Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.99994902353094
betaFALSE
gammaFALSE


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
2280.7235.145.6
3264.6280.697675473011-16.0976754730108
4240.7264.600820602656-23.9008206026557
5201.4240.701218379442-39.301218379442
6240.8201.40200343734339.3979965626573
7241.1240.7979916292470.302008370752787
8223.8241.09998460468-17.2999846046796
9206.1223.80088189213-17.70088189213
10174.7206.100902328458-31.4009023284581
11203.3174.70160070712628.598399292874
12220.5203.29854215458317.2014578454167
13299.5220.49912313041679.0008768695836
14347.4299.49597281424547.9040271857555
15338.3347.39755802184-9.09755802184026
16327.7338.300463761385-10.6004637613851
17351.6327.70054037421323.8994596257871
18396.6351.59878168993645.0012183100642
19438.8396.59770599678742.2022940032128
20395.6438.797848676065-43.1978486760655
21363.5395.602202073797-32.1022020737965
22378.8363.50163645691115.2983635430892
23357378.799220143444-21.7992201434442
24369357.00111124727111.9988887527288
25464.8368.99938833901995.8006116609812
26479.1464.79511642308414.3048835769163
27431.3479.099270787545-47.799270787545
28366.5431.302436638048-64.8024366380484
29326.3366.503303399406-40.2033033994063
30355.1326.30204942245228.7979505775481
31331.6355.098531982163-23.4985319821634
32261.3331.601197872189-70.3011978721885
33249261.303583706838-12.3035837068383
34205.5249.000627193254-43.5006271932542
35235.6205.50221750837630.0977824916238
36240.9235.5984657213225.30153427867799
37264.9240.89972974650224.0002702534981
38253.8264.898776550966-11.098776550966
39232.3253.800565776439-21.5005657764395
40193.8232.301096022926-38.5010960229261
41177193.80196264993-16.8019626499302
42213.2177.00085650472936.1991434952708
43207.2213.198154695482-5.99815469548162
44180.6207.200305764747-26.6003057647472
45188.6180.6013559896647.99864401033619
46175.4188.599592257371-13.1995922573711
47199175.40067286860623.5993271313937
48179.6198.998796989631-19.3987969896307
49225.8179.60098888217546.1990111178255
50234225.7976449375398.20235506246084
51200.2233.999581872901-33.7995818729009
52183.6200.20172298334-16.6017229833396
53178.2183.600846297218-5.40084629721801
54203.2178.20027531607424.9997246839258
55208.5203.1987256023085.30127439769188
56191.8208.49972975975-16.6997297597497
57172.8191.800851293257-19.0008512932574
58148172.800968596308-24.8009685963081
59159.4148.00126426580811.3987357341917
60154.5159.399418932701-4.89941893270051
61213.2154.50024975507858.6997502449223
62196.4213.197007693998-16.7970076939978
63182.8196.400856252143-13.600856252143
64176.4182.800693323628-6.40069332362793
65153.6176.400326284745-22.8003262847452
66173.2153.60116228012719.5988377198726
67171173.199000920455-2.19900092045535
68151.2171.000112097302-19.8001120973024
69161.9151.20100933980210.6989906601983
70157.2161.899454603234-4.69945460323365
71201.7157.20023956160244.4997604383978
72236.4201.69773155933934.7022684406612
73356.1236.398231000887119.701768999114
74398.3356.09389802647642.2061019735239
75403.7398.2978484819495.40215151805137
76384.6403.69972461739-19.0997246173902
77365.8384.600973636521-18.800973636521
78368.1365.8009584072512.29904159274912
79367.9368.099882802977-0.199882802977413
80347367.90001018932-20.9000101893195
81343.3347.001065408723-3.70106540872274
82292.9343.300188667246-50.4001886672463
83311.5292.90256922365818.5974307763418
84300.9311.499051968645-10.5990519686454
85366.9300.90054030224565.9994596977552
86356.9366.896635580585-9.99663558058472
87329.7356.900509593184-27.2005095931844
88316.2329.701386585936-13.5013865859357
89269316.200688253016-47.2006882530156
90289.3269.00240612442420.2975938755757
91266.2289.298965300334-23.0989653003338
92253.6266.20117750369-12.60117750369
93233.8253.600642363535-19.8006423635351
94228.4233.801009366833-5.40100936683282
95253.6228.40027532438725.1997246756131
96260.1253.5987154070156.50128459298529
97306.6260.09966858746746.5003314125329
