| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 0.955126450650762 |
| beta | 0 |
| gamma | 0 |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 13 | 2351 | 2463.04754273504 | -112.047542735043 |
| 14 | 2276 | 2272.98397326938 | 3.01602673061598 |
| 15 | 2548 | 2557.86232917333 | -9.86232917333427 |
| 16 | 2311 | 2312.44022671253 | -1.44022671252742 |
| 17 | 2201 | 2181.47896374879 | 19.5210362512057 |
| 18 | 2725 | 2716.08002414744 | 8.91997585256422 |
| 19 | 2408 | 2229.63906468772 | 178.360935312278 |
| 20 | 2139 | 2284.57731409829 | -145.57731409829 |
| 21 | 1898 | 2247.78023978599 | -349.780239785988 |
| 22 | 2539 | 2013.06854984909 | 525.931450150906 |
| 23 | 2070 | 2101.52225811501 | -31.522258115006 |
| 24 | 2063 | 2297.20385126946 | -234.203851269458 |
| 25 | 2565 | 2122.50722707539 | 442.49277292461 |
| 26 | 2442 | 2462.09978104849 | -20.0997810484887 |
| 27 | 2194 | 2724.89961751446 | -530.899617514458 |
| 28 | 2798 | 1981.8210191837 | 816.178980816304 |
| 29 | 2074 | 2631.78948789086 | -557.789487890864 |
| 30 | 2628 | 2614.98599644236 | 13.014003557641 |
| 31 | 2289 | 2132.45535113346 | 156.544648866539 |
| 32 | 2154 | 2166.55628830473 | -12.5562883047301 |
| 33 | 2467 | 2256.81111422055 | 210.188885779445 |
| 34 | 2137 | 2556.94074765898 | -419.940747658984 |
| 35 | 1850 | 1741.9669008615 | 108.0330991385 |
| 36 | 2075 | 2070.94150705879 | 4.05849294120708 |
| 37 | 1791 | 2123.81555001439 | -332.815550014388 |
| 38 | 1755 | 1722.89061733877 | 32.1093826612332 |
| 39 | 2232 | 2035.55680703025 | 196.443192969753 |
| 40 | 1952 | 1987.18256568362 | -35.1825656836193 |
| 41 | 1822 | 1823.99310226177 | -1.99310226177204 |
| 42 | 2522 | 2338.0454399037 | 183.954560096296 |
| 43 | 2074 | 2018.78464163384 | 55.2153583661625 |
| 44 | 2366 | 1956.10329322252 | 409.896706777478 |
| 45 | 2173 | 2449.854148898 | -276.854148898 |
| 46 | 2094 | 2284.79609731079 | -190.796097310785 |
| 47 | 1833 | 1688.68436708599 | 144.315632914014 |
| 48 | 1858 | 2052.3133809889 | -194.313380988902 |
| 49 | 2040 | 1915.71720008869 | 124.282799911308 |
| 50 | 2133 | 1951.37899197592 | 181.621008024079 |
| 51 | 2921 | 2406.84768973124 | 514.152310268757 |
| 52 | 3252 | 2661.9258299298 | 590.074170070201 |
| 53 | 3318 | 3095.93561327398 | 222.064386726021 |
| 54 | 3554 | 3823.99118511454 | -269.991185114544 |
| 55 | 2308 | 3071.15479843343 | -763.154798433432 |
| 56 | 1621 | 2226.82646683961 | -605.826466839612 |
| 57 | 1315 | 1750.43325285447 | -435.433252854471 |
| 58 | 1501 | 1433.91210455793 | 67.0878954420664 |
| 59 | 1418 | 1084.11219701081 | 333.887802989187 |
| 60 | 1657 | 1628.80660485979 | 28.1933951402086 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 61 | 1704.73253128952 | 1078.34996597129 | 2331.11509660775 |
| 62 | 1621.68853362052 | 755.497121215216 | 2487.87994602583 |
| 63 | 1903.68620261819 | 850.965913218033 | 2956.40649201835 |
| 64 | 1667.68387161586 | 456.836047773077 | 2878.53169545865 |
| 65 | 1538.0982072802 | 187.511335844353 | 2888.68507871604 |
| 66 | 2054.0542096112 | 576.888903328616 | 3531.21951589378 |
| 67 | 1559.09354527554 | -34.6284464391335 | 3152.81553699021 |
| 68 | 1443.67454760654 | -258.642177232006 | 3145.99127244508 |
| 69 | 1545.92221660421 | -258.465401524193 | 3350.30983473261 |
| 70 | 1645.29488560188 | -255.690943184107 | 3546.28071438786 |
| 71 | 1231.41755459955 | -761.489760363995 | 3224.32486956309 |
| 72 | 1457.20689026388 | -623.56508446695 | 3537.97886499471 |
