Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 961 | 0 | 97 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 12008 | 13251.0100504747 | 1665.30644730186 | 9099.68350222342 | 1243.01005047472 |
2 | 9169 | 9069.2147052992 | 236.657954566572 | 9032.12734013424 | -99.7852947008068 |
3 | 8788 | 7973.66913452228 | 637.759687432669 | 8964.57117804505 | -814.330865477718 |
4 | 8417 | 8028.1807749118 | -93.1770748706132 | 8898.99629995881 | -388.819225088193 |
5 | 8247 | 7951.8173120407 | -291.23873391326 | 8833.42142187256 | -295.182687959301 |
6 | 8197 | 8175.7373008356 | -549.319814322384 | 8767.58251348679 | -21.2626991644047 |
7 | 8236 | 8139.03224123255 | -368.775846333566 | 8701.74360510102 | -96.9677587674505 |
8 | 8253 | 8463.02944203181 | -601.952502899678 | 8644.92306086787 | 210.02944203181 |
9 | 7733 | 7726.90171897526 | -849.004235609977 | 8588.10251663472 | -6.09828102474421 |
10 | 8366 | 8425.72465323181 | -276.974381784992 | 8583.24972855318 | 59.7246532318131 |
11 | 8626 | 8912.1728962229 | -238.569836694533 | 8578.39694047164 | 286.172896222895 |
12 | 8863 | 8406.86732471246 | 729.288355790023 | 8589.84431949752 | -456.132675287539 |
13 | 10102 | 9937.40185417474 | 1665.30644730186 | 8601.2916985234 | -164.598145825255 |
14 | 8463 | 8080.84031276675 | 236.657954566572 | 8608.50173266668 | -382.159687233254 |
15 | 9114 | 8974.52854575736 | 637.759687432669 | 8615.71176680997 | -139.471454242639 |
16 | 8563 | 8599.68955852511 | -93.1770748706132 | 8619.4875163455 | 36.6895585251132 |
17 | 8872 | 9411.97546803223 | -291.23873391326 | 8623.26326588103 | 539.975468032228 |
18 | 8301 | 8503.1755894842 | -549.319814322384 | 8648.14422483818 | 202.175589484201 |
19 | 8301 | 8297.75066253823 | -368.775846333566 | 8673.02518379533 | -3.24933746176976 |
20 | 8278 | 8457.87443198398 | -601.952502899678 | 8700.0780709157 | 179.874431983983 |
21 | 7736 | 7593.87327757392 | -849.004235609977 | 8727.13095803606 | -142.126722426079 |
22 | 7973 | 7492.23678920662 | -276.974381784992 | 8730.73759257837 | -480.763210793375 |
23 | 8268 | 8040.22560957386 | -238.569836694533 | 8734.34422712068 | -227.774390426144 |
24 | 9476 | 9492.74874263702 | 729.288355790023 | 8729.96290157296 | 16.7487426370153 |
25 | 11100 | 11809.1119766729 | 1665.30644730186 | 8725.58157602525 | 709.111976672892 |
26 | 8962 | 8950.97522736594 | 236.657954566572 | 8736.36681806749 | -11.024772634064 |
27 | 9173 | 8961.0882524576 | 637.759687432669 | 8747.15206010973 | -211.911747542405 |
28 | 8738 | 8810.94873910594 | -93.1770748706132 | 8758.22833576468 | 72.9487391059356 |
29 | 8459 | 8439.93412249364 | -291.23873391326 | 8769.30461141962 | -19.0658775063584 |
30 | 8078 | 7945.57697207037 | -549.319814322384 | 8759.74284225201 | -132.42302792963 |
31 | 8411 | 8440.59477324916 | -368.775846333566 | 8750.18107308441 | 29.5947732491568 |
32 | 8291 | 8445.25546694407 | -601.952502899678 | 8738.69703595561 | 154.255466944071 |
33 | 7810 | 7741.79123678317 | -849.004235609977 | 8727.2129988268 | -68.2087632168314 |
34 | 8616 | 8774.27947921438 | -276.974381784992 | 8734.6949025706 | 158.279479214385 |
35 | 8312 | 8120.39303038013 | -238.569836694533 | 8742.1768063144 | -191.606969619874 |
36 | 9692 | 9901.38159563134 | 729.288355790023 | 8753.33004857864 | 209.381595631336 |
37 | 9911 | 9392.21026185526 | 1665.30644730186 | 8764.48329084288 | -518.789738144738 |
38 | 8915 | 8811.06532623422 | 236.657954566572 | 8782.27671919921 | -103.934673765782 |
39 | 9452 | 9466.1701650118 | 637.759687432669 | 8800.07014755554 | 14.1701650117921 |
40 | 9112 | 9487.69616533108 | -93.1770748706132 | 8829.48090953953 | 375.696165331083 |
41 | 8472 | 8376.34706238974 | -291.23873391326 | 8858.89167152352 | -95.6529376102626 |
42 | 8230 | 8118.7951741021 | -549.319814322384 | 8890.52464022028 | -111.204825897896 |
43 | 8384 | 8214.61823741653 | -368.775846333566 | 8922.15760891704 | -169.381762583471 |
44 | 8625 | 8932.6307078908 | -601.952502899678 | 8919.32179500888 | 307.630707890794 |
45 | 8221 | 8374.51825450925 | -849.004235609977 | 8916.48598110073 | 153.518254509247 |
46 | 8649 | 8697.23524969104 | -276.974381784992 | 8877.73913209395 | 48.2352496910389 |
47 | 8625 | 8649.57755360736 | -238.569836694533 | 8838.99228308717 | 24.5775536073579 |
