Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 721 | 0 | 73 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 16111 | 16301.2295555543 | -28.7536456340767 | 15949.5240900798 | 190.229555554253 |
2 | 15554 | 15536.5435877686 | -330.723341478398 | 15902.1797537098 | -17.4564122313895 |
3 | 15220 | 15235.5241534229 | -650.359570762675 | 15854.8354173398 | 15.5241534229208 |
4 | 14807 | 14634.8752532844 | -824.44456150426 | 15803.5693082199 | -172.124746715599 |
5 | 14291 | 13955.0595899848 | -1125.36278908472 | 15752.3031991 | -335.940410015246 |
6 | 14653 | 14286.9373913216 | -674.813278262191 | 15693.8758869406 | -366.062608678403 |
7 | 17006 | 16898.1484756628 | 1478.40294955598 | 15635.4485747812 | -107.851524337204 |
8 | 18032 | 18489.0065094549 | 2001.9888418973 | 15573.0046486478 | 457.006509454874 |
9 | 16558 | 16936.3644287818 | 669.074848703757 | 15510.5607225144 | 378.364428781817 |
10 | 16102 | 16757.2799235193 | -6.04551474445078 | 15452.7655912252 | 655.27992351925 |
11 | 15055 | 15302.1952315393 | -587.165691475315 | 15394.970459936 | 247.195231539343 |
12 | 15484 | 15565.7326369991 | 78.2014348924953 | 15324.0659281084 | 81.732636999117 |
13 | 14596 | 13967.5922493533 | -28.7536456340767 | 15253.1613962808 | -628.407750646727 |
14 | 14609 | 14393.8232429033 | -330.723341478398 | 15154.9000985751 | -215.176757096722 |
15 | 13923 | 13439.7207698932 | -650.359570762675 | 15056.6388008694 | -483.279230106764 |
16 | 14226 | 14343.6934479064 | -824.44456150426 | 14932.7511135978 | 117.693447906415 |
17 | 14056 | 14428.4993627585 | -1125.36278908472 | 14808.8634263263 | 372.499362758464 |
18 | 14278 | 14569.1027374654 | -674.813278262191 | 14661.7105407968 | 291.102737465433 |
19 | 16142 | 16291.0393951768 | 1478.40294955598 | 14514.5576552673 | 149.03939517676 |
20 | 16509 | 16694.0384298032 | 2001.9888418973 | 14321.9727282995 | 185.038429803206 |
21 | 15680 | 16561.5373499645 | 669.074848703757 | 14129.3878013317 | 881.53734996452 |
22 | 14086 | 14298.1868617091 | -6.04551474445078 | 13879.8586530354 | 212.186861709064 |
23 | 13129 | 13214.8361867363 | -587.165691475315 | 13630.329504739 | 85.8361867362673 |
24 | 13086 | 12741.5293102649 | 78.2014348924953 | 13352.2692548426 | -344.470689735119 |
25 | 13096 | 13146.5446406879 | -28.7536456340767 | 13074.2090049462 | 50.5446406878746 |
26 | 12280 | 12089.9322323003 | -330.723341478398 | 12800.7911091781 | -190.06776769966 |
27 | 11534 | 11190.9863573528 | -650.359570762675 | 12527.3732134099 | -343.013642647242 |
28 | 11135 | 10811.7045880863 | -824.44456150426 | 12282.739973418 | -323.295411913705 |
29 | 10903 | 10893.2560556587 | -1125.36278908472 | 12038.106733426 | -9.743944341295 |
30 | 10926 | 10681.7903242653 | -674.813278262191 | 11845.0229539969 | -244.209675734743 |
31 | 13220 | 13309.6578758762 | 1478.40294955598 | 11651.9391745678 | 89.6578758761698 |
32 | 13581 | 13656.5771018046 | 2001.9888418973 | 11503.4340562981 | 75.5771018045889 |
33 | 11788 | 11551.9962132679 | 669.074848703757 | 11354.9289380284 | -236.003786732124 |
34 | 11088 | 10942.7155597775 | -6.04551474445078 | 11239.3299549669 | -145.284440222471 |
35 | 10434 | 10331.4347195698 | -587.165691475315 | 11123.7309719055 | -102.565280430161 |
