| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 276986 | NA | NA | 16453.4097222222 | NA |
| 2 | 260633 | NA | NA | -15183.3521825397 | NA |
| 3 | 291551 | NA | NA | 41519.4186507936 | NA |
| 4 | 275383 | NA | NA | 15167.4275793651 | NA |
| 5 | 275302 | NA | NA | -3449.61706349207 | NA |
| 6 | 231693 | NA | NA | -50146.7361111111 | NA |
| 7 | 238829 | 241234.424603175 | 269077.958333333 | -27843.5337301587 | -2405.42460317456 |
| 8 | 274215 | 255487.653769841 | 270075.625 | -14587.9712301587 | 18727.3462301588 |
| 9 | 277808 | 275068.683531746 | 271120 | 3948.68353174602 | 2739.31646825396 |
| 10 | 299060 | 315494.624007937 | 272100.75 | 43393.8740079365 | -16434.6240079365 |
| 11 | 286629 | 306460.552579365 | 272823.5 | 33637.0525793651 | -19831.552579365 |
| 12 | 232313 | 230580.469246032 | 273489.125 | -42908.6557539682 | 1732.53075396823 |
| 13 | 294053 | 290842.493055555 | 274389.083333333 | 16453.4097222222 | 3210.50694444455 |
| 14 | 267510 | 260555.814484127 | 275739.166666667 | -15183.3521825397 | 6954.18551587308 |
| 15 | 309739 | 318415.376984127 | 276895.958333333 | 41519.4186507936 | -8676.37698412692 |
| 16 | 280733 | 293555.844246032 | 278388.416666667 | 15167.4275793651 | -12822.8442460317 |
| 17 | 287298 | 276107.257936508 | 279556.875 | -3449.61706349207 | 11190.7420634921 |
| 18 | 235672 | 230004.805555556 | 280151.541666667 | -50146.7361111111 | 5667.1944444445 |
| 19 | 256449 | 252744.799603175 | 280588.333333333 | -27843.5337301587 | 3704.20039682544 |
| 20 | 288997 | 265671.445436508 | 280259.416666667 | -14587.9712301587 | 23325.5545634921 |
| 21 | 290789 | 283668.641865079 | 279719.958333333 | 3948.68353174602 | 7120.35813492059 |
| 22 | 321898 | 322993.415674603 | 279599.541666667 | 43393.8740079365 | -1095.41567460314 |
| 23 | 291834 | 313092.844246032 | 279455.791666667 | 33637.0525793651 | -21258.8442460318 |
| 24 | 241380 | 236444.844246032 | 279353.5 | -42908.6557539682 | 4935.15575396823 |
| 25 | 295469 | 296645.534722222 | 280192.125 | 16453.4097222222 | -1176.53472222219 |
| 26 | 258200 | 266205.77281746 | 281389.125 | -15183.3521825397 | -8005.7728174603 |
| 27 | 306102 | 323739.251984127 | 282219.833333333 | 41519.4186507936 | -17637.2519841269 |
| 28 | 281480 | 298577.177579365 | 283409.75 | 15167.4275793651 | -17097.1775793651 |
| 29 | 283101 | 281873.632936508 | 285323.25 | -3449.61706349207 | 1227.36706349213 |
| 30 | 237414 | 237314.847222222 | 287461.583333333 | -50146.7361111111 | 99.1527777778101 |
| 31 | 274834 | 261765.841269841 | 289609.375 | -27843.5337301587 | 13068.1587301588 |
| 32 | 299340 | 277127.653769841 | 291715.625 | -14587.9712301587 | 22212.3462301588 |
| 33 | 300383 | 297361.058531746 | 293412.375 | 3948.68353174602 | 3021.94146825396 |
| 34 | 340862 | 338825.33234127 | 295431.458333333 | 43393.8740079365 | 2036.66765873024 |
| 35 | 318794 | 331517.760912698 | 297880.708333333 | 33637.0525793651 | -12723.7609126983 |
| 36 | 265740 | 257182.635912698 | 300091.291666667 | -42908.6557539682 | 8557.36408730166 |
| 37 | 322656 | 317556.826388889 | 301103.416666667 | 16453.4097222222 | 5099.17361111112 |
| 38 | 281563 | 286737.39781746 | 301920.75 | -15183.3521825397 | -5174.3978174603 |
| 39 | 323461 | 344717.21031746 | 303197.791666667 | 41519.4186507936 | -21256.2103174603 |
