Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 601 | 0 | 61 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 2564 | 2812.90860492106 | -1214.76104858786 | 3529.8524436668 | 248.908604921062 |
2 | 2820 | 2426.22369795394 | -298.108801230006 | 3511.88510327607 | -393.776302046062 |
3 | 3508 | 3595.5388931954 | -73.4566560807347 | 3493.91776288534 | 87.5388931953958 |
4 | 3088 | 3017.52783732036 | -316.997740641124 | 3475.46990332077 | -70.4721626796409 |
5 | 3299 | 3575.11669897248 | -434.138742728675 | 3457.02204375619 | 276.116698972482 |
6 | 2939 | 2912.14418465543 | -472.448098471511 | 3438.30391381608 | -26.8558153445651 |
7 | 3320 | 3071.57140998055 | 148.842806143485 | 3419.58578387596 | -248.428590019446 |
8 | 3418 | 3338.24727311314 | 97.1132543282706 | 3400.63947255859 | -79.7527268868639 |
9 | 3604 | 3867.1234232664 | -40.8165845076223 | 3381.69316124123 | 263.123423266397 |
10 | 3495 | 3465.21374088627 | 164.549138787351 | 3360.23712032638 | -29.7862591137336 |
11 | 4163 | 4178.5041635902 | 808.714756998259 | 3338.78107941154 | 15.5041635901994 |
12 | 4882 | 4802.02981878759 | 1631.50775004305 | 3330.46243116935 | -79.9701812124054 |
13 | 2211 | 2314.61726566069 | -1214.76104858786 | 3322.14378292717 | 103.61726566069 |
14 | 3260 | 3491.34234676043 | -298.108801230006 | 3326.76645446957 | 231.342346760434 |
15 | 2992 | 2726.06753006876 | -73.4566560807347 | 3331.38912601198 | -265.932469931241 |
16 | 2425 | 1835.80831774111 | -316.997740641124 | 3331.18942290002 | -589.191682258893 |
17 | 2707 | 2517.14902294062 | -434.138742728675 | 3330.98971978806 | -189.850977059384 |
18 | 3244 | 3627.73577983248 | -472.448098471511 | 3332.71231863903 | 383.735779832477 |
19 | 3965 | 4446.7222763665 | 148.842806143485 | 3334.43491749001 | 481.722276366504 |
20 | 3315 | 3185.547375523 | 97.1132543282706 | 3347.33937014873 | -129.452624477002 |
21 | 3333 | 3346.57276170017 | -40.8165845076223 | 3360.24382280745 | 13.5727617001698 |
22 | 3583 | 3625.33978937554 | 164.549138787351 | 3376.11107183711 | 42.3397893755437 |
23 | 4021 | 3841.30692213498 | 808.714756998259 | 3391.97832086676 | -179.693077865019 |
24 | 4904 | 4790.05182125402 | 1631.50775004305 | 3386.44042870293 | -113.948178745978 |
25 | 2252 | 2337.85851204876 | -1214.76104858786 | 3380.9025365391 | 85.8585120487633 |
26 | 2952 | 2831.72613714281 | -298.108801230006 | 3370.38266408719 | -120.273862857188 |
27 | 3573 | 3859.59386444544 | -73.4566560807347 | 3359.86279163529 | 286.593864445442 |
28 | 3048 | 3051.97478399304 | -316.997740641124 | 3361.02295664808 | 3.97478399304418 |
29 | 3059 | 3189.95562106781 | -434.138742728675 | 3362.18312166087 | 130.955621067807 |
30 | 2731 | 2569.11348257455 | -472.448098471511 | 3365.33461589696 | -161.886517425451 |
31 | 3563 | 3608.67108372346 | 148.842806143485 | 3368.48611013306 | 45.6710837234564 |
32 | 3092 | 2713.50727518666 | 97.1132543282706 | 3373.37947048507 | -378.492724813343 |
33 | 3478 | 3618.54375367054 | -40.8165845076223 | 3378.27283083709 | 140.543753670536 |
34 | 3478 | 3396.98234086641 | 164.549138787351 | 3394.46852034624 | -81.0176591335889 |
35 | 4308 | 4396.62103314635 | 808.714756998259 | 3410.66420985539 | 88.6210331463499 |
36 | 5029 | 4987.69310479245 | 1631.50775004305 | 3438.7991451645 | -41.3068952075514 |
37 | 2075 | 1897.82696811425 | -1214.76104858786 | 3466.93408047361 | -177.173031885752 |
38 | 3264 | 3328.49111167443 | -298.108801230006 | 3497.61768955558 | 64.4911116744261 |
39 | 3308 | 3161.15535744319 | -73.4566560807347 | 3528.30129863755 | -146.844642556814 |
40 | 3688 | 4144.12744102749 | -316.997740641124 | 3548.87029961363 | 456.127441027495 |
41 | 3136 | 3136.69944213896 | -434.138742728675 | 3569.43930058971 | 0.699442138963605 |
42 | 2824 | 2531.86483768494 | -472.448098471511 | 3588.58326078657 | -292.135162315062 |
43 | 3644 | 3531.42997287308 | 148.842806143485 | 3607.72722098344 | -112.570027126922 |
44 | 4694 | 5660.46830109696 | 97.1132543282706 | 3630.41844457477 | 966.468301096956 |
45 | 2914 | 2215.70691634151 | -40.8165845076223 | 3653.10966816611 | -698.29308365849 |
46 | 3686 | 3532.87435562341 | 164.549138787351 | 3674.57650558924 | -153.125644376591 |
47 | 4358 | 4211.24189998937 | 808.714756998259 | 3696.04334301237 | -146.758100010629 |
48 | 5587 | 5826.61567063357 | 1631.50775004305 | 3715.87657932338 | 239.615670633567 |
49 | 2265 | 2009.05123295346 | -1214.76104858786 | 3735.70981563439 | -255.948767046536 |
50 | 3685 | 3908.6744340754 | -298.108801230006 | 3759.43436715461 | 223.6744340754 |
51 | 3754 | 3798.29773740592 | -73.4566560807347 | 3783.15891867482 | 44.2977374059174 |
52 | 3708 | 3905.5569170977 | -316.997740641124 | 3827.44082354342 | 197.556917097701 |
53 | 3210 | 2982.41601431665 | -434.138742728675 | 3871.72272841203 | -227.583985683355 |
54 | 3517 | 3591.81669927932 | -472.448098471511 | 3914.6313991922 | 74.8166992793163 |
55 | 3905 | 3703.61712388415 | 148.842806143485 | 3957.54006997236 | -201.382876115847 |
56 | 3670 | 3243.94019835255 | 97.1132543282706 | 3998.94654731918 | -426.059801647447 |
57 | 4221 | 4442.46355984163 | -40.8165845076223 | 4040.35302466599 | 221.463559841632 |
58 | 4404 | 4560.82346911778 | 164.549138787351 | 4082.62739209487 | 156.82346911778 |
59 | 5086 | 5238.38348347799 | 808.714756998259 | 4124.90175952375 | 152.383483477994 |
60 | 5725 | 5649.93493204177 | 1631.50775004305 | 4168.55731791518 | -75.0650679582259 |