| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 547612 | NA | NA | 1.02133288048175 | NA |
| 2 | 563280 | NA | NA | 1.04863432451329 | NA |
| 3 | 581302 | NA | NA | 1.06463702553292 | NA |
| 4 | 572273 | NA | NA | 1.04652197822116 | NA |
| 5 | 518654 | NA | NA | 0.947576951513607 | NA |
| 6 | 520579 | NA | NA | 0.94430419626186 | NA |
| 7 | 530577 | 529147.539734408 | 548835.916666667 | 0.964127025337854 | 1.00270143987877 |
| 8 | 540324 | 538137.527519383 | 550456.208333333 | 0.977620961254578 | 1.00406303661946 |
| 9 | 547970 | 548810.505536665 | 552369 | 0.993557758557531 | 0.998468495904897 |
| 10 | 555654 | 555701.834766721 | 554527.083333333 | 1.00211847440584 | 0.999913920084966 |
| 11 | 551174 | 555892.804085637 | 556808.333333333 | 0.998355755126337 | 0.991511305685277 |
| 12 | 548604 | 553670.209617127 | 558578.625 | 0.991212668793273 | 0.990849770261921 |
| 13 | 563668 | 572086.676118699 | 560137.333333333 | 1.02133288048175 | 0.98528426465756 |
| 14 | 586111 | 589296.487264662 | 561965.666666667 | 1.04863432451329 | 0.994594423463394 |
| 15 | 604378 | 600494.895769892 | 564037.208333333 | 1.06463702553292 | 1.00646650663888 |
| 16 | 600991 | 592512.051924582 | 566172.583333333 | 1.04652197822116 | 1.01431016980647 |
| 17 | 544686 | 538402.129303224 | 568188.291666667 | 0.947576951513607 | 1.01167133329303 |
| 18 | 537034 | 537836.088106529 | 569558.083333333 | 0.94430419626186 | 0.998508675553267 |
| 19 | 551531 | 549518.65999669 | 569965 | 0.964127025337854 | 1.00366200485953 |
| 20 | 563250 | 557015.103141762 | 569765.916666667 | 0.977620961254578 | 1.01119340718604 |
| 21 | 574761 | 565541.769801334 | 569208.75 | 0.993557758557531 | 1.01630159024665 |
| 22 | 580112 | 569487.435804948 | 568283.541666667 | 1.00211847440584 | 1.0186563627695 |
| 23 | 575093 | 566396.837770573 | 567329.666666667 | 0.998355755126337 | 1.01535347948561 |
| 24 | 557560 | 561439.49971724 | 566416.791666667 | 0.991212668793273 | 0.993090084115574 |
| 25 | 564478 | 577290.111811534 | 565232.083333333 | 1.02133288048175 | 0.977806458920058 |
| 26 | 580523 | 590889.974506954 | 563485.25 | 1.04863432451329 | 0.982455321710943 |
| 27 | 596594 | 596844.166689588 | 560608.125 | 1.06463702553292 | 0.999580850909584 |
| 28 | 586570 | 582589.279367749 | 556690.916666667 | 1.04652197822116 | 1.00683280790297 |
| 29 | 536214 | 523131.176564496 | 552072.5 | 0.947576951513607 | 1.02500868619879 |
| 30 | 523597 | 516813.515937249 | 547295.583333333 | 0.94430419626186 | 1.01312559337859 |
| 31 | 536535 | 523082.939713276 | 542545.666666667 | 0.964127025337854 | 1.02571687827192 |
| 32 | 536322 | 525479.983794573 | 537508.916666667 | 0.977620961254578 | 1.02063259598802 |
| 33 | 532638 | 528847.280679888 | 532276.333333333 | 0.993557758557531 | 1.00716789035057 |
| 34 | 528222 | 528343.457601268 | 527226.541666667 | 1.00211847440584 | 0.99977011620089 |