48 | 10443 | 11364.8349337838 | 729.288355790023 | 8791.87671042619 | 921.834933783786 |
49 | 10357 | 10303.9324149329 | 1665.30644730186 | 8744.7611377652 | -53.0675850670668 |
50 | 8586 | 8240.47236915639 | 236.657954566572 | 8694.86967627704 | -345.527630843613 |
51 | 8892 | 8501.26209777846 | 637.759687432669 | 8644.97821478887 | -390.737902221543 |
52 | 8329 | 8151.35254298267 | -93.1770748706132 | 8599.82453188795 | -177.647457017332 |
53 | 8101 | 7938.56788492624 | -291.23873391326 | 8554.67084898702 | -162.432115073758 |
54 | 7922 | 7859.63926898677 | -549.319814322384 | 8533.68054533561 | -62.3607310132302 |
55 | 8120 | 8096.08560464936 | -368.775846333566 | 8512.6902416842 | -23.9143953506427 |
56 | 7838 | 7731.53721859468 | -601.952502899678 | 8546.415284305 | -106.462781405318 |
57 | 7735 | 7738.86390868419 | -849.004235609977 | 8580.14032692578 | 3.86390868419403 |
58 | 8406 | 8458.93721526025 | -276.974381784992 | 8630.03716652474 | 52.9372152602518 |
59 | 8209 | 7976.63583057083 | -238.569836694533 | 8679.9340061237 | -232.364169429167 |
60 | 9451 | 9476.05705356138 | 729.288355790023 | 8696.6545906486 | 25.0570535613751 |
61 | 10041 | 9703.31837752463 | 1665.30644730186 | 8713.3751751735 | -337.681622475366 |
62 | 9411 | 9887.58942709805 | 236.657954566572 | 8697.75261833538 | 476.589427098052 |
63 | 10405 | 11490.1102510701 | 637.759687432669 | 8682.13006149725 | 1085.11025107008 |
64 | 8467 | 8369.92008151995 | -93.1770748706132 | 8657.25699335066 | -97.0799184800508 |
65 | 8464 | 8586.85480870918 | -291.23873391326 | 8632.38392520408 | 122.854808709177 |
66 | 8102 | 8159.06157062724 | -549.319814322384 | 8594.25824369515 | 57.0615706272383 |
67 | 7627 | 7066.64328414736 | -368.775846333566 | 8556.1325621862 | -560.356715852643 |
68 | 7513 | 7120.57863208808 | -601.952502899678 | 8507.3738708116 | -392.421367911922 |
69 | 7510 | 7410.38905617299 | -849.004235609977 | 8458.61517943699 | -99.6109438270123 |
70 | 8291 | 8425.7207349122 | -276.974381784992 | 8433.25364687278 | 134.720734912207 |
71 | 8064 | 7958.67772238595 | -238.569836694533 | 8407.89211430858 | -105.32227761405 |
72 | 9383 | 9603.95163858882 | 729.288355790023 | 8432.76000562116 | 220.951638588822 |
73 | 9706 | 9289.06565576441 | 1665.30644730186 | 8457.62789693373 | -416.934344235587 |
74 | 8579 | 8429.96406615424 | 236.657954566572 | 8491.37797927919 | -149.035933845762 |
75 | 9474 | 9785.11225094268 | 637.759687432669 | 8525.12806162465 | 311.112250942677 |
76 | 8318 | 8198.20956353839 | -93.1770748706132 | 8530.96751133222 | -119.790436461608 |
77 | 8213 | 8180.43177287347 | -291.23873391326 | 8536.80696103979 | -32.5682271265287 |
78 | 8059 | 8147.9590899952 | -549.319814322384 | 8519.36072432718 | 88.9590899952 |
79 | 9111 | 10088.861358719 | -368.775846333566 | 8501.91448761458 | 977.861358718987 |
80 | 7708 | 7532.81758031397 | -601.952502899678 | 8485.13492258571 | -175.182419686033 |
81 | 7680 | 7740.64887805313 | -849.004235609977 | 8468.35535755684 | 60.6488780531345 |
82 | 8014 | 7859.39849690276 | -276.974381784992 | 8445.57588488224 | -154.601503097245 |
83 | 8007 | 7829.7734244869 | -238.569836694533 | 8422.79641220763 | -177.226575513097 |
84 | 8718 | 8316.06157950339 | 729.288355790023 | 8390.6500647066 | -401.938420496614 |
85 | 9486 | 8948.1898354926 | 1665.30644730186 | 8358.50371720555 | -537.81016450741 |
86 | 9113 | 9649.9745304112 | 236.657954566572 | 8339.36751502222 | 536.974530411209 |
87 | 9025 | 9092.00899972844 | 637.759687432669 | 8320.23131283889 | 67.0089997284449 |
88 | 8476 | 8703.90884070193 | -93.1770748706132 | 8341.26823416868 | 227.90884070193 |
89 | 7952 | 7832.93357841478 | -291.23873391326 | 8362.30515549848 | -119.066421585221 |
90 | 7759 | 7690.54987573 | -549.319814322384 | 8376.76993859239 | -68.4501242700044 |
91 | 7835 | 7647.54112464727 | -368.775846333566 | 8391.23472168629 | -187.458875352728 |
92 | 7600 | 7398.41888384599 | -601.952502899678 | 8403.53361905369 | -201.581116154008 |
93 | 7651 | 7735.1717191889 | -849.004235609977 | 8415.83251642108 | 84.1717191888984 |
94 | 8319 | 8486.41748542095 | -276.974381784992 | 8428.55689636404 | 167.417485420954 |
95 | 8812 | 9421.28856038753 | -238.569836694533 | 8441.281276307 | 609.288560387535 |
96 | 8630 | 8076.02840257242 | 729.288355790023 | 8454.68324163756 | -553.971597427584 |