Structural Time Series Model
tObservedLevelSlopeSeasonalStand. Residuals
1348542348542000
2335658339556.69466076-9307.51146876526-3898.69466076011-1.99262454891296
3330664328485.599752787-10486.91809724822178.40024721281-0.222144836275562
4326814324254.284963977-6053.803521756542559.715036023230.835554131077415
5322900322175.690976555-3280.57519724599724.3090234447610.495314307874008
6322310321670.463458881-1364.97009201123639.5365411193050.34575859994349
7385164369514.90631933432723.731263415515649.09368066616.15624706146736
8404861407885.28620384836640.114937985-3024.286203848150.706489959688227
9412136420376.25550658319891.2993316487-8240.25550658295-3.02166683260855
10411057416262.9013503373246.30785126677-5205.90135033704-3.00293782331117
11410040410454.262554783-3031.57776136355-414.262554783394-1.13258189164277
12414980412387.666831375410.6617612811422592.333168625410.62100927631251
13413626413931.2567195591193.80775903135-305.2567195593680.141764578772011
14411062414577.380893454813.660544431373-3515.38089345399-0.0696830154439833
15408352408782.442495985-3626.82089882883-430.442495985407-0.795393538008353
16409780404537.787062571-4038.764717918945242.21293742862-0.0755020088809066
17411318407732.054928587831.0865683627273585.945071413440.880657624098706
18415555426509.79572870212817.9650544006-10954.79572870192.15515620773248
19479481461818.4319939227808.508699839217662.56800607952.70590505180447
20497826494616.86264337731140.80736591943209.13735662310.601448703784019
21501638508640.16015041419701.3512064458-7002.1601504135-2.06359229771356
22497990506537.8789157025130.26309743424-8547.87891570177-2.62891679020055
23499287502977.637489232-674.865277369103-3690.63748923232-1.04732002936241
24506247503527.306877327142.1719332815732719.693122673190.147459475296439
25510401508644.1360824113461.996163160961756.863917589230.60080499684873
26508642509625.0147450911804.07111904583-983.014745090618-0.29957129710652
27501805502366.040502664-4195.48296439353-561.040502663707-1.07941479947896
28495476492184.340524769-8141.496211673633291.65947523141-0.715337013579352
29490336490550.578613289-3828.76912240236-214.578613288520.780651361619879
30490042504912.5196809448205.93238786537-14870.51968094422.16713334396589
31553155533374.28886297221567.033737852519780.71113702792.40880899094887
32569999560834.35013030925456.52560942989164.64986969070.701949876616199
33573170576331.04520637118876.259468305-3161.04520637058-1.18717142553336
34571687581402.7620441429754.56585784907-9715.76204414215-1.64563798398875
35575453582563.973620094079.12064213608-7110.97362008975-1.02394606690125
36580177581408.385119263623.752659425418-1231.38511926333-0.623826590490756
37579849578155.81070842-1936.907874916511693.18929158015-0.462773118114322
38574346571854.6987836-4819.064614142452491.30121640004-0.51992035283009
39563325561190.819720331-8661.268707707832134.18027966921-0.692254784776689
40555604552608.26052805-8609.633572404642995.73947195050.00933496196861843
41545544550095.271401619-4599.00242570011-4551.271401618970.725238926453891
42545109562737.7325891776745.10927395022-17628.73258917652.04531051934309
43605181584513.65060409516614.939363330720667.34939590491.77898921748527
44627856612844.87819945324305.802376900515011.1218005471.38745816748613
45631421632518.67731934921263.2113773826-1097.67731934916-0.548951943952843
46625671637992.46594006810889.3391836931-12321.4659400678-1.87158918206792
47613577626303.216221473-3941.28033426889-12726.2162214731-2.67602594066228
48606463609908.767817236-12120.9243956324-3445.76781723617-1.47671198169985
49601676597637.643545092-12219.63914075974038.3564549083-0.0178243934097167
50589121583762.367715011-13307.04993778555358.63228498947-0.196099210302934
51573559569443.278573632-13969.92724023114115.72142636791-0.119499095105939
52558487555817.285607119-13744.90727952862669.714392881490.0406428229429401