| 40 | 312579 | 318835.927579365 | 303668.5 | 15167.4275793651 | -6256.92757936509 |
| 41 | 310784 | 300327.299603175 | 303776.916666667 | -3449.61706349207 | 10456.7003968254 |
| 42 | 262785 | 253676.013888889 | 303822.75 | -50146.7361111111 | 9108.98611111112 |
| 43 | 273754 | 276153.132936508 | 303996.666666667 | -27843.5337301587 | -2399.13293650787 |
| 44 | 320036 | 290387.112103175 | 304975.083333333 | -14587.9712301587 | 29648.8878968254 |
| 45 | 310336 | 310678.058531746 | 306729.375 | 3948.68353174602 | -342.058531746035 |
| 46 | 342206 | 351277.374007937 | 307883.5 | 43393.8740079365 | -9071.37400793651 |
| 47 | 320052 | 342360.969246032 | 308723.916666667 | 33637.0525793651 | -22308.9692460317 |
| 48 | 265582 | 266785.927579365 | 309694.583333333 | -42908.6557539682 | -1203.92757936509 |
| 49 | 326988 | 326659.493055556 | 310206.083333333 | 16453.4097222222 | 328.506944444438 |
| 50 | 300713 | 295395.731150794 | 310579.083333333 | -15183.3521825397 | 5317.26884920639 |
| 51 | 346414 | 352765.71031746 | 311246.291666667 | 41519.4186507936 | -6351.7103174603 |
| 52 | 317325 | 326947.094246032 | 311779.666666667 | 15167.4275793651 | -9622.09424603172 |
| 53 | 326208 | 309801.882936508 | 313251.5 | -3449.61706349207 | 16406.1170634921 |
| 54 | 270657 | 265045.805555556 | 315192.541666667 | -50146.7361111111 | 5611.19444444444 |
| 55 | 278158 | 288009.632936508 | 315853.166666667 | -27843.5337301587 | -9851.63293650793 |
| 56 | 324584 | 301677.237103174 | 316265.208333333 | -14587.9712301587 | 22906.7628968255 |
| 57 | 321801 | 321717.683531746 | 317769 | 3948.68353174602 | 83.3164682539646 |
| 58 | 343542 | 363139.70734127 | 319745.833333333 | 43393.8740079365 | -19597.7073412698 |
| 59 | 354040 | 354676.510912698 | 321039.458333333 | 33637.0525793651 | -636.510912698403 |
| 60 | 278179 | 279075.385912698 | 321984.041666667 | -42908.6557539682 | -896.385912698461 |
| 61 | 330246 | 339484.868055556 | 323031.458333333 | 16453.4097222222 | -9238.86805555556 |
| 62 | 307344 | 309185.939484127 | 324369.291666667 | -15183.3521825397 | -1841.93948412692 |
| 63 | 375874 | 367550.08531746 | 326030.666666667 | 41519.4186507936 | 8323.9146825397 |
| 64 | 335309 | 343217.510912698 | 328050.083333333 | 15167.4275793651 | -7908.5109126984 |
| 65 | 339271 | 326289.341269841 | 329738.958333333 | -3449.61706349207 | 12981.6587301588 |
| 66 | 280264 | 280657.555555556 | 330804.291666667 | -50146.7361111111 | -393.555555555562 |
| 67 | 293689 | 303833.257936508 | 331676.791666667 | -27843.5337301587 | -10144.2579365079 |
| 68 | 341161 | 318024.778769841 | 332612.75 | -14587.9712301587 | 23136.2212301588 |
| 69 | 345097 | 336980.933531746 | 333032.25 | 3948.68353174602 | 8116.06646825391 |
| 70 | 368712 | 376741.124007936 | 333347.25 | 43393.8740079365 | -8029.12400793645 |
| 71 | 369403 | 367285.135912698 | 333648.083333333 | 33637.0525793651 | 2117.8640873016 |
| 72 | 288384 | 290687.427579365 | 333596.083333333 | -42908.6557539682 | -2303.42757936509 |
| 73 | 340981 | 349603.118055556 | 333149.708333333 | 16453.4097222222 | -8622.1180555555 |
| 74 | 319072 | 316647.939484127 | 331831.291666667 | -15183.3521825397 | 2424.06051587302 |
| 75 | 374214 | 371690.376984127 | 330170.958333333 | 41519.4186507936 | 2523.62301587302 |
| 76 | 344529 | 344417.260912698 | 329249.833333333 | 15167.4275793651 | 111.739087301597 |
