| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
| Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
| Seasonal | 1331 | 0 | 134 |
| Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
| Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
| 1 | 127 | 121.057737122755 | -2.28446337069298 | 135.226726247938 | -5.94226287724499 |
| 2 | 128.7 | 122.613382752736 | 0.854102390382445 | 133.932514856882 | -6.0866172472644 |
| 3 | 127.3 | 117.64132894306 | 4.32036759111424 | 132.638303465826 | -9.65867105694015 |
| 4 | 136.7 | 136.177522984379 | 6.18952008059986 | 131.032956935021 | -0.522477015620524 |
| 5 | 133.8 | 132.668264066211 | 5.50412552957322 | 129.427610404215 | -1.13173593378858 |
| 6 | 137.2 | 143.36130015787 | 3.46930763234135 | 127.569392209788 | 6.16130015787037 |
| 7 | 147.4 | 166.172519097363 | 2.91630688727545 | 125.711174015361 | 18.7725190973634 |
| 8 | 137.6 | 151.7100849691 | -0.297169712664176 | 123.787084743564 | 14.1100849691001 |
| 9 | 123.6 | 129.965832536602 | -4.62882800836901 | 121.862995471767 | 6.36583253660196 |
| 10 | 117.4 | 121.165891109338 | -5.29970813905148 | 118.933817029713 | 3.76589110933811 |
| 11 | 113.7 | 117.93867734381 | -6.54331593147 | 116.00463858766 | 4.23867734381029 |
| 12 | 106.8 | 105.638222303596 | -4.20024380358589 | 112.16202149999 | -1.1617776964038 |
| 13 | 103.3 | 100.565058958373 | -2.28446337069298 | 108.31940441232 | -2.7349410416267 |
| 14 | 96.3 | 86.5418721433028 | 0.854102390382445 | 105.204025466315 | -9.75812785669724 |
| 15 | 96.2 | 85.9909858885759 | 4.32036759111424 | 102.08864652031 | -10.2090141114241 |
| 16 | 94.7 | 82.8846372087884 | 6.18952008059986 | 100.325842710612 | -11.8153627912116 |
| 17 | 94.6 | 85.1328355695131 | 5.50412552957322 | 98.5630389009136 | -9.46716443048685 |
| 18 | 95.7 | 90.0661225337541 | 3.46930763234135 | 97.8645698339046 | -5.63387746624591 |
| 19 | 106.7 | 113.317592345829 | 2.91630688727545 | 97.1661007668955 | 6.61759234582902 |
| 20 | 100.2 | 103.875840968024 | -0.297169712664176 | 96.8213287446404 | 3.67584096802381 |
| 21 | 94.2 | 96.5522712859838 | -4.62882800836901 | 96.4765567223852 | 2.3522712859838 |
| 22 | 97.6 | 104.897566418564 | -5.29970813905148 | 95.6021417204876 | 7.29756641856392 |
| 23 | 94.3 | 100.41558921288 | -6.54331593147 | 94.7277267185899 | 6.11558921288011 |
| 24 | 98 | 107.64278944262 | -4.20024380358589 | 92.5574543609663 | 9.64278944261957 |
| 25 | 93.6 | 99.0972813673502 | -2.28446337069298 | 90.3871820033427 | 5.49728136735024 |
| 26 | 86.3 | 84.7704507522267 | 0.854102390382445 | 86.9754468573909 | -1.52954924777332 |
| 27 | 90.7 | 93.5159206974468 | 4.32036759111424 | 83.563711711439 | 2.81592069744678 |
| 28 | 81.8 | 77.507029690087 | 6.18952008059986 | 79.9034502293131 | -4.292970309913 |
| 29 | 87.6 | 93.4526857232395 | 5.50412552957322 | 76.2431887471873 | 5.8526857232395 |
| 30 | 73.8 | 69.9469228209871 | 3.46930763234135 | 74.1837695466716 | -3.8530771790129 |
| 31 | 63.3 | 51.5593427665687 | 2.91630688727545 | 72.1243503461559 | -11.7406572334313 |
