Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
Parameter | Value |
alpha | 0.834190584506835 |
beta | 0.0314371802567837 |
gamma | 1 |
Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
13 | 299.5 | 237.627476186144 | 61.872523813856 |
14 | 347.4 | 334.684203326257 | 12.7157966737425 |
15 | 338.3 | 337.124238319557 | 1.17576168044343 |
16 | 327.7 | 326.940117659046 | 0.75988234095405 |
17 | 351.6 | 351.05324097891 | 0.546759021090281 |
18 | 396.6 | 398.633000518418 | -2.03300051841796 |
19 | 438.8 | 389.489846288242 | 49.3101537117576 |
20 | 395.6 | 405.36461581655 | -9.76461581654974 |
21 | 363.5 | 370.1073958331 | -6.60739583309976 |
22 | 378.8 | 311.426967384199 | 67.3730326158005 |
23 | 357 | 425.406491420974 | -68.4064914209743 |
24 | 369 | 393.290788189548 | -24.2907881895478 |
25 | 464.8 | 513.533753724381 | -48.7337537243808 |
26 | 479.1 | 521.378815401934 | -42.2788154019339 |
27 | 431.3 | 463.753172723469 | -32.4531727234692 |
28 | 366.5 | 415.288175047753 | -48.7881750477532 |
29 | 326.3 | 395.158503716669 | -68.8585037166693 |
30 | 355.1 | 376.753057716968 | -21.6530577169679 |
31 | 331.6 | 353.723145062944 | -22.1231450629436 |
32 | 261.3 | 304.340882188258 | -43.040882188258 |
33 | 249 | 246.960348181658 | 2.03965181834184 |
34 | 205.5 | 216.67985330158 | -11.1798533015802 |
35 | 235.6 | 222.942117202463 | 12.6578827975368 |
36 | 240.9 | 251.583084970715 | -10.6830849707154 |
37 | 264.9 | 328.257617341394 | -63.3576173413945 |
38 | 253.8 | 300.622155814127 | -46.8221558141267 |
39 | 232.3 | 246.570735622775 | -14.2707356227753 |
40 | 193.8 | 217.974021763684 | -24.1740217636837 |
41 | 177 | 203.015550718695 | -26.0155507186952 |
42 | 213.2 | 203.992818194347 | 9.20718180565282 |
43 | 207.2 | 205.596025477925 | 1.60397452207513 |
44 | 180.6 | 182.439793276658 | -1.83979327665844 |
45 | 188.6 | 169.172749256602 | 19.4272507433979 |
46 | 175.4 | 158.310670109661 | 17.0893298903387 |
47 | 199 | 187.484815430278 | 11.5151845697225 |
48 | 179.6 | 207.498578232949 | -27.8985782329491 |
49 | 225.8 | 239.439214993006 | -13.6392149930056 |
50 | 234 | 249.392887806636 | -15.3928878066355 |
51 | 200.2 | 226.171511133602 | -25.9715111336022 |
52 | 183.6 | 186.658271387567 | -3.05827138756698 |
53 | 178.2 | 187.212548205913 | -9.01254820591348 |
54 | 203.2 | 207.693982599999 | -4.49398259999853 |
55 | 208.5 | 195.846788770171 | 12.6532112298288 |
56 | 191.8 | 180.670410947245 | 11.1295890527552 |
57 | 172.8 | 180.531206710814 | -7.73120671081404 |
58 | 148 | 147.725623704816 | 0.274376295183629 |
59 | 159.4 | 158.594147217116 | 0.805852782883619 |
60 | 154.5 | 160.696894106169 | -6.19689410616851 |
61 | 213.2 | 204.071449172265 | 9.12855082773487 |
62 | 196.4 | 230.365107477611 | -33.9651074776114 |
63 | 182.8 | 189.974333411127 | -7.17433341112661 |
64 | 176.4 | 170.259943196603 | 6.14005680339687 |
65 | 153.6 | 176.720028869159 | -23.1200288691593 |
66 | 173.2 | 181.741312509719 | -8.54131250971926 |
67 | 171 | 168.871827203888 | 2.12817279611158 |
68 | 151.2 | 148.16563555528 | 3.03436444471964 |
69 | 161.9 | 139.636010610325 | 22.2639893896746 |
70 | 157.2 | 134.806117648557 | 22.3938823514428 |
71 | 201.7 | 164.581538350217 | 37.1184616497825 |
72 | 236.4 | 196.544165103695 | 39.8558348963051 |
