Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha1
beta0.0439627190836867
gammaFALSE


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
3264.6326.3-61.6999999999999
4240.7307.487500232537-66.7875002325366
5201.4280.651340121512-79.2513401215118
6240.8237.8672357187442.93276428125586
7241.1277.39616801098-36.2961680109797
8223.8276.100489772899-52.3004897728986
9206.1256.501218033073-50.4012180330735
10174.7236.58544344321-61.8854434432099
11203.3202.4647910777470.8352089222534
12220.5231.101509132972-10.6015091329718
13299.5247.83543796509651.6645620349041
14347.4329.10675259241818.2932474075819
15338.3377.810973489326-39.5109734893259
16327.7366.973963661092-39.2739636610917
17351.6354.647373429356-3.04737342935618
18396.6378.41340260733818.1865973926617
19438.8424.212934879614.5870651203999
20395.6467.054221925744-71.4542219257436
21363.5420.712900039879-57.2129000398788
22378.8386.097665387463-7.29766538746253
23357401.076840174067-44.0768401740668
24369377.339102431398-8.3391024313977
25464.8388.97249281379675.827507186204
26479.1488.106076211039-9.00607621103939
27431.3502.010144612527-70.7101446125272
28366.5451.10153438856-84.6015343885598
29326.3382.582220898187-56.2822208981867
30355.1339.90790143143415.1920985685663
31331.6369.375787393095-37.7757873930953
32261.3344.215061063768-82.9150610637676
33249270.269889526414-21.2698895264144
34205.5257.034807348224-51.5348073482236
35235.6211.26919708974224.3308029102583
36240.9242.438845343166-1.53884534316597
37264.9247.67119351763117.2288064823688
38253.8272.428618697163-18.6286186971627
39232.3260.509653966462-28.2096539664622
40193.8237.769480873687-43.9694808736866
41177197.336462937781-20.3364629377812
42213.2179.64241673049233.5575832695082
43207.2217.317699336897-10.1176993368965
44180.6210.872897763175-30.2728977631754
45188.6182.9420188629645.65798113703627
46175.4191.190759098272-15.790759098272
47199177.29655439191721.7034456080835
48179.6201.850696874333-22.2506968743328
49225.8181.4724957382344.3275042617698
50234229.6212533557714.37874664422864
51200.2238.01375496443-37.8137549644302
52183.6202.55135947743-18.9513594774296
53178.2185.118206184469-6.9182061844694
54203.2179.41406302941923.7859369705814
55208.5205.4597574945983.04024250540152
56191.8210.89341482181-19.0934148218097
57172.8193.35401638965-20.5540163896502
58148173.450405941071-25.4504059410706
59159.4147.53153689411711.8684631058825
60154.5159.453306803596-4.95330680359649
61213.2154.33554596805558.8644540319453
62196.4215.623387424676-19.2233874246756
63182.8197.978275043488-15.1782750434878
64176.4183.710996801576-7.31099680157598
65153.6176.989585502967-23.3895855029666
66173.2153.16131572601620.0386842739842
67171173.64227077356-2.64227077355963
68151.2171.326109365799-20.1261093657986
69161.9150.64131087350211.2586891264976
70157.2161.836273460821-4.63627346082123
71201.7156.93245027306844.767549726932
72236.4203.40055348577832.999446514222
73356.1239.5512988828116.5487011172
74398.3364.37509668958433.924903310416
75403.7408.066527683761-4.36652768376103
76384.6413.274563253829-28.6745632538286
77365.8392.913951484653-27.1139514846532
78368.1372.921948452285-4.82194845228469
79367.9375.009962487041-7.10996248704095
80347374.497389203528-27.4973892035275
81343.3352.388529206438-9.08852920643807
82292.9348.288972750052-55.3889727500516
83311.5295.45392290070716.046077099293
84300.9314.759352080618-13.8593520806185
85366.9303.55005727841663.3499427215837
86356.9372.335093014253-15.435093014253
87329.7361.656524356037-31.9565243560368
88316.2333.051628652881-16.8516286528813
89269318.810785236312-49.8107852363121
90289.3269.4209676776319.8790323223698
91266.2290.594903991274-24.3949039912741
92253.6266.422437680032-12.8224376800323
93233.8253.258728454337-19.4587284543369
94228.4232.603269841573-4.20326984157316
95253.6227.01848267029526.5815173297048
96260.1253.3870784494796.71292155052092
