Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 39923931 | NA | NA | 1.10103771417634 | NA |
2 | 35810356.5 | NA | NA | 0.930816356211068 | NA |
3 | 35492936.3 | NA | NA | 0.942277243646016 | NA |
4 | 38937434.1 | NA | NA | 1.09878429132752 | NA |
5 | 40059102.8 | NA | NA | 0.986218438865859 | NA |
6 | 37708710.2 | NA | NA | 0.994281278646135 | NA |
7 | 41570965.7 | 38916988.8300614 | 38916987.775 | 1.05506138622319 | 1.01244902538914 |
8 | 36333563 | 39256103.9735822 | 39256103.0375 | 0.936082238269316 | 0.98875068813601 |
9 | 34181220.1 | 39505220.1870008 | 39505219.2958333 | 0.891167443638911 | 0.970898369008165 |
10 | 42593543.9 | 39859514.1683749 | 39859513.1625 | 1.00587492447288 | 1.06235044549092 |
11 | 43119727.6 | 40140020.1898723 | 40140019.1458333 | 1.04403895635039 | 1.02892028527867 |
12 | 38497690.9 | 40332059.7601931 | 40332058.7458333 | 1.01435972817238 | 0.94100578097118 |
13 | 45473273.4 | 40564124.646871 | 40564123.5458333 | 1.10103771417634 | 1.01815037618592 |
14 | 38399780.4 | 40750416.8766497 | 40750415.9458333 | 0.930816356211068 | 1.01235466548443 |
15 | 38882302.6 | 40882006.1089439 | 40882005.1666667 | 0.942277243646016 | 1.00934836573236 |
16 | 44051120.6 | 40954846.2654509 | 40954845.1666667 | 1.09878429132752 | 0.978902032912216 |
17 | 41677559.9 | 40940889.4362184 | 40940888.45 | 0.986218438865859 | 1.03221912947441 |
18 | 40699203.5 | 40958760.9109479 | 40958759.9166667 | 0.994281278646135 | 0.999378146713194 |
19 | 44150027.6 | 40977228.4133947 | 40977227.3583333 | 1.05506138622319 | 1.02119970637042 |
20 | 38225518.7 | 40890602.1027489 | 40890601.1666667 | 0.936082238269316 | 0.998655934093855 |
21 | 35447405.7 | 40786834.0328341 | 40786833.1416667 | 0.891167443638911 | 0.975225744021793 |
22 | 43075518.3 | 40822349.6475416 | 40822348.6416667 | 1.00587492447288 | 1.04903153211487 |
23 | 42302792 | 40933266.5482056 | 40933265.5041667 | 1.04403895635039 | 0.989864924903906 |
24 | 39743541.7 | 40904122.6101931 | 40904121.5958333 | 1.01435972817238 | 0.957872040537439 |
25 | 44670641.2 | 40918910.8885377 | 40918909.7875 | 1.10103771417634 | 0.99150734765039 |
26 | 37123384 | 41003367.109983 | 41003366.1791667 | 0.930816356211068 | 0.972666682578491 |
27 | 37668266.4 | 41186050.9089439 | 41186049.9666667 | 0.942277243646016 | 0.970614529826079 |
28 | 46117528.8 | 41534376.377951 | 41534375.2791667 | 1.09878429132752 | 1.01052230285537 |
29 | 42273156.4 | 41890525.0987184 | 41890524.1125 | 0.986218438865859 | 1.02323588918376 |
30 | 39404153.2 | 42286724.9651146 | 42286723.9708333 | 0.994281278646135 | 0.937192265735419 |
31 | 45799994.5 | 42755830.6800614 | 42755829.625 | 1.05506138622319 | 1.01529526150037 |
32 | 38602505.2 | 43249786.4027489 | 43249785.4666667 | 0.936082238269316 | 0.953493041161971 |
33 | 39454830.1 | 43843736.4536674 | 43843735.5625 | 0.891167443638911 | 1.0097952314765 |
34 | 47427901.4 | 44529133.5517083 | 44529132.5458333 | 1.00587492447288 | 1.05887743071459 |
35 | 46497980.9 | 45039503.9023723 | 45039502.8583333 | 1.04403895635039 | 0.988834938044334 |
36 | 45057149.4 | 45697265.0643597 | 45697264.05 | 1.01435972817238 | 0.972034130384054 |
37 | 50615569.2 | 46407406.971871 | 46407405.8708333 | 1.10103771417634 | 0.990591591906233 |
38 | 43033396.2 | 46835492.9933164 | 46835492.0625 | 0.930816356211068 | 0.987112220591479 |
39 | 46013056.5 | 47268281.9422773 | 47268281 | 0.942277243646016 | 1.03307671168037 |
40 | 54222266.3 | 47769348.5571176 | 47769347.4583333 | 1.09878429132752 | 1.03303709065828 |
41 | 46417306.4 | 48376131.0612184 | 48376130.075 | 0.986218438865859 | 0.972916778908705 |
42 | 51046271.8 | 49087226.7651146 | 49087225.7708333 | 0.994281278646135 | 1.04589064478343 |
43 | 51201279.6 | 49788627.609228 | 49788626.5541667 | 1.05506138622319 | 0.97470442985576 |
44 | 43475288.7 | 50452961.4777489 | 50452960.5416667 | 0.936082238269316 | 0.920538198158456 |
45 | 44968981.1 | 50959280.8620008 | 50959279.9708333 | 0.891167443638911 | 0.990217169021196 |
46 | 53939345.4 | 51279141.9183749 | 51279140.9125 | 1.00587492447288 | 1.0457333273198 |
47 | 54549319.7 | 51648976.269039 | 51648975.225 | 1.04403895635039 | 1.01160490361174 |
48 | 54072107.3 | 52012054.0101931 | 52012052.9958333 | 1.01435972817238 | 1.02489010511033 |
49 | 58434230.1 | 52361287.9427044 | 52361286.8416667 | 1.10103771417634 | 1.01357250219007 |
50 | 51158751 | 52761625.797483 | 52761624.8666667 | 0.930816356211068 | 1.04168824927821 |
51 | 50039368 | 53063213.0714439 | 53063212.1291667 | 0.942277243646016 | 1.00078221069381 |
52 | 57872617.4 | 53128692.5446176 | 53128691.4458333 | 1.09878429132752 | 0.991360391506742 |
53 | 51642978.8 | 53137800.2445518 | 53137799.2583333 | 0.986218438865859 | 0.985450020365729 |
54 | 54534465.9 | 53180351.7942813 | 53180350.8 | 0.994281278646135 | 1.03136076070057 |
55 | 56094697.8 | 53028174.9800614 | 53028173.925 | 1.05506138622319 | 1.00262242020606 |
56 | 48189983.1 | NA | NA | 0.936082238269316 | NA |
57 | 47492381 | NA | NA | 0.891167443638911 | NA |
58 | 52987449.1 | NA | NA | 1.00587492447288 | NA |
59 | 55719803.5 | NA | NA | 1.04403895635039 | NA |
60 | 53922860.5 | NA | NA | 1.01435972817238 | NA |
61 | 54931231.9 | NA | NA | NA | NA |