Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 841 | 0 | 85 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 13328 | 13297.5417578351 | -99.3384197678265 | 13457.7966619328 | -30.4582421649247 |
2 | 12873 | 13037.961501647 | -831.413411644799 | 13539.4519099978 | 164.961501646958 |
3 | 14000 | 13864.9527773806 | 513.940064556485 | 13621.1071580629 | -135.047222619416 |
4 | 13477 | 13469.1750386704 | -219.389218657258 | 13704.2141799869 | -7.82496132960114 |
5 | 14237 | 14331.8262731201 | 354.852524969072 | 13787.3212019108 | 94.8262731201412 |
6 | 13674 | 13773.1214053284 | -297.525008490446 | 13872.403603162 | 99.1214053284057 |
7 | 13529 | 13444.4166159159 | -343.902620329188 | 13957.4860044133 | -84.5833840841042 |
8 | 14058 | 14082.2291402892 | -10.3401213634233 | 14044.1109810743 | 24.2291402891569 |
9 | 12975 | 12605.4696270984 | -786.20558483368 | 14130.7359577352 | -369.530372901558 |
10 | 14326 | 14459.5271309366 | -30.8573418062056 | 14223.3302108697 | 133.527130936554 |
11 | 14008 | 14062.8698206893 | -362.794284693378 | 14315.9244640041 | 54.869820689315 |
12 | 16193 | 15858.4458077938 | 2112.97342530496 | 14414.5807669012 | -334.554192206208 |
13 | 14483 | 14552.1013499694 | -99.3384197678265 | 14513.2370697984 | 69.1013499694 |
14 | 14011 | 14240.1497023153 | -831.413411644799 | 14613.2637093295 | 229.149702315286 |
15 | 15057 | 14886.7695865829 | 513.940064556485 | 14713.2903488606 | -170.230413417086 |
16 | 14884 | 15181.6258322494 | -219.389218657258 | 14805.7633864079 | 297.625832249387 |
17 | 15414 | 15574.9110510758 | 354.852524969072 | 14898.2364239551 | 160.911051075787 |
18 | 14440 | 14199.9446586459 | -297.525008490446 | 14977.5803498446 | -240.055341354118 |
19 | 14900 | 15086.9783445952 | -343.902620329188 | 15056.924275734 | 186.978344595202 |
20 | 15074 | 15033.2860161002 | -10.3401213634233 | 15125.0541052632 | -40.7139838997846 |
21 | 14442 | 14477.0216500413 | -786.20558483368 | 15193.1839347924 | 35.0216500412516 |
22 | 15307 | 15383.9444934667 | -30.8573418062056 | 15260.9128483395 | 76.944493466719 |
23 | 14938 | 14910.1525228068 | -362.794284693378 | 15328.6417618865 | -27.8474771931669 |
24 | 17193 | 16867.8669535064 | 2112.97342530496 | 15405.1596211887 | -325.133046493616 |
25 | 15528 | 15673.6609392771 | -99.3384197678265 | 15481.6774804908 | 145.660939277064 |
26 | 14765 | 14790.9584499268 | -831.413411644799 | 15570.454961718 | 25.9584499267785 |
27 | 15838 | 15502.8274924982 | 513.940064556485 | 15659.2324429453 | -335.172507501762 |
28 | 15723 | 15909.8864779058 | -219.389218657258 | 15755.5027407515 | 186.886477905779 |
29 | 16150 | 16093.3744364732 | 354.852524969072 | 15851.7730385577 | -56.6255635267516 |
30 | 15486 | 15320.9548660353 | -297.525008490446 | 15948.5701424551 | -165.045133964688 |
31 | 15986 | 16270.5353739766 | -343.902620329188 | 16045.3672463526 | 284.535373976601 |
32 | 15983 | 15843.5566348689 | -10.3401213634233 | 16132.7834864945 | -139.443365131086 |
33 | 15692 | 15950.0058581972 | -786.20558483368 | 16220.1997266364 | 258.005858197248 |
34 | 16490 | 16720.8064867039 | -30.8573418062056 | 16290.0508551023 | 230.806486703936 |
35 | 15686 | 15374.8923011253 | -362.794284693378 | 16359.9019835681 | -311.10769887473 |
36 | 18897 | 19274.8833788665 | 2112.97342530496 | 16406.1431958285 | 377.883378866514 |
37 | 16316 | 16278.9540116789 | -99.3384197678265 | 16452.3844080889 | -37.0459883211042 |
38 | 15636 | 15625.0619623243 | -831.413411644799 | 16478.3514493205 | -10.938037675729 |
39 | 17163 | 17307.7414448914 | 513.940064556485 | 16504.3184905521 | 144.741444891388 |
40 | 16534 | 16764.6848783891 | -219.389218657258 | 16522.7043402681 | 230.684878389115 |
41 | 16518 | 16140.0572850468 | 354.852524969072 | 16541.0901899842 | -377.942714953235 |