| 77 | 337271 | 326152.591269841 | 329602.208333333 | -3449.61706349207 | 11118.4087301587 |
| 78 | 281016 | 280423.638888889 | 330570.375 | -50146.7361111111 | 592.361111111182 |
| 79 | 282224 | 304005.507936508 | 331849.041666667 | -27843.5337301587 | -21781.5079365079 |
| 80 | 320984 | 318381.195436508 | 332969.166666667 | -14587.9712301587 | 2602.80456349213 |
| 81 | 325426 | 337663.141865079 | 333714.458333333 | 3948.68353174602 | -12237.1418650793 |
| 82 | 366276 | 377826.040674603 | 334432.166666667 | 43393.8740079365 | -11550.0406746032 |
| 83 | 380296 | 368067.385912698 | 334430.333333333 | 33637.0525793651 | 12228.6140873015 |
| 84 | 300727 | 291752.927579365 | 334661.583333333 | -42908.6557539682 | 8974.07242063485 |
| 85 | 359326 | 353810.826388889 | 337357.416666667 | 16453.4097222222 | 5515.17361111118 |
| 86 | 327610 | 324865.106150794 | 340048.458333333 | -15183.3521825397 | 2744.89384920639 |
| 87 | 383563 | 383481.58531746 | 341962.166666667 | 41519.4186507936 | 81.4146825397038 |
| 88 | 352405 | 359727.719246032 | 344560.291666667 | 15167.4275793651 | -7322.71924603172 |
| 89 | 329351 | 342629.882936508 | 346079.5 | -3449.61706349207 | -13278.8829365079 |
| 90 | 294486 | 296478.930555556 | 346625.666666667 | -50146.7361111111 | -1992.9305555555 |
| 91 | 333454 | 319240.924603175 | 347084.458333333 | -27843.5337301587 | 14213.0753968254 |
| 92 | 334339 | 333399.528769841 | 347987.5 | -14587.9712301587 | 939.471230158757 |
| 93 | 358000 | 353231.516865079 | 349282.833333333 | 3948.68353174602 | 4768.48313492059 |
| 94 | 396057 | 394276.040674603 | 350882.166666667 | 43393.8740079365 | 1780.95932539681 |
| 95 | 386976 | 385857.552579365 | 352220.5 | 33637.0525793651 | 1118.44742063497 |
| 96 | 307155 | 309832.677579365 | 352741.333333333 | -42908.6557539682 | -2677.67757936503 |
| 97 | 363909 | 368963.409722222 | 352510 | 16453.4097222222 | -5054.40972222213 |
| 98 | 344700 | 336678.064484127 | 351861.416666667 | -15183.3521825397 | 8021.93551587302 |
| 99 | 397561 | 392703.46031746 | 351184.041666667 | 41519.4186507936 | 4857.5396825397 |
| 100 | 376791 | 368640.344246032 | 353472.916666667 | 15167.4275793651 | 8150.65575396823 |
| 101 | 337085 | 354835.757936508 | 358285.375 | -3449.61706349207 | -17750.7579365079 |
| 102 | 299252 | 312420.888888889 | 362567.625 | -50146.7361111111 | -13168.8888888889 |
| 103 | 323136 | 339089.716269841 | 366933.25 | -27843.5337301587 | -15953.7162698412 |
| 104 | 329091 | 356052.278769841 | 370640.25 | -14587.9712301587 | -26961.2787698412 |
| 105 | 346991 | 377590.850198413 | 373642.166666667 | 3948.68353174602 | -30599.8501984127 |
| 106 | 461999 | 420456.83234127 | 377062.958333333 | 43393.8740079365 | 41542.1676587302 |
| 107 | 436533 | 414746.094246032 | 381109.041666667 | 33637.0525793651 | 21786.9057539683 |
| 108 | 360372 | 342571.177579365 | 385479.833333333 | -42908.6557539682 | 17800.8224206349 |
| 109 | 415467 | 406428.451388889 | 389975.041666667 | 16453.4097222222 | 9038.54861111112 |
| 110 | 382110 | 378605.189484127 | 393788.541666667 | -15183.3521825397 | 3504.81051587302 |
| 111 | 432197 | 439236.376984127 | 397716.958333333 | 41519.4186507936 | -7039.37698412692 |
| 112 | 424254 | 413713.719246032 | 398546.291666667 | 15167.4275793651 | 10540.2807539683 |
