Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 1321 | 0 | 133 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 9.492 | 9.3795574859433 | 0.110502414391489 | 9.49394009966521 | -0.112442514056699 |
2 | 8.641 | 8.49902309576095 | -0.716359510625856 | 9.4993364148649 | -0.141976904239055 |
3 | 9.793 | 9.89930686024277 | 0.181960409692623 | 9.5047327300646 | 0.106306860242769 |
4 | 9.603 | 9.83909817624852 | -0.141733678726336 | 9.50863550247782 | 0.236098176248516 |
5 | 9.238 | 8.92552557306933 | 0.0379361520396378 | 9.51253827489103 | -0.31247442693067 |
6 | 9.535 | 9.597782904481 | -0.0435504182019751 | 9.51576751372098 | 0.0627829044809989 |
7 | 10.295 | 10.51722204666 | 0.55378120078905 | 9.51899675255092 | 0.222222046660027 |
8 | 9.941 | 9.99285060520883 | 0.366288652928226 | 9.52286074186294 | 0.0518506052088306 |
9 | 9.984 | 10.279752165088 | 0.161523103737043 | 9.52672473117497 | 0.295752165087992 |
10 | 9.563 | 9.40295594680113 | 0.192379638674333 | 9.53066441452454 | -0.160044053198876 |
11 | 8.872 | 8.75525074566469 | -0.54585484353881 | 9.53460409787412 | -0.116749254335311 |
12 | 9.302 | 9.22329318562793 | -0.156873100120857 | 9.53757991449293 | -0.0787068143720706 |
13 | 9.215 | 8.77894185449678 | 0.110502414391489 | 9.54055573111173 | -0.436058145503221 |
14 | 8.834 | 8.85030818690415 | -0.716359510625856 | 9.5340513237217 | 0.0163081869041477 |
15 | 9.998 | 10.2864926739757 | 0.181960409692623 | 9.52754691633168 | 0.288492673975695 |
16 | 9.604 | 9.82450883107505 | -0.141733678726336 | 9.52522484765128 | 0.220508831075053 |
17 | 9.507 | 9.45316106898948 | 0.0379361520396378 | 9.52290277897088 | -0.053838931010521 |
18 | 9.718 | 9.94751459451988 | -0.0435504182019751 | 9.5320358236821 | 0.229514594519882 |
19 | 10.095 | 10.0950499308176 | 0.55378120078905 | 9.5411688683933 | 4.99308176475921e-05 |
20 | 9.583 | 9.24550762791731 | 0.366288652928226 | 9.55420371915446 | -0.337492372082689 |
21 | 9.883 | 10.0372383263473 | 0.161523103737043 | 9.56723856991562 | 0.154238326347333 |
22 | 9.365 | 8.95771137537361 | 0.192379638674333 | 9.57990898595206 | -0.407288624626389 |
23 | 8.919 | 8.79127544155032 | -0.54585484353881 | 9.5925794019885 | -0.12772455844968 |
24 | 9.449 | 9.44628883187881 | -0.156873100120857 | 9.60858426824205 | -0.00271116812119132 |
25 | 9.769 | 9.8029084511129 | 0.110502414391489 | 9.6245891344956 | 0.0339084511129073 |
26 | 9.321 | 9.71676173980178 | -0.716359510625856 | 9.64159777082408 | 0.395761739801776 |
27 | 9.939 | 10.0374331831548 | 0.181960409692623 | 9.65860640715255 | 0.0984331831548229 |
28 | 9.336 | 9.14134026886542 | -0.141733678726336 | 9.67239340986091 | -0.194659731134578 |
29 | 10.195 | 10.6658834353911 | 0.0379361520396378 | 9.68618041256927 | 0.470883435391087 |
30 | 9.464 | 9.28385143392715 | -0.0435504182019751 | 9.68769898427483 | -0.18014856607285 |
31 | 10.01 | 9.77700124323057 | 0.55378120078905 | 9.68921755598038 | -0.232998756769428 |
32 | 10.213 | 10.3813098005988 | 0.366288652928226 | 9.67840154647294 | 0.168309800598838 |