36 | 11061 | 11015.3570267849 | 78.2014348924953 | 11028.4415383226 | -45.6429732150809 |
37 | 10828 | 10751.6015408944 | -28.7536456340767 | 10933.1521047397 | -76.3984591056178 |
38 | 10270 | 10011.3202004385 | -330.723341478398 | 10859.4031410399 | -258.679799561505 |
39 | 10360 | 10584.7053934226 | -650.359570762675 | 10785.6541773401 | 224.705393422559 |
40 | 9899 | 9875.7953676075 | -824.44456150426 | 10746.6491938968 | -23.2046323925006 |
41 | 9395 | 9207.71857863131 | -1125.36278908472 | 10707.6442104534 | -187.281421368687 |
42 | 9944 | 9842.39547340534 | -674.813278262191 | 10720.4178048569 | -101.604526594663 |
43 | 12117 | 12022.4056511837 | 1478.40294955598 | 10733.1913992603 | -94.5943488162811 |
44 | 12474 | 12133.4786293169 | 2001.9888418973 | 10812.5325287858 | -340.521370683129 |
45 | 11106 | 10651.0514929849 | 669.074848703757 | 10891.8736583114 | -454.948507015109 |
46 | 10643 | 10265.081262768 | -6.04551474445078 | 11026.9642519764 | -377.918737231956 |
47 | 10227 | 9879.11084583386 | -587.165691475315 | 11162.0548456415 | -347.889154166143 |
48 | 11273 | 11132.0305281178 | 78.2014348924953 | 11335.7680369897 | -140.969471882237 |
49 | 11516 | 11551.2724172961 | -28.7536456340767 | 11509.481228338 | 35.2724172960516 |
50 | 11583 | 11801.6347365973 | -330.723341478398 | 11695.0886048811 | 218.634736597314 |
51 | 11605 | 11979.6635893385 | -650.359570762675 | 11880.6959814241 | 374.66358933853 |
52 | 11414 | 11587.6778566894 | -824.44456150426 | 12064.7667048149 | 173.677856689401 |
53 | 11181 | 11238.5253608791 | -1125.36278908472 | 12248.8374282056 | 57.5253608791445 |
54 | 12000 | 12258.3854654794 | -674.813278262191 | 12416.4278127828 | 258.385465479387 |
55 | 14007 | 13951.578853084 | 1478.40294955598 | 12584.01819736 | -55.4211469160145 |
56 | 14582 | 14449.8559337737 | 2001.9888418973 | 12712.155224329 | -132.144066226276 |
57 | 13251 | 12992.6328999983 | 669.074848703757 | 12840.2922512979 | -258.367100001669 |
58 | 12806 | 12693.9399653916 | -6.04551474445078 | 12924.1055493528 | -112.060034608368 |
59 | 12645 | 12869.2468440676 | -587.165691475315 | 13007.9188474077 | 224.246844067591 |
60 | 13869 | 14604.0656868321 | 78.2014348924953 | 13055.7328782754 | 735.065686832142 |
61 | 13342 | 13609.2067364911 | -28.7536456340767 | 13103.546909143 | 267.206736491074 |
62 | 13079 | 13379.4482090308 | -330.723341478398 | 13109.2751324476 | 300.448209030754 |
63 | 12513 | 12561.3562150104 | -650.359570762675 | 13115.0033557523 | 48.3562150103862 |
64 | 12331 | 12437.8074186283 | -824.44456150426 | 13048.637142876 | 106.807418628305 |
65 | 11882 | 11907.0918590851 | -1125.36278908472 | 12982.2709299996 | 25.0918590850979 |
66 | 12388 | 12539.6779718384 | -674.813278262191 | 12911.1353064238 | 151.677971838422 |
67 | 14394 | 14469.5973675961 | 1478.40294955598 | 12839.9996828479 | 75.597367596105 |
68 | 14635 | 14504.4704498294 | 2001.9888418973 | 12763.5407082733 | -130.529550170591 |
69 | 13218 | 13079.8434175976 | 669.074848703757 | 12687.0817336987 | -138.156582402422 |
70 | 12554 | 12507.8998741627 | -6.04551474445078 | 12606.1456405817 | -46.1001258372962 |
71 | 12031 | 12123.9561440105 | -587.165691475315 | 12525.2095474648 | 92.956144010488 |
72 | 12429 | 12337.8283169446 | 78.2014348924953 | 12441.9702481629 | -91.1716830554033 |