53552148557273.266999851-3783.47516350487-5125.26699985071.80003114844954
54545720566380.0872913594668.75147612021-20660.08729135931.52477943048356
55606569587168.70494075615226.026216456619400.29505924451.90320972664038
56636067617184.44850740524905.407985129118882.55149259531.74576263230032
57630704631238.27944940717802.0116331117-534.279449407339-1.28156274102343
58623275632653.4904987427073.1331852218-9378.49049874232-1.93582073868043
59617771629352.830724218281.138487308128-11581.8307242178-1.22570917945371
60605401613730.953273946-10133.4279151867-8329.95327394578-1.87999616118017
61619393610929.789935617-5329.942262263618463.210064383370.866935002941664
62596019593063.996591025-13536.43175755742955.00340897507-1.47984269871767
63569977567327.577931965-21508.42815207762649.42206803548-1.43752080031639
64546213546489.546866541-21070.6641345163-276.5468665407160.0790367383826003
65528492534986.064715503-14816.6557218179-6494.064715503411.1296259181435
66505944530767.531070168-7884.35722685336-24823.53107016771.25088548585009
67554910537577.2617931631720.2743511409717332.73820683681.73181909977124
68567831544886.9397356195370.8348928773122944.06026438080.658341926009042
69564021557479.07062917310086.4624922496541.929370827320.85072207753906
70552800561197.696187515927.65344831587-8397.69618750957-0.750441524600174
71541102552909.495276103-3358.33496441188-11807.4952761029-1.6759538230145
72542378552276.791773887-1577.3105610704-9898.791773887240.321472543697314
73540380532980.23793598-13157.82299303587399.76206402017-2.08954567078114
74521219513776.241888826-17106.51534751957442.75811117366-0.712058285625119
75504652499835.031012815-15042.03966579824816.968987185120.372321174237381
76490626491248.453754138-10833.5838546697-622.453754137640.759668671552818
77481686488960.625418147-5258.0820164385-7274.625418146981.00681628951491
78477930502222.2889521086831.81570069175-24292.28895210812.18174747733954
79522605509052.3146614116830.6476950911813552.6853385887-0.000210636322650788
80531432512656.4167647154726.9031492967318775.5832352851-0.379378547671692
81532355522364.5196303477973.480808494729990.48036965280.585670669887263
82539954541647.98958563915345.276375934-1693.989585638461.33028013175509
83524987542820.8406433526105.14959149962-17833.8406433516-1.66777252753722
84533307538753.912213911-529.334755051409-5446.91221391112-1.19742973947269
85530541524269.357911154-9631.911324344886271.64208884591-1.64222582675823
86508392503850.136976139-16663.38029579794541.86302386145-1.2680019327416
87495208490338.534834579-14611.08871845284869.465165420920.370153768090312
88482223483784.529608586-9366.39108250174-1561.529608586020.946611973906938
89470495481866.655734535-4514.89314221805-11371.65573453540.875933156293932
90466106486886.8512479621698.92828802233-20780.85124796181.1213825981095
91515037497902.3123998097768.5422716810217134.68760019131.09469900771178
92517752503443.4449948966318.4694414344314308.5550051041-0.261500712333747
93515565510212.2166011426611.479837882745352.783398857840.0528564310003911
94510727510602.8083970012563.61841805813124.191602999201-0.73047276342831
95499725513740.5568537862937.32113248523-14015.55685378620.0674519362640799
96498369502763.283593066-6123.1861169766-4394.2835930659-1.63520654931965
97493756485636.879191476-13287.96149133658119.12080852425-1.29253569238238
98476141471711.351977828-13702.8502438814429.64802217214-0.0748202172049077
99458458456309.624686516-14807.44086086022148.37531348382-0.199235346029381
100443182445621.201369569-12129.9522657933-2439.201369568880.483222671979483
101429597442061.337025853-6556.35632786957-12464.33702585291.00619190156909
102424476445765.889067417119.997484008938-21289.88906741731.20485377241556
103476257456076.6654458646749.3721698534720180.33455413561.19573857004057
104480555466269.6657235928988.0477050023914285.33427640830.403723656271376
105469762466344.7340202253196.836501878093417.26597977501-1.0446664821568