33 | 9.563 | 9.29689135929747 | 0.161523103737043 | 9.6675855369655 | -0.266108640702535 |
34 | 9.89 | 9.92203949224818 | 0.192379638674333 | 9.66558086907749 | 0.0320394922481828 |
35 | 9.305 | 9.49227864234933 | -0.54585484353881 | 9.66357620118948 | 0.187278642349332 |
36 | 9.391 | 9.27201547913112 | -0.156873100120857 | 9.66685762098974 | -0.11898452086888 |
37 | 9.928 | 10.0753585448185 | 0.110502414391489 | 9.67013904079 | 0.147358544818518 |
38 | 8.686 | 8.42302738086226 | -0.716359510625856 | 9.6653321297636 | -0.262972619137743 |
39 | 9.843 | 9.84351437157017 | 0.181960409692623 | 9.6605252187372 | 0.000514371570172756 |
40 | 9.627 | 9.74755749493725 | -0.141733678726336 | 9.6481761837891 | 0.120557494937245 |
41 | 10.074 | 10.4742366991194 | 0.0379361520396378 | 9.63582714884098 | 0.400236699119382 |
42 | 9.503 | 9.42600181891356 | -0.0435504182019751 | 9.62354859928842 | -0.0769981810864433 |
43 | 10.119 | 10.0729487494751 | 0.55378120078905 | 9.61127004973586 | -0.0460512505249113 |
44 | 10 | 10.0359140622099 | 0.366288652928226 | 9.59779728486185 | 0.0359140622099261 |
45 | 9.313 | 8.88015237627512 | 0.161523103737043 | 9.58432451998784 | -0.432847623724879 |
46 | 9.866 | 9.98199542777676 | 0.192379638674333 | 9.5576249335489 | 0.115995427776758 |
47 | 9.172 | 9.35892949642883 | -0.54585484353881 | 9.53092534710998 | 0.186929496428828 |
48 | 9.241 | 9.13577139626937 | -0.156873100120857 | 9.50310170385148 | -0.105228603730625 |
49 | 9.659 | 9.73221952501554 | 0.110502414391489 | 9.47527806059298 | 0.073219525015535 |
50 | 8.904 | 9.06542856507932 | -0.716359510625856 | 9.45893094554654 | 0.161428565079317 |
51 | 9.755 | 9.88545575980728 | 0.181960409692623 | 9.4425838305001 | 0.130455759807282 |
52 | 9.08 | 8.87011792181583 | -0.141733678726336 | 9.4316157569105 | -0.209882078184172 |
53 | 9.435 | 9.41141616463944 | 0.0379361520396378 | 9.42064768332092 | -0.023583835360558 |
54 | 8.971 | 8.5722047712265 | -0.0435504182019751 | 9.41334564697547 | -0.398795228773496 |
55 | 10.063 | 10.1661751885809 | 0.55378120078905 | 9.40604361063003 | 0.103175188580925 |
56 | 9.793 | 9.81490500315362 | 0.366288652928226 | 9.40480634391816 | 0.0219050031536163 |
57 | 9.454 | 9.34290781905667 | 0.161523103737043 | 9.4035690772063 | -0.111092180943333 |
58 | 9.759 | 9.91370454534842 | 0.192379638674333 | 9.41191581597725 | 0.154704545348423 |
59 | 8.82 | 8.76559228879061 | -0.54585484353881 | 9.4202625547482 | -0.0544077112093895 |
60 | 9.403 | 9.52886688544965 | -0.156873100120857 | 9.43400621467121 | 0.125866885449646 |
61 | 9.676 | 9.7937477110143 | 0.110502414391489 | 9.44774987459422 | 0.117747711014292 |
62 | 8.642 | 8.54521515705363 | -0.716359510625856 | 9.45514435357222 | -0.0967848429463647 |
63 | 9.402 | 9.15950075775716 | 0.181960409692623 | 9.46253883255022 | -0.242499242242841 |
64 | 9.61 | 9.89387762885844 | -0.141733678726336 | 9.4678560498679 | 0.283877628858439 |
65 | 9.294 | 9.07689058077479 | 0.0379361520396378 | 9.47317326718557 | -0.217109419225212 |
66 | 9.448 | 9.45068123972534 | -0.0435504182019751 | 9.48886917847664 | 0.00268123972534084 |
