Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
Parameter | Value |
alpha | 1 |
beta | 0.0439627190836867 |
gamma | FALSE |
Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
3 | 264.6 | 326.3 | -61.6999999999999 |
4 | 240.7 | 307.487500232537 | -66.7875002325366 |
5 | 201.4 | 280.651340121512 | -79.2513401215118 |
6 | 240.8 | 237.867235718744 | 2.93276428125586 |
7 | 241.1 | 277.39616801098 | -36.2961680109797 |
8 | 223.8 | 276.100489772899 | -52.3004897728986 |
9 | 206.1 | 256.501218033073 | -50.4012180330735 |
10 | 174.7 | 236.58544344321 | -61.8854434432099 |
11 | 203.3 | 202.464791077747 | 0.8352089222534 |
12 | 220.5 | 231.101509132972 | -10.6015091329718 |
13 | 299.5 | 247.835437965096 | 51.6645620349041 |
14 | 347.4 | 329.106752592418 | 18.2932474075819 |
15 | 338.3 | 377.810973489326 | -39.5109734893259 |
16 | 327.7 | 366.973963661092 | -39.2739636610917 |
17 | 351.6 | 354.647373429356 | -3.04737342935618 |
18 | 396.6 | 378.413402607338 | 18.1865973926617 |
19 | 438.8 | 424.2129348796 | 14.5870651203999 |
20 | 395.6 | 467.054221925744 | -71.4542219257436 |
21 | 363.5 | 420.712900039879 | -57.2129000398788 |
22 | 378.8 | 386.097665387463 | -7.29766538746253 |
23 | 357 | 401.076840174067 | -44.0768401740668 |
24 | 369 | 377.339102431398 | -8.3391024313977 |
25 | 464.8 | 388.972492813796 | 75.827507186204 |
26 | 479.1 | 488.106076211039 | -9.00607621103939 |
27 | 431.3 | 502.010144612527 | -70.7101446125272 |
28 | 366.5 | 451.10153438856 | -84.6015343885598 |
29 | 326.3 | 382.582220898187 | -56.2822208981867 |
30 | 355.1 | 339.907901431434 | 15.1920985685663 |
31 | 331.6 | 369.375787393095 | -37.7757873930953 |
32 | 261.3 | 344.215061063768 | -82.9150610637676 |
33 | 249 | 270.269889526414 | -21.2698895264144 |
34 | 205.5 | 257.034807348224 | -51.5348073482236 |
35 | 235.6 | 211.269197089742 | 24.3308029102583 |
36 | 240.9 | 242.438845343166 | -1.53884534316597 |
37 | 264.9 | 247.671193517631 | 17.2288064823688 |
38 | 253.8 | 272.428618697163 | -18.6286186971627 |
39 | 232.3 | 260.509653966462 | -28.2096539664622 |
40 | 193.8 | 237.769480873687 | -43.9694808736866 |
41 | 177 | 197.336462937781 | -20.3364629377812 |
42 | 213.2 | 179.642416730492 | 33.5575832695082 |
43 | 207.2 | 217.317699336897 | -10.1176993368965 |
44 | 180.6 | 210.872897763175 | -30.2728977631754 |
45 | 188.6 | 182.942018862964 | 5.65798113703627 |
46 | 175.4 | 191.190759098272 | -15.790759098272 |
47 | 199 | 177.296554391917 | 21.7034456080835 |
48 | 179.6 | 201.850696874333 | -22.2506968743328 |
49 | 225.8 | 181.47249573823 | 44.3275042617698 |
50 | 234 | 229.621253355771 | 4.37874664422864 |
51 | 200.2 | 238.01375496443 | -37.8137549644302 |
52 | 183.6 | 202.55135947743 | -18.9513594774296 |
53 | 178.2 | 185.118206184469 | -6.9182061844694 |
54 | 203.2 | 179.414063029419 | 23.7859369705814 |
55 | 208.5 | 205.459757494598 | 3.04024250540152 |
