Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 1331 | 0 | 134 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 547612 | 544254.822938653 | 11766.6772211963 | 539202.49984015 | -3357.17706134659 |
2 | 563280 | 559727.680439752 | 25965.1450614385 | 540867.174498809 | -3552.31956024759 |
3 | 581302 | 584761.710985405 | 35310.4398571273 | 542531.849157468 | 3459.71098540479 |
4 | 572273 | 574786.215202171 | 25573.9966812458 | 544185.788116583 | 2513.21520217124 |
5 | 518654 | 519292.629615842 | -27824.3566915402 | 545839.727075698 | 638.629615842248 |
6 | 520579 | 523284.763659202 | -29648.3553373286 | 547521.591678126 | 2705.76365920203 |
7 | 530577 | 531328.805880037 | -19378.2621605921 | 549203.456280555 | 751.805880037253 |
8 | 540324 | 542030.036974949 | -12300.1194629927 | 550918.082488044 | 1706.0369749486 |
9 | 547970 | 546846.812278307 | -3539.52097384044 | 552632.708695533 | -1123.18772169296 |
10 | 555654 | 555590.878767341 | 1323.32695828413 | 554393.794274375 | -63.1212326588575 |
11 | 551174 | 548379.396476433 | -2186.27632964924 | 556154.879853216 | -2794.60352356685 |
12 | 548604 | 544158.00657164 | -5062.69466462052 | 558112.68809298 | -4445.99342835974 |
13 | 563668 | 555498.826446059 | 11766.6772211963 | 560070.496332744 | -8169.1735539406 |
14 | 586111 | 584142.337586016 | 25965.1450614385 | 562114.517352546 | -1968.66241398442 |
15 | 604378 | 609287.021770525 | 35310.4398571273 | 564158.538372348 | 4909.02177052514 |
16 | 600991 | 610222.65355676 | 25573.9966812458 | 566185.349761994 | 9231.65355676052 |
17 | 544686 | 548984.1955399 | -27824.3566915402 | 568212.16115164 | 4298.19553990045 |
18 | 537034 | 534438.587099041 | -29648.3553373286 | 569277.768238287 | -2595.41290095868 |
19 | 551531 | 552096.886835658 | -19378.2621605921 | 570343.375324934 | 565.886835657642 |
20 | 563250 | 568761.124796806 | -12300.1194629927 | 570038.994666187 | 5511.12479680625 |
21 | 574761 | 583326.906966402 | -3539.52097384044 | 569734.614007439 | 8565.90696640185 |
22 | 580112 | 590236.453822271 | 1323.32695828413 | 568664.219219444 | 10124.4538222714 |
23 | 575093 | 584778.451898199 | -2186.27632964924 | 567593.82443145 | 9685.45189819892 |
24 | 557560 | 554039.606022591 | -5062.69466462052 | 566143.08864203 | -3520.393977409 |
25 | 564478 | 552496.969926195 | 11766.6772211963 | 564692.352852609 | -11981.0300738051 |
26 | 580523 | 572787.032763099 | 25965.1450614385 | 562293.822175463 | -7735.96723690117 |
27 | 596594 | 597982.268644556 | 35310.4398571273 | 559895.291498317 | 1388.26864455617 |
28 | 586570 | 591229.348512319 | 25573.9966812458 | 556336.654806436 | 4659.34851231857 |
29 | 536214 | 547474.338576986 | -27824.3566915402 | 552778.018114554 | 11260.3385769858 |
30 | 523597 | 528622.911164112 | -29648.3553373286 | 548219.444173217 | 5025.91116411192 |
31 | 536535 | 548787.391928714 | -19378.2621605921 | 543660.870231879 | 12252.3919287135 |
32 | 536322 | 546683.103844789 | -12300.1194629927 | 538261.015618203 | 10361.1038447893 |
33 | 532638 | 535954.359969312 | -3539.52097384044 | 532861.161004528 | 3316.35996931209 |
