| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.9976 | -0.798 | 0.4811 | -0.1407 | -0.9896 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.0154 ) | (0.4292 ) | (0.1213 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.9945 | -0.8062 | 0.4998 | 0 | -0.9995 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.0067 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 9.25194836014962 |
| 28.1412431534249 |
| -46.710384295166 |
| 43.1067524520972 |
| -221.279462866955 |
| 132.052222757328 |
| -77.155897007469 |
| -499.380256326009 |
| -498.987943642635 |
| -327.31443340556 |
| 160.793887869943 |
| -45.844776051356 |
| 256.231464978892 |
| 54.609941780331 |
| -202.050924884846 |
| 254.641878832373 |
| 152.115379956058 |
| -21.4421650918996 |
| -307.959418669347 |
| 491.920096663474 |
| -207.82569189863 |
| 368.744845335295 |
| 188.01890815774 |
| -241.37176880132 |
| 316.167912798984 |
| -194.235051028493 |
| 9.3597240189802 |
| 346.178539785001 |
| 9.18904201007916 |
| 364.055471781831 |
| 194.335321392614 |
| -432.431140370494 |
| -336.795177834168 |
| 388.908545301051 |
| 66.4459461087923 |
| 389.527350463355 |
| 107.592394801081 |
| -43.6580023109407 |
| 247.973950409943 |
| 283.86524148471 |
| -236.063777341663 |
| -73.5112879283397 |
| 264.381532165734 |
| 183.832982325651 |
| 165.119478664649 |
| -41.8688313350928 |
| -484.924295382296 |
| 182.794345151471 |
| 147.156498514618 |
| 165.680047956214 |
| -190.067956546109 |
| -69.659302916814 |
| 182.74589189292 |
| -20.7972499528417 |
| 182.388899315763 |
| -199.155192818123 |
| 416.797283456949 |
| 173.705754110452 |
| 13.7460599068559 |
| 63.9246955280515 |
| 395.733736242988 |
| 300.653509629189 |
| 140.575102306067 |
| -480.624054995448 |