| 35 | 516141 | 521499.947499412 | 522358.833333333 | 0.998355755126337 | 0.989723973079751 |
| 36 | 501866 | 513106.937473684 | 517655.75 | 0.991212668793273 | 0.978092407931514 |
| 37 | 506174 | 524420.645031249 | 513466.916666667 | 1.02133288048175 | 0.96520608941671 |
| 38 | 517945 | 534507.004146523 | 509717.25 | 1.04863432451329 | 0.969014430085966 |
| 39 | 533590 | 539612.917706775 | 506851.541666667 | 1.06463702553292 | 0.98883844787784 |
| 40 | 528379 | 528845.055966036 | 505335.833333333 | 1.04652197822116 | 0.999118728707438 |
| 41 | 477580 | 478324.092317596 | 504786.541666667 | 0.947576951513607 | 0.998444376251276 |
| 42 | 469357 | 476911.942124204 | 505040.583333333 | 0.94430419626186 | 0.984158622469058 |
| 43 | 490243 | 488083.28078338 | 506243.75 | 0.964127025337854 | 1.00442489899091 |
| 44 | 492622 | 496731.57299744 | 508102.416666667 | 0.977620961254578 | 0.991726773128911 |
| 45 | 507561 | 507094.12012283 | 510382.125 | 0.993557758557531 | 1.00092069668853 |
| 46 | 516922 | 513884.474703176 | 512798.125 | 1.00211847440584 | 1.00591091081041 |
| 47 | 514258 | 513954.374702168 | 514800.833333333 | 0.998355755126337 | 1.00059076313536 |
| 48 | 509846 | 512869.252935812 | 517415.958333333 | 0.991212668793273 | 0.994105217034349 |
| 49 | 527070 | 531745.899783284 | 520639.166666667 | 1.02133288048175 | 0.991206514643197 |
| 50 | 541657 | 549225.154901326 | 523752.791666667 | 1.04863432451329 | 0.98622030539973 |
| 51 | 564591 | 561170.664117039 | 527100.458333333 | 1.06463702553292 | 1.00609500122096 |
| 52 | 555362 | 555326.335313109 | 530639.916666667 | 1.04652197822116 | 1.00006422293456 |
| 53 | 498662 | 506244.091852588 | 534251.166666667 | 0.947576951513607 | 0.985022853649824 |
| 54 | 511038 | 508387.410901988 | 538372.5 | 0.94430419626186 | 1.00521371898905 |
| 55 | 525919 | 523737.541791521 | 543224.625 | 0.964127025337854 | 1.00416517441354 |
| 56 | 531673 | 536722.25824114 | 549008.541666667 | 0.977620961254578 | 0.990592418772258 |
| 57 | 548854 | 551245.798399369 | 554820.083333333 | 0.993557758557531 | 0.99566110361963 |
| 58 | 560576 | 561232.48487203 | 560046.041666667 | 1.00211847440584 | 0.998830279982492 |
| 59 | 557274 | 564885.909531502 | 565816.25 | 0.998355755126337 | 0.98652487271666 |
| 60 | 565742 | 566461.809107904 | 571483.625 | 0.991212668793273 | 0.998729289254226 |
| 61 | 587625 | 588357.104682287 | 576067.916666667 | 1.02133288048175 | 0.99875567971142 |
| 62 | 619916 | 608297.129521487 | 580085.083333333 | 1.04863432451329 | 1.01910064985454 |
| 63 | 625809 | 621543.346443067 | 583807.75 | 1.06463702553292 | 1.00686300252644 |
| 64 | 619567 | 614196.597784478 | 586893.166666667 | 1.04652197822116 | 1.00874378372478 |
| 65 | 572942 | 558996.766767421 | 589922.291666667 | 0.947576951513607 | 1.02494689426063 |
| 66 | 572775 | 559801.784091825 | 592819.333333333 | 0.94430419626186 | 1.02317465981146 |
| 67 | 574205 | 573728.612698193 | 595075.75 | 0.964127025337854 | 1.00083033561733 |
