| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 16111 | NA | NA | 0.993401737044577 | NA |
| 2 | 15554 | NA | NA | 0.971292378001498 | NA |
| 3 | 15220 | NA | NA | 0.947643384106802 | NA |
| 4 | 14807 | NA | NA | 0.934510533934951 | NA |
| 5 | 14291 | NA | NA | 0.911950002792141 | NA |
| 6 | 14653 | NA | NA | 0.950100743680647 | NA |
| 7 | 17006 | 15677.4065541733 | 15676.2916666667 | 1.11488750662935 | 0.973033495859924 |
| 8 | 18032 | 15574.9500628748 | 15573.7916666667 | 1.15839620808848 | 0.999522122208252 |
| 9 | 16558 | 15481.4285860069 | 15480.375 | 1.05358600688357 | 1.01521121650661 |
| 10 | 16102 | 15403.125240267 | 15402.125 | 1.00024026700605 | 1.04518903397975 |
| 11 | 15055 | 15369.0788522917 | 15368.125 | 0.953852291688182 | 1.02701963828301 |
| 12 | 15484 | 15343.7184722735 | 15342.7083333333 | 1.01013894014375 | 0.999079436775482 |
| 13 | 14596 | 15292.0767350704 | 15291.0833333333 | 0.993401737044577 | 0.960883386334689 |
| 14 | 14609 | 15192.596292378 | 15191.625 | 0.971292378001498 | 0.990070856499903 |
| 15 | 13923 | 15092.5309767174 | 15091.5833333333 | 0.947643384106802 | 0.973538390168768 |
| 16 | 14226 | 14971.9345105339 | 14971 | 0.934510533934951 | 1.01682869331325 |
| 17 | 14056 | 14807.6619500028 | 14806.75 | 0.911950002792141 | 1.04095265148808 |
| 18 | 14278 | 14627.533434077 | 14626.5833333333 | 0.950100743680647 | 1.02743612062171 |
| 19 | 16142 | 14465.2815541733 | 14464.1666666667 | 1.11488750662935 | 1.00099723245648 |
| 20 | 16509 | 14305.7833962081 | 14304.625 | 1.15839620808848 | 0.996293193191255 |
| 21 | 15680 | 14109.0952526735 | 14108.0416666667 | 1.05358600688357 | 1.05489523536847 |
| 22 | 14086 | 13880.7085736003 | 13879.7083333333 | 1.00024026700605 | 1.0146190448467 |
| 23 | 13129 | 13620.4955189584 | 13619.5416666667 | 0.953852291688182 | 1.01062032483669 |
| 24 | 13086 | 13349.5101389401 | 13348.5 | 1.01013894014375 | 0.970495077584976 |
| 25 | 13096 | 13088.0767350704 | 13087.0833333333 | 0.993401737044577 | 1.00732794805943 |
| 26 | 12280 | 12844.3046257113 | 12843.3333333333 | 0.971292378001498 | 0.984397793994014 |
| 27 | 11534 | 12560.1143100508 | 12559.1666666667 | 0.947643384106802 | 0.969112484407731 |
| 28 | 11135 | 12273.0178438673 | 12272.0833333333 | 0.934510533934951 | 0.970929562480421 |
| 29 | 10903 | 12035.7869500028 | 12034.875 | 0.911950002792141 | 0.993421143885238 |
| 30 | 10926 | 11839.158434077 | 11838.2083333333 | 0.950100743680647 | 0.971416687112151 |
| 31 | 13220 | 11660.44822084 | 11659.3333333333 | 1.11488750662935 | 1.01701342925978 |
| 32 | 13581 | 11482.2417295414 | 11481.0833333333 | 1.15839620808848 | 1.0211551989401 |
| 33 | 11788 | 11349.4702526735 | 11348.4166666667 | 1.05358600688357 | 0.985904525979201 |
| 34 | 11088 | 11249.000240267 | 11248 | 1.00024026700605 | 0.985538456558841 |
| 35 | 10434 | 11134.6205189584 | 11133.6666666667 | 0.953852291688182 | 0.982497581962083 |
| 36 | 11061 | 11030.9268056068 | 11029.9166666667 | 1.01013894014375 | 0.992752633685687 |