106459820462137.341420431-1613.82057729731-2317.34142043138-0.868125312274942
107451028459995.151996317-1957.22765498216-8967.15199631663-0.0619834289799694
108450065452371.776709932-5641.23933478643-2306.77670993168-0.664849944067993
109444385437809.113384674-11441.56557851736575.88661532589-1.04635400700357
110428846423372.259897579-13387.8251915785473.74010242114-0.350995688253449
111421020417188.709857545-8710.025913080563831.290142455420.843764671720245
112399778406060.628764205-10279.7913281015-6282.6287642045-0.283290400193484
113389005402962.254010695-5615.75054467099-13957.25401069540.841918769339106
114384018407036.110783569679.888645316344-23018.11078356891.1361314099011
115431933412283.4118669333647.0373548879719649.58813306750.535208602915477
116445844425706.4745397889994.0374854998320137.52546021251.14465381340436
117431464428768.7719738155496.032227865652695.22802618462-0.811383269248271
118423263427431.6379969511062.31062407234-4168.63799695126-0.800093711439745
119415881423814.070594455-1975.24607382412-7933.07059445472-0.548254078783315
120416208416504.129113555-5439.03811545848-296.129113554871-0.625086431870486
121413491406864.262905955-8166.475659734186626.73709404459-0.492011805294159
122399153395988.53005181-9924.540435860433164.46994819018-0.317065776153077
123385939381814.143451564-12680.59991055934124.8565484362-0.497140264970579
124373917379098.022945093-6219.55996372836-5181.022945093261.16595573432151
125364635380229.063314552-1451.6291700175-15594.06331455240.860612689868528
126364696387688.1019657724330.38959144777-22992.10196577181.04342004810454
127418358400334.4116387729725.8710177372418023.58836122770.973257767638537
128428212407204.6311226197874.0945686339521007.368877381-0.333970079611921
129423730417876.630577549687.510916137025853.369422459890.327117832712286
130420677424592.2633184817761.4951979147-3915.26331848127-0.347555356333868
131417428425515.9717760893328.68582210203-8087.9717760888-0.800061886608705
132423245423178.481978996-345.78744785205266.5180210041669-0.663087428540282
133423113416328.113992841-4563.719349798486784.88600715855-0.760885478974091
134418873412989.655639365-3769.584109183775883.344360634560.143226053194781
135405733405778.725404811-5998.82921836611-45.7254048104819-0.402120606471125
136397812403914.765408297-3320.68267355675-6102.765408297160.483280792361597
137389918407153.162355228928.987858532295-17235.16235522840.767021961146757
138391116415142.0535851245504.67186813925-24026.05358512420.825706270817817
139443814424448.8295489457968.68035299819365.17045105540.444477657771233
140460373438977.46768700412217.882413108121395.53231299640.766371937062983
141455422449664.29093500311226.60698496895757.70906499735-0.178814723155399
142456288458544.9251472879707.85028187092-2256.92514728733-0.274058288249394
143452233460464.2220609154664.19041218668-8231.22206091505-0.910280712254677
144459256458517.120765184381.613163979897738.879234816199-0.772804263755089
145461146455091.813690552-2084.244863357166054.18630944748-0.444825056650438
146451391445857.079302097-6713.766340123455533.92069790322-0.834980174379927
147443101442728.240361531-4393.85359365276372.7596384685990.418482006768407
148438810445179.67628362535.4359083511825-6369.676283625330.799257643919493
149430457449169.1037930092594.61882069277-18712.10379300910.461882937934792
150435721459297.2065519817472.04728048261-23576.20655198090.880136780469767
151488280470781.44033634110069.480620834217498.5596636590.46855414692636
152505814483737.8440645311937.620955683822076.15593546960.336941370928807
153502338496077.21482121512197.48308858236260.785178784650.0468764872540142
154500910502414.6001790618407.33987893031-1504.60017906145-0.683912728883169
155501434507916.6420297246527.79135220478-6482.64202972427-0.339209047770441
156515476513062.3148290625633.402870593272413.6851709381-0.161391244052534
157520862513401.2277636172207.44490740537460.77223638319-0.618024722068813