73 | 356.1 | 307.954874815747 | 48.1451251842528 |
74 | 398.3 | 368.742319039666 | 29.5576809603339 |
75 | 403.7 | 382.882478201524 | 20.817521798476 |
76 | 384.6 | 380.236813179497 | 4.36318682050319 |
77 | 365.8 | 380.127495155984 | -14.3274951559841 |
78 | 368.1 | 438.947318995124 | -70.8473189951242 |
79 | 367.9 | 376.476661613946 | -8.5766616139457 |
80 | 347 | 325.42662496652 | 21.5733750334804 |
81 | 343.3 | 329.055570595251 | 14.244429404749 |
82 | 292.9 | 293.809700047202 | -0.909700047202023 |
83 | 311.5 | 318.635578971615 | -7.13557897161536 |
84 | 300.9 | 314.22062823865 | -13.3206282386502 |
85 | 366.9 | 403.388371532014 | -36.488371532014 |
86 | 356.9 | 389.091648366228 | -32.1916483662277 |
87 | 329.7 | 348.652797695308 | -18.9527976953075 |
88 | 316.2 | 311.307566239291 | 4.8924337607088 |
89 | 269 | 307.082879226843 | -38.0828792268426 |
90 | 289.3 | 316.793051056995 | -27.4930510569947 |
91 | 266.2 | 296.430059110838 | -30.2300591108377 |
92 | 253.6 | 239.493123568527 | 14.1068764314727 |
93 | 233.8 | 237.186895038469 | -3.38689503846888 |
94 | 228.4 | 198.028142145486 | 30.3718578545143 |
95 | 253.6 | 239.987535935247 | 13.612464064753 |
96 | 260.1 | 249.948017694805 | 10.1519823051955 |
97 | 306.6 | 339.008756096352 | -32.4087560963522 |
98 | 309.2 | 324.09094773291 | -14.8909477329096 |
99 | 309.5 | 300.026910501099 | 9.47308949890106 |
100 | 271 | 290.523410386621 | -19.5234103866212 |
101 | 279.9 | 258.862884833165 | 21.037115166835 |
102 | 317.9 | 320.267363671705 | -2.36736367170454 |
103 | 298.4 | 320.511644503309 | -22.111644503309 |
104 | 246.7 | 274.904395761466 | -28.2043957614655 |
105 | 227.3 | 234.09066257638 | -6.7906625763797 |
106 | 209.1 | 197.372250932667 | 11.7277490673328 |
107 | 259.9 | 218.693594956976 | 41.2064050430238 |
108 | 266 | 250.742432249801 | 15.2575677501989 |
109 | 320.6 | 337.232706264254 | -16.6327062642537 |
110 | 308.5 | 339.199022799067 | -30.6990227990673 |
111 | 282.2 | 305.595219572606 | -23.3952195726063 |
112 | 262.7 | 264.450583587203 | -1.75058358720349 |
113 | 263.5 | 253.87231202486 | 9.62768797513962 |
114 | 313.1 | 298.444961983479 | 14.655038016521 |
115 | 284.3 | 308.950332594977 | -24.6503325949774 |
116 | 252.6 | 260.242475622657 | -7.64247562265732 |
117 | 250.3 | 239.712868323394 | 10.5871316766063 |
118 | 246.5 | 218.269383660478 | 28.2306163395225 |
119 | 312.7 | 260.619764852749 | 52.0802351472515 |
120 | 333.2 | 297.082219120513 | 36.1177808794867 |
121 | 446.4 | 412.913301695334 | 33.4866983046658 |
122 | 511.6 | 461.750400301536 | 49.8495996984643 |
123 | 515.5 | 496.787333387273 | 18.7126666127273 |
124 | 506.4 | 485.619938972191 | 20.7800610278093 |
125 | 483.2 | 495.424325051134 | -12.2243250511339 |
126 | 522.3 | 560.292748685687 | -37.992748685687 |
127 | 509.8 | 518.892824477534 | -9.09282447753441 |
128 | 460.7 | 470.71973473075 | -10.01973473075 |
129 | 405.8 | 446.75834779118 | -40.95834779118 |
130 | 375 | 369.727123342178 | 5.27287665782166 |
131 | 378.5 | 408.946064638868 | -30.4460646388676 |
132 | 406.8 | 371.003954023033 | 35.7960459769671 |
133 | 467.8 | 502.744824266555 | -34.9448242665546 |
134 | 469.8 | 496.311550713907 | -26.5115507139075 |
135 | 429.8 | 460.514091290225 | -30.7140912902249 |
136 | 355.8 | 409.273950575553 | -53.4739505755534 |
