| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 30 | 34.0671084760339 | -0.315647737500083 | -0.315647736320408 | -0.291557373297855 |
| 3 | 47 | 39.275426470331 | 0.113018012001795 | 0.113018012001795 | 0.57810722881681 |
| 4 | 35 | 37.5988246303426 | 0.0060909458643964 | 0.00609094586439598 | -0.194826689186506 |
| 5 | 30 | 34.6319916400494 | -0.138701841110739 | -0.138701841110739 | -0.332719356911607 |
| 6 | 43 | 37.8293313125303 | 0.000285651626409727 | 0.000285651626410022 | 0.380389931704606 |
| 7 | 82 | 54.7345619167475 | 0.62634756064985 | 0.62634756064985 | 1.95163537398228 |
| 8 | 40 | 49.2755392226906 | 0.42015926453224 | 0.420159264532242 | -0.708355606356589 |
| 9 | 47 | 48.5140116877845 | 0.382764618394017 | 0.382764618394018 | -0.138315762523038 |
| 10 | 19 | 37.4418372331585 | 0.0393364749745145 | 0.0393364749745142 | -1.34590443367781 |
| 11 | 52 | 42.9493181865155 | 0.196170717118221 | 0.196170717118222 | 0.644219296450611 |
| 12 | 136 | 78.0934246813052 | 1.16140934668853 | 1.16140934668853 | 4.12554662749494 |
| 13 | 80 | 82.4051286178538 | 0.803640420746045 | -8.84004463197694 | 0.530695413896699 |
| 14 | 42 | 65.0516154570097 | 0.0542732866063948 | 0.0542732981022025 | -1.77265793824513 |
| 15 | 54 | 60.6291425254912 | -0.0882433292423381 | -0.088243329242337 | -0.486103540348744 |
| 16 | 66 | 62.6908737099899 | -0.0332820707490223 | -0.0332820707490209 | 0.244989298840089 |
| 17 | 81 | 69.659981811465 | 0.11730698149503 | 0.117306981495035 | 0.817044164758606 |
| 18 | 63 | 67.173086788663 | 0.068127459568833 | 0.0681274595688366 | -0.307662324045754 |
| 19 | 137 | 93.436457565874 | 0.517994328741957 | 0.517994328741966 | 3.11620636654481 |
| 20 | 72 | 85.5313682294048 | 0.382947139396543 | 0.382947139396555 | -1.00607626215171 |
| 21 | 107 | 93.6608381176705 | 0.501077597715928 | 0.501077597715938 | 0.927553150780204 |
| 22 | 58 | 80.45812737583 | 0.29976956664834 | 0.299769566648349 | -1.64344369296849 |
| 23 | 36 | 63.9281950226409 | 0.0595839574946417 | 0.059583957494641 | -2.02042796957818 |
| 24 | 52 | 59.4900688308256 | -0.00312603544044859 | -0.00312603544044848 | -0.540347393016699 |
| 25 | 79 | 65.1690061520987 | -0.296958208844443 | 3.26654028372152 | 0.816165033317329 |
| 26 | 77 | 69.9327176486847 | -0.163315949974213 | -0.163315938558108 | 0.539272846595519 |
| 27 | 54 | 63.696620041007 | -0.286952604417844 | -0.286952604417842 | -0.689459782018152 |
| 28 | 84 | 71.3619353098259 | -0.156428679699605 | -0.156428679699601 | 0.929872415242651 |
| 29 | 48 | 62.5185472672936 | -0.277017597853295 | -0.27701759785329 | -1.03081304004356 |
| 30 | 96 | 74.9979214739793 | -0.120646336742614 | -0.120646336742605 | 1.52551248940031 |
| 31 | 83 | 77.9573560185148 | -0.0861220386810155 | -0.0861220386810075 | 0.369942031906162 |
| 32 | 66 | 73.4756554423252 | -0.132363326923305 | -0.132363326923294 | -0.529281926642959 |
| 33 | 61 | 68.7937784991393 | -0.178117805613167 | -0.178117805613164 | -0.548659556966716 |
| 34 | 53 | 62.8678232937318 | -0.234077738159332 | -0.234077738159328 | -0.693843430170238 |
| 35 | 30 | 50.5756045911645 | -0.348675408541567 | -0.348675408541574 | -1.45649856734107 |
| 36 | 74 | 59.2017176271318 | -0.264959388325418 | -0.264959388325418 | 1.08452208749375 |
| 37 | 69 | 61.1893275433039 | -0.340371240783915 | 3.74408363723495 | 0.306763104211526 |
| 38 | 59 | 60.2507045257848 | -0.351987470897095 | -0.351987459254997 | -0.066247760813739 |
| 39 | 42 | 53.1654629114096 | -0.452754200831145 | -0.452754200831148 | -0.780050187683922 |
| 40 | 65 | 57.5263499877294 | -0.394569172192065 | -0.394569172192064 | 0.569637432311457 |
