Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 601 | 0 | 61 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 467037 | 470727.412866443 | 1810.091783758 | 461536.495349799 | 3690.4128664434 |
2 | 460070 | 460707.574360065 | -3306.31723266616 | 462738.742872601 | 637.574360065453 |
3 | 447988 | 444410.590871732 | -12375.5812671351 | 463940.990395403 | -3577.40912826778 |
4 | 442867 | 442892.754177803 | -22318.6436733366 | 465159.889495534 | 25.7541778029408 |
5 | 436087 | 437203.241587664 | -31408.0301833287 | 466378.788595664 | 1116.24158766423 |
6 | 431328 | 426708.952654231 | -31654.5947072016 | 467601.642052971 | -4619.04734576889 |
7 | 484015 | 477496.228896794 | 21709.2755929299 | 468824.495510277 | -6518.7711032065 |
8 | 509673 | 516063.147239316 | 33220.5706502743 | 470062.28211041 | 6390.14723931573 |
9 | 512927 | 524233.412938165 | 30320.5183512914 | 471300.068710543 | 11306.4129381652 |
10 | 502831 | 516403.117939196 | 16448.2320971224 | 472810.649963682 | 13572.117939196 |
11 | 470984 | 469406.144511634 | -1759.37572845384 | 474321.23121682 | -1577.85548836592 |
12 | 471067 | 466753.283536843 | -686.145336570256 | 476066.861799727 | -4313.71646315715 |
13 | 476049 | 472475.415833607 | 1810.091783758 | 477812.492382635 | -3573.58416639303 |
14 | 474605 | 472791.972052981 | -3306.31723266616 | 479724.345179685 | -1813.02794701903 |
15 | 470439 | 471617.3832904 | -12375.5812671351 | 481636.197976735 | 1178.38329039968 |
16 | 461251 | 460581.508027769 | -22318.6436733366 | 484239.135645567 | -669.491972230666 |
17 | 454724 | 454013.95686893 | -31408.0301833287 | 486842.073314399 | -710.043131070386 |
18 | 455626 | 452769.231017231 | -31654.5947072016 | 490137.363689971 | -2856.7689827694 |
19 | 516847 | 518552.070341527 | 21709.2755929299 | 493432.654065543 | 1705.07034152711 |
20 | 525192 | 520153.371992324 | 33220.5706502743 | 497010.057357402 | -5038.62800767622 |
21 | 522975 | 515042.020999448 | 30320.5183512914 | 500587.460649261 | -7932.97900055227 |
22 | 518585 | 516339.362527675 | 16448.2320971224 | 504382.405375203 | -2245.63747232547 |
23 | 509239 | 512060.025627309 | -1759.37572845384 | 508177.350101145 | 2821.02562730864 |
24 | 512238 | 512835.570885462 | -686.145336570256 | 512326.574451108 | 597.570885462046 |
25 | 519164 | 520042.109415171 | 1810.091783758 | 516475.798801071 | 878.109415170737 |
26 | 517009 | 516577.738059973 | -3306.31723266616 | 520746.579172693 | -431.26194002718 |
27 | 509933 | 507224.22172282 | -12375.5812671351 | 525017.359544315 | -2708.77827718039 |
28 | 509127 | 511654.462255239 | -22318.6436733366 | 528918.181418097 | 2527.46225523914 |
29 | 500857 | 500303.026891449 | -31408.0301833287 | 532819.003291879 | -553.973108550766 |
30 | 506971 | 509208.719170307 | -31654.5947072016 | 536387.875536895 | 2237.71917030681 |
31 | 569323 | 576979.97662516 | 21709.2755929299 | 539956.74778191 | 7656.97662515996 |
32 | 579714 | 582768.962092982 | 33220.5706502743 | 543438.467256743 | 3054.96209298249 |
33 | 577992 | 578743.294917132 | 30320.5183512914 | 546920.186731576 | 751.294917132356 |
34 | 565464 | 564379.830411669 | 16448.2320971224 | 550099.937491208 | -1084.16958833055 |
35 | 547344 | 543167.687477614 | -1759.37572845384 | 553279.68825084 | -4176.31252238597 |
36 | 554788 | 554174.960046865 | -686.145336570256 | 556087.185289705 | -613.039953134721 |
37 | 562325 | 563945.225887672 | 1810.091783758 | 558894.68232857 | 1620.22588767204 |
38 | 560854 | 563359.238495107 | -3306.31723266616 | 561655.078737559 | 2505.23849510739 |
39 | 555332 | 558624.106120588 | -12375.5812671351 | 564415.475146548 | 3292.10612058756 |
40 | 543599 | 542063.257719118 | -22318.6436733366 | 567453.385954218 | -1535.74228088174 |
41 | 536662 | 534240.73342144 | -31408.0301833287 | 570491.296761889 | -2421.26657856046 |
42 | 542722 | 543638.447337787 | -31654.5947072016 | 573460.147369415 | 916.447337786783 |
43 | 593530 | 588921.72643013 | 21709.2755929299 | 576428.99797694 | -4608.27356987027 |
44 | 610763 | 609285.023175857 | 33220.5706502743 | 579020.406173869 | -1477.9768241432 |
45 | 612613 | 613293.667277911 | 30320.5183512914 | 581611.814370797 | 680.667277911096 |
46 | 611324 | 622128.892183061 | 16448.2320971224 | 584070.875719817 | 10804.8921830606 |
47 | 594167 | 603563.438659618 | -1759.37572845384 | 586529.937068836 | 9396.43865961768 |
48 | 595454 | 602777.574881169 | -686.145336570256 | 588816.570455401 | 7323.57488116901 |
49 | 590865 | 588816.704374276 | 1810.091783758 | 591103.203841966 | -2048.29562572436 |
50 | 589379 | 589267.158436278 | -3306.31723266616 | 592797.158796388 | -111.841563722002 |
51 | 584428 | 586740.467516325 | -12375.5812671351 | 594491.11375081 | 2312.46751632518 |
52 | 573100 | 573440.350986998 | -22318.6436733366 | 595078.292686339 | 340.350986998063 |
53 | 567456 | 570654.558561461 | -31408.0301833287 | 595665.471621867 | 3198.5585614614 |
54 | 569028 | 573548.09362621 | -31654.5947072016 | 596162.501080991 | 4520.09362621012 |
55 | 620735 | 623101.193866954 | 21709.2755929299 | 596659.530540116 | 2366.1938669543 |
56 | 628884 | 627446.293375659 | 33220.5706502743 | 597101.135974067 | -1437.70662434085 |
57 | 628232 | 628600.740240691 | 30320.5183512914 | 597542.741408017 | 368.740240691113 |
58 | 612117 | 609867.231364481 | 16448.2320971224 | 597918.536538397 | -2249.76863551943 |
59 | 595404 | 594273.044059678 | -1759.37572845384 | 598294.331668776 | -1130.95594032248 |
60 | 597141 | 596345.198976062 | -686.145336570256 | 598622.946360509 | -795.801023938344 |