97306.6260.18219673383546.4178032661645
98309.2308.7228495793080.477150420692283
99309.5311.343826409213-1.84382640921325
100271311.562766786746-40.562766786746
101279.9271.2795172652438.62048273475682
102317.9280.55849712607737.341502873923
103298.4320.200131127086-21.800131127086
104246.7299.741738086358-53.0417380863584
105227.3245.709879055157-18.4098790551573
106209.1225.500530713891-16.4005307138908
107259.9206.57951878929353.3204812107074
108266259.7236321261666.27636787383409
109320.6266.09955832386954.5004416761308
110308.5323.095545931214-14.5955459312138
111282.2310.353886045567-28.1538860455668
112262.7282.816164662231-20.1161646622314
113263.5262.4318033661451.06819663385545
114313.1263.27876419468549.8212358053152
115284.3315.069041188796-30.7690411887961
116252.6284.916350474539-32.3163504745386
117250.3251.795635836817-1.49563583681649
118246.5249.429883618671-2.92988361867106
119312.7245.50107796819667.1989220318045
120333.2314.65532530020618.5446746997937
121446.4335.970599624532110.429400375468
122511.6454.02537633181857.5746236681817
123515.5521.756513338492-6.25651333849169
124506.4525.381460000148-18.9814600001482
125483.2515.446983406363-32.2469834063634
126522.3490.82931833357331.4706816664268
127509.8531.312855071046-21.5128550710463
128460.7517.86709146687-57.16709146687
129405.8466.253870683881-60.4538706838805
130375408.696154149484-33.6961541494836
131378.5376.4147795904092.08522040959082
132406.8380.00645154950426.7935484504964
133467.8409.48436879328858.315631206712
134469.8473.048082506216-3.24808250621646
135429.8474.905287967435-45.1052879674351
136355.8432.922336863334-77.122336863334
137332.7355.531829232734-22.8318292327338
138378331.42807993800846.5719200619917
139360.5378.775508176882-18.2755081768816
140334.7360.47206714479-25.7720671447897
141319.5333.539056996697-14.0390569966974
142323.1317.7218618777525.37813812224829
143363.6321.55829945321342.0417005467866
144352.1363.906566924152-11.8065669241523
145411.9351.88751813912360.012481860877
146388.6414.325830020688-25.7258300206876
147416.4389.89485258229326.5051474177066
148360.7418.86009093249-58.1600909324898
149338360.603215192943-22.603215192943
150417.2336.90951639302880.2904836069724
151388.4419.639304368934-31.2393043689343
152371.1389.465939606593-18.365939606593
153331.5371.35852296296-39.8585229629604
154353.7330.00623391484923.6937660851509
155396.7353.24787629728543.4521237027148
156447398.15814980521748.8418501947828
157533.5450.60537034485882.894629655142
158565.4540.74964366193324.6503563380668
159542.3573.733340352936-31.4333403529364
160488.7549.251445241138-60.5514452411383
161467.1492.989439063891-25.889439063891
162531.3470.25126892709161.048731072909
163496.1537.135137141665-41.0351371416647
164444500.131120934945-56.1311209349452
165403.4445.56344423343-42.1634442334297
166386.3403.109824578995-16.8098245789947
167394.1385.2708189831828.82918101681764
168404.1393.45897378796410.6410262120363
169462.1403.92678223408658.1732177659143
170448.1464.484235064923-16.3842350649227
171432.3449.763939541362-17.4639395413624
172386.3433.196177273211-46.896177273211
173395.2385.1344938056510.06550619435
174421.9394.47700082690727.4229991730926
175382.9422.382590435986-39.4825904359862
176384.2381.6468284039532.55317159604732
177345.5383.059072769602-37.5590727696022
178323.4342.707873804388-19.3078738043884
179372.6319.75904717222352.8409528277772
180376371.2820791375054.71792086249525
181462.7374.88949176704287.8105082329583
182487465.44988047308321.5501195269171
183444.2490.697282324065-46.4972823240647
184399.3445.853135363097-46.5531353630969
185394.9398.906532950664-4.00653295066434
186455.4394.33039486805561.0696051319453
187414457.515180763022-43.515180763022
188375.5414.202135095261-38.7021350952615
189347374.00068400213-27.0006840021296
190339.4344.313660516277-4.91366051627665
191385.8336.49764263932749.3023573606731
192378.8385.065108326138-6.26510832613775