| 68 | 579799 | 583094.934588324 | 596442.75 | 0.977620961254578 | 0.994347516342856 |
| 69 | 590072 | 593071.889149045 | 596917.375 | 0.993557758557531 | 0.994941778216213 |
| 70 | 593408 | 598359.095376627 | 597094.166666667 | 1.00211847440584 | 0.991725545053325 |
| 71 | 597141 | 595998.169106382 | 596979.75 | 0.998355755126337 | 1.00191750738988 |
| 72 | 595404 | 591352.563439251 | 596595.041666667 | 0.991212668793273 | 1.00685113553442 |
| 73 | 612117 | 609048.75561887 | 596327.375 | 1.02133288048175 | 1.00503776479768 |
| 74 | 628232 | 625483.328545226 | 596474.208333333 | 1.04863432451329 | 1.00439447596656 |
| 75 | 628884 | 635203.127439291 | 596638.208333333 | 1.06463702553292 | 0.990051800492914 |
| 76 | 620735 | 624253.892020596 | 596503.375 | 1.04652197822116 | 0.994363043521914 |
| 77 | 569028 | 565065.839212374 | 596327.125 | 0.947576951513607 | 1.00701185687167 |
| 78 | 567456 | 562999.158754359 | 596205.291666667 | 0.94430419626186 | 1.00791624849938 |
| 79 | 573100 | 574736.085267711 | 596120.708333333 | 0.964127025337854 | 0.997153327745292 |
| 80 | 584428 | 582111.570103922 | 595436.875 | 0.977620961254578 | 1.00397935724876 |
| 81 | 589379 | 590204.150271929 | 594031.041666667 | 0.993557758557531 | 0.998601923975715 |
| 82 | 590865 | 593396.896975924 | 592142.458333333 | 1.00211847440584 | 0.99573321500529 |
| 83 | 595454 | 588942.872181217 | 589912.833333333 | 0.998355755126337 | 1.01105561867939 |
| 84 | 594167 | 582370.813742564 | 587533.666666667 | 0.991212668793273 | 1.02025545576645 |
| 85 | 611324 | 597501.566072144 | 585021.375 | 1.02133288048175 | 1.02313371999796 |
| 86 | 612613 | 610913.210002566 | 582579.833333333 | 1.04863432451329 | 1.00278237558069 |
| 87 | 610763 | 617680.000476788 | 580178.958333333 | 1.06463702553292 | 0.988801644101397 |
| 88 | 593530 | 604681.707168656 | 577801.25 | 1.04652197822116 | 0.981557723614837 |
| 89 | 542722 | 544778.729951316 | 574917.666666667 | 0.947576951513607 | 0.996224650783448 |
| 90 | 536662 | 539454.822228963 | 571272.291666667 | 0.94430419626186 | 0.994822880222995 |
| 91 | 543599 | 547055.797510465 | 567410.5 | 0.964127025337854 | 0.993681087877698 |
| 92 | 555332 | 551434.068744993 | 564057.125 | 0.977620961254578 | 1.00706871678037 |
| 93 | 560854 | 557704.710396552 | 561320.875 | 0.993557758557531 | 1.0056468764648 |
| 94 | 562325 | 560202.808139578 | 559018.541666667 | 1.00211847440584 | 1.00378825637713 |
| 95 | 554788 | 555605.236030004 | 556520.291666667 | 0.998355755126337 | 0.998529106680413 |
| 96 | 547344 | 548674.66296852 | 553538.791666667 | 0.991212668793273 | 0.997574768695677 |
| 97 | 565464 | 562356.69309957 | 550610.583333333 | 1.02133288048175 | 1.00552550887819 |
| 98 | 577992 | 573899.345784736 | 547282.625 | 1.04863432451329 | 1.00713131012489 |
| 99 | 579714 | 578698.493226405 | 543564.125 | 1.06463702553292 | 1.00175481150458 |