137 | 332.7 | 351.208595366514 | -18.5085953665138 |
138 | 378 | 379.995421767727 | -1.99542176772667 |
139 | 360.5 | 370.589625795305 | -10.0896257953047 |
140 | 334.7 | 329.408747007376 | 5.29125299262364 |
141 | 319.5 | 315.04689544384 | 4.45310455616038 |
142 | 323.1 | 288.672697929699 | 34.4273020703015 |
143 | 363.6 | 339.595539717551 | 24.0044602824494 |
144 | 352.1 | 356.752272691115 | -4.65227269111455 |
145 | 411.9 | 428.735450171601 | -16.8354501716007 |
146 | 388.6 | 434.059236163897 | -45.4592361638975 |
147 | 416.4 | 381.574523192404 | 34.8254768075961 |
148 | 360.7 | 380.716348230226 | -20.0163482302258 |
149 | 338 | 355.979403173355 | -17.9794031733546 |
150 | 417.2 | 389.070176523685 | 28.1298234763149 |
151 | 388.4 | 403.295842983141 | -14.8958429831409 |
152 | 371.1 | 358.658924258287 | 12.4410757417127 |
153 | 331.5 | 348.865331958719 | -17.3653319587189 |
154 | 353.7 | 307.660179942366 | 46.039820057634 |
155 | 396.7 | 368.107853599267 | 28.5921464007325 |
156 | 447 | 384.129744590035 | 62.8702554099652 |
157 | 533.5 | 530.315291565089 | 3.18470843491127 |
158 | 565.4 | 553.88349592455 | 11.5165040754504 |
159 | 542.3 | 565.735654806139 | -23.4356548061388 |
160 | 488.7 | 497.427065666479 | -8.72706566647895 |
161 | 467.1 | 482.452878998755 | -15.352878998755 |
162 | 531.3 | 550.414094784031 | -19.1140947840312 |
163 | 496.1 | 515.561418835702 | -19.4614188357019 |
164 | 444 | 465.666220719473 | -21.6662207194731 |
165 | 403.4 | 418.149993873045 | -14.7499938730446 |
166 | 386.3 | 386.058029451941 | 0.241970548058589 |
167 | 394.1 | 406.636200508582 | -12.5362005085815 |
168 | 404.1 | 391.646507413702 | 12.4534925862984 |
169 | 462.1 | 474.97371428998 | -12.8737142899802 |
170 | 448.1 | 480.776403728963 | -32.6764037289634 |
171 | 432.3 | 447.026236723806 | -14.7262367238064 |
172 | 386.3 | 394.483547810622 | -8.18354781062186 |
173 | 395.2 | 377.601331590883 | 17.5986684091171 |
174 | 421.9 | 456.711511348748 | -34.811511348748 |
175 | 382.9 | 409.284132305263 | -26.3841323052634 |
176 | 384.2 | 357.588837148194 | 26.6111628518061 |
177 | 345.5 | 353.631653040796 | -8.13165304079649 |
178 | 323.4 | 330.274534280946 | -6.87453428094614 |
179 | 372.6 | 337.898426956925 | 34.701573043075 |
180 | 376 | 365.578834619187 | 10.4211653808131 |
181 | 462.7 | 436.864725796261 | 25.835274203739 |
182 | 487 | 471.108413806211 | 15.8915861937889 |
183 | 444.2 | 481.542046865426 | -37.3420468654257 |
184 | 399.3 | 410.006145369813 | -10.7061453698129 |
185 | 394.9 | 395.348280574097 | -0.448280574096998 |
186 | 455.4 | 450.190661010285 | 5.20933898971532 |
187 | 414 | 436.889108589516 | -22.8891085895157 |
188 | 375.5 | 395.730116735252 | -20.2301167352518 |
189 | 347 | 347.072853683234 | -0.0728536832335749 |
190 | 339.4 | 330.490866599981 | 8.9091334000189 |
191 | 385.8 | 359.008497551782 | 26.7915024482179 |
192 | 378.8 | 376.037977733999 | 2.7620222660014 |
193 | 451.8 | 443.623231886123 | 8.1767681138773 |
194 | 446.1 | 460.613734749232 | -14.5137347492324 |
195 | 422.5 | 436.210923450453 | -13.7109234504533 |
196 | 383.1 | 389.725762184659 | -6.62576218465944 |
197 | 352.8 | 379.80779154292 | -27.0077915429202 |
198 | 445.3 | 406.71620417743 | 38.5837958225697 |