34 | 528222 | 527847.282587177 | 1323.32695828413 | 527273.390454539 | -374.717412823462 |
35 | 516141 | 512782.656425099 | -2186.27632964924 | 521685.61990455 | -3358.34357490117 |
36 | 501866 | 491806.009135729 | -5062.69466462052 | 516988.685528891 | -10059.9908642708 |
37 | 506174 | 488289.571625572 | 11766.6772211963 | 512291.751153232 | -17884.4283744284 |
38 | 517945 | 500637.642273643 | 25965.1450614385 | 509287.212664918 | -17307.3577263567 |
39 | 533590 | 525586.885966268 | 35310.4398571273 | 506282.674176604 | -8003.11403373157 |
40 | 528379 | 525701.819460718 | 25573.9966812458 | 505482.183858037 | -2677.18053928233 |
41 | 477580 | 478302.663152072 | -27824.3566915402 | 504681.693539469 | 722.663152071531 |
42 | 469357 | 462707.691931696 | -29648.3553373286 | 505654.663405632 | -6649.30806830368 |
43 | 490243 | 493236.628888796 | -19378.2621605921 | 506627.633271796 | 2993.62888879632 |
44 | 492622 | 489006.799416949 | -12300.1194629927 | 508537.320046044 | -3615.2005830509 |
45 | 507561 | 508214.514153549 | -3539.52097384044 | 510447.006820291 | 653.514153549098 |
46 | 516922 | 519836.546799402 | 1323.32695828413 | 512684.126242314 | 2914.54679940152 |
47 | 514258 | 515781.030665312 | -2186.27632964924 | 514921.245664337 | 1523.0306653119 |
48 | 509846 | 507113.588486758 | -5062.69466462052 | 517641.106177863 | -2732.41151324211 |
49 | 527070 | 522012.356087416 | 11766.6772211963 | 520360.966691388 | -5057.64391258417 |
50 | 541657 | 533780.27752132 | 25965.1450614385 | 523568.577417242 | -7876.72247868025 |
51 | 564591 | 567095.371999777 | 35310.4398571273 | 526776.188143096 | 2504.37199977704 |
52 | 555362 | 554611.539105552 | 25573.9966812458 | 530538.464213202 | -750.460894447868 |
53 | 498662 | 490847.616408232 | -27824.3566915402 | 534300.740283308 | -7814.38359176822 |
54 | 511038 | 512838.905981906 | -29648.3553373286 | 538885.449355422 | 1800.90598190622 |
55 | 525919 | 527746.103733056 | -19378.2621605921 | 543470.158427536 | 1827.10373305611 |
56 | 531673 | 526774.413509754 | -12300.1194629927 | 548871.705953239 | -4898.58649024577 |
57 | 548854 | 546974.267494899 | -3539.52097384044 | 554273.253478941 | -1879.73250510066 |
58 | 560576 | 559897.0108856 | 1323.32695828413 | 559931.662156115 | -678.989114399534 |
59 | 557274 | 551144.20549636 | -2186.27632964924 | 565590.07083329 | -6129.7945036405 |
60 | 565742 | 565697.560589892 | -5062.69466462052 | 570849.134074728 | -44.4394101076759 |
61 | 587625 | 587375.125462637 | 11766.6772211963 | 576108.197316167 | -249.874537363066 |
62 | 619916 | 633547.371146002 | 25965.1450614385 | 580319.48379256 | 13631.3711460021 |
63 | 625809 | 631776.789873921 | 35310.4398571273 | 584530.770268952 | 5967.78987392073 |
64 | 619567 | 625928.79163496 | 25573.9966812458 | 587631.211683794 | 6361.7916349601 |
65 | 572942 | 582976.703592904 | -27824.3566915402 | 590731.653098636 | 10034.7035929041 |
66 | 572775 | 582433.038948738 | -29648.3553373286 | 592765.316388591 | 9658.03894873755 |