98309.2306.5976295772942.60237042270552
99309.5309.1998673403450.300132659655333
100271309.499984700297-38.4999847002967
101279.9271.0019625932798.89803740672107
102317.9279.89954640947138.0004535905285
103298.4317.898062871053-19.4980628710533
104246.7298.400993942399-51.7009939423987
105227.3246.702635534118-19.4026355341181
106209.1227.30098907785-18.20098907785
107259.9209.10092782215750.7990721778434
108266259.8974104426696.10258955733121
109320.6265.99968891153254.6003110884678
110308.5320.597216668931-12.0972166689311
111282.2308.500616673391-26.3006166733912
112262.7282.201340712572-19.5013407125721
113263.5262.7009941094910.799005890508568
114313.1263.49995926950149.6000407304991
115284.3313.097471565058-28.7974715650583
116252.6284.301467993418-31.7014679934183
117250.3252.601616028902-2.30161602890232
118246.5250.300117328258-3.8001173282583
119312.7246.50019371656366.1998062834366
120333.2312.69662536762320.5033746323768
121446.4333.198954810357113.201045189643
122511.6446.39422941042265.2057705895778
123515.5511.5966760400533.90332395994699
124506.4515.499801022327-9.09980102232691
125483.2506.400463875725-23.2004638757252
126522.3483.20118267772939.098817322271
127509.8522.298006880348-12.4980068803484
128460.7509.800637104261-49.1006371042611
129405.8460.702502977108-54.9025029771082
130375405.802798735744-30.8027987357444
131378.5375.0015702179173.49842978208329
132406.8378.49982166240228.3001783375976
133467.8406.79855735683561.0014426431654
134469.8467.7968903618462.00310963815355
135429.8469.799897888544-39.9998978885435
136355.8429.802039053557-74.0020390535572
137332.7355.803772362654-23.1037723626542
138378332.70117774873745.298822251263
139360.5377.997690825989-17.497690825989
140334.7360.500891970495-25.800891970495
141319.5334.701315238371-15.2013152383713
142323.1319.5007749093763.59922509062409
143363.6323.09981652421440.5001834757865
144352.1363.59793544365-11.4979354436501
145411.9352.1005861241559.7994138758496
146388.6411.896951637029-23.2969516370287
147416.4388.60118759633427.7988124036656
148360.7416.3985829147-55.6985829146996
149338360.702839317089-22.7028393170887
150417.2338.00115731058679.1988426894139
151388.4417.195962722646-28.795962722646
152371.1388.401467916503-17.3014679165028
153331.5371.100881967744-39.600881967744
154353.7331.50201871313422.1979812868656
155396.7353.69886842529443.0011315747063
156447396.69780795414750.3021920458533
157533.5446.99743577186486.5025642281365
158565.4533.49559040471131.9044095952889
159542.3565.398373625851-23.0983736258514
160488.7542.301177473528-53.6011774735285
161467.1488.702732398765-21.6027323987651
162531.3467.1011012310264.1988987689802
163496.1531.296727366823-35.1967273668231
164444496.101794204884-52.1017942048837
165403.4444.0026559655-40.6026559655003
166386.3403.402069780036-17.1020697800355
167394.1386.3008718031317.79912819686899
168404.1394.09960242798310.0003975720172
169462.1404.09949021504358.0005097849574
170448.1462.097043338808-13.9970433388075
171432.3448.100713519847-15.8007135198467
172386.3432.300805464584-46.0008054645839
173395.2386.3023449586378.89765504136346
174421.9395.19954642896326.7004535710369
175382.9421.898638905155-38.9986389051546
176384.2382.9019880129091.29801198709049
177345.5384.199933831932-38.6999338319321
178323.4345.50197278598-22.1019727859796
179372.6323.40112668053249.1988733194681
180376372.5974920151563.40250798484357
181462.7375.99982655215786.700173447843
182487462.69558033129124.3044196687093
183444.2486.998761046503-42.7987610465028
184399.3444.202181729718-44.9021817297183
185394.9399.302288954678-4.40228895467772
186455.4394.90022441314760.4997755868533
187414455.396915935062-41.3969159350616
188375.5414.002110268604-38.5021102686043
189347375.501962701633-28.5019627016329
190339.4347.00145292942-7.60145292941985
191385.8339.4003874952346.3996125047699
192378.8385.797634711589-6.99763471158872
193451.8378.80035671470972.9996432852906
194446.1451.796278735943-5.69627873594266
