Structural Time Series Model
t	Observed	Level	Slope	Seasonal	Stand. Residuals
1	127	127	0	0	0
2	128.7	128.627779105219	0.383357530287477	0.0722208947813647	0.190589315255509
3	127.3	127.208475914345	-0.590519358918518	0.0915240856554528	-0.261814842687197
4	136.7	136.656805376445	4.93500177677324	0.0431946235547903	1.4553803201366
5	133.8	133.739918760394	0.590749891048675	0.060081239605609	-1.13959552770475
6	137.2	137.142614665164	2.14916214136796	0.057385334835917	0.408476928531152
7	147.4	147.34605430115	6.6157495933667	0.0539456988504189	1.17055421103144
8	137.6	137.542931971083	-2.4918507622606	0.0570680289167947	-2.38674423945427
9	123.6	123.541957501763	-8.87669656884	0.0580424982367176	-1.67320672558731
10	117.4	117.342058405211	-7.39163518962614	0.0579415947891824	0.389173312496358
11	113.7	113.642120359266	-5.34347413021811	0.0578796407344705	0.536738372152765
12	106.8	106.742108730024	-6.20705235688411	0.0578912699757115	-0.226308154233243
13	103.3	103.156703446964	-4.79183369973839	0.143296553035969	0.428270717139422
14	96.3	96.3544677470232	-5.77713414729819	-0.0544677470231979	-0.235503040913116
15	96.2	96.2768397818681	-2.59060349357516	-0.07683978186815	0.819386291384987
16	94.7	94.7787475967923	-1.98412750154993	-0.0787475967923184	0.158337994280474
17	94.6	94.6802140768727	-0.938314177477393	-0.0802140768727108	0.273861113635944
18	95.7	95.7809202838971	0.192668155360484	-0.080920283897116	0.296340124762483
19	106.7	106.782587200029	6.1888063041347	-0.0825872000287598	1.57129411627298
20	100.2	100.281715919158	-0.85111262223304	-0.0817159191584022	-1.8448610509922
21	94.2	94.2815585228665	-3.70777584068106	-0.0815585228665267	-0.748612473351258
22	97.6	97.6816552523405	0.235699484148239	-0.0816552523404956	1.03342161851178
23	94.3	94.3816338311054	-1.72594680595245	-0.0816338311053765	-0.514066371901746
24	98	98.081648465972	1.28443013174302	-0.081648465971922	0.788895334512656
25	93.6	93.5128474131886	-1.92214234659648	0.0871525868114275	-0.902319761858545
26	86.3	86.376707965527	-4.59899727617168	-0.0767079655269655	-0.668305497210993
27	90.7	90.7996884849027	0.431540837488466	-0.099688484902666	1.30220643752943
28	81.8	81.8890995572095	-4.75345645528474	-0.0890995572094741	-1.35547532375891
29	87.6	87.6944289388767	1.10345809250231	-0.094428938876727	1.53411629248791
30	73.8	73.8910786565622	-7.16563587924557	-0.091078656562223	-2.16678089260807
31	63.3	63.3907449650605	-9.01560052419628	-0.0907449650605219	-0.484790084109196
32	59.1	59.1909595135199	-6.34384448302101	-0.0909595135198518	0.700154179256065
33	52.9	52.9909623665869	-6.26403789338697	-0.0909623665869384	0.0209139922732658
34	54.6	54.691032689381	-1.84549880597178	-0.0910326893809858	1.15791625480893
35	52.4	52.4910312958245	-2.04218009872663	-0.0910312958245312	-0.0515420342059423
36	67.5	67.59106129553	7.46849617161482	-0.0910612955300322	2.49235504938546
37	90.4	88.2107732719322	14.7050973228298	2.18922672806783	1.98834054118737
38	126	125.975338637739	26.7965696264204	0.024661362260549	3.06685692427101
39	144.3	144.259289825136	22.0561834938649	0.0407101748640001	-1.23102544647925
40	167.8	167.760502251157	22.8581169415097	0.0394977488433887	0.209775989294691
41	166.2	166.151361297901	9.28549649016169	0.0486387020987823	-3.5555553978508
42	156	155.948119391511	-1.52574870628067	0.0518806084888391	-2.83298032131916
43	137	136.946825115271	-11.2207454212739	0.0531748847286753	-2.54062226951529
44	129.3	129.246941208309	-9.26739253084027	0.0530587916911508	0.511891617735143
45	118	117.94691137036	-10.3951066250884	0.0530886296396435	-0.295527080098386