| 113 | 386728 | 393484.049603175 | 396933.666666667 | -3449.61706349207 | -6756.04960317462 |
| 114 | 354508 | 345739.805555556 | 395886.541666667 | -50146.7361111111 | 8768.19444444444 |
| 115 | 375765 | 367187.007936508 | 395030.541666667 | -27843.5337301587 | 8577.99206349207 |
| 116 | 367986 | 380457.403769841 | 395045.375 | -14587.9712301587 | -12471.4037698412 |
| 117 | 402378 | 399513.433531746 | 395564.75 | 3948.68353174602 | 2864.56646825402 |
| 118 | 426516 | 439026.540674603 | 395632.666666667 | 43393.8740079365 | -12510.5406746031 |
| 119 | 433313 | 429079.010912698 | 395441.958333333 | 33637.0525793651 | 4233.9890873016 |
| 120 | 338461 | 352575.052579365 | 395483.708333333 | -42908.6557539682 | -14114.0525793651 |
| 121 | 416834 | 411858.034722222 | 395404.625 | 16453.4097222222 | 4975.96527777781 |
| 122 | 381099 | 380640.89781746 | 395824.25 | -15183.3521825397 | 458.102182539704 |
| 123 | 445673 | 437215.001984127 | 395695.583333333 | 41519.4186507936 | 8457.99801587308 |
| 124 | 412408 | 410816.594246032 | 395649.166666667 | 15167.4275793651 | 1591.40575396823 |
| 125 | 393997 | 392411.799603175 | 395861.416666667 | -3449.61706349207 | 1585.20039682538 |
| 126 | 348241 | 345857.388888889 | 396004.125 | -50146.7361111111 | 2383.61111111107 |
| 127 | 380134 | 368204.924603175 | 396048.458333333 | -27843.5337301587 | 11929.0753968254 |
| 128 | 373688 | 380812.778769841 | 395400.75 | -14587.9712301587 | -7124.77876984124 |
| 129 | 393588 | 398559.016865079 | 394610.333333333 | 3948.68353174602 | -4971.01686507923 |
| 130 | 434192 | 437608.124007936 | 394214.25 | 43393.8740079365 | -3416.12400793645 |
| 131 | 430731 | 427449.635912698 | 393812.583333333 | 33637.0525793651 | 3281.3640873016 |
| 132 | 344468 | 350259.344246032 | 393168 | -42908.6557539682 | -5791.34424603177 |
| 133 | 411891 | 409501.201388889 | 393047.791666667 | 16453.4097222222 | 2389.79861111112 |
| 134 | 370497 | 378015.189484127 | 393198.541666667 | -15183.3521825397 | -7518.18948412698 |
| 135 | 437305 | 435622.876984127 | 394103.458333333 | 41519.4186507936 | 1682.12301587302 |
| 136 | 411270 | 410796.927579365 | 395629.5 | 15167.4275793651 | 473.072420634911 |
| 137 | 385495 | 393765.382936508 | 397215 | -3449.61706349207 | -8270.38293650793 |
| 138 | 341273 | 348294.888888889 | 398441.625 | -50146.7361111111 | -7021.88888888882 |
| 139 | 384217 | 371141.507936508 | 398985.041666667 | -27843.5337301587 | 13075.4920634921 |
| 140 | 373223 | 385844.695436508 | 400432.666666667 | -14587.9712301587 | -12621.6954365079 |
| 141 | 415771 | 406309.850198413 | 402361.166666667 | 3948.68353174602 | 9461.14980158728 |
| 142 | 448634 | 447319.040674603 | 403925.166666667 | 43393.8740079365 | 1314.95932539686 |
| 143 | 454341 | 438939.052579365 | 405302 | 33637.0525793651 | 15401.9474206349 |
| 144 | 350297 | 363881.677579365 | 406790.333333333 | -42908.6557539682 | -13584.6775793651 |
| 145 | 419104 | 424166.118055556 | 407712.708333333 | 16453.4097222222 | -5062.11805555556 |
| 146 | 398027 | 393062.89781746 | 408246.25 | -15183.3521825397 | 4964.10218253976 |
| 147 | 456059 | 450959.168650794 | 409439.75 | 41519.4186507936 | 5099.83134920639 |
| 148 | 430052 | 426139.469246032 | 410972.041666667 | 15167.4275793651 | 3912.53075396828 |
