Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 6 | 0 | 1 |
Trend | 25 | 1 | 3 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 13328 | 13332.6956181429 | -81.0116511844088 | 13404.3160330416 | 4.69561814285225 |
2 | 12873 | 12972.7612221001 | -722.806028180995 | 13496.0448060809 | 99.761222100069 |
3 | 14000 | 13993.1286343948 | 419.097786484906 | 13587.7735791203 | -6.8713656052023 |
4 | 13477 | 13343.1459931567 | -68.6483453163972 | 13679.5023521597 | -133.85400684327 |
5 | 14237 | 14363.4753653314 | 338.457073639692 | 13772.0675610289 | 126.475365331396 |
6 | 13674 | 13829.5352067305 | -346.167976628617 | 13864.6327698982 | 155.535206730465 |
7 | 13529 | 13373.8340173087 | -273.031996076073 | 13957.1979787674 | -155.165982691326 |
8 | 14058 | 14160.9605205359 | -95.099411973193 | 14050.1388914373 | 102.960520535913 |
9 | 12975 | 12597.1471778698 | -790.226981976949 | 14143.0798041072 | -377.852822130211 |
10 | 14326 | 14435.7477097911 | -19.7684265681667 | 14236.020716777 | 109.747709791123 |
11 | 14008 | 14114.2725715221 | -426.859504490634 | 14328.5869329686 | 106.272571522055 |
12 | 16193 | 15895.7632821183 | 2069.08356872163 | 14421.1531491601 | -297.23671788174 |
13 | 14483 | 14535.46141794 | -83.180783291617 | 14513.7193653516 | 52.4614179399687 |
14 | 14011 | 14147.0167511259 | -728.409826967599 | 14603.3930758417 | 136.016751125922 |
15 | 15057 | 14981.3480572055 | 439.585156462756 | 14693.0667863317 | -75.6519427944586 |
16 | 14884 | 15057.2926386581 | -72.0331354798412 | 14782.7404968217 | 173.292638658111 |
17 | 15414 | 15637.4910207373 | 324.474965031873 | 14866.0340142308 | 223.491020737281 |
18 | 14440 | 14271.4728949427 | -340.800426582659 | 14949.32753164 | -168.527105057303 |
19 | 14900 | 15049.2490836636 | -281.870132712652 | 15032.6210490491 | 149.249083663575 |
20 | 15074 | 15138.8516685111 | -101.709996975734 | 15110.8583284646 | 64.851668511119 |
21 | 14442 | 14472.7346778447 | -777.830285724817 | 15189.0956078802 | 30.734677844659 |
22 | 15307 | 15389.9392993902 | -43.272186685946 | 15267.3328872957 | 82.9392993902493 |
23 | 14938 | 14957.2845399465 | -430.179108481902 | 15348.8945685354 | 19.2845399465077 |
24 | 17193 | 16869.8762669559 | 2085.66748326898 | 15430.4562497751 | -323.123733044071 |
25 | 15528 | 15626.7708886471 | -82.7888196619038 | 15512.0179310148 | 98.7708886471191 |
26 | 14765 | 14667.60486735 | -735.830234630371 | 15598.2253672803 | -97.3951326499664 |
27 | 15838 | 15516.0022392683 | 475.56495718584 | 15684.4328035459 | -321.997760731731 |
28 | 15723 | 15747.451245691 | -72.0914855024127 | 15770.6402398114 | 24.4512456909688 |
29 | 16150 | 16140.6282896815 | 305.222848797656 | 15854.1488615208 | -9.3717103184772 |
30 | 15486 | 15372.2721654103 | -337.929648640509 | 15937.6574832302 | -113.727834589688 |
31 | 15986 | 16241.8474212424 | -291.013526181977 | 16021.1661049396 | 255.847421242401 |
32 | 15983 | 15983.546514526 | -112.711606683984 | 16095.165092158 | 0.546514526004103 |
33 | 15692 | 15960.3255280586 | -745.489607434967 | 16169.1640793764 | 268.325528058584 |
34 | 16490 | 16820.4799140976 | -83.6429806923574 | 16243.1630665948 | 330.47991409757 |
35 | 15686 | 15511.552092617 | -438.673302346524 | 16299.1212097295 | -174.447907382952 |
36 | 18897 | 19322.5354799325 | 2116.38516720335 | 16355.0793528642 | 425.53547993249 |
37 | 16316 | 16307.100138761 | -86.1376347598996 | 16411.0374959989 | -8.89986123895142 |
38 | 15636 | 15591.3290710746 | -768.617684692637 | 16449.2886136181 | -44.6709289254322 |
39 | 17163 | 17267.912707048 | 570.547561714681 | 16487.5397312373 | 104.912707048028 |
40 | 16534 | 16638.964040685 | -96.7548895415523 | 16525.7908488565 | 104.964040685041 |
41 | 16518 | 16228.3771494676 | 245.406893638274 | 16562.2159568942 | -289.622850532442 |