| 32 | 59.1 | 44.6148702322628 | -0.297169712664176 | 73.8822994804014 | -14.4851297677372 |
| 33 | 52.9 | 34.7885793937221 | -4.62882800836901 | 75.6402486146469 | -18.1114206062779 |
| 34 | 54.6 | 33.0681647611691 | -5.29970813905148 | 81.4315433778824 | -21.5318352388309 |
| 35 | 52.4 | 24.1204777903521 | -6.54331593147 | 87.2228381411179 | -28.2795222096479 |
| 36 | 67.5 | 44.3159730784627 | -4.20024380358589 | 94.8842707251232 | -23.1840269215373 |
| 37 | 90.4 | 80.5387600615644 | -2.28446337069298 | 102.545703309129 | -9.86123993843557 |
| 38 | 126 | 141.333087908775 | 0.854102390382445 | 109.812809700843 | 15.3330879087747 |
| 39 | 144.3 | 167.199716316329 | 4.32036759111424 | 117.079916092557 | 22.8997163163286 |
| 40 | 167.8 | 206.934442313705 | 6.18952008059986 | 122.476037605695 | 39.1344423137054 |
| 41 | 166.2 | 199.023715351594 | 5.50412552957322 | 127.872159118832 | 32.8237153515945 |
| 42 | 156 | 178.591653179877 | 3.46930763234135 | 129.939039187782 | 22.5916531798766 |
| 43 | 137 | 139.077773855993 | 2.91630688727545 | 132.005919256732 | 2.07777385599272 |
| 44 | 129.3 | 129.377653281886 | -0.297169712664176 | 129.519516430778 | 0.077653281886171 |
| 45 | 118 | 113.595714403545 | -4.62882800836901 | 127.033113604824 | -4.40428559645522 |
| 46 | 114.7 | 113.151588706796 | -5.29970813905148 | 121.548119432255 | -1.5484112932037 |
| 47 | 112.8 | 116.080190671784 | -6.54331593147 | 116.063125259686 | 3.28019067178388 |
| 48 | 115.7 | 125.200081562583 | -4.20024380358589 | 110.400162241003 | 9.50008156258319 |
| 49 | 103.9 | 105.347264148374 | -2.28446337069298 | 104.737199222319 | 1.44726414837368 |
| 50 | 96.9 | 92.8895746046915 | 0.854102390382445 | 100.056323004926 | -4.01042539530854 |
| 51 | 88.8 | 77.9041856213529 | 4.32036759111424 | 95.3754467875329 | -10.8958143786471 |
| 52 | 93 | 88.2855354182884 | 6.18952008059986 | 91.5249445011118 | -4.71446458171162 |
| 53 | 86.3 | 79.4214322557361 | 5.50412552957322 | 87.6744422146906 | -6.87856774426386 |
| 54 | 82.3 | 76.2597052495016 | 3.46930763234135 | 84.870987118157 | -6.04029475049836 |
| 55 | 82.4 | 79.8161610911012 | 2.91630688727545 | 82.0675320216234 | -2.58383890889884 |
| 56 | 76.6 | 72.7311759313462 | -0.297169712664176 | 80.7659937813179 | -3.86882406865375 |
| 57 | 72.7 | 70.5643724673566 | -4.62882800836901 | 79.4644555410124 | -2.13562753264341 |
| 58 | 67.5 | 60.9821347254329 | -5.29970813905148 | 79.3175734136186 | -6.51786527456709 |
| 59 | 77.3 | 81.9726246452453 | -6.54331593147 | 79.1706912862247 | 4.67262464524532 |
| 60 | 73.7 | 72.1177314515515 | -4.20024380358589 | 79.4825123520344 | -1.58226854844854 |
| 61 | 73 | 68.4901299528488 | -2.28446337069298 | 79.7943334178442 | -4.5098700471512 |
| 62 | 78.2 | 75.3922555083137 | 0.854102390382445 | 80.1536421013039 | -2.80774449168634 |
| 63 | 90.7 | 96.5666816241222 | 4.32036759111424 | 80.5129507847636 | 5.86668162412215 |
| 64 | 91.5 | 96.0643529819128 | 6.18952008059986 | 80.7461269374874 | 4.56435298191276 |
| 65 | 86.3 | 86.1165713802156 | 5.50412552957322 | 80.9793030902111 | -0.183428619784351 |
