| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 20995 | 20995 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 17382 | 19044.1790547451 | -53.6813242182838 | -1662.17905474512 | -0.860291255133788 |
| 3 | 9367 | 13429.8008035126 | -401.967049697026 | -4062.80080351256 | -2.0782158011664 |
| 4 | 31124 | 20386.0604675595 | -11.1028162032205 | 10737.9395324405 | 3.43752947266331 |
| 5 | 26551 | 24570.1533407474 | 133.527718953632 | 1980.84665925259 | 2.16347094568267 |
| 6 | 30651 | 28209.0374533963 | 208.613302383067 | 2441.96254660368 | 1.84858420559259 |
| 7 | 25859 | 28131.5209552859 | 204.192529281072 | -2272.52095528589 | -0.151351277468183 |
| 8 | 25100 | 26787.3927095879 | 182.893242427415 | -1687.39270958792 | -0.818520927767085 |
| 9 | 25778 | 25978.6762422518 | 169.223456617926 | -200.676242251758 | -0.523595071668214 |
| 10 | 20418 | 23358.8365282766 | 129.768444643726 | -2940.83652827659 | -1.47135346422852 |
| 11 | 18688 | 20650.092936159 | 89.0554084593957 | -1962.09293615902 | -1.49678834545613 |
| 12 | 20424 | 19831.3847450103 | 76.0530717567777 | 592.615254989686 | -0.478630870772551 |
| 13 | 24776 | 20916.8750552738 | 54.812571614667 | 3859.12494472624 | 0.562936623220645 |
| 14 | 19814 | 20946.5532624126 | 54.9600426426628 | -1132.55326241257 | -0.0136985550646047 |
| 15 | 12738 | 21562.6083525569 | 64.4481356308346 | -8824.60835255687 | 0.277479638871725 |
| 16 | 31566 | 22838.0081410002 | 96.508565908895 | 8727.99185899975 | 0.591205594791036 |
| 17 | 30111 | 26279.5123561955 | 182.504820778116 | 3831.48764380446 | 1.69245117436275 |
| 18 | 30019 | 27531.3912669593 | 204.599277113385 | 2487.60873304066 | 0.556248255688976 |
| 19 | 31934 | 30220.9340911202 | 243.802961622985 | 1713.0659088798 | 1.30784990420163 |
| 20 | 25826 | 29314.7579359358 | 229.244424150029 | -3488.75793593576 | -0.607497666592041 |
| 21 | 26835 | 27340.0394005022 | 205.04053472775 | -505.039400502251 | -1.16516975772988 |
| 22 | 20205 | 24476.9313827927 | 175.611225575941 | -4271.93138279265 | -1.62124136554121 |
| 23 | 17789 | 21742.4128551745 | 154.590603636075 | -3953.41285517446 | -1.53625381964617 |
| 24 | 20520 | 20594.4529064601 | 150.328687488669 | -74.4529064601502 | -0.688519939405953 |
| 25 | 22518 | 19645.4719931957 | 151.005470441487 | 2872.52800680434 | -0.585057448480373 |
| 26 | 15572 | 18625.9180892726 | 148.135183195082 | -3053.91808927259 | -0.617030596475861 |
| 27 | 11509 | 19878.0803821315 | 159.012901117993 | -8369.08038213151 | 0.566372380784066 |
| 28 | 25447 | 19942.9646214465 | 157.522910845486 | 5504.03537855349 | -0.0476274684027329 |
| 29 | 24090 | 20712.8171226388 | 168.559331044239 | 3377.18287736122 | 0.31239683604472 |
| 30 | 27786 | 23329.8122247999 | 210.382276047187 | 4456.18777520011 | 1.26872836524862 |
| 31 | 26195 | 23899.3801991484 | 215.648258391894 | 2295.61980085161 | 0.188273474252124 |
| 32 | 20516 | 23255.0828191307 | 205.289222156166 | -2739.0828191307 | -0.453321931750015 |
| 33 | 22759 | 22151.1082074707 | 192.600581018396 | 607.891792529305 | -0.691437883240646 |
| 34 | 19028 | 21591.0327131357 | 186.96761464368 | -2563.03271313574 | -0.397452949461723 |
| 35 | 16971 | 20796.0863108474 | 181.780556110803 | -3825.08631084738 | -0.518266328499591 |
| 36 | 20036 | 20039.3221885907 | 178.562329710182 | -3.32218859067698 | -0.495481689270389 |
| 37 | 22485 | 19589.577194602 | 176.726361559978 | 2895.42280539796 | -0.331383310497276 |
| 38 | 18730 | 20757.1615848929 | 181.411724278911 | -2027.16158489292 | 0.518972566933422 |
| 39 | 14538 | 22111.3084434431 | 191.014192433991 | -7573.30844344309 | 0.607088167784974 |
| 40 | 27561 | 22885.2223849736 | 197.747950052086 | 4675.77761502639 | 0.299515334430905 |
| 41 | 25985 | 23623.1365006299 | 205.035555576194 | 2361.8634993701 | 0.2781150487709 |
| 42 | 34670 | 26529.1640028295 | 242.012620205803 | 8140.83599717049 | 1.40184446034049 |
| 43 | 32066 | 28163.1102144439 | 259.499800603408 | 3902.88978555611 | 0.728317730649953 |
| 44 | 27186 | 28849.1350236645 | 264.079504941307 | -1663.13502366451 | 0.224335415345037 |
| 45 | 29586 | 28789.5997592343 | 261.264916289945 | 796.400240765679 | -0.170585146615373 |
| 46 | 21359 | 26521.4987930724 | 244.232830626603 | -5162.49879307244 | -1.3338831782802 |
| 47 | 21553 | 25418.6647441023 | 237.379031865184 | -3865.66474410225 | -0.710275563004543 |
| 48 | 19573 | 22901.6752982631 | 226.103328821449 | -3328.67529826309 | -1.45152781688301 |
| 49 | 24256 | 22225.3542536517 | 222.376247243407 | 2030.64574634833 | -0.474583303028857 |
| 50 | 22380 | 23465.2606369873 | 227.806332820515 | -1085.26063698727 | 0.532529434085025 |
| 51 | 16167 | 24242.9453664595 | 231.83984747103 | -8075.94536645952 | 0.285962826485467 |
| 52 | 27297 | 24306.3805715242 | 230.261210090785 | 2990.61942847582 | -0.0872151348016934 |
| 53 | 28287 | 25908.6425569739 | 245.021143893658 | 2378.35744302606 | 0.710918131179617 |
| 54 | 33474 | 26463.2210165056 | 248.473187708762 | 7010.77898349435 | 0.161090716263724 |
| 55 | 28229 | 25766.7959497539 | 238.454513055071 | 2462.20405024607 | -0.494295882233929 |
| 56 | 28785 | 27207.7808876691 | 249.753106844987 | 1577.21911233093 | 0.631568994327853 |
| 57 | 25597 | 25762.0530521381 | 236.391315262169 | -165.053052138144 | -0.892343376149241 |
| 58 | 18130 | 23895.7361304019 | 222.966434525486 | -5765.73613040195 | -1.10748414697934 |
| 59 | 20198 | 22958.4302047525 | 216.938309872182 | -2760.43020475248 | -0.611100428575369 |
| 60 | 22849 | 24090.3466878343 | 221.115228182862 | -1241.34668783429 | 0.481570474387413 |
| 61 | 23118 | 23499.0499301465 | 217.330470205264 | -381.049930146507 | -0.42678429669555 |
