Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.859090117482455
beta0.0739570283338065
gamma1


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
13299.5239.39449786324860.105502136752
14347.4339.492687410767.90731258923984
15338.3339.929491887117-1.62949188711656
16327.7329.223957559453-1.52395755945292
17351.6353.166427606607-1.56642760660714
18396.6400.389554566439-3.78955456643905
19438.8384.59954292544154.2004570745594
20395.6427.763510672228-32.163510672228
21363.5393.902014378512-30.4020143785124
22378.8345.0763539586633.7236460413396
23357410.295571899351-53.2955718993513
24369383.104598762056-14.1045987620564
25464.8456.9763496283527.8236503716484
26479.1502.592157461922-23.4921574619219
27431.3470.502849795568-39.2028497955684
28366.5420.938726552733-54.4387265527326
29326.3389.460118106078-63.1601181060779
30355.1369.585513312159-14.4855133121591
31331.6338.228558771605-6.62855877160479
32261.3298.551050153253-37.2510501532529
33249241.8295371107527.1704628892478
34205.5217.967581386671-12.4675813866706
35235.6211.95733168453423.6426683154655
36240.9241.988791886468-1.08879188646765
37264.9316.562325993359-51.6623259933595
38253.8289.312251522339-35.5122515223391
39232.3226.5697412314595.73025876854075
40193.8198.202113954408-4.40211395440818
41177196.401440515567-19.4014405155671
42213.2211.679362402561.52063759743996
43207.2186.89836567156120.3016343284389
44180.6159.47044742172321.129552578277
45188.6156.30095820607232.2990417939276
46175.4149.99447971845825.4055202815422
47199182.75018236709116.2498176329088
48179.6203.617154073345-24.0171540733448
49225.8250.581620945864-24.781620945864
50234249.622858322182-15.6228583221823
51200.2211.964952702787-11.7649527027866
52183.6168.214385528115.3856144719
53178.2183.631603723916-5.43160372391608
54203.2217.078589038259-13.8785890382595
55208.5183.95588261147924.544117388521
56191.8162.80003652860428.9999634713959
57172.8170.976618453961.82338154604028
58148138.5919296298139.40807037018729
59159.4156.372335669963.0276643300401
60154.5159.424275934007-4.92427593400748
61213.2223.114609211206-9.91460921120594
62196.4237.594180801579-41.1941808015789
63182.8178.2627997603224.53720023967833
64176.4153.12978183564223.2702181643578
65153.6173.674935132261-20.0749351322614
66173.2193.709042121908-20.5090421219084
67171160.24037388481210.7596261151881
68151.2126.93052816102824.2694718389715
69161.9125.97343500233335.9265649976671
70157.2124.88167557348832.3183244265116
71201.7163.82707632672537.8729236732753
72236.4200.28973145666636.110268543334
73356.1305.73241363323950.3675863667614
74398.3378.62546212399719.6745378760027
75403.7392.93037829375910.7696217062409
76384.6391.087800001011-6.48780000101078
77365.8393.366236037297-27.5662360372971
78368.1419.833367569902-51.7333675699016
79367.9374.892290362595-6.99229036259482
80347338.0537741138938.94622588610662
81343.3334.419812173438.88018782656985
82292.9316.710509488053-23.8105094880528
83311.5311.77886280598-0.278862805980452
84300.9316.353298389022-15.4532983890225
85366.9377.367075471289-10.4670754712892
86356.9387.667386022289-30.7673860222894
87329.7348.17316030028-18.4731603002799
88316.2307.7085006900418.4914993099589
89269309.768910811548-40.7689108115476
90289.3310.533091409789-21.2330914097892
91266.2289.081542105605-22.8815421056054
92253.6230.81166774214522.7883322578549
93233.8229.9125323951323.8874676048685
94228.4193.84288977485734.5571102251435
95253.6236.61385954398516.9861404560152
96260.1249.22293544593210.8770645540677
97306.6330.573069195611-23.9730691956107
98309.2322.565480154246-13.3654801542456
99309.5297.01456138709812.4854386129019
100271286.173816735981-15.1738167359812
101279.9258.68681702115321.2131829788474
102317.9317.1145787306180.785421269381686
103298.4317.408182699643-19.0081826996427
104246.7272.208856180446-25.5088561804462
105227.3227.393813157527-0.0938131575273076
106209.1192.21164188139416.8883581186062
107259.9216.19113515040643.7088648495944
108266251.45795582630314.5420441736967
109320.6331.840111835229-11.2401118352288
110308.5337.869195516856-29.369195516856
111282.2302.79868563497-20.5986856349696
112262.7258.1226023264024.57739767359834
113263.5252.47023978887811.0297602111219
114313.1298.36331492353414.7366850764665
115284.3307.831866174972-23.5318661749717
116252.6257.521531948129-4.9215319481286
117250.3234.97337077229215.3266292277083
118246.5217.41073864867329.0892613513275
119312.7258.40540905845954.2945909415409
120333.2302.08322849754431.1167715024562
121446.4397.55149551405648.8485044859444
122511.6460.94521116663450.654788833366
123515.5509.2404135231626.25958647683836
124506.4506.2740724245970.125927575402955
125483.2512.512377188494-29.3123771884942
126522.3536.512774692799-14.2127746927988
127509.8526.121899968486-16.3218999684856
128460.7495.489232971948-34.789232971948
129405.8459.098800682688-53.2988006826882
130375389.123472139655-14.1234721396549
131378.5398.404078112993-19.9040781129926
132406.8372.2161899988434.5838100011602
133467.8470.525432412876-2.72543241287559
134469.8483.954123473307-14.1541234733069
135429.8460.286335606016-30.486335606016
136355.8412.522391646774-56.7223916467743
137332.7349.797567198493-17.0975671984926