193451.8377.78967712876774.0103228712331
194446.1454.043372162448-7.94337216244782
195422.5447.994159923493-25.494159923493
196383.1423.273367332502-40.1733673325019
197352.8382.107236869817-29.3072368698174
198445.3350.51881104819194.7811889518095
199367.5447.185649832497-79.6856498324967
200355.1365.88245199391-10.7824519939096
201326.2353.008426085868-26.8084260858681
202319.8322.929854780779-3.12985478077923
203331.8316.39225785427915.4077421457209
204340.9329.06962409394511.8303759060547
205394.1338.68971958655855.4102804134424
206417.2394.32570617872222.8742938212779
207369.9418.431322332225-48.5313223322246
208349.2368.997753441773-19.7977534417732
209321.4347.427390368724-26.0273903687245
210405.7318.48315551746387.2168444825372
211342.9406.617445150814-63.7174451508141
212316.5341.016253008919-24.5162530089186
213284.2313.538451864903-29.338451864903
214270.9279.948653747216-9.04865374721601
215288.8266.25085032444222.5491496755585
216278.8285.142172257204-6.3421722572042
217324.4274.8633531198849.5366468801196
218310.9322.641118811019-11.7411188110189
219299308.624947303002-9.62494730300182
220273296.301808448525-23.3018084485247
221279.3269.2773975895610.0226024104397
222359.2276.01801844381883.181981556182
223305359.574924531797-54.5749245317968
224282.1302.975662455592-20.875662455592
225250.3279.157911571371-28.8579115713709
226246.5246.0892393116170.410760688383107
227257.9242.30729746837115.5927025316291
228266.5254.39279506952412.1072049304756
229315.9263.52506071877252.3749392812284
230318.4315.2276054614173.17239453858269
231295.4317.86707255134-22.4670725513396
232266.4293.879358952132-27.4793589521323
233245.8263.67129161392-17.8712916139199
234362.8242.285621041035120.514378958965
235324.9364.583760828752-39.6837608287525
236294.2324.939154799254-30.7391547992538
237289.5292.887777971944-3.38777797194427
238295.2288.0388420406467.16115795935423
239290.3294.053666016327-3.75366601632675
240272288.988644651717-16.988644651717
241307.4269.94177763928137.458222360719
242328.7306.988542946321.7114570537004
243292.9329.243037633649-36.3430376336489
244249.1291.845298879513-42.7452988795129
245230.4246.166099312725-15.7660993127247
246361.5226.772978717594134.727021282406
247321.7363.795944907214-42.0959449072142
248277.2322.145292706696-44.945292706696
249260.7275.669375429297-14.9693754292974
250251258.511280982441-7.51128098244095
251257.6248.4810646466519.11893535334872
252241.8255.481957839933-13.6819578399329
253287.5239.08046177090148.4195382290989
254292.3286.9091163282295.39088367177123
255274.7291.946114232704-17.2461142327037
256254.2273.587928157406-19.3879281574061
257230252.235582118207-22.2355821182074
258339227.058045467882111.941954532118
259318.2340.979318168657-22.7793181686567
260287319.17787740309-32.1778774030901
261295.8286.5632504181099.23674958189122
262284295.769323045224-11.7693230452238
263271283.451911602381-12.4519116023815
264262.7269.904491710551-7.20449171055111
265340.6261.28776266533979.3122373346607
266379.4342.67454427518236.7254557248182
267373.3383.089095168432-9.78909516843225
268355.2376.558739927459-21.3587399274591
269338.4357.519751644047-19.1197516440466
270466.9339.87919537357127.02080462643
271451473.963375325145-22.9633753251451
272422457.053842906513-35.0538429065126
273429.2426.512780658012.6872193419901
274425.9433.830918127058-7.93091812705802
275460.7430.18225340136230.5177465986376
276463.6466.323896522146-2.72389652214548
277541.4469.10414662452972.2958533754706
278544.2550.082468917391-5.8824689173905
279517.5552.623859588857-35.1238595888569
280469.4524.379719216617-54.9797192166171
281439.4473.862661265397-34.4626612653969
282549442.34758896931106.65241103069
283533556.63631895505-23.6363189550501
284506.1539.597202104657-33.4972021046568
285484511.22457401844-27.2245740184404
286457487.927707718695-30.9277077186946
287481.5459.56804159235521.9319584076447
