| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 13328 | NA | NA | -42.3935185185186 | NA |
| 2 | 12873 | NA | NA | -805.324074074074 | NA |
| 3 | 14000 | NA | NA | 593.196759259259 | NA |
| 4 | 13477 | NA | NA | -175.143518518519 | NA |
| 5 | 14237 | NA | NA | 369.405092592592 | NA |
| 6 | 13674 | NA | NA | -306.587962962964 | NA |
| 7 | 13529 | 13578.8356481481 | 13937.9583333333 | -359.122685185186 | -49.835648148146 |
| 8 | 14058 | 13953.2939814815 | 14033.5 | -80.2060185185185 | 104.70601851852 |
| 9 | 12975 | 13357.2592592593 | 14124.9583333333 | -767.699074074074 | -382.259259259257 |
| 10 | 14326 | 14124.1412037037 | 14227.625 | -103.483796296296 | 201.858796296297 |
| 11 | 14008 | 13928.599537037 | 14335.2916666667 | -406.692129629629 | 79.4004629629635 |
| 12 | 16193 | 16500.3009259259 | 14416.25 | 2084.05092592593 | -307.300925925927 |
| 13 | 14483 | 14462.8981481481 | 14505.2916666667 | -42.3935185185186 | 20.1018518518504 |
| 14 | 14011 | 13799.4259259259 | 14604.75 | -805.324074074074 | 211.574074074073 |
| 15 | 15057 | 15301.4050925926 | 14708.2083333333 | 593.196759259259 | -244.405092592591 |
| 16 | 14884 | 14635.0648148148 | 14810.2083333333 | -175.143518518519 | 248.935185185186 |
| 17 | 15414 | 15259.2384259259 | 14889.8333333333 | 369.405092592592 | 154.761574074075 |
| 18 | 14440 | 14663.662037037 | 14970.25 | -306.587962962964 | -223.662037037036 |
| 19 | 14900 | 14696.3356481481 | 15055.4583333333 | -359.122685185186 | 203.66435185185 |
| 20 | 15074 | 15050.2106481481 | 15130.4166666667 | -80.2060185185185 | 23.7893518518522 |
| 21 | 14442 | 14426.6759259259 | 15194.375 | -767.699074074074 | 15.3240740740766 |
| 22 | 15307 | 15158.3912037037 | 15261.875 | -103.483796296296 | 148.608796296297 |
| 23 | 14938 | 14920.8078703704 | 15327.5 | -406.692129629629 | 17.1921296296296 |
| 24 | 17193 | 17485.8009259259 | 15401.75 | 2084.05092592593 | -292.800925925925 |
| 25 | 15528 | 15448.1898148148 | 15490.5833333333 | -42.3935185185186 | 79.8101851851843 |
| 26 | 14765 | 14768.3842592593 | 15573.7083333333 | -805.324074074074 | -3.38425925926094 |
| 27 | 15838 | 16256.8634259259 | 15663.6666666667 | 593.196759259259 | -418.863425925925 |
| 28 | 15723 | 15589.8981481481 | 15765.0416666667 | -175.143518518519 | 133.101851851852 |
| 29 | 16150 | 16214.9050925926 | 15845.5 | 369.405092592592 | -64.905092592593 |
| 30 | 15486 | 15641.0787037037 | 15947.6666666667 | -306.587962962964 | -155.078703703704 |
| 31 | 15986 | 15692.3773148148 | 16051.5 | -359.122685185186 | 293.622685185186 |
| 32 | 15983 | 16040.4189814815 | 16120.625 | -80.2060185185185 | -57.4189814814836 |
| 33 | 15692 | 15444.4259259259 | 16212.125 | -767.699074074074 | 247.574074074075 |
| 34 | 16490 | 16197.6412037037 | 16301.125 | -103.483796296296 | 292.358796296297 |
| 35 | 15686 | 15943.5578703704 | 16350.25 | -406.692129629629 | -257.557870370367 |
| 36 | 18897 | 18486.6759259259 | 16402.625 | 2084.05092592593 | 410.324074074077 |
| 37 | 16316 | 16409.9398148148 | 16452.3333333333 | -42.3935185185186 | -93.9398148148102 |
| 38 | 15636 | 15675.0509259259 | 16480.375 | -805.324074074074 | -39.0509259259234 |
| 39 | 17163 | 17099.4050925926 | 16506.2083333333 | 593.196759259259 | 63.5949074074124 |
| 40 | 16534 | 16336.1898148148 | 16511.3333333333 | -175.143518518519 | 197.810185185186 |
| 41 | 16518 | 16904.8634259259 | 16535.4583333333 | 369.405092592592 | -386.863425925925 |
| 42 | 16375 | 16264.7453703704 | 16571.3333333333 | -306.587962962964 | 110.254629629631 |