46	114.7	114.646957738365	-6.4586606120328	0.0530422616349623	1.03157964859788
47	112.8	112.746971001336	-3.92946388908883	0.0530289986642865	0.662797885707713
48	115.7	115.646979847077	-0.140399737686842	0.0530201529229617	0.992957063824842
49	103.9	105.175167200256	-5.83751667872533	-1.2751672002558	-1.54686712019771
50	96.9	96.803512337122	-7.18246983836535	0.0964876628779657	-0.343901040884051
51	88.8	88.7021372494574	-7.69378737865023	0.0978627505425924	-0.133032788874437
52	93	92.9100640959669	-1.08917558181076	0.0899359040330941	1.72832693159199
53	86.3	86.2083996998191	-4.20266718655179	0.0916003001808561	-0.815686680996882
54	82.3	82.2084264630687	-4.09022124594914	0.0915735369312853	0.0294657805104185
55	82.4	82.3086728018168	-1.76542298908408	0.0913271981832016	0.609226743596087
56	76.6	76.5085672083313	-4.00385518010487	0.0914327916686862	-0.586599245216973
57	72.7	72.6085684184033	-3.94623513100141	0.0914315815966977	0.0150998261747753
58	67.5	67.4085619149626	-4.64183815887933	0.0914380850374433	-0.182288780491869
59	77.3	77.2085952647933	3.37065778083926	0.0914047352067063	2.09974390033418
60	73.7	73.6085880985921	-0.496742343627167	0.0914119014078805	-1.0134856846369
61	73	73.9603672662413	-0.0282488430988107	-0.960367266241257	0.126302833910309
62	78.2	78.0863460233841	2.19385261791704	0.113653976615912	0.570973643985889
63	90.7	90.5991474833965	7.93287265957673	0.100852516603487	1.4950012489407
64	91.5	91.395206753305	3.97258877124867	0.104793246695019	-1.03659938486176
65	86.3	86.1929511120917	-1.11720286179593	0.107048887908314	-1.33351124590418
66	86.8	86.6931281520005	-0.219934655384765	0.106871847999509	0.235125975509156
67	86.1	85.9931047556545	-0.486281872985442	0.106895244345514	-0.0697979516514175
68	77.1	76.992920037146	-5.20979470919002	0.10707996285397	-1.23783517719915
69	75.7	75.5929568362017	-3.09607685801697	0.107043163798287	0.553917863898697
70	78.7	78.5929830499777	0.28609597743558	0.10701695002225	0.88632761215434
71	71.5	71.392968718908	-3.86727514162355	0.107031281092061	-1.08842684779443
72	69.6	69.4929703955193	-2.77580854491806	0.107029604480722	0.286028271206013
73	73.6	74.4364353846981	1.48975406184796	-0.836435384698117	1.14453610628337
74	78.1	78.0126794964928	2.61194940040348	0.0873205035071659	0.289296648904364
75	78.3	78.2101215083232	1.26956576862006	0.0898784916767702	-0.349993243519532
76	71.5	71.4063144502885	-3.21030823154873	0.093685549711524	-1.17280411832219
77	68.7	68.6064006144885	-2.98263648010915	0.0935993855114931	0.059651408005526
78	61.2	61.1059783033732	-5.48898235193314	0.0940216966268146	-0.656783571660964
79	64.7	64.6063524134892	-0.501768670671522	0.0936475865107851	1.30693224703366
80	64.6	64.5063598575266	-0.278862634423114	0.0936401424733751	0.0584143657481405
81	56.3	56.2062936949508	-4.72908160385298	0.0937063050491924	-1.1662180523733
82	54.5	54.4063044509801	-3.10399379735032	0.0936955490198961	0.425868304263581
83	49.5	49.4063013513895	-4.15591958314171	0.0936986486104564	-0.275666256806359
84	54	53.9063076511185	0.646482931118255	0.0936923488815232	1.25851115691523
85	59.2	60.024158457359	3.67165624309453	-0.82415845735905	0.808976312459553
86	52.4	52.3783985059504	-2.43998635130395	0.0216014940496166	-1.57925046842773
87	52.8	52.7810263491983	-0.860008099925615	0.0189736508016634	0.412208190835022
88	47.8	47.7793221071172	-3.15817035368104	0.0206778928827505	-0.601722561036135
89	45.2	45.1794243856214	-2.84845776511071	0.0205756143786131	0.0811486856708776
