
71	9439	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
72	9963	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
73	10158	10216.8577	9709.7992	10723.9162	0.41	0.8368	0.9225	0.8368
74	9225	9350.1511	8842.8073	9857.4949	0.3144	9e-04	0.7544	0.009
75	10474	10327.1802	9817.3444	10837.0159	0.2862	1	0.5217	0.9193
76	9757	9907.7187	9363.9751	10451.4624	0.2935	0.0206	0.6254	0.421
77	10490	9976.6209	9431.3095	10521.9324	0.0325	0.7851	0.531	0.5195
78	10281	10150.781	9588.25	10713.312	0.325	0.1186	0.6399	0.7435
79	10444	10466.0923	9895.6439	11036.5406	0.4697	0.7376	0.9065	0.9581
80	10640	10598.5365	10018.7216	11178.3514	0.4443	0.6993	0.5771	0.9842
81	10695	10271.9098	9681.8332	10861.9864	0.08	0.1107	0.5841	0.8476
82	10786	10299.124	9700.4711	10897.777	0.0555	0.0975	0.5857	0.8644
83	9832	9651.3698	9043.1968	10259.5428	0.2802	1e-04	0.7531	0.1576
84	9747	10170.1644	9553.2835	10787.0453	0.0894	0.8587	0.7448	0.7448
85	10411	10278.6411	9569.797	10987.4852	0.3572	0.9292	0.6307	0.8086
86	9511	9486.3291	8768.484	10204.1743	0.4731	0.0058	0.7622	0.0965
87	10402	10467.6032	9738.3588	11196.8475	0.43	0.9949	0.4931	0.9125
88	9701	10036.4239	9281.4698	10791.378	0.1919	0.1713	0.7659	0.5756
89	10540	10197.5858	9432.4551	10962.7165	0.1902	0.8983	0.2269	0.7261
90	10112	10229.2881	9445.3285	11013.2476	0.3847	0.2186	0.4486	0.7472
91	10915	10549.049	9750.8989	11347.1991	0.1844	0.8584	0.6018	0.9249
92	11183	10712.965	9899.9621	11525.968	0.1286	0.3131	0.5698	0.9647
93	10384	10363.5803	9535.7156	11191.445	0.4807	0.0262	0.2163	0.8285
94	10834	10432.3558	9590.3156	11274.396	0.1749	0.5448	0.2052	0.8627
95	9886	9750.7552	8894.5465	10606.9639	0.3784	0.0066	0.4262	0.3135
96	10216	10226.1722	9356.4411	11095.9033	0.4909	0.7783	0.8599	0.7234

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
73	0.0253	-0.0058	0	3464.231	0	0
74	0.0277	-0.0134	0.0096	15662.8012	9563.5161	97.7932
75	0.0252	0.0142	0.0111	21556.0647	13561.0323	116.4518
76	0.028	-0.0152	0.0121	22716.1367	15849.8084	125.896
77	0.0279	0.0515	0.02	263558.079	65391.4625	255.7175
78	0.0283	0.0128	0.0188	16956.9915	57319.0507	239.414
79	0.0278	-0.0021	0.0164	488.0676	49200.3388	221.8115
80	0.0279	0.0039	0.0149	1719.2215	43265.1992	208.0029
81	0.0293	0.0412	0.0178	179005.3049	58347.4331	241.5521
82	0.0297	0.0473	0.0207	237048.1998	76217.5098	276.0752
83	0.0322	0.0187	0.0206	32627.2669	72254.7604	268.8025
84	0.0309	-0.0416	0.0223	179068.1316	81155.8747	284.8787
85	0.0352	0.0129	0.0216	17518.8818	76260.7214	276.1534
86	0.0386	0.0026	0.0202	608.6524	70857.0022	266.1898
87	0.0355	-0.0063	0.0193	4303.7768	66420.1205	257.721
88	0.0384	-0.0334	0.0202	112509.1805	69300.6868	263.2502
89	0.0383	0.0336	0.021	117247.4844	72121.0866	268.5537
90	0.0391	-0.0115	0.0204	13756.4905	68878.6091	262.4473
91	0.0386	0.0347	0.0212	133920.1356	72301.8473	268.89
92	0.0387	0.0439	0.0223	220932.8661	79733.3982	282.371
93	0.0408	0.002	0.0214	416.9634	75956.4251	275.6019
94	0.0412	0.0385	0.0221	161318.0355	79836.4983	282.5535
95	0.0448	0.0139	0.0218	18291.1541	77160.6138	277.778
96	0.0434	-0.001	0.0209	103.4727	73949.8996	271.9373