56 | 191.8 | 210.89341482181 | -19.0934148218097 |
57 | 172.8 | 193.35401638965 | -20.5540163896502 |
58 | 148 | 173.450405941071 | -25.4504059410706 |
59 | 159.4 | 147.531536894117 | 11.8684631058825 |
60 | 154.5 | 159.453306803596 | -4.95330680359649 |
61 | 213.2 | 154.335545968055 | 58.8644540319453 |
62 | 196.4 | 215.623387424676 | -19.2233874246756 |
63 | 182.8 | 197.978275043488 | -15.1782750434878 |
64 | 176.4 | 183.710996801576 | -7.31099680157598 |
65 | 153.6 | 176.989585502967 | -23.3895855029666 |
66 | 173.2 | 153.161315726016 | 20.0386842739842 |
67 | 171 | 173.64227077356 | -2.64227077355963 |
68 | 151.2 | 171.326109365799 | -20.1261093657986 |
69 | 161.9 | 150.641310873502 | 11.2586891264976 |
70 | 157.2 | 161.836273460821 | -4.63627346082123 |
71 | 201.7 | 156.932450273068 | 44.767549726932 |
72 | 236.4 | 203.400553485778 | 32.999446514222 |
73 | 356.1 | 239.5512988828 | 116.5487011172 |
74 | 398.3 | 364.375096689584 | 33.924903310416 |
75 | 403.7 | 408.066527683761 | -4.36652768376103 |
76 | 384.6 | 413.274563253829 | -28.6745632538286 |
77 | 365.8 | 392.913951484653 | -27.1139514846532 |
78 | 368.1 | 372.921948452285 | -4.82194845228469 |
79 | 367.9 | 375.009962487041 | -7.10996248704095 |
80 | 347 | 374.497389203528 | -27.4973892035275 |
81 | 343.3 | 352.388529206438 | -9.08852920643807 |
82 | 292.9 | 348.288972750052 | -55.3889727500516 |
83 | 311.5 | 295.453922900707 | 16.046077099293 |
84 | 300.9 | 314.759352080618 | -13.8593520806185 |
85 | 366.9 | 303.550057278416 | 63.3499427215837 |
86 | 356.9 | 372.335093014253 | -15.435093014253 |
87 | 329.7 | 361.656524356037 | -31.9565243560368 |
88 | 316.2 | 333.051628652881 | -16.8516286528813 |
89 | 269 | 318.810785236312 | -49.8107852363121 |
90 | 289.3 | 269.42096767763 | 19.8790323223698 |
91 | 266.2 | 290.594903991274 | -24.3949039912741 |
92 | 253.6 | 266.422437680032 | -12.8224376800323 |
93 | 233.8 | 253.258728454337 | -19.4587284543369 |
94 | 228.4 | 232.603269841573 | -4.20326984157316 |
95 | 253.6 | 227.018482670295 | 26.5815173297048 |
96 | 260.1 | 253.387078449479 | 6.71292155052092 |
97 | 306.6 | 260.182196733835 | 46.4178032661645 |
98 | 309.2 | 308.722849579308 | 0.477150420692283 |
99 | 309.5 | 311.343826409213 | -1.84382640921325 |
100 | 271 | 311.562766786746 | -40.562766786746 |
101 | 279.9 | 271.279517265243 | 8.62048273475682 |
102 | 317.9 | 280.558497126077 | 37.341502873923 |
103 | 298.4 | 320.200131127086 | -21.800131127086 |
104 | 246.7 | 299.741738086358 | -53.0417380863584 |
105 | 227.3 | 245.709879055157 | -18.4098790551573 |
106 | 209.1 | 225.500530713891 | -16.4005307138908 |
107 | 259.9 | 206.579518789293 | 53.3204812107074 |
108 | 266 | 259.723632126166 | 6.27636787383409 |
109 | 320.6 | 266.099558323869 | 54.5004416761308 |
110 | 308.5 | 323.095545931214 | -14.5955459312138 |
111 | 282.2 | 310.353886045567 | -28.1538860455668 |