| 100 | 569323 | 565057.899583505 | 539938.875 | 1.04652197822116 | 1.00754807678937 |
| 101 | 506971 | 508249.55950572 | 536367.583333333 | 0.947576951513607 | 0.997484386396785 |
| 102 | 500857 | 503320.707390937 | 533006.958333333 | 0.94430419626186 | 0.995105094317084 |
| 103 | 509127 | 510472.439425573 | 529465.958333333 | 0.964127025337854 | 0.99736432504155 |
| 104 | 509933 | 513466.366409576 | 525220.291666667 | 0.977620961254578 | 0.993118602033696 |
| 105 | 517009 | 517301.97393249 | 520656.166666667 | 0.993557758557531 | 0.999433650078188 |
| 106 | 519164 | 517291.468741474 | 516197.916666667 | 1.00211847440584 | 1.00361987655254 |
| 107 | 512238 | 511030.398686185 | 511872.041666667 | 0.998355755126337 | 1.00236307138855 |
| 108 | 509239 | 503348.159645719 | 507810.458333333 | 0.991212668793273 | 1.01170331159734 |
| 109 | 518585 | 514642.914699957 | 503893.416666667 | 1.02133288048175 | 1.00765984566666 |
| 110 | 522975 | 524582.466740748 | 500253 | 1.04863432451329 | 0.99693572156398 |
| 111 | 525192 | 528954.880804041 | 496840.583333333 | 1.06463702553292 | 0.992886197026254 |
| 112 | 516847 | 516225.527086574 | 493277.291666667 | 1.04652197822116 | 1.00120387869413 |
| 113 | 455626 | 464090.380999419 | 489765.375 | 0.947576951513607 | 0.981761352215078 |
| 114 | 454724 | 459362.402750751 | 486455.958333333 | 0.94430419626186 | 0.989902519834067 |
| 115 | 461251 | 466835.688711147 | 484205.583333333 | 0.964127025337854 | 0.988037142733099 |
| 116 | 470439 | 472318.503821405 | 483130.5 | 0.977620961254578 | 0.99602068560474 |
| 117 | 474605 | 478959.627870236 | 482065.208333333 | 0.993557758557531 | 0.990908152552232 |
| 118 | 476049 | 481067.558207634 | 480050.583333333 | 1.00211847440584 | 0.989567872283193 |
| 119 | 471067 | 476884.759943823 | 477670.166666667 | 0.998355755126337 | 0.987800490951926 |
| 120 | 470984 | 471699.482540651 | 475881.208333333 | 0.991212668793273 | 0.998483181417123 |
| 121 | 502831 | 484457.676750539 | 474338.666666667 | 1.02133288048175 | 1.0379255487759 |
| 122 | 512927 | 495623.599700473 | 472637.208333333 | 1.04863432451329 | 1.03491238171464 |
| 123 | 509673 | 501546.377260085 | 471096.125 | 1.06463702553292 | 1.01620313316649 |
| 124 | 484015 | 491985.679791439 | 470115 | 1.04652197822116 | 0.983798959768875 |
| 125 | 431328 | 444684.083997166 | 469285.458333333 | 0.947576951513607 | 0.96996500554481 |
| 126 | 436087 | 442452.393394216 | 468548.583333333 | 0.94430419626186 | 0.985613382390397 |
| 127 | 442867 | 450752.362706217 | 467523.833333333 | 0.964127025337854 | 0.982506219914466 |
| 128 | 447988 | NA | NA | 0.977620961254578 | NA |
| 129 | 460070 | NA | NA | 0.993557758557531 | NA |
| 130 | 467037 | NA | NA | 1.00211847440584 | NA |
| 131 | 460170 | NA | NA | 0.998355755126337 | NA |
| 132 | 464196 | NA | NA | 0.991212668793273 | NA |
| 133 | 485025 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
