Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 611 | 0 | 62 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 20995 | 20651.6942994331 | -295.163767278044 | 21633.4694678449 | -343.305700566882 |
2 | 17382 | 17421.0620381592 | -4491.90761727528 | 21834.8455791161 | 39.0620381592053 |
3 | 9367 | 7164.35063183728 | -10466.5723222245 | 22036.2216903872 | -2202.64936816272 |
4 | 31124 | 34785.7652682033 | 5221.39962985723 | 22240.8351019395 | 3661.76526820331 |
5 | 26551 | 27076.5789754075 | 3579.97251110079 | 22445.4485134917 | 525.578975407523 |
6 | 30651 | 30786.2082960009 | 7856.94200266605 | 22658.8497013331 | 135.208296000896 |
7 | 25859 | 23490.4352785112 | 5355.31383231432 | 22872.2508891744 | -2368.56472148875 |
8 | 25100 | 25171.5865047465 | 1946.911742707 | 23081.5017525465 | 71.5865047464831 |
9 | 25778 | 25724.3333943551 | 2540.9139897263 | 23290.7526159186 | -53.666605644903 |
10 | 20418 | 21116.2150272975 | -3756.40419555835 | 23476.1891682608 | 698.215027297534 |
11 | 18688 | 18273.2979476046 | -4558.9236682076 | 23661.625720603 | -414.702052395434 |
12 | 20424 | 19912.9342056954 | -2932.48217364674 | 23867.5479679514 | -511.065794304643 |
13 | 24776 | 25773.6935519783 | -295.163767278044 | 24073.4702152997 | 997.693551978322 |
14 | 19814 | 19886.3937216224 | -4491.90761727528 | 24233.5138956529 | 72.3937216223894 |
15 | 12738 | 11549.0147462184 | -10466.5723222245 | 24393.5575760061 | -1188.98525378155 |
16 | 31566 | 33491.570661508 | 5221.39962985723 | 24419.0297086348 | 1925.57066150796 |
17 | 30111 | 32197.5256476356 | 3579.97251110079 | 24444.5018412636 | 2086.52564763564 |
18 | 30019 | 27832.4724746784 | 7856.94200266605 | 24348.5855226555 | -2186.52752532155 |
19 | 31934 | 34260.0169636382 | 5355.31383231432 | 24252.6692040474 | 2326.01696363824 |
20 | 25826 | 25700.9165541157 | 1946.911742707 | 24004.1717031773 | -125.083445884273 |
21 | 26835 | 27373.4118079666 | 2540.9139897263 | 23755.6742023071 | 538.411807966593 |
22 | 20205 | 20777.6922214836 | -3756.40419555835 | 23388.7119740748 | 572.69222148355 |
23 | 17789 | 17115.1739223651 | -4558.9236682076 | 23021.7497458425 | -673.826077634898 |
24 | 20520 | 21361.2114143391 | -2932.48217364674 | 22611.2707593077 | 841.211414339068 |
25 | 22518 | 23130.3719945052 | -295.163767278044 | 22200.7917727728 | 612.371994505207 |
26 | 15572 | 13809.0121996566 | -4491.90761727528 | 21826.8954176187 | -1762.98780034337 |
27 | 11509 | 12031.57325976 | -10466.5723222245 | 21452.9990624645 | 522.573259760044 |
28 | 25447 | 24438.0825866197 | 5221.39962985723 | 21234.5177835231 | -1008.91741338028 |
29 | 24090 | 23583.9909843176 | 3579.97251110079 | 21016.0365045816 | -506.009015682426 |
30 | 27786 | 26714.6797246657 | 7856.94200266605 | 21000.3782726683 | -1071.32027533434 |
31 | 26195 | 26049.9661269307 | 5355.31383231432 | 20984.720040755 | -145.033873069278 |
32 | 20516 | 17928.7249428075 | 1946.911742707 | 21156.3633144855 | -2587.27505719246 |
33 | 22759 | 21649.0794220577 | 2540.9139897263 | 21328.006588216 | -1109.92057794226 |
34 | 19028 | 20199.013431287 | -3756.40419555835 | 21613.3907642714 | 1171.01343128698 |
35 | 16971 | 16602.1487278808 | -4558.9236682076 | 21898.7749403268 | -368.851272119173 |
36 | 20036 | 20687.2273113509 | -2932.48217364674 | 22317.2548622958 | 651.227311350893 |
37 | 22485 | 22529.4289830131 | -295.163767278044 | 22735.7347842649 | 44.4289830131311 |
38 | 18730 | 18741.7611672938 | -4491.90761727528 | 23210.1464499815 | 11.761167293771 |
39 | 14538 | 15858.0142065264 | -10466.5723222245 | 23684.5581156981 | 1320.0142065264 |
40 | 27561 | 25848.0560043482 | 5221.39962985723 | 24052.5443657946 | -1712.94399565182 |
41 | 25985 | 23969.4968730081 | 3579.97251110079 | 24420.5306158911 | -2015.50312699187 |
42 | 34670 | 36851.2781184319 | 7856.94200266605 | 24631.7798789021 | 2181.27811843186 |
43 | 32066 | 33933.6570257726 | 5355.31383231432 | 24843.0291419131 | 1867.65702577256 |
44 | 27186 | 27428.3025149991 | 1946.911742707 | 24996.7857422939 | 242.30251499913 |
45 | 29586 | 31480.5436675991 | 2540.9139897263 | 25150.5423426746 | 1894.54366759908 |
46 | 21359 | 21268.9023556319 | -3756.40419555835 | 25205.5018399265 | -90.0976443681284 |
47 | 21553 | 22404.4623310293 | -4558.9236682076 | 25260.4613371783 | 851.462331029263 |
48 | 19573 | 16891.9236189506 | -2932.48217364674 | 25186.5585546961 | -2681.07638104936 |
49 | 24256 | 23694.5079950642 | -295.163767278044 | 25112.6557722138 | -561.492004935801 |
50 | 22380 | 24282.9751729913 | -4491.90761727528 | 24968.932444284 | 1902.97517299132 |
51 | 16167 | 17975.3632058704 | -10466.5723222245 | 24825.2091163541 | 1808.36320587042 |
52 | 27297 | 24661.8390601041 | 5221.39962985723 | 24710.7613100386 | -2635.16093989587 |
53 | 28287 | 28397.713985176 | 3579.97251110079 | 24596.3135037232 | 110.713985176008 |
54 | 33474 | 34573.9531870592 | 7856.94200266605 | 24517.1048102747 | 1099.95318705921 |
55 | 28229 | 26664.7900508594 | 5355.31383231432 | 24437.8961168263 | -1564.2099491406 |
56 | 28785 | 31265.6570908798 | 1946.911742707 | 24357.4311664132 | 2480.65709087979 |
57 | 25597 | 24376.1197942736 | 2540.9139897263 | 24276.9662160001 | -1220.88020572643 |
58 | 18130 | 15822.9974103416 | -3756.40419555835 | 24193.4067852167 | -2307.00258965838 |
59 | 20198 | 20845.0763137743 | -4558.9236682076 | 24109.8473544333 | 647.076313774265 |
60 | 22849 | 24601.8879621354 | -2932.48217364674 | 24028.5942115113 | 1752.88796213541 |
61 | 23118 | 22583.8226986887 | -295.163767278044 | 23947.3410685893 | -534.177301311272 |