42 | 16375 | 16461.8476394069 | -310.488704338738 | 16598.6410649318 | 86.8476394069185 |
43 | 16290 | 16274.2320207879 | -329.298193757406 | 16635.0661729695 | -15.7679792120689 |
44 | 16352 | 16163.0576302675 | -140.153282429717 | 16681.0956521622 | -188.942369732493 |
45 | 15943 | 15828.8596229834 | -669.984754338356 | 16727.1251313549 | -114.140377016585 |
46 | 16362 | 16134.3050281359 | -183.459638683582 | 16773.1546105477 | -227.69497186409 |
47 | 16393 | 16412.5520746863 | -459.548307723566 | 16832.9962330373 | 19.5520746863076 |
48 | 19051 | 18986.0277039178 | 2223.13444055535 | 16892.8378555268 | -64.9722960821928 |
49 | 16747 | 16608.1574667591 | -66.8369447755074 | 16952.6794780164 | -138.842533240921 |
50 | 16320 | 16434.2371749807 | -822.518156489229 | 17028.2809815085 | 114.237174980703 |
51 | 17910 | 18052.5013448099 | 663.616170189469 | 17103.8824850006 | 142.501344809909 |
52 | 16961 | 16949.2142513978 | -206.698239890559 | 17179.4839884927 | -11.7857486021639 |
53 | 17480 | 17354.5067243568 | 338.804737967683 | 17266.6885376755 | -125.493275643203 |
54 | 17049 | 17000.6013786006 | -256.494465458915 | 17353.8930868583 | -48.3986213993958 |
55 | 16879 | 16715.2272464705 | -398.324882511563 | 17441.0976360411 | -163.772753529545 |
56 | 17473 | 17469.4300931 | -59.3077123615022 | 17535.8776192615 | -3.56990690004386 |
57 | 16998 | 17136.2251881431 | -770.882790625055 | 17630.657602482 | 138.225188143067 |
58 | 17307 | 17061.7743483095 | -173.211934011924 | 17725.4375857024 | -245.225651690504 |
59 | 17418 | 17424.8254188693 | -417.31484724305 | 17828.4894283737 | 6.8254188693063 |
60 | 20169 | 20241.3868652111 | 2165.07186374387 | 17931.5412710451 | 72.386865211065 |
61 | 17871 | 17766.2199748267 | -58.8130885430717 | 18034.5931137164 | -104.78002517331 |
62 | 17226 | 17149.6657110844 | -843.539052255559 | 18145.8733411711 | -76.3342889155538 |
63 | 19062 | 19172.073003705 | 694.77342766919 | 18257.1535686258 | 110.073003704969 |
64 | 17804 | 17478.7769147644 | -239.210710844982 | 18368.4337960806 | -325.223085235586 |
65 | 19100 | 19350.7919871372 | 369.581656014682 | 18479.6263568481 | 250.791987137181 |
66 | 18522 | 18695.5967528681 | -242.4156704838 | 18590.8189176157 | 173.596752868092 |
67 | 18060 | 17833.5316774913 | -415.543155874586 | 18702.0114783833 | -226.468322508692 |
68 | 18869 | 18956.1476133857 | -26.4137349483265 | 18808.2661215626 | 87.1476133856886 |
69 | 18127 | 18151.7639554346 | -812.28472017664 | 18914.520764742 | 24.7639554346351 |
70 | 18871 | 18887.7002343394 | -166.475642260793 | 19020.7754079214 | 16.700234339427 |
71 | 18890 | 19073.7886337752 | -405.995104350741 | 19112.2064705756 | 183.788633775166 |
72 | 21263 | 21179.5571143136 | 2142.80535245665 | 19203.6375332298 | -83.4428856864433 |
73 | 19547 | 19856.1630961308 | -57.2316920147541 | 19295.068595884 | 309.163096130753 |
74 | 18450 | 18383.7440456467 | -852.795924789672 | 19369.051879143 | -66.2559543533243 |
75 | 20254 | 20351.8183924464 | 713.146445151645 | 19443.035162402 | 97.8183924463592 |
76 | 19240 | 19222.9484668597 | -259.966912520724 | 19517.018445661 | -17.0515331402676 |
77 | 20216 | 20454.3924189985 | 388.572291180886 | 19589.0352898207 | 238.39241899845 |
78 | 19420 | 19412.1571056683 | -233.209239648606 | 19661.0521339803 | -7.84289433171944 |
79 | 19415 | 19526.4341574226 | -429.503135562597 | 19733.06897814 | 111.434157422602 |
80 | 20018 | 20242.8779231075 | -9.83581219384777 | 19802.9578890863 | 224.877923107542 |
81 | 18652 | 18262.2370690826 | -831.083869115251 | 19872.8468000326 | -389.762930917361 |
82 | 19978 | 20179.3902469512 | -166.125957930093 | 19942.7357109789 | 201.390246951174 |
83 | 19509 | 19406.2591304445 | -398.553112725313 | 20010.2939822808 | -102.740869555473 |
84 | 21971 | 21734.7445568963 | 2129.40318952108 | 20077.8522535827 | -236.255443103735 |