| 41 | 70 | 62.1044147443621 | -0.343605637696904 | -0.343605637696896 | 0.594750078816598 |
| 42 | 100 | 76.1680236737669 | -0.212868231685964 | -0.212868231685948 | 1.73293648060448 |
| 43 | 63 | 71.2077588624377 | -0.25236439589097 | -0.252364395890961 | -0.572834756068961 |
| 44 | 105 | 83.7167841105625 | -0.152464750570409 | -0.152464750570389 | 1.54266391675115 |
| 45 | 82 | 83.0393996995518 | -0.156402944758214 | -0.156402944758199 | -0.0635256836864092 |
| 46 | 81 | 82.2413689887265 | -0.161074338587761 | -0.161074338587742 | -0.077703576459442 |
| 47 | 75 | 79.5098014787918 | -0.179386208079512 | -0.1793862080795 | -0.311435530670776 |
| 48 | 102 | 87.8171010606124 | -0.119908842039537 | -0.119908842039515 | 1.02853430095686 |
| 49 | 121 | 98.1776818910438 | -0.379309685676416 | 4.17240652571004 | 1.3895631762375 |
| 50 | 98 | 98.0252746803681 | -0.375826136746588 | -0.375826120112694 | 0.0256752910698797 |
| 51 | 76 | 89.5513253984587 | -0.471636483978675 | -0.471636483978645 | -0.949061239410507 |
| 52 | 77 | 84.7142597572061 | -0.513397331351034 | -0.513397331351008 | -0.520171727227506 |
| 53 | 63 | 76.467998024928 | -0.576211519011183 | -0.576211519011155 | -0.929148216472264 |
| 54 | 37 | 61.6153898382439 | -0.679051355188246 | -0.67905135518823 | -1.72302404623255 |
| 55 | 35 | 51.5421477424259 | -0.741189245074906 | -0.741189245074901 | -1.13660581313807 |
| 56 | 23 | 40.746673744239 | -0.803861372835162 | -0.803861372835162 | -1.2182308723515 |
| 57 | 40 | 40.2625459617518 | -0.80194846900267 | -0.801948469002676 | 0.0387744119577759 |
| 58 | 29 | 35.8754052045394 | -0.822793626493745 | -0.822793626493749 | -0.435015168551769 |
| 59 | 37 | 36.0806288000063 | -0.816936799470949 | -0.816936799470958 | 0.124779242374854 |
| 60 | 51 | 41.4056602182784 | -0.78246431340705 | -0.78246431340705 | 0.745672597690209 |
| 61 | 20 | 30.8153768097132 | -0.58990922794834 | 6.4890014994434 | -1.27958596447687 |
| 62 | 28 | 29.5928933586227 | -0.597939928050207 | -0.597939919793418 | -0.072578703769454 |
| 63 | 13 | 23.1643183786699 | -0.654977397708129 | -0.654977397708155 | -0.688443432908597 |
| 64 | 22 | 22.5639431676384 | -0.654545206872247 | -0.65454520687227 | 0.00653549948649092 |
| 65 | 25 | 23.306533897525 | -0.645145843610734 | -0.645145843610752 | 0.168379159219014 |
| 66 | 13 | 19.3067220526953 | -0.665180436527215 | -0.665180436527237 | -0.405776123705453 |
| 67 | 16 | 17.9072739612615 | -0.669211175383106 | -0.66921117538313 | -0.0889978055465433 |
| 68 | 13 | 15.9132663235983 | -0.676071446853364 | -0.676071446853388 | -0.160764798113387 |
| 69 | 16 | 15.7710514423186 | -0.673415469238442 | -0.67341546923847 | 0.0648302152090737 |
| 70 | 17 | 16.0530129299213 | -0.66879187280381 | -0.668791872803831 | 0.116070035945486 |
| 71 | 9 | 13.2647382320071 | -0.678852256618217 | -0.678852256618247 | -0.257571298809853 |
| 72 | 17 | 14.4742987156403 | -0.670013551996105 | -0.67001355199613 | 0.229532515330214 |
| 73 | 25 | 15.108449005177 | -0.69123065051999 | 7.60353714863137 | 0.168326295903008 |
| 74 | 14 | 14.5224713499744 | -0.690091592759751 | -0.690091585715642 | 0.0121933502720044 |
| 75 | 8 | 11.8921752169747 | -0.70626982441512 | -0.706269824415147 | -0.230287013996705 |
| 76 | 7 | 9.88411969105073 | -0.715057226921945 | -0.715057226921972 | -0.156306743909773 |
| 77 | 10 | 9.7449910114781 | -0.711750639831308 | -0.71175063983133 | 0.0695565556643066 |
| 78 | 7 | 8.54205051946086 | -0.714255870683049 | -0.714255870683071 | -0.059506993644035 |
| 79 | 10 | 8.89933968733015 | -0.709228707951349 | -0.709228707951372 | 0.130042000680163 |
| 80 | 3 | 6.5278635413411 | -0.71659042961966 | -0.716590429619683 | -0.201933369589595 |