158519517514851.5923868471717.750084137674665.40761315297-0.0883237320546055
159511805514164.657300917163.015104239628-2359.65730091729-0.280457553773885
160508607515733.7883124781072.04117231206-7126.788312477570.164028018270866
161505327524481.894077526035.71050799208-19154.89407752030.895806049482629
162511435535592.7122748559318.36345765193-24157.71227485450.592344323048646
163570158552074.35259419513951.394461393418083.64740580470.83576974089738
164591665569174.04136325515986.845822971922490.95863674460.367127923021211
165593572585410.09308404616147.90087577598161.906915954020.0290529311751045
166586346590459.8819831948976.0663621553-4113.88198319397-1.29409432266019
167586063593248.2762308234976.53617667752-7185.27623082286-0.721784167336686
168591504589616.238428601-589.1584415256431887.76157139881-1.00429976566176
169594033586302.048686765-2350.886544022917730.95131323544-0.317808748272951
170585597580519.930201498-4568.376554235065077.06979850205-0.399967455556514
171572450575116.155723415-5108.06162123984-2666.15572341454-0.0973545160433202
172562917571911.850214873-3878.30162127634-8994.850214872530.221897385875916
173554675574112.61888955349.4364499512887-19437.61888955330.708820477757288
174553997579852.3367657753726.84534200682-25855.33676577530.663562315738768
175601310585027.7007815424662.9197090009216282.29921845790.168863883450001
176622255597713.7225456329845.9005998796924541.27745436840.934861475158623
177616735605951.32663668807.2935922986610783.6733634001-0.187357251495564
178606480609741.1235173295567.33368108836-3261.12351732918-0.584610296379219
179595079602822.175357414-2497.12430425026-7743.17535741377-1.45532068506738
180598588596152.679412348-5192.507294490442435.32058765163-0.486357255230376
181599917590635.731967021-5402.089181336999281.26803297946-0.0378080230943563
182591573585686.590779192-5109.587109640165886.40922080770.0527596861091896
183575489579091.246245245-6068.72832725444-3602.24624524497-0.173022525792171
184567223576946.459955401-3535.79668967761-9723.459955400930.457031793965457
185555338576064.007683169-1822.70953045246-20726.00768316850.30914166217618
186555252580479.2760767882205.58308326289-25227.27607678770.726862036345575
187608249592720.4236316778685.964390039715528.57636832341.16904486991282
188630859605549.06801185811360.254362098625309.93198814160.482376571188638
189628632616189.91623191510895.989952165212442.0837680851-0.0837506619587362
190624435623940.6356588578866.34892380247494.36434114342-0.366216483996286
191609670619686.044988232397.869668499357-10016.0449882322-1.52818184923396
192615830614229.969345391-3381.107748673651600.03065460877-0.681868836443336
193621170611324.96465275-3073.773725783029845.035347249940.0554426548171145
194604212600097.54420121-8335.62870175274114.45579878981-0.949120961121128
195584348589108.381796354-10047.5443257865-4760.38179635384-0.308820698721377
196573717582814.281852452-7626.19407454474-9097.28185245160.436890482220003
197555234577883.802641808-5886.88660568837-22649.80264180790.313863163375106
198544897573760.668474336-4748.680282354-28863.66847433620.205373240346745
199598866581667.5953239063418.0992594188117198.4046760941.47327917330849
200620081593430.0392745788801.3431743803326650.96072542220.971026125591249
201607699596256.5159617834947.8081832818611442.4840382166-0.695161317089628
202589960588310.939489145-3367.352688434741649.06051085537-1.50031300802641
203578665585983.052131789-2696.87610540685-7318.052131789370.120987471808609
204580166579780.785455636-4958.31918086093385.21454436451-0.408041684920944
205579457568172.579746441-9248.2445738462511284.4202535589-0.773902153805501
206571560564268.214952654-5801.699739743557291.785047345670.621691909099986
207560460564602.676440084-1845.21212790654-4142.676440084170.713735712732827
208551397561474.148942793-2672.61980639561-10077.1489427929-0.14928884888581
