Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
Parameter | Value |
alpha | 0.859090117482455 |
beta | 0.0739570283338065 |
gamma | 1 |
Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
13 | 299.5 | 239.394497863248 | 60.105502136752 |
14 | 347.4 | 339.49268741076 | 7.90731258923984 |
15 | 338.3 | 339.929491887117 | -1.62949188711656 |
16 | 327.7 | 329.223957559453 | -1.52395755945292 |
17 | 351.6 | 353.166427606607 | -1.56642760660714 |
18 | 396.6 | 400.389554566439 | -3.78955456643905 |
19 | 438.8 | 384.599542925441 | 54.2004570745594 |
20 | 395.6 | 427.763510672228 | -32.163510672228 |
21 | 363.5 | 393.902014378512 | -30.4020143785124 |
22 | 378.8 | 345.07635395866 | 33.7236460413396 |
23 | 357 | 410.295571899351 | -53.2955718993513 |
24 | 369 | 383.104598762056 | -14.1045987620564 |
25 | 464.8 | 456.976349628352 | 7.8236503716484 |
26 | 479.1 | 502.592157461922 | -23.4921574619219 |
27 | 431.3 | 470.502849795568 | -39.2028497955684 |
28 | 366.5 | 420.938726552733 | -54.4387265527326 |
29 | 326.3 | 389.460118106078 | -63.1601181060779 |
30 | 355.1 | 369.585513312159 | -14.4855133121591 |
31 | 331.6 | 338.228558771605 | -6.62855877160479 |
32 | 261.3 | 298.551050153253 | -37.2510501532529 |
33 | 249 | 241.829537110752 | 7.1704628892478 |
34 | 205.5 | 217.967581386671 | -12.4675813866706 |
35 | 235.6 | 211.957331684534 | 23.6426683154655 |
36 | 240.9 | 241.988791886468 | -1.08879188646765 |
37 | 264.9 | 316.562325993359 | -51.6623259933595 |
38 | 253.8 | 289.312251522339 | -35.5122515223391 |
39 | 232.3 | 226.569741231459 | 5.73025876854075 |
40 | 193.8 | 198.202113954408 | -4.40211395440818 |
41 | 177 | 196.401440515567 | -19.4014405155671 |
42 | 213.2 | 211.67936240256 | 1.52063759743996 |
43 | 207.2 | 186.898365671561 | 20.3016343284389 |
44 | 180.6 | 159.470447421723 | 21.129552578277 |
45 | 188.6 | 156.300958206072 | 32.2990417939276 |
46 | 175.4 | 149.994479718458 | 25.4055202815422 |
47 | 199 | 182.750182367091 | 16.2498176329088 |
48 | 179.6 | 203.617154073345 | -24.0171540733448 |
49 | 225.8 | 250.581620945864 | -24.781620945864 |
50 | 234 | 249.622858322182 | -15.6228583221823 |
51 | 200.2 | 211.964952702787 | -11.7649527027866 |
52 | 183.6 | 168.2143855281 | 15.3856144719 |
53 | 178.2 | 183.631603723916 | -5.43160372391608 |
54 | 203.2 | 217.078589038259 | -13.8785890382595 |
55 | 208.5 | 183.955882611479 | 24.544117388521 |
56 | 191.8 | 162.800036528604 | 28.9999634713959 |
57 | 172.8 | 170.97661845396 | 1.82338154604028 |
58 | 148 | 138.591929629813 | 9.40807037018729 |
59 | 159.4 | 156.37233566996 | 3.0276643300401 |
60 | 154.5 | 159.424275934007 | -4.92427593400748 |
61 | 213.2 | 223.114609211206 | -9.91460921120594 |
62 | 196.4 | 237.594180801579 | -41.1941808015789 |
63 | 182.8 | 178.262799760322 | 4.53720023967833 |
64 | 176.4 | 153.129781835642 | 23.2702181643578 |
65 | 153.6 | 173.674935132261 | -20.0749351322614 |
66 | 173.2 | 193.709042121908 | -20.5090421219084 |
67 | 171 | 160.240373884812 | 10.7596261151881 |
68 | 151.2 | 126.930528161028 | 24.2694718389715 |
69 | 161.9 | 125.973435002333 | 35.9265649976671 |
70 | 157.2 | 124.881675573488 | 32.3183244265116 |
71 | 201.7 | 163.827076326725 | 37.8729236732753 |
72 | 236.4 | 200.289731456666 | 36.110268543334 |