112 | 262.7 | 282.816164662231 | -20.1161646622314 |
113 | 263.5 | 262.431803366145 | 1.06819663385545 |
114 | 313.1 | 263.278764194685 | 49.8212358053152 |
115 | 284.3 | 315.069041188796 | -30.7690411887961 |
116 | 252.6 | 284.916350474539 | -32.3163504745386 |
117 | 250.3 | 251.795635836817 | -1.49563583681649 |
118 | 246.5 | 249.429883618671 | -2.92988361867106 |
119 | 312.7 | 245.501077968196 | 67.1989220318045 |
120 | 333.2 | 314.655325300206 | 18.5446746997937 |
121 | 446.4 | 335.970599624532 | 110.429400375468 |
122 | 511.6 | 454.025376331818 | 57.5746236681817 |
123 | 515.5 | 521.756513338492 | -6.25651333849169 |
124 | 506.4 | 525.381460000148 | -18.9814600001482 |
125 | 483.2 | 515.446983406363 | -32.2469834063634 |
126 | 522.3 | 490.829318333573 | 31.4706816664268 |
127 | 509.8 | 531.312855071046 | -21.5128550710463 |
128 | 460.7 | 517.86709146687 | -57.16709146687 |
129 | 405.8 | 466.253870683881 | -60.4538706838805 |
130 | 375 | 408.696154149484 | -33.6961541494836 |
131 | 378.5 | 376.414779590409 | 2.08522040959082 |
132 | 406.8 | 380.006451549504 | 26.7935484504964 |
133 | 467.8 | 409.484368793288 | 58.315631206712 |
134 | 469.8 | 473.048082506216 | -3.24808250621646 |
135 | 429.8 | 474.905287967435 | -45.1052879674351 |
136 | 355.8 | 432.922336863334 | -77.122336863334 |
137 | 332.7 | 355.531829232734 | -22.8318292327338 |
138 | 378 | 331.428079938008 | 46.5719200619917 |
139 | 360.5 | 378.775508176882 | -18.2755081768816 |
140 | 334.7 | 360.47206714479 | -25.7720671447897 |
141 | 319.5 | 333.539056996697 | -14.0390569966974 |
142 | 323.1 | 317.721861877752 | 5.37813812224829 |
143 | 363.6 | 321.558299453213 | 42.0417005467866 |
144 | 352.1 | 363.906566924152 | -11.8065669241523 |
145 | 411.9 | 351.887518139123 | 60.012481860877 |
146 | 388.6 | 414.325830020688 | -25.7258300206876 |
147 | 416.4 | 389.894852582293 | 26.5051474177066 |
148 | 360.7 | 418.86009093249 | -58.1600909324898 |
149 | 338 | 360.603215192943 | -22.603215192943 |
150 | 417.2 | 336.909516393028 | 80.2904836069724 |
151 | 388.4 | 419.639304368934 | -31.2393043689343 |
152 | 371.1 | 389.465939606593 | -18.365939606593 |
153 | 331.5 | 371.35852296296 | -39.8585229629604 |
154 | 353.7 | 330.006233914849 | 23.6937660851509 |
155 | 396.7 | 353.247876297285 | 43.4521237027148 |
156 | 447 | 398.158149805217 | 48.8418501947828 |
157 | 533.5 | 450.605370344858 | 82.894629655142 |
158 | 565.4 | 540.749643661933 | 24.6503563380668 |
159 | 542.3 | 573.733340352936 | -31.4333403529364 |
160 | 488.7 | 549.251445241138 | -60.5514452411383 |
161 | 467.1 | 492.989439063891 | -25.889439063891 |
162 | 531.3 | 470.251268927091 | 61.048731072909 |
163 | 496.1 | 537.135137141665 | -41.0351371416647 |
164 | 444 | 500.131120934945 | -56.1311209349452 |
165 | 403.4 | 445.56344423343 | -42.1634442334297 |
166 | 386.3 | 403.109824578995 | -16.8098245789947 |