| 66 | 86.8 | 89.267704544035 | 3.46930763234135 | 80.8629878236236 | 2.46770454403503 |
| 67 | 86.1 | 88.5370205556884 | 2.91630688727545 | 80.7466725570361 | 2.43702055568841 |
| 68 | 77.1 | 74.303282750342 | -0.297169712664176 | 80.1938869623222 | -2.79671724965803 |
| 69 | 75.7 | 76.3877266407608 | -4.62882800836901 | 79.6411013676083 | 0.687726640760758 |
| 70 | 78.7 | 84.3009984776169 | -5.29970813905148 | 78.3987096614346 | 5.60099847761686 |
| 71 | 71.5 | 72.386997976209 | -6.54331593147 | 77.156317955261 | 0.886997976209031 |
| 72 | 69.6 | 67.9145830448514 | -4.20024380358589 | 75.4856607587345 | -1.68541695514858 |
| 73 | 73.6 | 75.669459808485 | -2.28446337069298 | 73.8150035622079 | 2.06945980848502 |
| 74 | 78.1 | 83.2941817234428 | 0.854102390382445 | 72.0517158861747 | 5.19418172344281 |
| 75 | 78.3 | 81.9912041987442 | 4.32036759111424 | 70.2884282101415 | 3.69120419874424 |
| 76 | 71.5 | 68.2804839868477 | 6.18952008059986 | 68.5299959325524 | -3.2195160131523 |
| 77 | 68.7 | 65.1243108154634 | 5.50412552957322 | 66.7715636549634 | -3.57568918453657 |
| 78 | 61.2 | 53.7990399810343 | 3.46930763234135 | 65.1316523866244 | -7.40096001896573 |
| 79 | 64.7 | 62.9919519944392 | 2.91630688727545 | 63.4917411182854 | -1.70804800556083 |
| 80 | 64.6 | 67.6453886645676 | -0.297169712664176 | 61.8517810480965 | 3.04538866456762 |
| 81 | 56.3 | 57.0170070304613 | -4.62882800836901 | 60.2118209779077 | 0.717007030461311 |
| 82 | 54.5 | 55.8117458385227 | -5.29970813905148 | 58.4879623005287 | 1.31174583852273 |
| 83 | 49.5 | 48.7792123083202 | -6.54331593147 | 56.7641036231498 | -0.720787691679817 |
| 84 | 54 | 57.2401124783773 | -4.20024380358589 | 54.9601313252085 | 3.24011247837735 |
| 85 | 59.2 | 67.5283043434257 | -2.28446337069298 | 53.1561590272673 | 8.32830434342571 |
| 86 | 52.4 | 52.5699085604796 | 0.854102390382445 | 51.3759890491379 | 0.169908560479612 |
| 87 | 52.8 | 51.6838133378771 | 4.32036759111424 | 49.5958190710086 | -1.11618666212286 |
| 88 | 47.8 | 41.3249417598978 | 6.18952008059986 | 48.0855381595024 | -6.47505824010222 |
| 89 | 45.2 | 38.3206172224307 | 5.50412552957322 | 46.5752572479961 | -6.87938277756931 |
| 90 | 47.1 | 45.4764659144496 | 3.46930763234135 | 45.2542264532091 | -1.62353408555043 |
| 91 | 42.6 | 38.3504974543025 | 2.91630688727545 | 43.9331956584221 | -4.24950254569752 |
| 92 | 42.1 | 41.7491096803803 | -0.297169712664176 | 42.7480600322839 | -0.350890319619737 |
| 93 | 39.4 | 41.8659036022233 | -4.62882800836901 | 41.5629244061457 | 2.46590360222326 |
| 94 | 39.6 | 43.9710203309967 | -5.29970813905148 | 40.5286878080548 | 4.37102033099672 |
| 95 | 37.8 | 42.6488647215062 | -6.54331593147 | 39.4944512099638 | 4.84886472150622 |
| 96 | 36.8 | 39.3498574075539 | -4.20024380358589 | 38.4503863960319 | 2.54985740755394 |
| 97 | 36.5 | 37.8781417885929 | -2.28446337069298 | 37.4063215821001 | 1.37814178859286 |
| 98 | 34 | 30.4632011303772 | 0.854102390382445 | 36.6826964792403 | -3.53679886962279 |
| 99 | 37.5 | 34.7205610325052 | 4.32036759111424 | 35.9590713763806 | -2.77943896749481 |