195422.5446.100290376177-23.6002903761768
196383.1422.501203059472-39.4012030594722
197352.8383.102008534209-30.3020085342087
198445.3352.80154468940192.4984553105995
199367.5445.295284755355-77.7952847553548
200355.1367.503965728926-12.4039657289263
201326.2355.100632310375-28.9006323103752
202319.8326.201473252189-6.40147325218879
203331.8319.80032632450311.9996736754968
204340.9331.7993882990069.1006117009938
205394.1340.89953608294953.2004639170509
206417.2394.09728802819723.1027119718028
207369.9417.198822305318-47.298822305318
208349.2369.902411126952-20.7024111269518
209321.4349.20105533582-27.8010553358203
210405.7321.40141719963784.2985828003629
211342.9405.695702755902-62.7957027559021
212316.5342.903201103199-26.4032011031986
213284.2316.501345941964-32.3013459419641
214270.9284.201646608562-13.301646608562
215288.8270.90067807097717.8993219290232
216278.8288.79908755577-9.99908755576951
217324.4278.80050971817745.5994902818226
218310.9324.397675498994-13.4976754989945
219299310.900688063837-11.9006880638374
220273299.000606655057-26.0006066550569
221279.3273.0013254191216.29867458087932
222359.2279.2996789158179.9003210841899
223305359.195926963754-54.1959269637543
224282.1305.002762716994-22.9027627169941
225250.3282.101167501975-31.801167501975
226246.5250.301621111231-3.80162111123127
227257.9246.50019379322111.399806206779
228266.5257.8994188781328.6005811218684
229315.9266.49956157274349.4004384272574
230318.4315.8974817400792.50251825992103
231295.4318.399872430455-22.9998724304554
232266.4295.401172452285-29.0011724522853
233245.8266.40147837737-20.6014783773702
234362.8245.801050190625116.998949809375
235324.9362.794035806655-37.894035806655
236294.2324.901931704144-30.7019317041439
237289.5294.201565076072-4.70156507607157
238295.2289.5002396691875.69976033081338
239290.3295.199709446344-4.89970944634382
240272290.300249769887-18.300249769887
241307.4272.00093288211635.3990671178838
242328.7307.3981954805521.3018045194497
243292.9328.698914109221-35.798914109221
244249.1292.901824902237-43.8018249022375
245230.4249.102232862372-18.7022328623719
246361.5230.400953373795131.099046626205
247321.7361.493317033506-39.7933170335058
248277.2321.702028522795-44.5020285227945
249260.7277.20226855628-16.5022685562801
250251260.700841227382-9.70084122738245
251257.6251.0004945146336.59950548536733
252241.8257.599663580513-15.7996635805128
253287.5241.80080541106245.6991945889383
254292.3287.4976704164214.80232958357908
255274.7292.299755194195-17.5997551941946
256254.2274.700897173376-20.5008971733761
257230254.20104506335-24.2010450633504
258339230.001233683825108.998766316175
259318.2338.994443627761-20.7944436277613
260287318.201060027312-31.2010600273122
261295.8287.0015905198718.7984094801289
262284295.799551488151-11.7995514881514
263271284.000601499471-13.0006014994714
264262.7271.00066272476-8.30066272476012
265340.6262.70042313847777.8995768615235
266379.4340.5960289546338.8039710453696
267373.3379.398021910571-6.09802191057054
268355.2373.300310855625-18.1003108556253
269338.4355.200922689936-16.8009226899363
270466.9338.400856451716128.499143548284
271451466.893449567385-15.8934495673846
272422451.00081019194-29.0008101919402
273429.2422.0014783589037.19852164109653
274425.9429.199633044784-3.29963304478429
275460.7425.90016820364234.7998317963582
276463.6460.6982260274512.90177397254888
277541.4463.59985207780977.8001479221911
278544.2541.3960340231672.80396597683352
279517.5544.199857063715-26.6998570637152
280469.4517.501361064438-48.1013610644376
281439.4469.402452037544-30.0024520375441
282549439.401529419068109.598470580932
283533548.994413056955-15.9944130569554
284506.1533.000815338702-26.9008153387023
285484506.101371308581-22.1013713085808
286457484.001126649871-27.0011266498707
287481.5457.00137642209724.4986235779027
288469.5481.498751146673-11.9987511466732
289544.7469.50061165396775.1993883460335
290541.2544.696166600707-3.4961666007066
291521.5541.200178222229-19.7001782222286