73 | 356.1 | 305.732413633239 | 50.3675863667614 |
74 | 398.3 | 378.625462123997 | 19.6745378760027 |
75 | 403.7 | 392.930378293759 | 10.7696217062409 |
76 | 384.6 | 391.087800001011 | -6.48780000101078 |
77 | 365.8 | 393.366236037297 | -27.5662360372971 |
78 | 368.1 | 419.833367569902 | -51.7333675699016 |
79 | 367.9 | 374.892290362595 | -6.99229036259482 |
80 | 347 | 338.053774113893 | 8.94622588610662 |
81 | 343.3 | 334.41981217343 | 8.88018782656985 |
82 | 292.9 | 316.710509488053 | -23.8105094880528 |
83 | 311.5 | 311.77886280598 | -0.278862805980452 |
84 | 300.9 | 316.353298389022 | -15.4532983890225 |
85 | 366.9 | 377.367075471289 | -10.4670754712892 |
86 | 356.9 | 387.667386022289 | -30.7673860222894 |
87 | 329.7 | 348.17316030028 | -18.4731603002799 |
88 | 316.2 | 307.708500690041 | 8.4914993099589 |
89 | 269 | 309.768910811548 | -40.7689108115476 |
90 | 289.3 | 310.533091409789 | -21.2330914097892 |
91 | 266.2 | 289.081542105605 | -22.8815421056054 |
92 | 253.6 | 230.811667742145 | 22.7883322578549 |
93 | 233.8 | 229.912532395132 | 3.8874676048685 |
94 | 228.4 | 193.842889774857 | 34.5571102251435 |
95 | 253.6 | 236.613859543985 | 16.9861404560152 |
96 | 260.1 | 249.222935445932 | 10.8770645540677 |
97 | 306.6 | 330.573069195611 | -23.9730691956107 |
98 | 309.2 | 322.565480154246 | -13.3654801542456 |
99 | 309.5 | 297.014561387098 | 12.4854386129019 |
100 | 271 | 286.173816735981 | -15.1738167359812 |
101 | 279.9 | 258.686817021153 | 21.2131829788474 |
102 | 317.9 | 317.114578730618 | 0.785421269381686 |
103 | 298.4 | 317.408182699643 | -19.0081826996427 |
104 | 246.7 | 272.208856180446 | -25.5088561804462 |
105 | 227.3 | 227.393813157527 | -0.0938131575273076 |
106 | 209.1 | 192.211641881394 | 16.8883581186062 |
107 | 259.9 | 216.191135150406 | 43.7088648495944 |
108 | 266 | 251.457955826303 | 14.5420441736967 |
109 | 320.6 | 331.840111835229 | -11.2401118352288 |
110 | 308.5 | 337.869195516856 | -29.369195516856 |
111 | 282.2 | 302.79868563497 | -20.5986856349696 |
112 | 262.7 | 258.122602326402 | 4.57739767359834 |
113 | 263.5 | 252.470239788878 | 11.0297602111219 |
114 | 313.1 | 298.363314923534 | 14.7366850764665 |
115 | 284.3 | 307.831866174972 | -23.5318661749717 |
116 | 252.6 | 257.521531948129 | -4.9215319481286 |
117 | 250.3 | 234.973370772292 | 15.3266292277083 |
118 | 246.5 | 217.410738648673 | 29.0892613513275 |
119 | 312.7 | 258.405409058459 | 54.2945909415409 |
120 | 333.2 | 302.083228497544 | 31.1167715024562 |
121 | 446.4 | 397.551495514056 | 48.8485044859444 |
122 | 511.6 | 460.945211166634 | 50.654788833366 |
123 | 515.5 | 509.240413523162 | 6.25958647683836 |
124 | 506.4 | 506.274072424597 | 0.125927575402955 |
125 | 483.2 | 512.512377188494 | -29.3123771884942 |
126 | 522.3 | 536.512774692799 | -14.2127746927988 |
127 | 509.8 | 526.121899968486 | -16.3218999684856 |
128 | 460.7 | 495.489232971948 | -34.789232971948 |
129 | 405.8 | 459.098800682688 | -53.2988006826882 |
130 | 375 | 389.123472139655 | -14.1234721396549 |
131 | 378.5 | 398.404078112993 | -19.9040781129926 |
132 | 406.8 | 372.21618999884 | 34.5838100011602 |
133 | 467.8 | 470.525432412876 | -2.72543241287559 |
134 | 469.8 | 483.954123473307 | -14.1541234733069 |
135 | 429.8 | 460.286335606016 | -30.486335606016 |
136 | 355.8 | 412.522391646774 | -56.7223916467743 |