| 43 | 16290 | 16236.5856481481 | 16595.7083333333 | -359.122685185186 | 53.414351851854 |
| 44 | 16352 | 16561.9606481481 | 16642.1666666667 | -80.2060185185185 | -209.960648148146 |
| 45 | 15943 | 15934.0925925926 | 16701.7916666667 | -767.699074074074 | 8.90740740740875 |
| 46 | 16362 | 16647.224537037 | 16750.7083333333 | -103.483796296296 | -285.224537037036 |
| 47 | 16393 | 16401.8912037037 | 16808.5833333333 | -406.692129629629 | -8.89120370370438 |
| 48 | 19051 | 18960.8009259259 | 16876.75 | 2084.05092592593 | 90.199074074073 |
| 49 | 16747 | 16886.9814814815 | 16929.375 | -42.3935185185186 | -139.981481481482 |
| 50 | 16320 | 16195.3009259259 | 17000.625 | -805.324074074074 | 124.699074074069 |
| 51 | 17910 | 17684.4884259259 | 17091.2916666667 | 593.196759259259 | 225.511574074073 |
| 52 | 16961 | 16999.4814814815 | 17174.625 | -175.143518518519 | -38.4814814814818 |
| 53 | 17480 | 17626.1134259259 | 17256.7083333333 | 369.405092592592 | -146.113425925923 |
| 54 | 17049 | 17039.412037037 | 17346 | -306.587962962964 | 9.5879629629635 |
| 55 | 16879 | 17080.2939814815 | 17439.4166666667 | -359.122685185186 | -201.293981481478 |
| 56 | 17473 | 17443.7939814815 | 17524 | -80.2060185185185 | 29.2060185185182 |
| 57 | 16998 | 16842.0509259259 | 17609.75 | -767.699074074074 | 155.949074074073 |
| 58 | 17307 | 17589.3912037037 | 17692.875 | -103.483796296296 | -282.391203703704 |
| 59 | 17418 | 17388.8078703704 | 17795.5 | -406.692129629629 | 29.1921296296277 |
| 60 | 20169 | 20008.4259259259 | 17924.375 | 2084.05092592593 | 160.574074074073 |
| 61 | 17871 | 17992.5648148148 | 18034.9583333333 | -42.3935185185186 | -121.564814814814 |
| 62 | 17226 | 17337.0092592593 | 18142.3333333333 | -805.324074074074 | -111.009259259259 |
| 63 | 19062 | 18840.7384259259 | 18247.5416666667 | 593.196759259259 | 221.261574074077 |
| 64 | 17804 | 18184.6064814815 | 18359.75 | -175.143518518519 | -380.606481481478 |
| 65 | 19100 | 18855.6550925926 | 18486.25 | 369.405092592592 | 244.344907407412 |
| 66 | 18522 | 18286.5787037037 | 18593.1666666667 | -306.587962962964 | 235.421296296299 |
| 67 | 18060 | 18349.4606481481 | 18708.5833333333 | -359.122685185186 | -289.460648148146 |
| 68 | 18869 | 18749.2106481481 | 18829.4166666667 | -80.2060185185185 | 119.789351851854 |
| 69 | 18127 | 18162.3842592593 | 18930.0833333333 | -767.699074074074 | -35.3842592592628 |
| 70 | 18871 | 18936.099537037 | 19039.5833333333 | -103.483796296296 | -65.0995370370365 |
| 71 | 18890 | 18739.224537037 | 19145.9166666667 | -406.692129629629 | 150.775462962964 |
| 72 | 21263 | 21313.8842592593 | 19229.8333333333 | 2084.05092592593 | -50.8842592592591 |
| 73 | 19547 | 19281.3148148148 | 19323.7083333333 | -42.3935185185186 | 265.685185185186 |
| 74 | 18450 | 18622.7175925926 | 19428.0416666667 | -805.324074074074 | -172.717592592588 |
| 75 | 20254 | 20090.9884259259 | 19497.7916666667 | 593.196759259259 | 163.011574074073 |
| 76 | 19240 | 19390.6481481481 | 19565.7916666667 | -175.143518518519 | -150.64814814815 |
| 77 | 20216 | 20007.1134259259 | 19637.7083333333 | 369.405092592592 | 208.886574074073 |
| 78 | 19420 | 19386.412037037 | 19693 | -306.587962962964 | 33.5879629629635 |
| 79 | 19415 | NA | NA | -359.122685185186 | NA |
| 80 | 20018 | NA | NA | -80.2060185185185 | NA |
| 81 | 18652 | NA | NA | -767.699074074074 | NA |
| 82 | 19978 | NA | NA | -103.483796296296 | NA |
| 83 | 19509 | NA | NA | -406.692129629629 | NA |
| 84 | 21971 | NA | NA | 2084.05092592593 | NA |