209536763559884.270436137-1974.42513056804-23121.27043613680.125987615814072
210540562570946.1877918996433.31308121495-30384.18779189941.51703163071049
211588184575671.0184539155331.4671954455912512.9815460854-0.198773361361016
212607049578481.3556655783705.9050549692328567.6443344222-0.293223449295734
213598968582846.8268052284131.0722951174416121.17319477230.0766989289312908
214577644578837.077047084-1116.33700212005-1193.07704708443-0.946780831942391
215562640569947.209911715-6127.70590338615-7307.20991171483-0.90427698554427
216565867562909.837519122-6714.231880241012957.16248087835-0.105827645196875
217561274553013.68645627-8765.783588976288260.31354373003-0.370102022718476
218554144547466.361155927-6691.128083990286677.638844072790.374235554697036
219539900542781.956268353-5397.87101147085-2881.956268353040.233300521664251
220526271537423.540061602-5372.4452908242-11152.5400616020.00458748561963998
221511841537968.64667279-1558.51275962979-26127.64667279020.688197336155667
222505282535857.057401088-1915.02899499509-30575.0574010877-0.06432622333156
223554083539528.0124979971685.6365280648214554.98750200260.649565288188348
224584225552821.3220493219166.2770159932131403.67795067881.34940194954342
225568858553003.092949853377.4105757984515854.9070501504-1.04430174279077
226539516541649.951072474-6113.24078581542-2133.95107247444-1.71235789998434
227521612529333.85954909-10110.1300605367-7721.85954908952-0.721201580794352
228525562520796.263014172-9096.709251363934765.736985828440.182850169770847
229526519517697.479988832-5231.428255201248821.520011168260.69730448619445
230515713510415.041199023-6552.919590890025297.95880097668-0.238380296720812
231503454505567.815520381-5454.1443006272-2113.815520381140.198217798940046
232489301501725.125015532-4416.1279092041-12424.12501553230.187283702993293
233479020503354.568432055-521.427675131474-24334.56843205450.702754909009084
234475102507801.570213962679.76221484869-32699.57021396010.577582635724403
235523682513181.1930977154419.2621179958310500.80690228450.313810005477095
236551528516878.5336607343954.2173597835434649.4663392657-0.0838887928264071
237531626512470.903466332-1431.2574161613419155.0965336677-0.971536634972055
238511037510413.417275275-1834.56346630664623.582724725157-0.0727659041628079
239492417502711.243267561-5613.85174049258-10294.2432675609-0.681922639832711
240492188490862.327359213-9630.295836432851325.67264078724-0.72467215519314
241492865482412.242465665-8870.0535220405410452.75753433540.137149917366248
242480961475491.371548145-7614.683272508585469.628451855040.226456145182703
243461935465453.933924241-9174.77744542874-3518.93392424094-0.281440898331801
244456608467747.738472184-1790.09105731005-11139.73847218451.33236376866654
245441977468474.532979863-169.289919409154-26497.53297986290.292449288402331
246439148472126.8426268682291.98614702315-32978.84262686750.444076296721279
247488180476842.9524285663853.1991661977511337.04757143440.281647943226972
248520564482759.31241465181.7312802023537804.68758540040.239655368059171
249501492483506.7123321092326.8093799232117985.2876678914-0.515029230468273
250485025482603.576527535247.3840322498322421.4234724646-0.3751732049554
251464196474488.482568127-5136.85312765516-10292.4825681268-0.971495582454956
252460170461080.146958736-10463.0632301374-910.146958735612-0.960977080836282
253467037454906.622776735-7700.9688622517812130.37722326460.498291973413928
254460070452626.450377236-4210.955050270157443.549622764070.629571381218598
255447988454054.539069894-581.000268527744-6066.539069894220.654847193201227
256442867454802.116645847274.1959231507-11935.11664584690.154295084314425
257436087462026.3163216414748.25861689355-25939.31632164150.807262734188923
258431328466199.6015815254378.08314166819-34871.6015815255-0.0667882490363362
259484015472894.2741671955869.5119003512411120.72583280530.269059732490381
260509673472661.9643598351941.6765339264137011.0356401654-0.708555094573555