| 100 | 36.1 | 30.2982944409133 | 6.18952008059986 | 35.7121854784869 | -5.80170555908673 |
| 101 | 35.1 | 29.2305748898336 | 5.50412552957322 | 35.4652995805932 | -5.86942511016638 |
| 102 | 32.8 | 26.5992446571884 | 3.46930763234135 | 35.5314477104703 | -6.20075534281163 |
| 103 | 32.2 | 25.8860972723772 | 2.91630688727545 | 35.5975958403474 | -6.31390272762283 |
| 104 | 38.1 | 40.7618025531393 | -0.297169712664176 | 35.7353671595249 | 2.6618025531393 |
| 105 | 41.4 | 51.5556895296666 | -4.62882800836901 | 35.8731384787024 | 10.1556895296666 |
| 106 | 38.5 | 46.5164784605832 | -5.29970813905148 | 35.7832296784682 | 8.01647846058324 |
| 107 | 34.6 | 40.0499950532359 | -6.54331593147 | 35.6933208782341 | 5.44999505323593 |
| 108 | 31.2 | 31.3915509744141 | -4.20024380358589 | 35.2086928291718 | 0.191550974414142 |
| 109 | 34.7 | 36.9603985905836 | -2.28446337069298 | 34.7240647801094 | 2.26039859058355 |
| 110 | 35.8 | 36.9382788416695 | 0.854102390382445 | 33.807618767948 | 1.13827884166951 |
| 111 | 33.8 | 30.3884596530991 | 4.32036759111424 | 32.8911727557866 | -3.41154034690089 |
| 112 | 32.5 | 26.9302372045813 | 6.18952008059986 | 31.8802427148189 | -5.56976279541873 |
| 113 | 31.2 | 26.0265617965757 | 5.50412552957322 | 30.8693126738511 | -5.17343820342431 |
| 114 | 32.5 | 31.2879551034222 | 3.46930763234135 | 30.2427372642364 | -1.21204489657779 |
| 115 | 32.3 | 32.0675312581027 | 2.91630688727545 | 29.6161618546218 | -0.232468741897247 |
| 116 | 30.1 | 31.0999687034296 | -0.297169712664176 | 29.3972010092346 | 0.999968703429591 |
| 117 | 25.3 | 26.0505878445216 | -4.62882800836901 | 29.1782401638474 | 0.750587844521625 |
| 118 | 24.5 | 25.1082088433106 | -5.29970813905148 | 29.1914992957409 | 0.608208843310575 |
| 119 | 23.7 | 24.7385575038356 | -6.54331593147 | 29.2047584276344 | 1.03855750383557 |
| 120 | 23.8 | 22.5216207107213 | -4.20024380358589 | 29.2786230928646 | -1.2783792892787 |
| 121 | 26.9 | 26.7319756125982 | -2.28446337069298 | 29.3524877580948 | -0.168024387401775 |
| 122 | 32.4 | 34.3156186273732 | 0.854102390382445 | 29.6302789822444 | 1.91561862737317 |
| 123 | 32.6 | 30.9715622024918 | 4.32036759111424 | 29.908070206394 | -1.62843779750824 |
| 124 | 31.7 | 26.4277879777711 | 6.18952008059986 | 30.7826919416291 | -5.27221202222893 |
| 125 | 34.1 | 31.0385607935627 | 5.50412552957322 | 31.6573136768641 | -3.06143920643734 |
| 126 | 34.9 | 33.4496450998463 | 3.46930763234135 | 32.8810472678123 | -1.45035490015368 |
| 127 | 33.1 | 29.178912253964 | 2.91630688727545 | 34.1047808587605 | -3.92108774603598 |
| 128 | 32.3 | 29.5350804970501 | -0.297169712664176 | 35.362089215614 | -2.76491950294987 |
| 129 | 34.6 | 37.2094304359014 | -4.62882800836901 | 36.6193975724676 | 2.60943043590144 |
| 130 | 32.7 | 32.7444707043071 | -5.29970813905148 | 37.9552374347444 | 0.0444707043070593 |
| 131 | 32.6 | 32.4522386344487 | -6.54331593147 | 39.2910772970213 | -0.147761365551261 |
| 132 | 41 | 45.4885208704516 | -4.20024380358589 | 40.7117229331342 | 4.48852087045164 |
| 133 | 40 | 40.1520948014457 | -2.28446337069298 | 42.1323685692472 | 0.152094801445749 |