167 | 394.1 | 385.270818983182 | 8.82918101681764 |
168 | 404.1 | 393.458973787964 | 10.6410262120363 |
169 | 462.1 | 403.926782234086 | 58.1732177659143 |
170 | 448.1 | 464.484235064923 | -16.3842350649227 |
171 | 432.3 | 449.763939541362 | -17.4639395413624 |
172 | 386.3 | 433.196177273211 | -46.896177273211 |
173 | 395.2 | 385.13449380565 | 10.06550619435 |
174 | 421.9 | 394.477000826907 | 27.4229991730926 |
175 | 382.9 | 422.382590435986 | -39.4825904359862 |
176 | 384.2 | 381.646828403953 | 2.55317159604732 |
177 | 345.5 | 383.059072769602 | -37.5590727696022 |
178 | 323.4 | 342.707873804388 | -19.3078738043884 |
179 | 372.6 | 319.759047172223 | 52.8409528277772 |
180 | 376 | 371.282079137505 | 4.71792086249525 |
181 | 462.7 | 374.889491767042 | 87.8105082329583 |
182 | 487 | 465.449880473083 | 21.5501195269171 |
183 | 444.2 | 490.697282324065 | -46.4972823240647 |
184 | 399.3 | 445.853135363097 | -46.5531353630969 |
185 | 394.9 | 398.906532950664 | -4.00653295066434 |
186 | 455.4 | 394.330394868055 | 61.0696051319453 |
187 | 414 | 457.515180763022 | -43.515180763022 |
188 | 375.5 | 414.202135095261 | -38.7021350952615 |
189 | 347 | 374.00068400213 | -27.0006840021296 |
190 | 339.4 | 344.313660516277 | -4.91366051627665 |
191 | 385.8 | 336.497642639327 | 49.3023573606731 |
192 | 378.8 | 385.065108326138 | -6.26510832613775 |
193 | 451.8 | 377.789677128767 | 74.0103228712331 |
194 | 446.1 | 454.043372162448 | -7.94337216244782 |
195 | 422.5 | 447.994159923493 | -25.494159923493 |
196 | 383.1 | 423.273367332502 | -40.1733673325019 |
197 | 352.8 | 382.107236869817 | -29.3072368698174 |
198 | 445.3 | 350.518811048191 | 94.7811889518095 |
199 | 367.5 | 447.185649832497 | -79.6856498324967 |
200 | 355.1 | 365.88245199391 | -10.7824519939096 |
201 | 326.2 | 353.008426085868 | -26.8084260858681 |
202 | 319.8 | 322.929854780779 | -3.12985478077923 |
203 | 331.8 | 316.392257854279 | 15.4077421457209 |
204 | 340.9 | 329.069624093945 | 11.8303759060547 |
205 | 394.1 | 338.689719586558 | 55.4102804134424 |
206 | 417.2 | 394.325706178722 | 22.8742938212779 |
207 | 369.9 | 418.431322332225 | -48.5313223322246 |
208 | 349.2 | 368.997753441773 | -19.7977534417732 |
209 | 321.4 | 347.427390368724 | -26.0273903687245 |
210 | 405.7 | 318.483155517463 | 87.2168444825372 |
211 | 342.9 | 406.617445150814 | -63.7174451508141 |
212 | 316.5 | 341.016253008919 | -24.5162530089186 |
213 | 284.2 | 313.538451864903 | -29.338451864903 |
214 | 270.9 | 279.948653747216 | -9.04865374721601 |
215 | 288.8 | 266.250850324442 | 22.5491496755585 |
216 | 278.8 | 285.142172257204 | -6.3421722572042 |
217 | 324.4 | 274.86335311988 | 49.5366468801196 |
218 | 310.9 | 322.641118811019 | -11.7411188110189 |
219 | 299 | 308.624947303002 | -9.62494730300182 |
220 | 273 | 296.301808448525 | -23.3018084485247 |
221 | 279.3 | 269.27739758956 | 10.0226024104397 |