67 | 574205 | 572989.282482046 | -19378.2621605921 | 594798.979678546 | -1215.71751795383 |
68 | 579799 | 576206.953553758 | -12300.1194629927 | 595691.165909235 | -3592.04644624225 |
69 | 590072 | 587100.168833916 | -3539.52097384044 | 596583.352139924 | -2971.83116608369 |
70 | 593408 | 588770.222965732 | 1323.32695828413 | 596722.450075984 | -4637.77703426813 |
71 | 597141 | 599606.728317605 | -2186.27632964924 | 596861.548012044 | 2465.72831760522 |
72 | 595404 | 599058.446241193 | -5062.69466462052 | 596812.248423428 | 3654.44624119264 |
73 | 612117 | 615704.373943992 | 11766.6772211963 | 596762.948834812 | 3587.37394399196 |
74 | 628232 | 633754.326978799 | 25965.1450614385 | 596744.527959762 | 5522.32697879907 |
75 | 628884 | 625731.45305816 | 35310.4398571273 | 596726.107084713 | -3152.54694184044 |
76 | 620735 | 619384.180512618 | 25573.9966812458 | 596511.822806136 | -1350.81948738208 |
77 | 569028 | 569582.818163981 | -27824.3566915402 | 596297.538527559 | 554.818163980846 |
78 | 567456 | 568603.0839464 | -29648.3553373286 | 595957.271390928 | 1147.08394640009 |
79 | 573100 | 569961.257906295 | -19378.2621605921 | 595617.004254298 | -3138.74209370546 |
80 | 584428 | 586354.954771559 | -12300.1194629927 | 594801.164691433 | 1926.95477155945 |
81 | 589379 | 588312.195845271 | -3539.52097384044 | 593985.325128569 | -1066.80415472866 |
82 | 590865 | 588123.98575514 | 1323.32695828413 | 592282.687286576 | -2741.01424486062 |
83 | 595454 | 602514.226885065 | -2186.27632964924 | 590580.049444584 | 7060.2268850652 |
84 | 594167 | 605261.148687366 | -5062.69466462052 | 588135.545977255 | 11094.1486873659 |
85 | 611324 | 625190.280268878 | 11766.6772211963 | 585691.042509925 | 13866.2802688784 |
86 | 612613 | 616314.048885621 | 25965.1450614385 | 582946.80605294 | 3701.04888562148 |
87 | 610763 | 606012.990546918 | 35310.4398571273 | 580202.569595955 | -4750.00945308211 |
88 | 593530 | 584401.378683362 | 25573.9966812458 | 577084.624635392 | -9128.62131663796 |
89 | 542722 | 539301.677016711 | -27824.3566915402 | 573966.679674829 | -3420.32298328914 |
90 | 536662 | 532321.418404621 | -29648.3553373286 | 570650.936932707 | -4340.5815953787 |
91 | 543599 | 539241.067970007 | -19378.2621605921 | 567335.194190585 | -4357.93202999292 |
92 | 555332 | 558486.010767183 | -12300.1194629927 | 564478.10869581 | 3154.01076718257 |
93 | 560854 | 563626.497772805 | -3539.52097384044 | 561621.023201035 | 2772.49777280504 |
94 | 562325 | 564230.209576783 | 1323.32695828413 | 559096.463464933 | 1905.20957678335 |
95 | 554788 | 555190.37260082 | -2186.27632964924 | 556571.90372883 | 402.372600819566 |
96 | 547344 | 546123.449374492 | -5062.69466462052 | 553627.245290128 | -1220.55062550772 |
97 | 565464 | 568478.735927377 | 11766.6772211963 | 550682.586851427 | 3014.73592737701 |
98 | 577992 | 582786.203924384 | 25965.1450614385 | 547232.651014177 | 4794.20392438432 |
99 | 579714 | 580334.844965945 | 35310.4398571273 | 543782.715176928 | 620.844965944998 |
100 | 569323 | 572945.131550406 | 25573.9966812458 | 540126.871768349 | 3622.13155040552 |