67 | 10.319 | 10.5796537094433 | 0.55378120078905 | 9.5045650897677 | 0.260653709443254 |
68 | 9.548 | 9.20133361029303 | 0.366288652928226 | 9.52837773677874 | -0.346666389706968 |
69 | 9.801 | 9.88828651247317 | 0.161523103737043 | 9.55219038378979 | 0.0872865124731703 |
70 | 9.596 | 9.43258084589954 | 0.192379638674333 | 9.56703951542613 | -0.163419154100463 |
71 | 8.923 | 8.80996619647633 | -0.54585484353881 | 9.58188864706248 | -0.113033803523667 |
72 | 9.746 | 10.0505804534038 | -0.156873100120857 | 9.59829264671706 | 0.304580453403792 |
73 | 9.829 | 9.93280093923686 | 0.110502414391489 | 9.61469664637165 | 0.10380093923686 |
74 | 9.125 | 9.3270240518533 | -0.716359510625856 | 9.63933545877256 | 0.202024051853293 |
75 | 9.782 | 9.7180653191339 | 0.181960409692623 | 9.66397427117347 | -0.0639346808660957 |
76 | 9.441 | 9.33414579786841 | -0.141733678726336 | 9.68958788085792 | -0.106854202131586 |
77 | 9.162 | 8.570862357418 | 0.0379361520396378 | 9.71520149054237 | -0.59113764258201 |
78 | 9.915 | 10.1355266463552 | -0.0435504182019751 | 9.73802377184677 | 0.220526646355202 |
79 | 10.444 | 10.5733727460598 | 0.55378120078905 | 9.76084605315117 | 0.129372746059779 |
80 | 10.209 | 10.2619581774756 | 0.366288652928226 | 9.78975316959621 | 0.0529581774755599 |
81 | 9.985 | 9.9898166102217 | 0.161523103737043 | 9.81866028604126 | 0.00481661022169888 |
82 | 9.842 | 9.6392071974316 | 0.192379638674333 | 9.85241316389408 | -0.202792802568409 |
83 | 9.429 | 9.51768880179191 | -0.54585484353881 | 9.8861660417469 | 0.088688801791914 |
84 | 10.132 | 10.514736378584 | -0.156873100120857 | 9.90613672153685 | 0.382736378584003 |
85 | 9.849 | 9.6613901842817 | 0.110502414391489 | 9.92610740132681 | -0.1876098157183 |
86 | 9.172 | 9.123989746098 | -0.716359510625856 | 9.93636976452786 | -0.0480102539020066 |
87 | 10.313 | 10.4974074625785 | 0.181960409692623 | 9.94663212772891 | 0.184407462578465 |
88 | 9.819 | 9.82234074414872 | -0.141733678726336 | 9.95739293457762 | 0.00334074414871743 |
89 | 9.955 | 9.90391010653404 | 0.0379361520396378 | 9.96815374142633 | -0.0510898934659636 |
90 | 10.048 | 10.164181321643 | -0.0435504182019751 | 9.97536909655895 | 0.116181321643026 |
91 | 10.082 | 9.62763434751938 | 0.55378120078905 | 9.98258445169157 | -0.454365652480623 |
92 | 10.541 | 10.7236072963791 | 0.366288652928226 | 9.9921040506927 | 0.182607296379082 |
93 | 10.208 | 10.2528532465691 | 0.161523103737043 | 10.0016236496938 | 0.0448532465691454 |
94 | 10.233 | 10.2551016229679 | 0.192379638674333 | 10.0185187383578 | 0.0221016229678668 |
95 | 9.439 | 9.38844101651702 | -0.54585484353881 | 10.0354138270218 | -0.0505589834829792 |
96 | 9.963 | 10.0244531749768 | -0.156873100120857 | 10.058419925144 | 0.0614531749768297 |
97 | 10.158 | 10.1240715623422 | 0.110502414391489 | 10.0814260232663 | -0.0339284376577531 |
98 | 9.225 | 9.05792737553486 | -0.716359510625856 | 10.108432135091 | -0.167072624465135 |
99 | 10.474 | 10.6306013433917 | 0.181960409692623 | 10.1354382469157 | 0.15660134339166 |
