Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 601 | 0 | 61 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 3440 | 4028.77666915352 | 50.7645615173066 | 2800.45876932917 | 588.776669153523 |
2 | 2678 | 2716.94766684105 | -112.869586537598 | 2751.92191969655 | 38.9476668410452 |
3 | 2981 | 3036.11904487056 | 222.495885065504 | 2703.38507006393 | 55.119044870562 |
4 | 2260 | 1676.89142239028 | 185.051067979364 | 2658.05750963036 | -583.108577609721 |
5 | 2844 | 2929.86438270902 | 145.405668094196 | 2612.72994919678 | 85.8643827090245 |
6 | 2546 | 2019.2405325005 | 505.607122146518 | 2567.15234535299 | -526.759467499505 |
7 | 2456 | 2355.81684266293 | 34.6084158278765 | 2521.57474150919 | -100.183157337069 |
8 | 2295 | 2255.90577297644 | -143.269816780287 | 2477.36404380385 | -39.0942270235646 |
9 | 2379 | 2522.59480955033 | -197.748155648844 | 2433.15334609851 | 143.594809550333 |
10 | 2479 | 2630.20867664451 | -84.9767086455437 | 2412.76803200103 | 151.20867664451 |
11 | 2057 | 2101.82249459477 | -380.205212498322 | 2392.38271790356 | 44.8224945947654 |
12 | 2280 | 2408.92354024691 | -224.863353568927 | 2375.93981332202 | 128.92354024691 |
13 | 2351 | 2291.73852974222 | 50.7645615173066 | 2359.49690874048 | -59.2614702577839 |
14 | 2276 | 2324.73364998666 | -112.869586537598 | 2340.13593655094 | 48.7336499866556 |
15 | 2548 | 2552.72915057309 | 222.495885065504 | 2320.77496436141 | 4.72915057308956 |
16 | 2311 | 2128.59737950697 | 185.051067979364 | 2308.35155251367 | -182.402620493033 |
17 | 2201 | 1960.66619123987 | 145.405668094196 | 2295.92814066593 | -240.333808760127 |
18 | 2725 | 2646.89715165787 | 505.607122146518 | 2297.49572619561 | -78.1028483421314 |
19 | 2408 | 2482.32827244683 | 34.6084158278765 | 2299.0633117253 | 74.3282724468286 |
20 | 2139 | 2112.06074702152 | -143.269816780287 | 2309.20906975876 | -26.9392529784773 |
21 | 1898 | 1674.39332785661 | -197.748155648844 | 2319.35482779223 | -223.60667214339 |
22 | 2539 | 2836.33534107021 | -84.9767086455437 | 2326.64136757534 | 297.335341070206 |
23 | 2070 | 2186.27730513988 | -380.205212498322 | 2333.92790735844 | 116.277305139882 |
24 | 2063 | 2019.27362322109 | -224.863353568927 | 2331.58973034783 | -43.7263767789063 |
25 | 2565 | 2749.98388514547 | 50.7645615173066 | 2329.25155333723 | 184.983885145466 |
26 | 2442 | 2671.70972698534 | -112.869586537598 | 2325.15985955226 | 229.709726985339 |
27 | 2194 | 1844.43594916721 | 222.495885065504 | 2321.06816576729 | -349.564050832793 |
28 | 2798 | 3097.01777528406 | 185.051067979364 | 2313.93115673657 | 299.017775284064 |
29 | 2074 | 1695.80018419995 | 145.405668094196 | 2306.79414770585 | -378.199815800051 |
30 | 2628 | 2464.72899534001 | 505.607122146518 | 2285.66388251347 | -163.271004659986 |
31 | 2289 | 2278.85796685104 | 34.6084158278765 | 2264.53361732108 | -10.142033148958 |
32 | 2154 | 2218.37665612597 | -143.269816780287 | 2232.89316065432 | 64.3766561259717 |
33 | 2467 | 2930.49545166129 | -197.748155648844 | 2201.25270398755 | 463.495451661295 |
34 | 2137 | 2191.97049345548 | -84.9767086455437 | 2167.00621519006 | 54.9704934554834 |
35 | 1850 | 1947.44548610575 | -380.205212498322 | 2132.75972639257 | 97.4454861057516 |
36 | 2075 | 2271.47678410212 | -224.863353568927 | 2103.38656946681 | 196.476784102115 |
37 | 1791 | 1457.22202594164 | 50.7645615173066 | 2074.01341254105 | -333.77797405836 |
38 | 1755 | 1565.29294494287 | -112.869586537598 | 2057.57664159473 | -189.707055057128 |
39 | 2232 | 2200.3642442861 | 222.495885065504 | 2041.1398706484 | -31.6357557139017 |
40 | 1952 | 1678.28716358216 | 185.051067979364 | 2040.66176843848 | -273.712836417841 |
41 | 1822 | 1458.41066567725 | 145.405668094196 | 2040.18366622856 | -363.589334322751 |
42 | 2522 | 2484.08649313952 | 505.607122146518 | 2054.30638471396 | -37.9135068604826 |
43 | 2074 | 2044.96248097275 | 34.6084158278765 | 2068.42910319937 | -29.0375190272496 |
44 | 2366 | 2766.52814998291 | -143.269816780287 | 2108.74166679738 | 400.528149982908 |
45 | 2173 | 2394.69392525346 | -197.748155648844 | 2149.05423039539 | 221.693925253458 |
46 | 2094 | 2049.75621957165 | -84.9767086455437 | 2223.22048907389 | -44.2437804283486 |
47 | 1833 | 1748.81846474592 | -380.205212498322 | 2297.3867477524 | -84.1815352540757 |
48 | 1858 | 1579.79527127558 | -224.863353568927 | 2361.06808229335 | -278.204728724421 |
49 | 2040 | 1604.4860216484 | 50.7645615173066 | 2424.7494168343 | -435.513978351605 |
50 | 2133 | 1953.0286740116 | -112.869586537598 | 2425.840912526 | -179.971325988398 |
51 | 2921 | 3192.5717067168 | 222.495885065504 | 2426.93240821769 | 271.571706716803 |
52 | 3252 | 3959.4816162699 | 185.051067979364 | 2359.46731575074 | 707.481616269897 |
53 | 3318 | 4198.59210862202 | 145.405668094196 | 2292.00222328379 | 880.592108622019 |
54 | 3554 | 4367.54671972324 | 505.607122146518 | 2234.84615813025 | 813.546719723236 |
55 | 2308 | 2403.70149119542 | 34.6084158278765 | 2177.6900929767 | 95.7014911954188 |
56 | 1621 | 1272.3490571369 | -143.269816780287 | 2112.92075964339 | -348.650942863103 |
57 | 1315 | 779.596729338767 | -197.748155648844 | 2048.15142631008 | -535.403270661233 |
58 | 1501 | 1116.82802528727 | -84.9767086455437 | 1970.14868335828 | -384.171974712734 |
59 | 1418 | 1324.05927209184 | -380.205212498322 | 1892.14594040648 | -93.9407279081574 |
60 | 1657 | 1733.1439093116 | -224.863353568927 | 1805.71944425733 | 76.1439093115951 |