137 | 332.7 | 349.797567198493 | -17.0975671984926 |
138 | 378 | 371.218195698947 | 6.78180430105317 |
139 | 360.5 | 364.699191314884 | -4.19919131488405 |
140 | 334.7 | 328.781850809106 | 5.91814919089416 |
141 | 319.5 | 314.243978390394 | 5.25602160960568 |
142 | 323.1 | 293.30246578657 | 29.7975342134303 |
143 | 363.6 | 335.500939767781 | 28.0990602322186 |
144 | 352.1 | 357.280180836375 | -5.18018083637537 |
145 | 411.9 | 412.695121167536 | -0.79512116753557 |
146 | 388.6 | 422.818142247419 | -34.2181422474189 |
147 | 416.4 | 374.98383573684 | 41.4161642631602 |
148 | 360.7 | 385.233730369838 | -24.5337303698377 |
149 | 338 | 357.730557989374 | -19.7305579893737 |
150 | 417.2 | 382.07192241625 | 35.1280775837498 |
151 | 388.4 | 401.976465130286 | -13.5764651302858 |
152 | 371.1 | 362.451917133401 | 8.64808286659905 |
153 | 331.5 | 353.362534337185 | -21.8625343371847 |
154 | 353.7 | 314.05541302732 | 39.6445869726801 |
155 | 396.7 | 366.573233905232 | 30.126766094768 |
156 | 447 | 387.633087863443 | 59.3669121365568 |
157 | 533.5 | 505.446748995601 | 28.0532510043992 |
158 | 565.4 | 543.805443437597 | 21.5945565624032 |
159 | 542.3 | 566.284953845716 | -23.9849538457161 |
160 | 488.7 | 518.6091507996 | -29.9091507996002 |
161 | 467.1 | 494.376039391581 | -27.2760393915808 |
162 | 531.3 | 526.697088456681 | 4.60291154331867 |
163 | 496.1 | 518.307181163606 | -22.2071811636062 |
164 | 444 | 478.743739592729 | -34.7437395927293 |
165 | 403.4 | 429.564702208668 | -26.164702208668 |
166 | 386.3 | 396.442329515034 | -10.1423295150339 |
167 | 394.1 | 402.898035530533 | -8.7980355305329 |
168 | 404.1 | 390.215574175923 | 13.8844258240767 |
169 | 462.1 | 457.2308840541 | 4.8691159459002 |
170 | 448.1 | 465.976809417731 | -17.876809417731 |
171 | 432.3 | 436.830999113449 | -4.53099911344901 |
172 | 386.3 | 394.975883254873 | -8.67588325487282 |
173 | 395.2 | 380.646930027697 | 14.5530699723026 |
174 | 421.9 | 447.344493179185 | -25.4444931791852 |
175 | 382.9 | 401.403746337658 | -18.5037463376585 |
176 | 384.2 | 355.531060486578 | 28.6689395134222 |
177 | 345.5 | 358.342768894592 | -12.8427688945918 |
178 | 323.4 | 336.07393586308 | -12.6739358630805 |
179 | 372.6 | 337.534428429873 | 35.065571570127 |
180 | 376 | 365.50808892568 | 10.4919110743198 |
181 | 462.7 | 427.900178185214 | 34.7998218147857 |
182 | 487 | 460.617422941475 | 26.382577058525 |
183 | 444.2 | 475.650295578904 | -31.4502955789035 |
184 | 399.3 | 412.650010123354 | -13.3500101233535 |
185 | 394.9 | 399.846762703069 | -4.9467627030694 |
186 | 455.4 | 445.185236787112 | 10.2147632128879 |
187 | 414 | 434.151738608339 | -20.1517386083392 |
188 | 375.5 | 396.700384154198 | -21.2003841541979 |
189 | 347 | 350.841962139076 | -3.84196213907563 |
190 | 339.4 | 336.922819170617 | 2.4771808293832 |
191 | 385.8 | 359.68248802309 | 26.1175119769102 |
192 | 378.8 | 377.493798924106 | 1.30620107589419 |
193 | 451.8 | 435.823650940621 | 15.9763490593787 |
194 | 446.1 | 450.391690398511 | -4.29169039851109 |
195 | 422.5 | 428.182394150982 | -5.68239415098157 |
196 | 383.1 | 388.765764693691 | -5.66576469369073 |
197 | 352.8 | 383.132498938447 | -30.3324989384468 |
198 | 445.3 | 406.570266636765 | 38.7297333632347 |
199 | 367.5 | 415.337997290186 | -47.8379972901856 |