199 | 367.5 | 416.756905232514 | -49.2569052325144 |
200 | 355.1 | 354.771956438815 | 0.328043561185154 |
201 | 326.2 | 327.571762781333 | -1.37176278133262 |
202 | 319.8 | 311.661779313845 | 8.13822068615502 |
203 | 331.8 | 340.127512628582 | -8.32751262858216 |
204 | 340.9 | 323.682773119908 | 17.2172268800923 |
205 | 394.1 | 395.811999186837 | -1.71199918683664 |
206 | 417.2 | 398.406613807445 | 18.7933861925551 |
207 | 369.9 | 402.044103018564 | -32.1441030185641 |
208 | 349.2 | 344.027006482867 | 5.17299351713291 |
209 | 321.4 | 340.223476236569 | -18.8234762365686 |
210 | 405.7 | 378.811876082891 | 26.8881239171087 |
211 | 342.9 | 366.447768672188 | -23.5477686721877 |
212 | 316.5 | 334.516743842755 | -18.0167438427547 |
213 | 284.2 | 293.719817858039 | -9.51981785803861 |
214 | 270.9 | 273.199229921821 | -2.29922992182082 |
215 | 288.8 | 285.978936345787 | 2.82106365421294 |
216 | 278.8 | 282.599199647041 | -3.79919964704118 |
217 | 324.4 | 322.367704763986 | 2.03229523601385 |
218 | 310.9 | 328.286624385196 | -17.3866243851965 |
219 | 299 | 295.550365129437 | 3.44963487056253 |
220 | 273 | 276.590977095832 | -3.59097709583239 |
221 | 279.3 | 262.187373292127 | 17.1126267078732 |
222 | 359.2 | 328.42282671852 | 30.7771732814804 |
223 | 305 | 315.485273708734 | -10.4852737087343 |
224 | 282.1 | 295.993398946792 | -13.8933989467921 |
225 | 250.3 | 262.117445690352 | -11.8174456903521 |
226 | 246.5 | 241.702684633442 | 4.79731536655771 |
227 | 257.9 | 259.552901518041 | -1.65290151804095 |
228 | 266.5 | 251.681559129428 | 14.8184408705719 |
229 | 315.9 | 305.866915288885 | 10.0330847111145 |
230 | 318.4 | 315.594337144208 | 2.80566285579192 |
231 | 295.4 | 303.953123143254 | -8.55312314325431 |
232 | 266.4 | 274.663141610836 | -8.26314161083553 |
233 | 245.8 | 260.326895347567 | -14.5268953475668 |
234 | 362.8 | 295.474370342739 | 67.3256296572615 |
235 | 324.9 | 307.614504661384 | 17.2854953386159 |
236 | 294.2 | 311.327565494217 | -17.1275654942168 |
237 | 289.5 | 275.026535702308 | 14.4734642976922 |
238 | 295.2 | 280.173125362541 | 15.0268746374595 |
239 | 290.3 | 310.393457438264 | -20.0934574382643 |
240 | 272 | 291.134291337278 | -19.1342913372779 |
241 | 307.4 | 318.394288971531 | -10.9942889715314 |
242 | 328.7 | 309.619020626199 | 19.0809793738005 |
243 | 292.9 | 309.996014049051 | -17.096014049051 |
244 | 249.1 | 273.990462735573 | -24.8904627355733 |
245 | 230.4 | 244.940768552511 | -14.5407685525111 |
246 | 361.5 | 288.566224119848 | 72.9337758801522 |
247 | 321.7 | 298.917593171191 | 22.7824068288093 |
248 | 277.2 | 301.906370001729 | -24.7063700017294 |
249 | 260.7 | 265.109787479948 | -4.40978747994831 |
250 | 251 | 254.615925394864 | -3.61592539486441 |
251 | 257.6 | 260.504177241431 | -2.90417724143128 |
252 | 241.8 | 255.189722282352 | -13.3897222823523 |
253 | 287.5 | 283.314531189539 | 4.18546881046097 |
254 | 292.3 | 291.457813778017 | 0.842186221982672 |
255 | 274.7 | 272.217121417588 | 2.48287858241218 |
256 | 254.2 | 252.261276718748 | 1.93872328125238 |
257 | 230 | 247.720219616264 | -17.7202196162642 |
258 | 339 | 302.584682136111 | 36.4153178638888 |
259 | 318.2 | 278.256416029808 | 39.9435839701916 |
260 | 287 | 288.304590422134 | -1.30459042213351 |
261 | 295.8 | 274.688373256207 | 21.1116267437931 |
