| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 39923931 | 39923931 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 35810356.5 | 37764212.219464 | -57894.8477786084 | -1953855.71946401 | -1.85324194406532 |
| 3 | 35492936.3 | 35948409.7974761 | -172407.791926949 | -455473.497476138 | -1.24371674890468 |
| 4 | 38937434.1 | 36954121.956554 | -103298.420826939 | 1983312.14344602 | 1.03837901669124 |
| 5 | 40059102.8 | 38500315.8447563 | -32194.5039175215 | 1558786.95524371 | 1.60720442533046 |
| 6 | 37708710.2 | 38574540.6934185 | -28714.4404800565 | -865830.49341854 | 0.10583441533859 |
| 7 | 41570965.7 | 39875012.8472967 | 9922.54088073279 | 1695952.85270331 | 1.32163570838708 |
| 8 | 36333563 | 38728523.0406538 | -24227.0460371257 | -2394960.0406538 | -1.14559149959861 |
| 9 | 34181220.1 | 36485098.2718056 | -94335.025723006 | -2303878.1718056 | -2.18954178727766 |
| 10 | 42593543.9 | 38496705.8282835 | -23001.8312719263 | 4096838.0717165 | 2.07029376189452 |
| 11 | 43119727.6 | 41029752.0534047 | 68695.6206620907 | 2089975.54659529 | 2.50522129747492 |
| 12 | 38497690.9 | 40645361.2144181 | 51685.5488044167 | -2147670.31441813 | -0.442949349072746 |
| 13 | 45473273.4 | 41907485.1397875 | 65708.6735629822 | 3565788.26021254 | 1.23962204349156 |
| 14 | 38399780.4 | 41375903.8223142 | 50557.7875903929 | -2976123.42231425 | -0.601223837079506 |
| 15 | 38882302.6 | 40875491.5190056 | 26412.6741238436 | -1993188.91900557 | -0.505473163855573 |
| 16 | 44051120.6 | 41746437.8016876 | 70016.1483430597 | 2304682.79831243 | 0.763300234590609 |
| 17 | 41677559.9 | 41375061.5921921 | 47151.5522825132 | 302498.307807874 | -0.411868396130859 |
| 18 | 40699203.5 | 41504897.6149621 | 51207.5174906838 | -805694.114962102 | 0.0789599868772808 |
| 19 | 44150027.6 | 41461468.8057323 | 46804.2430027872 | 2688558.79426767 | -0.0910122903019198 |
| 20 | 38225518.7 | 40795893.381211 | 14570.1158616406 | -2570374.68121097 | -0.685045385652672 |
| 21 | 35447405.7 | 40087680.7244315 | -17903.9775265402 | -4640275.02443146 | -0.693755189948033 |
| 22 | 43075518.3 | 40047160.6342335 | -18917.8457077867 | 3028357.66576647 | -0.0216552787517687 |
| 23 | 42302792 | 40093501.6254371 | -16030.0070228741 | 2209290.37456291 | 0.0623233682017234 |
| 24 | 39743541.7 | 41071009.6374198 | 26670.8817180106 | -1327467.93741977 | 0.949029140712565 |
| 25 | 44670641.2 | 41138556.7027654 | 28385.7300821736 | 3532084.49723455 | 0.0393294040947425 |
| 26 | 37123384 | 40682536.037298 | 6949.13087806987 | -3559152.03729801 | -0.464005451023557 |
| 27 | 37668266.4 | 40333540.1152299 | -10210.432063439 | -2665273.71522994 | -0.333632714324788 |
| 28 | 46117528.8 | 41642662.3086729 | 57248.5537590002 | 4474866.49132715 | 1.22155976872588 |
| 29 | 42273156.4 | 42071291.34267 | 76639.9400545626 | 201865.057329996 | 0.345997910813962 |
| 30 | 39404153.2 | 41279121.8661833 | 31499.2873061095 | -1874968.66618326 | -0.818714514947036 |