200 | 355.1 | 351.778059801713 | 3.32194019828705 |
201 | 326.2 | 328.814714534771 | -2.61471453477117 |
202 | 319.8 | 316.300508680218 | 3.49949131978224 |
203 | 331.8 | 342.79473505466 | -10.99473505466 |
204 | 340.9 | 322.394312257616 | 18.5056877423835 |
205 | 394.1 | 395.827214314571 | -1.72721431457074 |
206 | 417.2 | 389.465493350548 | 27.7345066494522 |
207 | 369.9 | 393.7435940791 | -23.8435940791005 |
208 | 349.2 | 336.743286493261 | 12.4567135067388 |
209 | 321.4 | 342.370587319692 | -20.9705873196923 |
210 | 405.7 | 383.344959186724 | 22.3550408132764 |
211 | 342.9 | 364.569053506195 | -21.6690535061952 |
212 | 316.5 | 331.084150283873 | -14.5841502838733 |
213 | 284.2 | 291.148261888215 | -6.94826188821537 |
214 | 270.9 | 274.744300734944 | -3.84430073494423 |
215 | 288.8 | 291.392175220431 | -2.59217522043133 |
216 | 278.8 | 281.406079633926 | -2.60607963392647 |
217 | 324.4 | 331.548573088639 | -7.14857308863895 |
218 | 310.9 | 322.033931876022 | -11.133931876022 |
219 | 299 | 280.536209451958 | 18.4637905480419 |
220 | 273 | 262.568393858034 | 10.431606141966 |
221 | 279.3 | 259.188605093528 | 20.1113949064721 |
222 | 359.2 | 341.614182874134 | 17.5858171258657 |
223 | 305 | 312.287709889263 | -7.28770988926328 |
224 | 282.1 | 292.819794800918 | -10.7197948009182 |
225 | 250.3 | 258.189017955924 | -7.88901795592398 |
226 | 246.5 | 242.263779527077 | 4.23622047292315 |
227 | 257.9 | 267.392926941991 | -9.49292694199141 |
228 | 266.5 | 252.401000184418 | 14.0989998155823 |
229 | 315.9 | 318.240445580034 | -2.34044558003382 |
230 | 318.4 | 314.586196245987 | 3.81380375401346 |
231 | 295.4 | 293.341606487182 | 2.05839351281759 |
232 | 266.4 | 262.34700214298 | 4.05299785701965 |
233 | 245.8 | 256.644862137147 | -10.8448621371472 |
234 | 362.8 | 311.946987675618 | 50.8530123243824 |
235 | 324.9 | 309.635404948481 | 15.2645950515192 |
236 | 294.2 | 312.431512532702 | -18.2315125327016 |
237 | 289.5 | 274.642290068754 | 14.8577099312456 |
238 | 295.2 | 284.308249577911 | 10.8917504220894 |
239 | 290.3 | 317.984531433371 | -27.6845314333713 |
240 | 272 | 294.296902373431 | -22.2969023734306 |
241 | 307.4 | 327.848256250694 | -20.4482562506938 |
242 | 328.7 | 309.650215588389 | 19.0497844116109 |
243 | 292.9 | 302.360636400304 | -9.46063640030428 |
244 | 249.1 | 262.132621337362 | -13.0326213373624 |
245 | 230.4 | 238.94900594119 | -8.54900594119025 |
246 | 361.5 | 304.35905495315 | 57.1409450468503 |
247 | 321.7 | 302.275857787853 | 19.4241422121466 |
248 | 277.2 | 304.030983001457 | -26.8309830014574 |
249 | 260.7 | 263.075789422776 | -2.3757894227756 |
250 | 251 | 255.841984245506 | -4.84198424550567 |
251 | 257.6 | 268.030343313095 | -10.4303433130954 |
252 | 241.8 | 258.48559727085 | -16.6855972708498 |
253 | 287.5 | 296.03538924668 | -8.53538924668038 |
254 | 292.3 | 293.311460964076 | -1.01146096407632 |
255 | 274.7 | 263.169679564277 | 11.5303204357228 |
256 | 254.2 | 240.204751811027 | 13.9952481889726 |
257 | 230 | 242.322825473096 | -12.3228254730956 |
258 | 339 | 314.957941966698 | 24.0420580333023 |
259 | 318.2 | 278.232940400312 | 39.9670595996876 |
260 | 287 | 291.531480962199 | -4.53148096219905 |
261 | 295.8 | 275.009365595267 | 20.7906344047328 |
