| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
| Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
| Seasonal | 601 | 0 | 61 |
| Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
| Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
| 1 | 579 | 576.554223722236 | 4.57077130040315 | 576.875004977361 | -2.44577627776448 |
| 2 | 572 | 570.813685418764 | -2.37969072923762 | 575.566005310473 | -1.18631458123559 |
| 3 | 560 | 560.273146853889 | -14.5301524974744 | 574.257005643585 | 0.273146853889216 |
| 4 | 551 | 551.64555523166 | -22.5523792354049 | 572.906824003745 | 0.645555231660182 |
| 5 | 537 | 535.61796204101 | -33.1746044049139 | 571.556642363904 | -1.38203795899017 |
| 6 | 541 | 546.713712392631 | -34.8882186063118 | 570.17450621368 | 5.71371239263135 |
| 7 | 588 | 591.409461175833 | 15.7981687607105 | 568.792370063457 | 3.40946117583269 |
| 8 | 607 | 602.389892250456 | 44.2405559928413 | 567.369551756702 | -4.61010774954354 |
| 9 | 599 | 598.570335611039 | 33.482930939013 | 565.946733449948 | -0.429664388960873 |
| 10 | 578 | 576.397384721344 | 15.5016215477703 | 564.100993730886 | -1.60261527865578 |
| 11 | 563 | 567.824428342178 | -4.07968235400145 | 562.255254011823 | 4.82442834217818 |
| 12 | 566 | 574.15581467434 | -1.98932008633463 | 559.833505411995 | 8.15581467433958 |
| 13 | 561 | 560.01747188743 | 4.57077130040315 | 557.411756812167 | -0.98252811256998 |
| 14 | 554 | 555.629890925274 | -2.37969072923762 | 554.749799803964 | 1.62989092527368 |
| 15 | 540 | 542.442309701713 | -14.5301524974744 | 552.087842795761 | 2.44230970171338 |
| 16 | 526 | 525.49197945004 | -22.5523792354049 | 549.060399785365 | -0.508020549959724 |
| 17 | 512 | 511.141647629946 | -33.1746044049139 | 546.032956774968 | -0.858352370054263 |
| 18 | 505 | 502.067046848387 | -34.8882186063118 | 542.821171757924 | -2.93295315161254 |
| 19 | 554 | 552.592444498409 | 15.7981687607105 | 539.60938674088 | -1.40755550159076 |
| 20 | 584 | 587.214181362146 | 44.2405559928413 | 536.545262645013 | 3.21418136214606 |
| 21 | 569 | 571.035930511842 | 33.482930939013 | 533.481138549145 | 2.0359305118418 |
| 22 | 540 | 533.921601222839 | 15.5016215477703 | 530.576777229391 | -6.07839877716094 |
| 23 | 522 | 520.407266444365 | -4.07968235400145 | 527.672415909636 | -1.59273355563494 |
| 24 | 526 | 529.023579516925 | -1.98932008633463 | 524.965740569409 | 3.02357951692545 |
| 25 | 527 | 527.170163470415 | 4.57077130040315 | 522.259065229182 | 0.170163470414877 |
| 26 | 516 | 514.752346060195 | -2.37969072923762 | 519.627344669043 | -1.24765393980533 |
| 27 | 503 | 503.53452838857 | -14.5301524974744 | 516.995624108904 | 0.534528388570379 |
| 28 | 489 | 486.191824863409 | -22.5523792354049 | 514.360554371996 | -2.80817513659105 |
| 29 | 479 | 479.449119769826 | -33.1746044049139 | 511.725484635088 | 0.449119769825984 |
| 30 | 475 | 475.889427931203 | -34.8882186063118 | 508.998790675108 | 0.889427931203272 |
| 31 | 524 | 525.92973452416 | 15.7981687607105 | 506.272096715129 | 1.92973452416044 |
| 32 | 552 | 556.407262362589 | 44.2405559928413 | 503.352181644569 | 4.40726236258928 |
| 33 | 532 | 530.084802486977 | 33.482930939013 | 500.43226657401 | -1.91519751302292 |
| 34 | 511 | 509.132332322247 | 15.5016215477703 | 497.366046129982 | -1.86766767775271 |
| 35 | 492 | 493.779856668047 | -4.07968235400145 | 494.299825685955 | 1.77985666804653 |
| 36 | 492 | 494.72717501347 | -1.98932008633463 | 491.262145072864 | 2.72717501347034 |
| 37 | 493 | 493.204764239823 | 4.57077130040315 | 488.224464459774 | 0.204764239823078 |
| 38 | 481 | 478.907712491696 | -2.37969072923762 | 485.471978237542 | -2.09228750830397 |
| 39 | 462 | 455.810660482165 | -14.5301524974744 | 482.719492015309 | -6.18933951783498 |
| 40 | 457 | 456.254901364154 | -22.5523792354049 | 480.297477871251 | -0.745098635845977 |
| 41 | 442 | 439.299140677721 | -33.1746044049139 | 477.875463727192 | -2.70085932227852 |
| 42 | 439 | 437.18621107689 | -34.8882186063118 | 475.702007529422 | -1.81378892311 |
| 43 | 488 | 486.673279907638 | 15.7981687607105 | 473.528551331651 | -1.3267200923616 |
| 44 | 521 | 525.9431661266 | 44.2405559928413 | 471.816277880559 | 4.94316612659992 |
| 45 | 501 | 498.41306463152 | 33.482930939013 | 470.104004429467 | -2.58693536847954 |
| 46 | 485 | 485.539126812424 | 15.5016215477703 | 468.959251639806 | 0.539126812424001 |
| 47 | 464 | 464.265183503857 | -4.07968235400145 | 467.814498850145 | 0.265183503856576 |
| 48 | 460 | 454.866589372303 | -1.98932008633463 | 467.122730714031 | -5.13341062769683 |
| 49 | 467 | 462.998266121679 | 4.57077130040315 | 466.430962577918 | -4.00173387832126 |
| 50 | 460 | 455.974666535354 | -2.37969072923762 | 466.405024193883 | -4.02533346464566 |
| 51 | 448 | 444.151066687626 | -14.5301524974744 | 466.379085809848 | -3.84893331237402 |
| 52 | 443 | 440.967464519955 | -22.5523792354049 | 467.58491471545 | -2.03253548004466 |
| 53 | 436 | 436.383860783863 | -33.1746044049139 | 468.790743621051 | 0.383860783863213 |
| 54 | 431 | 426.962141779528 | -34.8882186063118 | 469.926076826784 | -4.03785822047234 |
| 55 | 484 | 481.140421206772 | 15.7981687607105 | 471.061410032518 | -2.85957879322808 |
| 56 | 510 | 503.496836589916 | 44.2405559928413 | 472.262607417243 | -6.5031634100838 |
| 57 | 513 | 519.053264259019 | 33.482930939013 | 473.463804801968 | 6.05326425901944 |
| 58 | 503 | 515.723100665455 | 15.5016215477703 | 474.775277786774 | 12.7231006654553 |
| 59 | 471 | 469.99293158242 | -4.07968235400145 | 476.086750771581 | -1.00706841758 |
| 60 | 471 | 466.526119156919 | -1.98932008633463 | 477.463200929416 | -4.47388084308102 |