288469.5485.032230118786-15.5322301187857
289544.7472.3493910493372.3506089506697
290541.2550.730120546162-9.53012054616227
291521.5546.811150533758-25.3111505337578
292469.7525.998403533157-56.2984035331572
293434.4471.723372633769-37.323372633769
294542.6434.782535687415107.817464312585
295517.3547.722484583304-30.4224845833045
296485.7521.085029439741-35.3850294397408
297465.8487.929407330714-22.1294073307135
298447467.056538412745-20.0565384127449
299426.6447.374798448714-20.7747984487142
300411.6426.061481820493-14.4614818204932
301467.5410.42571575768557.074284242315
302484.5468.83485648273215.6651435172676
303451.2486.523538786588-35.3235387865877
304417.4451.670619973871-34.2706199738712
305379.9416.363990335136-36.4639903351361
306484.7377.260934171362107.439065828638
307455486.784247641-31.7842476410004
308420.8455.686925690673-34.8869256906727
309416.5419.95320157684-3.45320157684023
310376.3415.501389445978-39.2013894459782
311405.6373.57798977407532.0220102259255
312405.8404.2857644141321.51423558586816
313500.8404.5523343278296.2476656721801
314514503.78364341622710.2163565837735
315475.5517.432782230778-41.9327822307778
316430.1477.089303105169-46.9893031051686
317414.4429.623525572818-15.2235255728179
318538413.254257994597124.745742005403
319526542.338420007266-16.3384200072663
320488.5529.620138638216-41.1201386382156
321520.2490.31238553458129.8876144654186
322504.4523.326326333406-18.9263263334063
323568.5506.69427356552461.8057264344755
324610.6573.51142135452737.0885786454735
325818617.241936118731200.758063881269
326830.9833.467806484928-2.56780648492781
327835.9846.25491872977-10.3549187297697
328782850.799688346518-68.7996883465183
329762.3793.875066974695-31.5750669746952
330856.9772.78694117523884.113058824762
331820.9871.08477995162-50.1847799516207
332769.6832.878520568331-63.2785205683309
333752.2778.796624744554-26.5966247445541
334724.4760.227364802335-35.8273648023352
335723.1730.852296428021-7.75229642802117
336719.5729.211484397903-9.71148439790272
337817.4725.18454113743292.2154588625679
338803.3827.13858345058-23.8385834505805
339752.5811.99057450299-59.4905745029895
340689758.575207087987-69.5752070879875
341630.4692.016491803589-61.6164918035889
342765.5630.707663283505134.792336716495
343757.7771.733500917206-14.0335009172064
344732.2763.316550058623-31.1165500586227
345702.6736.448581909542-33.848581909542
346683.3705.360506211672-22.0605062116716
347709.5685.09066637424424.4093336257561
348702.2712.363767051453-10.163767051453
349784.8704.61694021573880.1830597842619
350810.9790.74200554830420.157994451696
351755.6817.728205795674-62.1282057956744
352656.8759.696880937106-102.896880937106
353615.1656.37325426588-41.27325426588
354745.3612.85876978292132.44123021708
355694.1748.881246382051-54.781246382051
356675.7695.272913836303-19.5729138363027
357643.7676.012435323668-32.3124353236682
358622.1642.591892806624-20.4918928066239
359634.6620.09101347967314.5089865203267
360588633.228867978255-45.2288679782555
361689.7584.640483960854105.059516039146
362673.9690.959185951551-17.0591859515513
363647.9674.409217751767-26.5092177517669
364568.8647.243800458618-78.4438004586176
365545.7564.695197695199-18.9951976951986
366632.6540.76011715498691.8398828450145
367643.8631.6976481251812.1023518748203
368593.1643.429700420904-50.3297004209041
369579.7590.517069939734-10.8170699397339
370546576.641522132665-30.6415221326649
371562.9541.5944375028521.30556249715
372572.5559.43108796183213.0689120381679


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
373569.605632870495482.369788627267656.841477113724
374566.711265740991440.600148292308692.822383189674
375563.816898611486405.984137005413721.64966021756
376560.922531481982374.747858222753747.09720474121
377558.028164352477345.465431750268770.590896954686
378555.133797222973317.423225336792.844369109946
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