| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 0.733486306258628 |
| beta | 0.0808324569416258 |
| gamma | FALSE |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 3 | 9367 | 13769 | -4402 |
| 4 | 31124 | 6666.20089967012 | 24457.7991003299 |
| 5 | 26551 | 22181.7599271191 | 4369.2400728809 |
| 6 | 30651 | 23221.6860559378 | 7429.31394406221 |
| 7 | 25859 | 26946.6147764848 | -1087.61477648476 |
| 8 | 25100 | 24360.0087725479 | 739.991227452079 |
| 9 | 25778 | 23157.8004558131 | 2620.19954418691 |
| 10 | 20418 | 23490.0495138939 | -3072.04951389392 |
| 11 | 18688 | 19464.9715555818 | -776.9715555818 |
| 12 | 20424 | 17077.2355962348 | 3346.7644037652 |
| 13 | 24776 | 17912.6314827088 | 6863.36851729118 |
| 14 | 19814 | 21734.3340205317 | -1920.3340205317 |
| 15 | 12738 | 18999.4553841875 | -6261.45538418752 |
| 16 | 31566 | 12709.1851131166 | 18856.8148868834 |
| 17 | 30111 | 25960.8332540675 | 4150.16674593251 |
| 18 | 30019 | 28671.4176850619 | 1347.58231493813 |
| 19 | 31934 | 29406.2422958108 | 2527.75770418919 |
| 20 | 25826 | 31156.5788846386 | -5330.57888463863 |
| 21 | 26835 | 26826.8858373811 | 8.11416261886916 |
| 22 | 20205 | 26413.5321182519 | -6208.53211825192 |
| 23 | 17789 | 21072.2527145619 | -3283.25271456185 |
| 24 | 20520 | 17681.9632827592 | 2838.03671724082 |
| 25 | 22518 | 18949.8216045367 | 3568.17839546334 |
| 26 | 15572 | 20964.7843628529 | -5392.78436285286 |
| 27 | 11509 | 16087.2681571244 | -4578.26815712437 |
| 28 | 25447 | 11535.745203395 | 13911.254796605 |
| 29 | 24090 | 21370.8254904712 | 2719.17450952882 |
| 30 | 27786 | 23157.8866462411 | 4628.11335375892 |
| 31 | 26195 | 26619.5268316666 | -424.526831666597 |
| 32 | 20516 | 26349.9546469306 | -5833.9546469306 |
| 33 | 22759 | 21766.7489794017 | 992.251020598309 |
| 34 | 19028 | 22249.3017598619 | -3221.30175986189 |
| 35 | 16971 | 19450.2819036022 | -2479.28190360217 |
| 36 | 20036 | 17048.5280657931 | 2987.47193420693 |
| 37 | 22485 | 18833.6890257473 | 3651.31097425268 |
| 38 | 18730 | 21322.2512341212 | -2592.25123412123 |
| 39 | 14538 | 19077.552780139 | -4539.55278013904 |
| 40 | 27561 | 15135.3874922222 | 12425.6125077778 |
| 41 | 25985 | 24373.6469825156 | 1611.35301748439 |
| 42 | 34670 | 25775.3315395132 | 8894.66846048676 |
| 43 | 32066 | 33046.5886861862 | -980.588686186216 |
| 44 | 27186 | 33016.3413318196 | -5830.34133181955 |
| 45 | 29586 | 29083.1887991843 | 502.811200815715 |
| 46 | 21359 | 29825.1283495096 | -8466.12834950962 |
| 47 | 21553 | 23486.5210389634 | -1933.52103896338 |
| 48 | 19573 | 21824.8542387102 | -2251.85423871016 |
| 49 | 24256 | 19796.1830831259 | 4459.81691687414 |
| 50 | 22380 | 22954.8511285616 | -574.851128561557 |
| 51 | 16167 | 22386.5764699714 | -6219.57646997141 |
| 52 | 27297 | 17309.2174900833 | 9987.78250991666 |
| 53 | 28287 | 24711.9050163586 | 3575.09498364136 |
| 54 | 33474 | 27622.9396507859 | 5851.06034921405 |
| 55 | 28229 | 32550.2701585221 | -4321.27015852209 |
| 56 | 28785 | 29760.1295878754 | -975.129587875435 |
| 57 | 25597 | 29366.5223586529 | -3769.52235865293 |
| 58 | 18130 | 26699.7732008637 | -8569.77320086373 |
| 59 | 20198 | 20004.0082132178 | 193.991786782179 |
| 60 | 22849 | 19747.8465113734 | 3101.15348862661 |
| 61 | 23118 | 21807.9139485062 | 1310.08605149382 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 62 | 22631.9322942174 | 10335.9037831023 | 34927.9608053325 |
| 63 | 22495.0204611374 | 6803.7584784293 | 38186.2824438455 |
| 64 | 22358.1086280575 | 3490.58001031033 | 41225.6372458046 |
| 65 | 22221.1967949775 | 276.742512249581 | 44165.6510777054 |
| 66 | 22084.2849618976 | -2895.806541371 | 47064.3764651661 |
| 67 | 21947.3731288176 | -6059.48826981669 | 49954.2345274519 |
| 68 | 21810.4612957376 | -9234.02245684973 | 52854.945048325 |
| 69 | 21673.5494626577 | -12432.0950221592 | 55779.1939474746 |
| 70 | 21536.6376295777 | -15662.1833760469 | 58735.4586352023 |
| 71 | 21399.7257964978 | -18930.0996797176 | 61729.5512727131 |
| 72 | 21262.8139634178 | -22239.8935149817 | 64765.5214418173 |
| 73 | 21125.9021303379 | -25594.4087126149 | 67846.2129732906 |