222 | 359.2 | 276.018018443818 | 83.181981556182 |
223 | 305 | 359.574924531797 | -54.5749245317968 |
224 | 282.1 | 302.975662455592 | -20.875662455592 |
225 | 250.3 | 279.157911571371 | -28.8579115713709 |
226 | 246.5 | 246.089239311617 | 0.410760688383107 |
227 | 257.9 | 242.307297468371 | 15.5927025316291 |
228 | 266.5 | 254.392795069524 | 12.1072049304756 |
229 | 315.9 | 263.525060718772 | 52.3749392812284 |
230 | 318.4 | 315.227605461417 | 3.17239453858269 |
231 | 295.4 | 317.86707255134 | -22.4670725513396 |
232 | 266.4 | 293.879358952132 | -27.4793589521323 |
233 | 245.8 | 263.67129161392 | -17.8712916139199 |
234 | 362.8 | 242.285621041035 | 120.514378958965 |
235 | 324.9 | 364.583760828752 | -39.6837608287525 |
236 | 294.2 | 324.939154799254 | -30.7391547992538 |
237 | 289.5 | 292.887777971944 | -3.38777797194427 |
238 | 295.2 | 288.038842040646 | 7.16115795935423 |
239 | 290.3 | 294.053666016327 | -3.75366601632675 |
240 | 272 | 288.988644651717 | -16.988644651717 |
241 | 307.4 | 269.941777639281 | 37.458222360719 |
242 | 328.7 | 306.9885429463 | 21.7114570537004 |
243 | 292.9 | 329.243037633649 | -36.3430376336489 |
244 | 249.1 | 291.845298879513 | -42.7452988795129 |
245 | 230.4 | 246.166099312725 | -15.7660993127247 |
246 | 361.5 | 226.772978717594 | 134.727021282406 |
247 | 321.7 | 363.795944907214 | -42.0959449072142 |
248 | 277.2 | 322.145292706696 | -44.945292706696 |
249 | 260.7 | 275.669375429297 | -14.9693754292974 |
250 | 251 | 258.511280982441 | -7.51128098244095 |
251 | 257.6 | 248.481064646651 | 9.11893535334872 |
252 | 241.8 | 255.481957839933 | -13.6819578399329 |
253 | 287.5 | 239.080461770901 | 48.4195382290989 |
254 | 292.3 | 286.909116328229 | 5.39088367177123 |
255 | 274.7 | 291.946114232704 | -17.2461142327037 |
256 | 254.2 | 273.587928157406 | -19.3879281574061 |
257 | 230 | 252.235582118207 | -22.2355821182074 |
258 | 339 | 227.058045467882 | 111.941954532118 |
259 | 318.2 | 340.979318168657 | -22.7793181686567 |
260 | 287 | 319.17787740309 | -32.1778774030901 |
261 | 295.8 | 286.563250418109 | 9.23674958189122 |
262 | 284 | 295.769323045224 | -11.7693230452238 |
263 | 271 | 283.451911602381 | -12.4519116023815 |
264 | 262.7 | 269.904491710551 | -7.20449171055111 |
265 | 340.6 | 261.287762665339 | 79.3122373346607 |
266 | 379.4 | 342.674544275182 | 36.7254557248182 |
267 | 373.3 | 383.089095168432 | -9.78909516843225 |
268 | 355.2 | 376.558739927459 | -21.3587399274591 |
269 | 338.4 | 357.519751644047 | -19.1197516440466 |
270 | 466.9 | 339.87919537357 | 127.02080462643 |
271 | 451 | 473.963375325145 | -22.9633753251451 |
272 | 422 | 457.053842906513 | -35.0538429065126 |
273 | 429.2 | 426.51278065801 | 2.6872193419901 |
274 | 425.9 | 433.830918127058 | -7.93091812705802 |
275 | 460.7 | 430.182253401362 | 30.5177465986376 |
276 | 463.6 | 466.323896522146 | -2.72389652214548 |
277 | 541.4 | 469.104146624529 | 72.2958533754706 |