| 37 | 10828 | 10944.0350684037 | 10943.0416666667 | 0.993401737044577 | 0.996059493690026 |
| 38 | 10270 | 10851.9296257113 | 10850.9583333333 | 0.971292378001498 | 0.974433861033461 |
| 39 | 10360 | 10777.3643100508 | 10776.4166666667 | 0.947643384106802 | 1.01447288949051 |
| 40 | 9899 | 10730.3928438673 | 10729.4583333333 | 0.934510533934951 | 0.987254962703186 |
| 41 | 9395 | 10703.2036166695 | 10702.2916666667 | 0.911950002792141 | 0.962606905619318 |
| 42 | 9944 | 10703.4501007437 | 10702.5 | 0.950100743680647 | 0.977926514030854 |
| 43 | 12117 | 10741.1148875066 | 10740 | 1.11488750662935 | 1.01195168462667 |
| 44 | 12474 | 10824.5333962081 | 10823.375 | 1.15839620808848 | 0.994914835168391 |
| 45 | 11106 | 10931.0119193402 | 10929.9583333333 | 1.05358600688357 | 0.964426574730561 |
| 46 | 10643 | 11045.9585736003 | 11044.9583333333 | 1.00024026700605 | 0.963375608253417 |
| 47 | 10227 | 11183.4538522917 | 11182.5 | 0.953852291688182 | 0.958800433337219 |
| 48 | 11273 | 11343.5934722735 | 11342.5833333333 | 1.01013894014375 | 0.98388970231471 |
| 49 | 11516 | 11507.993401737 | 11507 | 0.993401737044577 | 1.00742941681611 |
| 50 | 11583 | 11674.5546257113 | 11673.5833333333 | 0.971292378001498 | 1.02156707613849 |
| 51 | 11605 | 11851.7393100508 | 11850.7916666667 | 0.947643384106802 | 1.0333628548919 |
| 52 | 11414 | 12031.2261772006 | 12030.2916666667 | 0.934510533934951 | 1.01526054827475 |
| 53 | 11181 | 12222.0786166695 | 12221.1666666667 | 0.911950002792141 | 1.00322177879432 |
| 54 | 12000 | 12431.033434077 | 12430.0833333333 | 0.950100743680647 | 1.01610256524758 |
| 55 | 14007 | 12615.44822084 | 12614.3333333333 | 1.11488750662935 | 0.995978071897694 |
| 56 | 14582 | 12753.9083962081 | 12752.75 | 1.15839620808848 | 0.987088564592548 |
| 57 | 13251 | 12853.9702526735 | 12852.9166666667 | 1.05358600688357 | 0.978536361515705 |
| 58 | 12806 | 12929.9585736003 | 12928.9583333333 | 1.00024026700605 | 0.990251770461843 |
| 59 | 12645 | 12997.3288522917 | 12996.375 | 0.953852291688182 | 1.02003593568155 |
| 60 | 13869 | 13042.7601389401 | 13041.75 | 1.01013894014375 | 1.05275706373969 |
| 61 | 13342 | 13075.0350684037 | 13074.0416666667 | 0.993401737044577 | 1.02727366920029 |
| 62 | 13079 | 13093.346292378 | 13092.375 | 0.971292378001498 | 1.02850432643468 |
| 63 | 12513 | 13094.1559767174 | 13093.2083333333 | 0.947643384106802 | 1.00848729514163 |
| 64 | 12331 | 13082.2678438673 | 13081.3333333333 | 0.934510533934951 | 1.00870014732893 |
| 65 | 11882 | 13046.1619500028 | 13045.25 | 0.911950002792141 | 0.998771434313596 |
| 66 | 12388 | 12960.6167674103 | 12959.6666666667 | 0.950100743680647 | 1.00609202708825 |
| 67 | 14394 | NA | NA | 1.11488750662935 | NA |
| 68 | 14635 | NA | NA | 1.15839620808848 | NA |
| 69 | 13218 | NA | NA | 1.05358600688357 | NA |
| 70 | 12554 | NA | NA | 1.00024026700605 | NA |
| 71 | 12031 | NA | NA | 0.953852291688182 | NA |
| 72 | 12429 | NA | NA | 1.01013894014375 | NA |