| 31 | 45799994.5 | 41627487.0897876 | 47706.0841986148 | 4172507.41021243 | 0.300503292012853 |
| 32 | 38602505.2 | 41357456.7011898 | 31716.4622773175 | -2754951.50118984 | -0.301559062257929 |
| 33 | 39454830.1 | 42481001.1815762 | 85939.051352114 | -3026171.08157624 | 1.03417650398185 |
| 34 | 47427901.4 | 43673800.7693417 | 140313.331281125 | 3754100.63065833 | 1.04585903022611 |
| 35 | 46497980.9 | 44462871.6083534 | 171887.064873904 | 2035109.29164662 | 0.612326506236152 |
| 36 | 45057149.4 | 45456212.9789765 | 211643.252279911 | -399063.578976491 | 0.776526212660306 |
| 37 | 50615569.2 | 46326514.6135749 | 243635.435897429 | 4289054.58642515 | 0.624200424141396 |
| 38 | 43033396.2 | 46779164.1438904 | 253952.453348665 | -3745767.9438904 | 0.197671430199356 |
| 39 | 46013056.5 | 48097867.6807554 | 307687.395462165 | -2084811.18075539 | 0.999452279212932 |
| 40 | 54222266.3 | 49180243.3901151 | 347508.221580856 | 5042022.90988493 | 0.723063073349865 |
| 41 | 46417306.4 | 48082361.2004475 | 272502.877843418 | -1665054.80044752 | -1.35061080696061 |
| 42 | 51046271.8 | 50049710.6689866 | 360543.203387068 | 996561.131013363 | 1.59187290676426 |
| 43 | 51201279.6 | 49411695.9315502 | 308905.366741691 | 1789583.66844977 | -0.941599811432611 |
| 44 | 43475288.7 | 48454074.4131848 | 243863.042604128 | -4978785.71318479 | -1.19500993389012 |
| 45 | 44968981.1 | 48518681.6679876 | 234723.68800331 | -3549700.56798757 | -0.168843956715849 |
| 46 | 53939345.4 | 49590910.6050402 | 277156.392530614 | 4348434.79495984 | 0.787351144899301 |
| 47 | 54549319.7 | 51429844.6345038 | 355937.717518779 | 3119475.06549615 | 1.46765739889849 |
| 48 | 54072107.3 | 53440229.2838497 | 439273.225794151 | 631878.01615029 | 1.55689862580915 |
| 49 | 58434230.1 | 54492803.8893548 | 470237.749614163 | 3941426.21064523 | 0.577989387141991 |
| 50 | 51158751 | 55355702.542122 | 490176.366940516 | -4196951.54212199 | 0.36974594030579 |
| 51 | 50039368 | 54442361.636581 | 418397.857716298 | -4402993.63658099 | -1.31739573786496 |
| 52 | 57872617.4 | 53498220.998854 | 348288.551130204 | 4374396.40114604 | -1.27544571449968 |
| 53 | 51642978.8 | 53607976.1183359 | 335970.972756208 | -1964997.3183359 | -0.223315876869508 |
| 54 | 54534465.9 | 53344504.1169016 | 304991.347664011 | 1189961.78309843 | -0.562531381386994 |
| 55 | 56094697.8 | 53520184.0612224 | 298317.500353907 | 2574513.73877756 | -0.121613171977881 |
| 56 | 48189983.1 | 53653034.0745802 | 289800.287754456 | -5463050.97458017 | -0.155675981124342 |
| 57 | 47492381 | 53156392.0113508 | 249445.323354573 | -5664011.01135079 | -0.739060004431014 |
| 58 | 52987449.1 | 51860707.2251987 | 170384.733341448 | 1126741.87480127 | -1.45019517491265 |
| 59 | 55719803.5 | 52458651.3154453 | 192219.565685235 | 3261152.18455468 | 0.401209250886882 |
| 60 | 53922860.5 | 53151488.9295885 | 217770.973413839 | 771371.570411503 | 0.470199543410154 |
| 61 | 54931231.9 | 52360032.7825103 | 166211.715685713 | 2571199.11748966 | -0.948788842947677 |