278 | 544.2 | 550.082468917391 | -5.8824689173905 |
279 | 517.5 | 552.623859588857 | -35.1238595888569 |
280 | 469.4 | 524.379719216617 | -54.9797192166171 |
281 | 439.4 | 473.862661265397 | -34.4626612653969 |
282 | 549 | 442.34758896931 | 106.65241103069 |
283 | 533 | 556.63631895505 | -23.6363189550501 |
284 | 506.1 | 539.597202104657 | -33.4972021046568 |
285 | 484 | 511.22457401844 | -27.2245740184404 |
286 | 457 | 487.927707718695 | -30.9277077186946 |
287 | 481.5 | 459.568041592355 | 21.9319584076447 |
288 | 469.5 | 485.032230118786 | -15.5322301187857 |
289 | 544.7 | 472.34939104933 | 72.3506089506697 |
290 | 541.2 | 550.730120546162 | -9.53012054616227 |
291 | 521.5 | 546.811150533758 | -25.3111505337578 |
292 | 469.7 | 525.998403533157 | -56.2984035331572 |
293 | 434.4 | 471.723372633769 | -37.323372633769 |
294 | 542.6 | 434.782535687415 | 107.817464312585 |
295 | 517.3 | 547.722484583304 | -30.4224845833045 |
296 | 485.7 | 521.085029439741 | -35.3850294397408 |
297 | 465.8 | 487.929407330714 | -22.1294073307135 |
298 | 447 | 467.056538412745 | -20.0565384127449 |
299 | 426.6 | 447.374798448714 | -20.7747984487142 |
300 | 411.6 | 426.061481820493 | -14.4614818204932 |
301 | 467.5 | 410.425715757685 | 57.074284242315 |
302 | 484.5 | 468.834856482732 | 15.6651435172676 |
303 | 451.2 | 486.523538786588 | -35.3235387865877 |
304 | 417.4 | 451.670619973871 | -34.2706199738712 |
305 | 379.9 | 416.363990335136 | -36.4639903351361 |
306 | 484.7 | 377.260934171362 | 107.439065828638 |
307 | 455 | 486.784247641 | -31.7842476410004 |
308 | 420.8 | 455.686925690673 | -34.8869256906727 |
309 | 416.5 | 419.95320157684 | -3.45320157684023 |
310 | 376.3 | 415.501389445978 | -39.2013894459782 |
311 | 405.6 | 373.577989774075 | 32.0220102259255 |
312 | 405.8 | 404.285764414132 | 1.51423558586816 |
313 | 500.8 | 404.55233432782 | 96.2476656721801 |
314 | 514 | 503.783643416227 | 10.2163565837735 |
315 | 475.5 | 517.432782230778 | -41.9327822307778 |
316 | 430.1 | 477.089303105169 | -46.9893031051686 |
317 | 414.4 | 429.623525572818 | -15.2235255728179 |
318 | 538 | 413.254257994597 | 124.745742005403 |
319 | 526 | 542.338420007266 | -16.3384200072663 |
320 | 488.5 | 529.620138638216 | -41.1201386382156 |
321 | 520.2 | 490.312385534581 | 29.8876144654186 |
322 | 504.4 | 523.326326333406 | -18.9263263334063 |
323 | 568.5 | 506.694273565524 | 61.8057264344755 |
324 | 610.6 | 573.511421354527 | 37.0885786454735 |
325 | 818 | 617.241936118731 | 200.758063881269 |
326 | 830.9 | 833.467806484928 | -2.56780648492781 |
327 | 835.9 | 846.25491872977 | -10.3549187297697 |
328 | 782 | 850.799688346518 | -68.7996883465183 |
329 | 762.3 | 793.875066974695 | -31.5750669746952 |
330 | 856.9 | 772.786941175238 | 84.113058824762 |
331 | 820.9 | 871.08477995162 | -50.1847799516207 |
332 | 769.6 | 832.878520568331 | -63.2785205683309 |