292469.7521.501004245526-51.8010042455257
293434.4469.70264063229-35.3026406322902
294542.6434.401799603968108.198200396032
295517.3542.594484437785-25.2944844377852
296485.7517.301289423503-31.6012894235033
297465.8485.701610922153-19.9016109221525
298447465.801014513853-18.8010145138534
299426.6447.000958409335-20.4009584093346
300411.6426.601039968825-15.0010399688251
301467.5411.6007647000555.8992352999501
302484.5467.49715045436117.0028495456388
303451.2484.499133254766-33.2991332547662
304417.4451.201697472236-33.8016974722361
305379.9417.401723091185-37.5017230911854
306484.7379.901911705427104.798088294573
307455484.694657763494-29.6946577634945
308420.8455.001513728803-34.2015137288028
309416.5420.801743472406-4.30174347240643
310376.3416.500219287693-40.200219287693
311405.6376.30204926523529.2979507347653
312405.8405.5985064939210.201493506079146
313500.8405.79998972857395.0000102714275
314514500.79515723491613.2048427650843
315475.5513.999326863741-38.4993268637413
316430.1475.501962559745-45.4019625597447
317414.4430.10231443174-15.7023144317398
318538414.400800448546123.599199551454
319526537.993699349228-11.9936993492282
320488.5526.000611396444-37.5006113964438
321520.2488.50191164875731.6980883512434
322504.4520.19838414338-15.79838414338
323568.5504.4008053458464.0991946541595
324610.6568.49673244938742.1032675506131
325818610.597853724084207.402146275916
326830.9817.98942737090712.9105726290926
327835.9830.8993418645945.00065813540618
328782835.899745084105-53.8997450841052
329762.3782.002747618688-19.7027476186877
330856.9762.30100437650494.5989956234956
331820.9856.895177677226-35.9951776772265
332769.6820.901834907061-51.3018349070611
333752.2769.6026151864-17.4026151863999
334724.4752.200887123875-27.8008871238746
335723.1724.401417191062-1.30141719106223
336719.5723.100066341653-3.60006634165325
337817.4719.5001835186797.8998164813295
338803.3817.395009413034-14.0950094130342
339752.5803.300718513811-50.8007185138111
340689752.502589641256-63.5025896412556
341630.4689.003237137796-58.6032371377961
342765.5630.402987386105135.097012613895
343757.7765.493113231316-7.79311323131628
344732.2757.700397265396-25.5003972653955
345702.6732.201299920212-29.6012999202122
346683.3702.60150896975-19.3015089697496
347709.5683.30098392277526.1990160772252
348702.2709.498664466667-7.29866446666745
349784.8702.20037206014382.5996279398565
350810.9784.79578936262226.1042106373781
351755.6810.898669299514-55.298669299514
352656.8755.602818930905-98.8028189309047
353615.1656.805036618842-41.7050366188422
354745.3615.102125975509130.197874024491
355694.1745.293362972103-51.193362972103
356675.7694.102609656884-18.4026096568837
357643.7675.700938100062-32.0009381000618
358622.1643.701631294831-21.601631294831
359634.6622.10110117488912.4988988251107
360588634.599362850271-46.5993628502707
361689.7588.002375470979101.697624529021
362673.9689.69481581419-15.7948158141897
363647.9673.90080516394-26.0008051639396
364568.8647.90132542924-79.10132542924
365545.7568.804032306268-23.1040323062683
366632.6545.70117776198886.8988222380119
367643.8632.59557020487711.2044297951231
368593.1643.799428837731-50.6994288377311
369579.7593.102584477866-13.4025844778655
370546579.700683216433-33.700683216433
371562.9546.00171794183516.8982820581647
372572.5562.8991385852479.60086141475256


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
373572.499510581985488.07796485681656.92105630716
374572.499510581985453.1124586649691.88656249907
375572.499510581985426.282073358247718.716947805723
376572.499510581985403.66287435897741.336146805
377572.499510581985383.734893892502761.264127271469
378572.499510581985365.718584728674779.280436435296
379572.499510581985349.150854710549795.848166453422
380572.499510581985333.729971355554811.269049808417
381572.499510581985319.246349406794825.752671757176
382572.499510581985305.547390477926839.451630686045
383572.499510581985292.517894737521852.481126426449
384572.499510581985280.068363140913864.930658023057