100 | 9.757 | 9.49118545810982 | -0.141733678726336 | 10.1645482206165 | -0.265814541890181 |
101 | 10.49 | 10.748405653643 | 0.0379361520396378 | 10.1936581943173 | 0.258405653643043 |
102 | 10.281 | 10.3897653230412 | -0.0435504182019751 | 10.2157850951608 | 0.10876532304122 |
103 | 10.444 | 10.0963068032068 | 0.55378120078905 | 10.2379119960042 | -0.347693196793243 |
104 | 10.64 | 10.666840803333 | 0.366288652928226 | 10.2468705437388 | 0.0268408033329823 |
105 | 10.695 | 10.9726478047896 | 0.161523103737043 | 10.2558290914734 | 0.277647804789567 |
106 | 10.786 | 11.1238029808677 | 0.192379638674333 | 10.255817380458 | 0.337802980867696 |
107 | 9.832 | 9.95404917409626 | -0.54585484353881 | 10.2558056694426 | 0.12204917409626 |
108 | 9.747 | 9.39314150215546 | -0.156873100120857 | 10.2577315979654 | -0.353858497844536 |
109 | 10.411 | 10.4518400591203 | 0.110502414391489 | 10.2596575264882 | 0.040840059120276 |
110 | 9.511 | 9.46977227177028 | -0.716359510625856 | 10.2685872388556 | -0.0412277282297211 |
111 | 10.402 | 10.3445226390845 | 0.181960409692623 | 10.2775169512229 | -0.0574773609155397 |
112 | 9.701 | 9.2530816531455 | -0.141733678726336 | 10.2906520255808 | -0.447918346854507 |
113 | 10.54 | 10.7382767480216 | 0.0379361520396378 | 10.3037870999388 | 0.198276748021589 |
114 | 10.112 | 9.93433689989723 | -0.0435504182019751 | 10.3332135183047 | -0.177663100102773 |
115 | 10.915 | 10.9135788625402 | 0.55378120078905 | 10.3626399366707 | -0.00142113745977568 |
116 | 11.183 | 11.6045429557709 | 0.366288652928226 | 10.3951683913009 | 0.42154295577086 |
117 | 10.384 | 10.1787800503319 | 0.161523103737043 | 10.4276968459311 | -0.205219949668145 |
118 | 10.834 | 11.0159834698402 | 0.192379638674333 | 10.4596368914855 | 0.181983469840196 |
119 | 9.886 | 9.82627790649897 | -0.54585484353881 | 10.4915769370398 | -0.0597220935010316 |
120 | 10.216 | 10.0715307300886 | -0.156873100120857 | 10.5173423700322 | -0.144469269911379 |
121 | 10.943 | 11.2323897825839 | 0.110502414391489 | 10.5431078030246 | 0.289389782583882 |
122 | 9.867 | 9.89129518220182 | -0.716359510625856 | 10.559064328424 | 0.0242951822018238 |
123 | 10.203 | 9.64901873648394 | 0.181960409692623 | 10.5750208538234 | -0.553981263516059 |
124 | 10.837 | 11.2370433158305 | -0.141733678726336 | 10.5786903628958 | 0.400043315830544 |
125 | 10.573 | 10.5257039759922 | 0.0379361520396378 | 10.5823598719681 | -0.0472960240077835 |
126 | 10.647 | 10.753094652378 | -0.0435504182019751 | 10.584455765824 | 0.106094652377969 |
127 | 11.502 | 11.8636671395311 | 0.55378120078905 | 10.5865516596799 | 0.361667139531081 |
128 | 10.656 | 10.3573467683705 | 0.366288652928226 | 10.5883645787013 | -0.298653231629538 |
129 | 10.866 | 10.9802993985402 | 0.161523103737043 | 10.5901774977228 | 0.114299398540201 |
130 | 10.835 | 10.8870697825039 | 0.192379638674333 | 10.5905505788218 | 0.0520697825038745 |
131 | 9.945 | 9.84493118361798 | -0.54585484353881 | 10.5909236599208 | -0.100068816382024 |
132 | 10.331 | 10.2290970953801 | -0.156873100120857 | 10.5897760047408 | -0.101902904619942 |