90	47.1	47.0798117348622	-0.213903254095438	0.0201882651378469	0.690383913491968
91	42.6	42.579656083156	-2.59188846918808	0.0203439168440039	-0.623167338314587
92	42.1	42.0796899031918	-1.43128401215793	0.0203100968081996	0.304146033232112
93	39.4	39.3796807716537	-2.13518217044185	0.0203192283462835	-0.184462557276178
94	39.6	39.5796882541127	-0.839596534345722	0.0203117458872966	0.339519415486168
95	37.8	37.7796868841102	-1.37243928977067	0.0203131158898241	-0.139636056141562
96	36.8	36.7796871206298	-1.16580574100831	0.0203128793701822	0.0541501104536601
97	36.5	36.6880579730944	-0.57162340993425	-0.188057973094414	0.158491209446109
98	34	33.9917737256624	-1.72256493967873	0.00822627433764428	-0.297927483671797
99	37.5	37.4960595850099	1.18202163452419	0.00394041499009665	0.758173211245135
100	36.1	36.0951168361119	-0.251203509285308	0.00488316388805513	-0.375295458107339
101	35.1	35.0949951356151	-0.666683974299292	0.00500486438494313	-0.108863380854059
102	32.8	32.7948769587113	-1.57288340591145	0.00512304128867397	-0.237470113428783
103	32.2	32.1949082962747	-1.03311461700702	0.00509170372534012	0.141450223602643
104	38.1	38.0950077168979	2.81345898478261	0.00499228310211163	1.00802670133569
105	41.4	41.3950108229701	3.08339750640141	0.0049891770298659	0.0707397099087507
106	38.5	38.4949938176814	-0.236259492366866	0.00500618231864508	-0.869944818189474
107	34.6	34.5949891820923	-2.26894435411901	0.00501081790774651	-0.532682662799963
108	31.2	31.1949885449913	-2.89646687481182	0.0050114550087273	-0.164447709576994
109	34.7	34.5717762516392	0.574766722422654	0.128223748360838	0.924089456100926
110	35.8	35.8091733015798	0.93460569069868	-0.00917330157977408	0.0932738964515942
111	33.8	33.8070097693404	-0.697104892249737	-0.00700976934043372	-0.426090078563015
112	32.5	32.5068119961565	-1.03174274137318	-0.0068119961564833	-0.087633153654524
113	31.2	31.2067728242445	-1.18058768306902	-0.006772824244458	-0.0390006749936115
114	32.5	32.5069340790791	0.195693938902735	-0.00693407907907933	0.360656562809303
115	32.3	32.3069226276468	-0.0238422928188129	-0.00692262764677092	-0.0575310557033674
116	30.1	30.1068945904563	-1.23120011399551	-0.00689459045634486	-0.316398227853732
117	25.3	25.3068741208107	-3.21121109074682	-0.00687412081066916	-0.518878908695527
118	24.5	24.5068802777861	-1.87344375360936	-0.00688027778612152	0.350573498683196
119	23.7	23.7068814980551	-1.27788496278451	-0.00688149805505515	0.156071336399692
120	23.8	23.8068821953769	-0.513418733276352	-0.00688219537694046	0.200334994155345
121	26.9	26.7339272089189	1.39083580570829	0.16607279108106	0.50614060316689
122	32.4	32.4005596186546	3.71745895068945	-0.000559618654626792	0.603745220791178
123	32.6	32.5982055773027	1.76206146396655	0.00179442269733776	-0.510781779555395
124	31.7	31.6974128279423	0.284539132319599	0.00258717205766074	-0.386950636701218
125	34.1	34.0976932581161	1.45831225307761	0.00230674188386363	0.30755853089715
126	34.9	34.8976544084398	1.09306750013425	0.00234559156019304	-0.095713152147719
127	33.1	33.0975784009391	-0.512044121162899	0.00242159906086601	-0.420631309595004
128	32.3	32.297575032974	-0.671805410483591	0.00242496702595796	-0.0418667879439563
129	34.6	34.5975905070958	0.976986186043523	0.00240949290416268	0.432080029485012
130	32.7	32.697583837992	-0.619198467613463	0.00241616200801321	-0.418293992713803
131	32.6	32.5975843737975	-0.331141258856986	0.00241562620249908	0.0754878850883823
132	41	40.9975883851319	4.51299509294626	0.00241161486812789	1.26944787149091
133	40	40.154277338662	1.54769311963504	-0.154277338661983	-0.787146587211588