262 | 284 | 290.631809056548 | -6.63180905654775 |
263 | 271 | 303.683088525327 | -32.6830885253266 |
264 | 262.7 | 275.913953207471 | -13.213953207471 |
265 | 340.6 | 319.589369984922 | 21.010630015078 |
266 | 379.4 | 347.180284108717 | 32.2197158912832 |
267 | 373.3 | 353.337660495244 | 19.9623395047558 |
268 | 355.2 | 344.482985562496 | 10.717014437504 |
269 | 338.4 | 346.387055178661 | -7.98705517866148 |
270 | 466.9 | 434.457407813978 | 32.4425921860222 |
271 | 451 | 414.313193742959 | 36.6868062570415 |
272 | 422 | 425.434985112541 | -3.43498511254069 |
273 | 429.2 | 420.404229643889 | 8.79577035611146 |
274 | 425.9 | 428.077042793122 | -2.17704279312193 |
275 | 460.7 | 447.786654269512 | 12.9133457304876 |
276 | 463.6 | 471.331531394263 | -7.73153139426262 |
277 | 541.4 | 534.286927176613 | 7.11307282338691 |
278 | 544.2 | 560.382569088665 | -16.1825690886645 |
279 | 517.5 | 529.02007059113 | -11.5200705911302 |
280 | 469.4 | 495.605387268543 | -26.2053872685433 |
281 | 439.4 | 464.597282316297 | -25.1972823162968 |
282 | 549 | 543.929055135577 | 5.07094486442315 |
283 | 533 | 499.4787222342 | 33.5212777657998 |
284 | 506.1 | 500.636899395108 | 5.46310060489179 |
285 | 484 | 503.948599258886 | -19.9485992588855 |
286 | 457 | 482.529699094897 | -25.5296990948971 |
287 | 481.5 | 479.968398984439 | 1.53160101556125 |
288 | 469.5 | 485.767856568259 | -16.2678565682593 |
289 | 544.7 | 537.880761423339 | 6.81923857666152 |
290 | 541.2 | 554.821948325974 | -13.6219483259738 |
291 | 521.5 | 520.859498155089 | 0.640501844911341 |
292 | 469.7 | 491.138419523182 | -21.4384195231822 |
293 | 434.4 | 459.986377618638 | -25.586377618638 |
294 | 542.6 | 538.84300959919 | 3.7569904008102 |
295 | 517.3 | 492.783356139092 | 24.5166438609077 |
296 | 485.7 | 477.190502334361 | 8.50949766563929 |
297 | 465.8 | 474.670562774211 | -8.87056277421073 |
298 | 447 | 457.818104143248 | -10.8181041432475 |
299 | 426.6 | 468.47914872836 | -41.8791487283603 |
300 | 411.6 | 428.489160341722 | -16.8891603417221 |
301 | 467.5 | 477.294453731101 | -9.7944537311007 |
302 | 484.5 | 469.99999767684 | 14.5000023231601 |
303 | 451.2 | 456.91068802221 | -5.71068802221049 |
304 | 417.4 | 412.922829551058 | 4.47717044894171 |
305 | 379.9 | 399.397295919868 | -19.4972959198679 |
306 | 484.7 | 483.953812065854 | 0.746187934146235 |
307 | 455 | 434.375598404984 | 20.6244015950161 |
308 | 420.8 | 409.078846218872 | 11.721153781128 |
309 | 416.5 | 402.968494974451 | 13.5315050255488 |
310 | 376.3 | 402.609844364408 | -26.3098443644078 |
311 | 405.6 | 392.123841300822 | 13.4761586991783 |
312 | 405.8 | 403.26598931778 | 2.53401068221967 |
313 | 500.8 | 471.046919554055 | 29.7530804459454 |
314 | 514 | 504.953038855594 | 9.04696114440645 |
315 | 475.5 | 487.787076964122 | -12.2870769641224 |
316 | 430.1 | 442.623129418822 | -12.5231294188225 |
317 | 414.4 | 413.072491832799 | 1.32750816720085 |
318 | 538 | 521.652942786616 | 16.3470572133843 |
319 | 526 | 492.550575949799 | 33.4494240502012 |
320 | 488.5 | 482.104223106618 | 6.3957768933821 |
321 | 520.2 | 476.422742659804 | 43.7772573401958 |
322 | 504.4 | 503.104318792744 | 1.29568120725634 |
323 | 568.5 | 530.364568479709 | 38.135431520291 |
324 | 610.6 | 571.14052026293 | 39.4594797370704 |
325 | 818 | 686.816402393432 | 131.183597606568 |