101 | 506971 | 505295.328331771 | -27824.3566915402 | 536471.02835977 | -1675.67166822928 |
102 | 500857 | 498647.246506295 | -29648.3553373286 | 532715.108831034 | -2209.7534937053 |
103 | 509127 | 508673.072858294 | -19378.2621605921 | 528959.189302298 | -453.927141705877 |
104 | 509933 | 507310.700647867 | -12300.1194629927 | 524855.418815126 | -2622.29935213301 |
105 | 517009 | 516805.872645887 | -3539.52097384044 | 520751.648327954 | -203.127354113094 |
106 | 519164 | 520501.527984281 | 1323.32695828413 | 516503.145057435 | 1337.52798428125 |
107 | 512238 | 514407.634542734 | -2186.27632964924 | 512254.641786916 | 2169.63454273355 |
108 | 509239 | 515364.849561012 | -5062.69466462052 | 508175.845103609 | 6125.84956101177 |
109 | 518585 | 521306.274358502 | 11766.6772211963 | 504097.048420302 | 2721.27435850201 |
110 | 522975 | 519696.868575135 | 25965.1450614385 | 500287.986363426 | -3278.13142486475 |
111 | 525192 | 518594.635836322 | 35310.4398571273 | 496478.924306551 | -6597.36416367814 |
112 | 516847 | 515159.873260593 | 25573.9966812458 | 492960.130058161 | -1687.12673940678 |
113 | 455626 | 449635.020881769 | -27824.3566915402 | 489441.335809771 | -5990.97911823087 |
114 | 454724 | 452239.188230731 | -29648.3553373286 | 486857.167106597 | -2484.81176926877 |
115 | 461251 | 457607.263757168 | -19378.2621605921 | 484272.998403424 | -3643.73624283151 |
116 | 470439 | 470445.081365397 | -12300.1194629927 | 482733.038097596 | 6.0813653965015 |
117 | 474605 | 471556.443182072 | -3539.52097384044 | 481193.077791769 | -3048.55681792833 |
118 | 476049 | 471073.771901005 | 1323.32695828413 | 479700.901140711 | -4975.22809899482 |
119 | 471067 | 466111.551839997 | -2186.27632964924 | 478208.724489653 | -4955.44816000335 |
120 | 470984 | 470531.085091313 | -5062.69466462052 | 476499.609573307 | -452.914908686827 |
121 | 502831 | 519104.828121842 | 11766.6772211963 | 474790.494656962 | 16273.8281218417 |
122 | 512927 | 526681.76338092 | 25965.1450614385 | 473207.091557642 | 13754.76338092 |
123 | 509673 | 512411.871684552 | 35310.4398571273 | 471623.688458321 | 2738.8716845517 |
124 | 484015 | 472065.655669572 | 25573.9966812458 | 470390.347649182 | -11949.3443304278 |
125 | 431328 | 421323.349851497 | -27824.3566915402 | 469157.006840043 | -10004.6501485027 |
126 | 436087 | 433467.292591053 | -29648.3553373286 | 468355.062746276 | -2619.70740894723 |
127 | 442867 | 437559.143508083 | -19378.2621605921 | 467553.118652509 | -5307.85649191652 |
128 | 447988 | 441488.442273545 | -12300.1194629927 | 466787.677189447 | -6499.55772645463 |
129 | 460070 | 457657.285247454 | -3539.52097384044 | 466022.235726386 | -2412.71475254552 |
130 | 467037 | 467387.454836102 | 1323.32695828413 | 465363.218205613 | 350.454836102435 |
131 | 460170 | 457822.075644808 | -2186.27632964924 | 464704.200684841 | -2347.92435519164 |
132 | 464196 | 469240.947474064 | -5062.69466462052 | 464213.747190557 | 5044.94747406367 |
133 | 485025 | 494560.029082531 | 11766.6772211963 | 463723.293696273 | 9535.02908253093 |