333 | 752.2 | 778.796624744554 | -26.5966247445541 |
334 | 724.4 | 760.227364802335 | -35.8273648023352 |
335 | 723.1 | 730.852296428021 | -7.75229642802117 |
336 | 719.5 | 729.211484397903 | -9.71148439790272 |
337 | 817.4 | 725.184541137432 | 92.2154588625679 |
338 | 803.3 | 827.13858345058 | -23.8385834505805 |
339 | 752.5 | 811.99057450299 | -59.4905745029895 |
340 | 689 | 758.575207087987 | -69.5752070879875 |
341 | 630.4 | 692.016491803589 | -61.6164918035889 |
342 | 765.5 | 630.707663283505 | 134.792336716495 |
343 | 757.7 | 771.733500917206 | -14.0335009172064 |
344 | 732.2 | 763.316550058623 | -31.1165500586227 |
345 | 702.6 | 736.448581909542 | -33.848581909542 |
346 | 683.3 | 705.360506211672 | -22.0605062116716 |
347 | 709.5 | 685.090666374244 | 24.4093336257561 |
348 | 702.2 | 712.363767051453 | -10.163767051453 |
349 | 784.8 | 704.616940215738 | 80.1830597842619 |
350 | 810.9 | 790.742005548304 | 20.157994451696 |
351 | 755.6 | 817.728205795674 | -62.1282057956744 |
352 | 656.8 | 759.696880937106 | -102.896880937106 |
353 | 615.1 | 656.37325426588 | -41.27325426588 |
354 | 745.3 | 612.85876978292 | 132.44123021708 |
355 | 694.1 | 748.881246382051 | -54.781246382051 |
356 | 675.7 | 695.272913836303 | -19.5729138363027 |
357 | 643.7 | 676.012435323668 | -32.3124353236682 |
358 | 622.1 | 642.591892806624 | -20.4918928066239 |
359 | 634.6 | 620.091013479673 | 14.5089865203267 |
360 | 588 | 633.228867978255 | -45.2288679782555 |
361 | 689.7 | 584.640483960854 | 105.059516039146 |
362 | 673.9 | 690.959185951551 | -17.0591859515513 |
363 | 647.9 | 674.409217751767 | -26.5092177517669 |
364 | 568.8 | 647.243800458618 | -78.4438004586176 |
365 | 545.7 | 564.695197695199 | -18.9951976951986 |
366 | 632.6 | 540.760117154986 | 91.8398828450145 |
367 | 643.8 | 631.69764812518 | 12.1023518748203 |
368 | 593.1 | 643.429700420904 | -50.3297004209041 |
369 | 579.7 | 590.517069939734 | -10.8170699397339 |
370 | 546 | 576.641522132665 | -30.6415221326649 |
371 | 562.9 | 541.59443750285 | 21.30556249715 |
372 | 572.5 | 559.431087961832 | 13.0689120381679 |
Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
373 | 569.605632870495 | 482.369788627267 | 656.841477113724 |
374 | 566.711265740991 | 440.600148292308 | 692.822383189674 |
375 | 563.816898611486 | 405.984137005413 | 721.64966021756 |
376 | 560.922531481982 | 374.747858222753 | 747.09720474121 |
377 | 558.028164352477 | 345.465431750268 | 770.590896954686 |
378 | 555.133797222973 | 317.423225336 | 792.844369109946 |
379 | 552.239430093468 | 290.207700304992 | 814.271159881944 |
380 | 549.345062963964 | 263.556214432631 | 835.133911495296 |
381 | 546.450695834459 | 237.291112544819 | 855.610279124099 |
382 | 543.556328704954 | 211.286574187579 | 875.82608322233 |
383 | 540.66196157545 | 185.450323544369 | 895.873599606531 |
384 | 537.767594445945 | 159.712812194612 | 915.82237669728 |