326 | 830.9 | 823.724454383553 | 7.17554561644727 |
327 | 835.9 | 820.607373932569 | 15.2926260674313 |
328 | 782 | 819.518684587333 | -37.518684587333 |
329 | 762.3 | 789.273262898023 | -26.9732628980232 |
330 | 856.9 | 892.68605183573 | -35.7860518357298 |
331 | 820.9 | 834.923070258653 | -14.0230702586531 |
332 | 769.6 | 790.581771362855 | -20.9817713628547 |
333 | 752.2 | 775.608807568446 | -23.408807568446 |
334 | 724.4 | 743.277586017291 | -18.8775860172912 |
335 | 723.1 | 761.808702989773 | -38.7087029897725 |
336 | 719.5 | 735.283276729274 | -15.7832767292745 |
337 | 817.4 | 811.443684328284 | 5.95631567171586 |
338 | 803.3 | 810.358043321368 | -7.05804332136836 |
339 | 752.5 | 782.314249740775 | -29.8142497407749 |
340 | 689 | 718.324599906623 | -29.324599906623 |
341 | 630.4 | 680.416753181498 | -50.0167531814978 |
342 | 765.5 | 745.139376464787 | 20.3606235352129 |
343 | 757.7 | 724.593467430896 | 33.1065325691039 |
344 | 732.2 | 708.670009000146 | 23.5299909998541 |
345 | 702.6 | 723.332569468268 | -20.7325694682683 |
346 | 683.3 | 685.84691080969 | -2.54691080969042 |
347 | 709.5 | 708.558670126898 | 0.941329873102063 |
348 | 702.2 | 714.791330063735 | -12.5913300637351 |
349 | 784.8 | 792.424749328047 | -7.62474932804685 |
350 | 810.9 | 772.642533036502 | 38.2574669634984 |
351 | 755.6 | 778.006062405979 | -22.4060624059791 |
352 | 656.8 | 718.604184623443 | -61.8041846234431 |
353 | 615.1 | 645.968578939569 | -30.8685789395691 |
354 | 745.3 | 734.36553119833 | 10.9344688016701 |
355 | 694.1 | 704.226286331919 | -10.1262863319188 |
356 | 675.7 | 643.774237418455 | 31.9257625815451 |
357 | 643.7 | 653.907648081476 | -10.207648081476 |
358 | 622.1 | 623.190251191307 | -1.09025119130649 |
359 | 634.6 | 642.901356733155 | -8.30135673315465 |
360 | 588 | 633.956006137359 | -45.9560061373586 |
361 | 689.7 | 676.175328143525 | 13.524671856475 |
362 | 673.9 | 674.920698593797 | -1.02069859379719 |
363 | 647.9 | 629.390155815898 | 18.5098441841016 |
364 | 568.8 | 593.584269672457 | -24.7842696724567 |
365 | 545.7 | 553.460453189644 | -7.7604531896435 |
366 | 632.6 | 665.417236164432 | -32.8172361644323 |
367 | 643.8 | 589.76127362836 | 54.0387263716397 |
368 | 593.1 | 589.472682854481 | 3.62731714551876 |
369 | 579.7 | 566.674582306774 | 13.0254176932259 |
370 | 546 | 555.993761806176 | -9.99376180617594 |
371 | 562.9 | 565.266689948432 | -2.36668994843183 |
372 | 572.5 | 554.717760847408 | 17.7822391525916 |
Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
373 | 662.728972325122 | 615.085067232269 | 710.372877417976 |
374 | 649.600121689968 | 584.775717000743 | 714.424526379192 |
375 | 609.557625618138 | 529.496678783849 | 689.618572452426 |
376 | 552.432638033037 | 458.034949763668 | 646.830326302406 |
377 | 538.25734516109 | 429.979761907953 | 646.534928414227 |
378 | 656.101153149194 | 534.16913838009 | 778.033167918297 |
379 | 625.712929861649 | 490.216089728115 | 761.209769995183 |
380 | 573.299258922841 | 424.241236727684 | 722.357281117998 |
381 | 549.881308357228 | 387.208496635773 | 712.554120078683 |
382 | 525.11132770177 | 348.730576688226 | 701.492078715314 |
383 | 545.023966161257 | 354.814088633884 | 735.233843688631 |
384 | 540.477228178204 | 336.296781562896 | 744.657674793513 |