261512927488880.07555404311130.282633095924046.9244459571.65763725464908
262502831498138.2562702789925.403739461844692.74372972221-0.217384074587686
263470984484725.191727226-5096.39585119757-13741.1917272262-2.71038584104192
264471067473658.709069096-8939.39586589-2591.70906909601-0.693362833847471
265476049465501.585264381-8435.8469547331210547.41473561930.090842415156273
266474605466372.37714621-2445.92671259898232.622853789621.08054732873845
267470439474595.7419255814420.0758366445-4156.741925581051.23863923160143
268461251476804.6147804962997.15125224993-15553.6147804957-0.2567227312936
269454724480076.6586920533174.06016253511-25352.65869205330.0319194555237571
270455626489089.5375367126931.99404916107-33463.5375367120.678011771978256
271516847503070.04601894511468.446246686713776.95398105480.818397074373475
272525192499301.9111147261663.2949524908225890.0888852739-1.7688022575675
273522975497560.662717101-527.33854306225525414.3372828988-0.395195125090132
274518585503029.5847578273330.7940974660715555.41524217330.696077888841921
275509239517262.68984030710346.0942869054-8023.689840306541.26575248703261
276512238518340.8268748294381.96764602344-6102.82687482898-1.07605128354799
277519164514137.916431463-1142.520590228815026.08356853728-0.99664497753925
278517009512120.780083178-1705.285177524714888.21991682221-0.101520526843116
279509933512514.253058866-355.018437703142-2581.253058865720.243591612930381
280509127522293.1813296946164.60302555234-13166.1813296941.17625481355614
281500857529489.4940329946828.3922359049-28632.49403299450.119764945158029
282506971540864.2957251289753.71717010208-33893.2957251280.527786626871851
283569323549929.5795792149310.7587512538719393.4204207856-0.0799120032962614
284579714554113.2754674026012.1977864518625600.7245325984-0.595050172892037
285577992556490.1689737113673.6417897866921501.8310262891-0.421882399461028
286565464555188.181012787472.96031718945210275.8189872134-0.57745740017102
287547344552389.859366401-1631.49312504805-5045.85936640137-0.379695990159589
288554788555753.5082014551582.16676000861-965.5082014553060.579805626801142
289562325557016.8892244981377.075628628025308.11077550222-0.0369995582612726
290560854557208.539918057614.5052578906743645.46008194339-0.137565920054218
291555332560587.4781541042392.64654972247-5255.478154103770.320782532659224
292543599558968.506933336-187.63955113317-15369.506933336-0.465525973393842
293536662565139.2825655963902.35084949258-28477.28256559610.737931984378406
294542722575135.5346204797822.45451089785-32413.5346204790.707258915370262
295593530575107.0573987132772.1259809589718422.9426012868-0.911107946234341
296610763581883.5082106595347.7855053401728879.49178934070.464644836815598
297612613588826.9872802336374.0657990555623786.01271976690.185144667655271
298611324598959.6572586458791.3733884357212364.34274135490.436120626957515
299594167602666.3550540185521.04070839117-8499.35505401761-0.590042762721024
300595454598664.873219383-603.979712302726-3210.87321938336-1.10506257815426
301590865587748.439714202-7237.043537986933116.5602857979-1.1966438008683
302589379584548.394470679-4640.628358679044830.605529320860.468390881973634
303584428586783.606627134-218.803585898298-2355.606627134050.7977144692458
304573100590429.5688363472266.5511955151-17329.56883634670.448396123378353
305567456596604.3904565734780.00878098265-29148.39045657280.453482771962182
306569028599440.9260184813530.06464989881-30412.9260184813-0.225511393301402
307620735603566.7058096113913.1959362494417168.29419038910.0691192168121864
308628884602777.895238833889.36074854268126106.1047611669-0.545498963029621
309628232605448.3394659022034.6678909089322783.66053409790.206618210373706
310612117600206.453749153-2644.3374150290811910.5462508466-0.844162053887331
311595404598872.10697858-1801.94153660797-3468.106978579740.151985894276136
312597141596643.369073051-2076.40983076434497.630926948937-0.0495186397650561