| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 2564 | 2564 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 2820 | 2688.98680688554 | 5.83426698139346 | 88.969242209757 | 0.472416131686939 |
| 3 | 3508 | 3112.6323126998 | 34.7129801987174 | 290.67746901956 | 1.36695517730431 |
| 4 | 3088 | 3164.11559716888 | 35.6344650368863 | -81.3838736431683 | 0.0652859974972406 |
| 5 | 3299 | 3228.59244854259 | 36.7372710752865 | 60.1373753320112 | 0.122365022937456 |
| 6 | 2939 | 3123.47186012434 | 32.8146950138256 | -131.665761053962 | -0.619065441513733 |
| 7 | 3320 | 3182.07133267082 | 33.3943973261943 | 128.192001821054 | 0.113470242694466 |
| 8 | 3418 | 3288.83824328682 | 34.8853517740372 | 101.334203034744 | 0.323629896983065 |
| 9 | 3604 | 3437.23541581648 | 37.0951707521399 | 123.664491657733 | 0.50091344922011 |
| 10 | 3495 | 3489.84262540417 | 37.3909365006509 | -0.733908635525009 | 0.0684543353739025 |
| 11 | 4163 | 3772.25778690046 | 41.9908371487397 | 297.674634486762 | 1.08128410417434 |
| 12 | 4882 | 4276.95857543378 | 50.5427029797793 | 429.258819792401 | 2.04204759199085 |
| 13 | 2211 | 3838.5274554691 | 70.9729311553288 | -1430.60717068855 | -2.4500323425465 |
| 14 | 3260 | 3633.45459592508 | 70.0598178172495 | -274.01456308583 | -1.21720301789067 |
| 15 | 2992 | 3226.03720418914 | 57.2558770687019 | -83.7542773668122 | -1.90869055168757 |
| 16 | 2425 | 2869.15980091047 | 44.4796877056911 | -312.827017030491 | -1.68546500288601 |
| 17 | 2707 | 2697.46335756433 | 38.6746209943514 | 81.5796183489982 | -0.916294892914144 |
| 18 | 3244 | 2935.25212212573 | 42.9362801121882 | 240.054452206533 | 0.865488304210428 |
| 19 | 3965 | 3346.33707427042 | 49.2862145275451 | 489.481602908927 | 1.61850666607996 |
| 20 | 3315 | 3416.57231520773 | 49.5962296188218 | -108.976615201687 | 0.0925144592117822 |
| 21 | 3333 | 3399.46277075673 | 48.6960481950842 | -42.8172580233257 | -0.295065466048118 |
| 22 | 3583 | 3561.91041144122 | 50.1074995486412 | -19.2903736539368 | 0.503393614110412 |
| 23 | 4021 | 3739.28834752576 | 51.4081511772866 | 236.452820524429 | 0.56321503089917 |
| 24 | 4904 | 3948.60414387387 | 52.1861590525839 | 898.95578740026 | 0.700636118301852 |
| 25 | 2252 | 3797.00518940489 | 53.467886033518 | -1470.55941153713 | -0.92746169658979 |
| 26 | 2952 | 3433.49011045903 | 51.9648941529332 | -334.044033340193 | -1.83962287567979 |
| 27 | 3573 | 3367.36063732418 | 50.1943665346493 | 245.126282801367 | -0.499170473224281 |
| 28 | 3048 | 3340.61362130547 | 48.6444264224157 | -267.297314074438 | -0.32316376969706 |
| 29 | 3059 | 3278.82216681942 | 46.4085284029649 | -182.907527084312 | -0.471376910609375 |
| 30 | 2731 | 3064.74428264619 | 41.7228797028525 | -244.832886921233 | -1.13099168717222 |
| 31 | 3563 | 3052.38801568572 | 40.8945243312262 | 529.345793239231 | -0.237387746568945 |
| 32 | 3092 | 3124.51009562984 | 41.3025363620043 | -43.4190274715163 | 0.13785605075501 |
| 33 | 3478 | 3344.0270778262 | 43.3043456333648 | 71.4425653582153 | 0.788687210611701 |
| 34 | 3478 | 3498.35977139881 | 44.3444503760403 | -59.4088015556413 | 0.491709229442687 |
| 35 | 4308 | 3773.78806163855 | 45.9430604289252 | 452.78426173697 | 1.0236450337574 |
| 36 | 5029 | 3902.87195109067 | 46.2537537986982 | 1096.73765227217 | 0.369015350546262 |
| 37 | 2075 | 3717.28479567739 | 45.9613380302551 | -1559.98982862948 | -1.03289926512793 |
| 38 | 3264 | 3625.05265883216 | 45.269308829779 | -312.732453656092 | -0.607492919550524 |
| 39 | 3308 | 3378.93859587638 | 42.1448709273753 | 28.339884094 | -1.25563288828053 |
| 40 | 3688 | 3523.81315390742 | 43.6396393694653 | 129.644941793705 | 0.439490886511976 |
| 41 | 3136 | 3427.10152166718 | 41.4341781499049 | -243.722285299431 | -0.604102283759902 |
| 42 | 2824 | 3288.92436217148 | 38.7418072375024 | -403.585762595622 | -0.78122120509899 |
| 43 | 3644 | 3243.19955162751 | 37.6114342036095 | 429.966174530026 | -0.370607701515012 |
| 44 | 4694 | 3860.34239182471 | 44.3028133257992 | 632.005139313214 | 2.55656902760114 |
| 45 | 2914 | 3651.71034891611 | 41.8479712069255 | -649.294667015328 | -1.11878544756338 |
| 46 | 3686 | 3722.9716375357 | 42.0779783193448 | -47.2797691868124 | 0.130226414491567 |
| 47 | 4358 | 3818.14023061072 | 42.3889190448354 | 521.222950946532 | 0.235146310610769 |
| 48 | 5587 | 4037.48861167456 | 43.1201692646324 | 1487.3095610877 | 0.784195333818664 |
| 49 | 2265 | 3964.70691278658 | 42.7005645737109 | -1659.00292630253 | -0.513064746474522 |
| 50 | 3685 | 3926.02831059666 | 42.2443700577053 | -212.703828591961 | -0.357468908702511 |
| 51 | 3754 | 3867.25814483212 | 41.3563382469758 | -78.5803481630634 | -0.439075052214935 |
| 52 | 3708 | 3723.46430907405 | 39.2461620574301 | 47.5390729433404 | -0.800616067300081 |
| 53 | 3210 | 3584.91143651082 | 37.0032147390706 | -314.39018538899 | -0.77058580916519 |
| 54 | 3517 | 3725.79428351224 | 38.3041358491662 | -244.379180998449 | 0.453051915939582 |
| 55 | 3905 | 3773.64862862999 | 38.4145809555446 | 128.0547021491 | 0.0419168883875953 |
| 56 | 3670 | 3481.4825964375 | 35.054063056275 | 303.345270951874 | -1.45753982574946 |
| 57 | 4221 | 3980.16951996102 | 39.0382259918533 | 79.1184356752313 | 2.04930944063129 |
| 58 | 4404 | 4277.73920375879 | 40.8471150134563 | 35.866807330304 | 1.14397242838518 |
| 59 | 5086 | 4478.20454582778 | 41.7316058769289 | 551.911126205449 | 0.70654283449687 |
| 60 | 5725 | 4408.67463666924 | 41.2252602703766 | 1355.29172909539 | -0.492379300817483 |
