| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 3440 | 3440 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 2678 | 2762.56414932993 | -38.4294472339593 | -46.9341401117968 | -1.39131405326396 |
| 3 | 2981 | 2964.37507626266 | -34.4992507077458 | -15.2280897087987 | 0.789451657079431 |
| 4 | 2260 | 2404.32440720153 | -38.129490035434 | -72.4254750209391 | -1.749725409212 |
| 5 | 2844 | 2787.72446033554 | -35.6398295514112 | -1.46681687196082 | 1.40372919805685 |
| 6 | 2546 | 2616.9378630644 | -36.4310097501767 | -52.4248638002104 | -0.450039480693289 |
| 7 | 2456 | 2504.81093178292 | -36.872530185916 | -38.4418938105226 | -0.252063773282742 |
| 8 | 2295 | 2353.20398297726 | -37.5381650903244 | -42.487301633522 | -0.382055629024362 |
| 9 | 2379 | 2397.89048101585 | -37.0638681016879 | -30.1539361052827 | 0.273797988041371 |
| 10 | 2479 | 2491.66534500014 | -36.3134786386894 | -30.5882478654914 | 0.435672166535127 |
| 11 | 2057 | 2155.56171402632 | -38.0230365340732 | -57.4948202591086 | -0.998242927527417 |
| 12 | 2280 | 2279.78261778632 | -37.1030841565549 | -22.0078043365294 | 0.540235111015348 |
| 13 | 2351 | 2068.04211820913 | -28.5110781527977 | 307.10864613802 | -0.701718303062675 |
| 14 | 2276 | 2284.24379908962 | -22.5637636862289 | -33.2335760789516 | 0.698413804787742 |
| 15 | 2548 | 2475.32365825642 | -20.3490107011 | 45.1095489852184 | 0.702148526187961 |
| 16 | 2311 | 2406.49203042451 | -20.5401635967329 | -89.0668255781634 | -0.161272118088235 |
| 17 | 2201 | 2219.49788754718 | -21.0358370878733 | 3.58910711340628 | -0.553787636648194 |
| 18 | 2725 | 2647.62600927868 | -19.6907083820496 | 17.7787827423547 | 1.49426312176725 |
| 19 | 2408 | 2473.88950709522 | -20.1575722969995 | -45.4519324923021 | -0.512462958019808 |
| 20 | 2139 | 2218.34662426683 | -20.8713073138351 | -48.1179165394986 | -0.783050525100425 |
| 21 | 1898 | 1967.15074142038 | -21.5692070632873 | -38.5934375522727 | -0.766217158281547 |
| 22 | 2539 | 2418.82668439509 | -20.119192266288 | 57.387573132685 | 1.57439873596696 |
| 23 | 2070 | 2184.37932005239 | -20.7934628034211 | -85.9432322054667 | -0.713119528459332 |
| 24 | 2063 | 2075.51966556452 | -20.9287243953168 | -0.831287298463279 | -0.292761134142018 |
| 25 | 2565 | 2251.96110297785 | -25.1411069055697 | 286.475937324934 | 0.715482782642285 |
| 26 | 2442 | 2452.96731388075 | -21.9133121382752 | -36.8706840165224 | 0.693600769263683 |
| 27 | 2194 | 2212.18293366375 | -23.7998725270208 | 9.49411147008802 | -0.718326994177994 |
| 28 | 2798 | 2724.15801014681 | -21.9459588259871 | 4.28370650681019 | 1.78145325981994 |
| 29 | 2074 | 2250.97325973203 | -22.9496444564121 | -118.279646038613 | -1.50093781396799 |
| 30 | 2628 | 2514.0605321113 | -22.3263967108169 | 76.7358999471762 | 0.951346084893503 |
| 31 | 2289 | 2360.7660850852 | -22.6202696194486 | -54.7334895868871 | -0.4355752957275 |
| 32 | 2154 | 2208.93345591683 | -22.9131924424353 | -38.1297623731913 | -0.429732535470575 |
| 33 | 2467 | 2470.62443235694 | -22.2616973688557 | -40.6361619500702 | 0.946550195717155 |
| 34 | 2137 | 2151.32247133335 | -22.9659282024811 | 24.3069111243238 | -0.988006462234519 |
| 35 | 1850 | 1959.95931943273 | -23.3567652471696 | -88.0568966975063 | -0.560161006672859 |
| 36 | 2075 | 2054.97404967379 | -23.3693126846558 | 4.62451732137457 | 0.393464503777829 |
| 37 | 1791 | 1674.14579806934 | -18.9800974785316 | 164.07393006388 | -1.24768538421856 |
| 38 | 1755 | 1735.29130512994 | -18.2281224710259 | 10.1131396895475 | 0.253708454225406 |
| 39 | 2232 | 2156.69835958469 | -14.9194679496732 | 20.2852888139341 | 1.44190297566575 |
| 40 | 1952 | 1958.34032777381 | -15.5485000999521 | 17.1849692373889 | -0.60965079356734 |
| 41 | 1822 | 1956.50352094609 | -15.5212724042376 | -136.266793666258 | 0.0456053604617785 |
| 42 | 2522 | 2320.04665030365 | -14.8338190485467 | 153.203944386492 | 1.26064779774233 |
| 43 | 2074 | 2161.79346697747 | -15.1034813892902 | -69.3515063096079 | -0.476935765256992 |
| 44 | 2366 | 2367.16672052163 | -14.677773554307 | -29.515443238572 | 0.733176845708424 |
| 45 | 2173 | 2220.4448125066 | -14.9401343132464 | -30.4669248707995 | -0.439121238667441 |
| 46 | 2094 | 2076.11275821785 | -15.2083464851037 | 34.5248388961547 | -0.43035973448493 |
| 47 | 1833 | 1951.5130644948 | -15.4029769696873 | -104.444512468925 | -0.36380150864198 |
| 48 | 1858 | 1836.78014539064 | -15.3164322446769 | 33.9993628764732 | -0.330312926305672 |
| 49 | 2040 | 1882.46949808194 | -15.7908761926556 | 149.575952170648 | 0.208900952876033 |
| 50 | 2133 | 2115.76744584923 | -14.1459752645584 | -13.2382628759383 | 0.802183184181099 |
| 51 | 2921 | 2713.74648949672 | -10.0854415322363 | 130.980843127096 | 2.00792147690468 |
| 52 | 3252 | 3131.83412154732 | -8.60092403552395 | 65.6555749932713 | 1.42225303490739 |
| 53 | 3318 | 3426.50126617655 | -8.0125491177434 | -147.246922835686 | 1.00862759333526 |
| 54 | 3554 | 3399.44879818759 | -8.04355250002009 | 156.984313200717 | -0.0633190157851033 |
| 55 | 2308 | 2619.23373440008 | -9.33306628653656 | -212.570092359061 | -2.56771568250534 |
| 56 | 1621 | 1824.25496038067 | -10.7054200617168 | -102.879054733754 | -2.61247732838662 |
| 57 | 1315 | 1405.43200190844 | -11.4531088883506 | -38.2909543394421 | -1.35719268456175 |
| 58 | 1501 | 1417.35509259598 | -11.4092896957244 | 80.658111406015 | 0.0777477237420598 |
| 59 | 1418 | 1477.44002527149 | -11.3128179888805 | -68.5766198420468 | 0.237716394275444 |
| 60 | 1657 | 1592.24200574156 | -11.4616814623807 | 48.6323266546997 | 0.419580031660107 |