262 | 284 | 286.288122087349 | -2.28812208734928 |
263 | 271 | 296.208109798502 | -25.208109798502 |
264 | 262.7 | 271.071932395472 | -8.37193239547202 |
265 | 340.6 | 311.519822589852 | 29.0801774101476 |
266 | 379.4 | 342.71641532182 | 36.6835846781802 |
267 | 373.3 | 351.260033996513 | 22.0399660034869 |
268 | 355.2 | 343.272390047769 | 11.9276099522306 |
269 | 338.4 | 343.45049253299 | -5.0504925329904 |
270 | 466.9 | 460.09775034908 | 6.80224965091963 |
271 | 451 | 394.068581588388 | 56.9314184116123 |
272 | 422 | 403.082747400156 | 18.917252599844 |
273 | 429.2 | 409.438781308985 | 19.761218691015 |
274 | 425.9 | 415.008588082383 | 10.8914119176166 |
275 | 460.7 | 439.385387336302 | 21.3146126636983 |
276 | 463.6 | 460.228681221673 | 3.37131877832689 |
277 | 541.4 | 564.015329469225 | -22.6153294692247 |
278 | 544.2 | 562.696325619916 | -18.4963256199155 |
279 | 517.5 | 514.811144778281 | 2.688855221719 |
280 | 469.4 | 480.380068375067 | -10.980068375067 |
281 | 439.4 | 456.080747737317 | -16.6807477373172 |
282 | 549 | 604.457449151422 | -55.4574491514221 |
283 | 533 | 481.536498266122 | 51.463501733878 |
284 | 506.1 | 472.240855625824 | 33.859144374176 |
285 | 484 | 489.525707072818 | -5.52570707281836 |
286 | 457 | 470.559693217088 | -13.5596932170877 |
287 | 481.5 | 476.648188219737 | 4.85181178026335 |
288 | 469.5 | 479.682441849599 | -10.1824418495989 |
289 | 544.7 | 567.718561708985 | -23.0185617089847 |
290 | 541.2 | 565.287878180973 | -24.0878781809727 |
291 | 521.5 | 514.604053841819 | 6.895946158181 |
292 | 469.7 | 479.791550330799 | -10.0915503307986 |
293 | 434.4 | 453.845780084367 | -19.4457800843671 |
294 | 542.6 | 590.308879245772 | -47.7088792457724 |
295 | 517.3 | 489.267013535977 | 28.0329864640234 |
296 | 485.7 | 457.601945873908 | 28.0980541260923 |
297 | 465.8 | 462.705841759611 | 3.09415824038854 |
298 | 447 | 448.684024928808 | -1.68402492880773 |
299 | 426.6 | 466.008335457596 | -39.4083354575957 |
300 | 411.6 | 427.865003909916 | -16.2650039099163 |
301 | 467.5 | 494.845873504587 | -27.3458735045867 |
302 | 484.5 | 483.459871780672 | 1.04012821932844 |
303 | 451.2 | 459.313553104684 | -8.11355310468355 |
304 | 417.4 | 412.586245341766 | 4.81375465823447 |
305 | 379.9 | 397.681557749082 | -17.7815577490819 |
306 | 484.7 | 510.249071521625 | -25.5490715216247 |
307 | 455 | 442.930130305254 | 12.0698696947459 |
308 | 420.8 | 402.607561684234 | 18.1924383157664 |
309 | 416.5 | 396.425220666088 | 20.0747793339122 |
310 | 376.3 | 396.178937745949 | -19.8789377459487 |
311 | 405.6 | 387.775019389393 | 17.824980610607 |
312 | 405.8 | 400.414060859001 | 5.38593914099886 |
313 | 500.8 | 481.771557267634 | 19.0284427323662 |
314 | 514 | 515.64717474328 | -1.6471747432804 |
315 | 475.5 | 486.806660292521 | -11.3066602925212 |
316 | 430.1 | 437.949490856306 | -7.84949085630626 |
317 | 414.4 | 408.104760330956 | 6.2952396690435 |
318 | 538 | 551.565953968993 | -13.5659539689931 |
319 | 526 | 497.32432427319 | 28.6756757268096 |
320 | 488.5 | 466.213707712833 | 22.286292287167 |
321 | 520.2 | 462.007834739566 | 58.1921652604344 |
322 | 504.4 | 483.750110769479 | 20.649889230521 |
323 | 568.5 | 523.661646218118 | 44.8383537818821 |
324 | 610.6 | 559.200391014884 | 51.3996089851157 |