42 | 16375 | 16480.1826059896 | -297.525008490446 | 16567.3424025009 | 105.182605989565 |
43 | 16290 | 16330.3080053116 | -343.902620329188 | 16593.5946150176 | 40.3080053115846 |
44 | 16352 | 16076.132508231 | -10.3401213634233 | 16638.2076131324 | -275.867491768984 |
45 | 15943 | 15989.3849735865 | -786.20558483368 | 16682.8206112472 | 46.3849735864642 |
46 | 16362 | 16012.0022674927 | -30.8573418062056 | 16742.8550743135 | -349.997732507338 |
47 | 16393 | 16345.9047473135 | -362.794284693378 | 16802.8895373799 | -47.095252686493 |
48 | 19051 | 19116.5329740006 | 2112.97342530496 | 16872.4936006945 | 65.5329740005618 |
49 | 16747 | 16651.2407557588 | -99.3384197678265 | 16942.0976640091 | -95.7592442412461 |
50 | 16320 | 16451.7913674718 | -831.413411644799 | 17019.622044173 | 131.791367471847 |
51 | 17910 | 18208.9135111067 | 513.940064556485 | 17097.1464243368 | 298.913511106683 |
52 | 16961 | 16962.0829361777 | -219.389218657258 | 17179.3062824796 | 1.08293617768868 |
53 | 17480 | 17343.6813344086 | 354.852524969072 | 17261.4661406223 | -136.318665591378 |
54 | 17049 | 17051.697490472 | -297.525008490446 | 17343.8275180184 | 2.69749047203368 |
55 | 16879 | 16675.7137249147 | -343.902620329188 | 17426.1888954145 | -203.286275085331 |
56 | 17473 | 17442.9587924026 | -10.3401213634233 | 17513.3813289608 | -30.0412075973873 |
57 | 16998 | 17181.6318223266 | -786.20558483368 | 17600.5737625071 | 183.631822326573 |
58 | 17307 | 16943.1362633167 | -30.8573418062056 | 17701.7210784895 | -363.863736683274 |
59 | 17418 | 17395.9258902215 | -362.794284693378 | 17802.8683944718 | -22.0741097784667 |
60 | 20169 | 20308.7266455873 | 2112.97342530496 | 17916.2999291077 | 139.726645587307 |
61 | 17871 | 17811.6069560242 | -99.3384197678265 | 18029.7314637436 | -59.3930439757787 |
62 | 17226 | 17139.9312064186 | -831.413411644799 | 18143.4822052262 | -86.0687935813585 |
63 | 19062 | 19352.8269887348 | 513.940064556485 | 18257.2329467087 | 290.826988734803 |
64 | 17804 | 17457.3930290327 | -219.389218657258 | 18369.9961896245 | -346.606970967277 |
65 | 19100 | 19362.3880424906 | 354.852524969072 | 18482.7594325404 | 262.388042490569 |
66 | 18522 | 18745.7423966514 | -297.525008490446 | 18595.782611839 | 223.742396651411 |
67 | 18060 | 17755.0968291915 | -343.902620329188 | 18708.8057911377 | -304.903170808531 |
68 | 18869 | 18929.368393818 | -10.3401213634233 | 18818.9717275455 | 60.3683938179602 |
69 | 18127 | 18111.0679208805 | -786.20558483368 | 18929.1376639532 | -15.9320791195314 |
70 | 18871 | 18739.2445928084 | -30.8573418062056 | 19033.6127489978 | -131.755407191642 |
71 | 18890 | 19004.7064506509 | -362.794284693378 | 19138.0878340425 | 114.706450650901 |
72 | 21263 | 21177.2105691642 | 2112.97342530496 | 19235.8160055308 | -85.7894308357827 |
73 | 19547 | 19859.7942427487 | -99.3384197678265 | 19333.5441770192 | 312.794242748671 |
74 | 18450 | 18311.6609510351 | -831.413411644799 | 19419.7524606097 | -138.339048964899 |
75 | 20254 | 20488.0991912433 | 513.940064556485 | 19505.9607442002 | 234.099191243273 |
76 | 19240 | 19138.0601589227 | -219.389218657258 | 19561.3290597346 | -101.939841077314 |
77 | 20216 | 20460.450099762 | 354.852524969072 | 19616.6973752689 | 244.450099762023 |
78 | 19420 | 19467.8895376259 | -297.525008490446 | 19669.6354708646 | 47.8895376258733 |
79 | 19415 | 19451.3290538689 | -343.902620329188 | 19722.5735664602 | 36.3290538689398 |
80 | 20018 | 20273.1542946653 | -10.3401213634233 | 19773.1858266981 | 255.154294665324 |
81 | 18652 | 18266.4074978977 | -786.20558483368 | 19823.7980869359 | -385.59250210227 |
82 | 19978 | 20115.5306104799 | -30.8573418062056 | 19871.3267313263 | 137.530610479927 |
83 | 19509 | 19461.9389089768 | -362.794284693378 | 19918.8553757166 | -47.0610910232281 |
84 | 21971 | 21864.8316944728 | 2112.97342530496 | 19964.1948802222 | -106.168305527171 |