| 149 | 399757 | 407881.507936508 | 411331.125 | -3449.61706349207 | -8124.50793650799 |
| 150 | 362731 | 361527.805555556 | 411674.541666667 | -50146.7361111111 | 1203.19444444444 |
| 151 | 384896 | 385505.049603175 | 413348.583333333 | -27843.5337301587 | -609.049603174615 |
| 152 | 385349 | 399434.320436508 | 414022.291666667 | -14587.9712301587 | -14085.3204365079 |
| 153 | 432289 | 418325.725198413 | 414377.041666667 | 3948.68353174602 | 13963.2748015873 |
| 154 | 468891 | 458662.124007937 | 415268.25 | 43393.8740079365 | 10228.8759920635 |
| 155 | 442702 | 450534.094246032 | 416897.041666667 | 33637.0525793651 | -7832.09424603177 |
| 156 | 370178 | 375401.385912698 | 418310.041666667 | -42908.6557539682 | -5223.38591269846 |
| 157 | 439400 | 435166.493055556 | 418713.083333333 | 16453.4097222222 | 4233.5069444445 |
| 158 | 393900 | 403598.689484127 | 418782.041666667 | -15183.3521825397 | -9698.68948412692 |
| 159 | 468700 | 460079.043650794 | 418559.625 | 41519.4186507936 | 8620.95634920639 |
| 160 | 438800 | 433544.552579365 | 418377.125 | 15167.4275793651 | 5255.44742063491 |
| 161 | 430100 | 415981.966269841 | 419431.583333333 | -3449.61706349207 | 14118.0337301587 |
| 162 | 366300 | 371206.513888889 | 421353.25 | -50146.7361111111 | -4906.51388888888 |
| 163 | 391000 | 394523.132936508 | 422366.666666667 | -27843.5337301587 | -3523.13293650787 |
| 164 | 380900 | 409220.362103175 | 423808.333333333 | -14587.9712301587 | -28320.3621031746 |
| 165 | 431400 | 430411.183531746 | 426462.5 | 3948.68353174602 | 988.816468253906 |
| 166 | 465400 | 473580.165674603 | 430186.291666667 | 43393.8740079365 | -8180.16567460314 |
| 167 | 471500 | 465674.344246032 | 432037.291666667 | 33637.0525793651 | 5825.65575396828 |
| 168 | 387500 | 390025.927579365 | 432934.583333333 | -42908.6557539682 | -2525.92757936509 |
| 169 | 446400 | 452195.576388889 | 435742.166666667 | 16453.4097222222 | -5795.57638888888 |
| 170 | 421500 | 423808.814484127 | 438992.166666667 | -15183.3521825397 | -2308.81448412692 |
| 171 | 504800 | 483644.918650794 | 442125.5 | 41519.4186507936 | 21155.0813492064 |
| 172 | 492071 | 461234.302579365 | 446066.875 | 15167.4275793651 | 30836.6974206349 |
| 173 | 421253 | 446315.091269841 | 449764.708333333 | -3449.61706349207 | -25062.0912698412 |
| 174 | 396682 | 402790.555555556 | 452937.291666667 | -50146.7361111111 | -6108.55555555556 |
| 175 | 428000 | 428464.007936508 | 456307.541666667 | -27843.5337301587 | -464.007936507987 |
| 176 | 421900 | 445245.653769841 | 459833.625 | -14587.9712301587 | -23345.6537698413 |
| 177 | 465600 | 467996.350198413 | 464047.666666667 | 3948.68353174602 | -2396.35019841272 |
| 178 | 525793 | 509404.58234127 | 466010.708333333 | 43393.8740079365 | 16388.4176587302 |
| 179 | 499855 | 501248.052579365 | 467611 | 33637.0525793651 | -1393.05257936503 |
| 180 | 435287 | 427392.052579365 | 470300.708333333 | -42908.6557539682 | 7894.94742063491 |
| 181 | 479499 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 182 | 473027 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 183 | 554410 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 184 | 489574 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 185 | 462157 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 186 | 420331 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