325 | 818 | 725.48716090489 | 92.5128390951104 |
326 | 830.9 | 833.897165879511 | -2.99716587951139 |
327 | 835.9 | 791.704691011024 | 44.1953089889763 |
328 | 782 | 768.990281228293 | 13.0097187717073 |
329 | 762.3 | 750.19003056225 | 12.1099694377497 |
330 | 856.9 | 1018.79199894681 | -161.891998946806 |
331 | 820.9 | 831.46457351986 | -10.5645735198605 |
332 | 769.6 | 739.760527069739 | 29.8394729302613 |
333 | 752.2 | 741.568842368653 | 10.6311576313472 |
334 | 724.4 | 705.392509554191 | 19.007490445809 |
335 | 723.1 | 761.351679831415 | -38.251679831415 |
336 | 719.5 | 728.329768106975 | -8.82976810697471 |
337 | 817.4 | 872.180480638566 | -54.7804806385662 |
338 | 803.3 | 838.572796558807 | -35.2727965588074 |
339 | 752.5 | 774.049546250158 | -21.5495462501578 |
340 | 689 | 693.18825991046 | -4.18825991046026 |
341 | 630.4 | 659.132267092657 | -28.7322670926575 |
342 | 765.5 | 816.947179270992 | -51.4471792709921 |
343 | 757.7 | 744.981672382628 | 12.7183276173719 |
344 | 732.2 | 681.69546783231 | 50.5045321676902 |
345 | 702.6 | 696.063229408967 | 6.53677059103347 |
346 | 683.3 | 657.878919288868 | 25.4210807111319 |
347 | 709.5 | 704.740089448123 | 4.7599105518774 |
348 | 702.2 | 710.37254463188 | -8.1725446318801 |
349 | 784.8 | 841.119473579389 | -56.3194735793894 |
350 | 810.9 | 806.389810122743 | 4.51018987725683 |
351 | 755.6 | 775.406805500655 | -19.8068055006545 |
352 | 656.8 | 696.986623072369 | -40.1866230723693 |
353 | 615.1 | 627.941855173657 | -12.8418551736572 |
354 | 745.3 | 788.932087670076 | -43.6320876700757 |
355 | 694.1 | 732.481713641755 | -38.381713641755 |
356 | 675.7 | 634.71114219722 | 40.9888578027803 |
357 | 643.7 | 634.131017095635 | 9.56898290436516 |
358 | 622.1 | 602.492838946128 | 19.6071610538725 |
359 | 634.6 | 636.370804952057 | -1.77080495205735 |
360 | 588 | 631.757378193228 | -43.7573781932276 |
361 | 689.7 | 700.600403665128 | -10.9004036651284 |
362 | 673.9 | 707.896450127752 | -33.9964501277522 |
363 | 647.9 | 643.094575298045 | 4.80542470195485 |
364 | 568.8 | 587.828381850968 | -19.0283818509685 |
365 | 545.7 | 542.356136175088 | 3.34386382491164 |
366 | 632.6 | 689.663175681754 | -57.0631756817539 |
367 | 643.8 | 622.08585426306 | 21.7141457369397 |
368 | 593.1 | 589.735967559706 | 3.36403244029395 |
369 | 579.7 | 555.11500054492 | 24.5849994550796 |
370 | 546 | 539.777680419491 | 6.22231958050872 |
371 | 562.9 | 555.075261347817 | 7.82473865218333 |
372 | 572.5 | 550.403220489663 | 22.0967795103371 |
Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
373 | 675.605005237545 | 622.799731966474 | 728.410278508616 |
374 | 687.557023555733 | 617.377763291581 | 757.736283819885 |
375 | 657.669963198901 | 575.506598033683 | 739.833328364119 |
376 | 593.946199397831 | 505.077273212625 | 682.815125583037 |
377 | 567.936068496643 | 469.834611645982 | 666.037525347305 |
378 | 708.351039658507 | 576.99348512955 | 839.708594187463 |
379 | 703.360616379927 | 562.251209097163 | 844.470023662691 |
380 | 646.901164120756 | 506.040242054354 | 787.762086187158 |
381 | 611.554367647239 | 467.59483251463 | 755.513902779848 |
382 | 571.504842363344 | 426.19186136187 | 716.817823364818 |
383 | 583.17350474636 | 424.881836929725 | 741.465172562996 |
384 | 574.497670207643 | 283.317387136775 | 865.677953278511 |