138378371.2181956989476.78180430105317
139360.5364.699191314884-4.19919131488405
140334.7328.7818508091065.91814919089416
141319.5314.2439783903945.25602160960568
142323.1293.3024657865729.7975342134303
143363.6335.50093976778128.0990602322186
144352.1357.280180836375-5.18018083637537
145411.9412.695121167536-0.79512116753557
146388.6422.818142247419-34.2181422474189
147416.4374.9838357368441.4161642631602
148360.7385.233730369838-24.5337303698377
149338357.730557989374-19.7305579893737
150417.2382.0719224162535.1280775837498
151388.4401.976465130286-13.5764651302858
152371.1362.4519171334018.64808286659905
153331.5353.362534337185-21.8625343371847
154353.7314.0554130273239.6445869726801
155396.7366.57323390523230.126766094768
156447387.63308786344359.3669121365568
157533.5505.44674899560128.0532510043992
158565.4543.80544343759721.5945565624032
159542.3566.284953845716-23.9849538457161
160488.7518.6091507996-29.9091507996002
161467.1494.376039391581-27.2760393915808
162531.3526.6970884566814.60291154331867
163496.1518.307181163606-22.2071811636062
164444478.743739592729-34.7437395927293
165403.4429.564702208668-26.164702208668
166386.3396.442329515034-10.1423295150339
167394.1402.898035530533-8.7980355305329
168404.1390.21557417592313.8844258240767
169462.1457.23088405414.8691159459002
170448.1465.976809417731-17.876809417731
171432.3436.830999113449-4.53099911344901
172386.3394.975883254873-8.67588325487282
173395.2380.64693002769714.5530699723026
174421.9447.344493179185-25.4444931791852
175382.9401.403746337658-18.5037463376585
176384.2355.53106048657828.6689395134222
177345.5358.342768894592-12.8427688945918
178323.4336.07393586308-12.6739358630805
179372.6337.53442842987335.065571570127
180376365.5080889256810.4919110743198
181462.7427.90017818521434.7998218147857
182487460.61742294147526.382577058525
183444.2475.650295578904-31.4502955789035
184399.3412.650010123354-13.3500101233535
185394.9399.846762703069-4.9467627030694
186455.4445.18523678711210.2147632128879
187414434.151738608339-20.1517386083392
188375.5396.700384154198-21.2003841541979
189347350.841962139076-3.84196213907563
190339.4336.9228191706172.4771808293832
191385.8359.6824880230926.1175119769102
192378.8377.4937989241061.30620107589419
193451.8435.82365094062115.9763490593787
194446.1450.391690398511-4.29169039851109
195422.5428.182394150982-5.68239415098157
196383.1388.765764693691-5.66576469369073
197352.8383.132498938447-30.3324989384468
198445.3406.57026663676538.7297333632347
199367.5415.337997290186-47.8379972901856
200355.1351.7780598017133.32194019828705
201326.2328.814714534771-2.61471453477117
202319.8316.3005086802183.49949131978224
203331.8342.79473505466-10.99473505466
204340.9322.39431225761618.5056877423835
205394.1395.827214314571-1.72721431457074
206417.2389.46549335054827.7345066494522
207369.9393.7435940791-23.8435940791005
208349.2336.74328649326112.4567135067388
209321.4342.370587319692-20.9705873196923
210405.7383.34495918672422.3550408132764
211342.9364.569053506195-21.6690535061952
212316.5331.084150283873-14.5841502838733
213284.2291.148261888215-6.94826188821537
214270.9274.744300734944-3.84430073494423
215288.8291.392175220431-2.59217522043133
216278.8281.406079633926-2.60607963392647
217324.4331.548573088639-7.14857308863895
218310.9322.033931876022-11.133931876022
219299280.53620945195818.4637905480419
220273262.56839385803410.431606141966
221279.3259.18860509352820.1113949064721
222359.2341.61418287413417.5858171258657
223305312.287709889263-7.28770988926328
224282.1292.819794800918-10.7197948009182
225250.3258.189017955924-7.88901795592398
226246.5242.2637795270774.23622047292315
227257.9267.392926941991-9.49292694199141
228266.5252.40100018441814.0989998155823
229315.9318.240445580034-2.34044558003382
230318.4314.5861962459873.81380375401346
231295.4293.3416064871822.05839351281759
232266.4262.347002142984.05299785701965
233245.8256.644862137147-10.8448621371472
234362.8311.94698767561850.8530123243824
235324.9309.63540494848115.2645950515192
236294.2312.431512532702-18.2315125327016
237289.5274.64229006875414.8577099312456
238295.2284.30824957791110.8917504220894
239290.3317.984531433371-27.6845314333713
240272294.296902373431-22.2969023734306
241307.4327.848256250694-20.4482562506938
242328.7309.65021558838919.0497844116109
243292.9302.360636400304-9.46063640030428
244249.1262.132621337362-13.0326213373624
245230.4238.94900594119-8.54900594119025
246361.5304.3590549531557.1409450468503
247321.7302.27585778785319.4241422121466
248277.2304.030983001457-26.8309830014574
249260.7263.075789422776-2.3757894227756
250251255.841984245506-4.84198424550567
251257.6268.030343313095-10.4303433130954
252241.8258.48559727085-16.6855972708498
253287.5296.03538924668-8.53538924668038
254292.3293.311460964076-1.01146096407632
255274.7263.16967956427711.5303204357228
256254.2240.20475181102713.9952481889726
257230242.322825473096-12.3228254730956
258339314.95794196669824.0420580333023
259318.2278.23294040031239.9670595996876
260287291.531480962199-4.53148096219905
261295.8275.00936559526720.7906344047328
262284290.631809056548-6.63180905654775
263271303.683088525327-32.6830885253266
264262.7275.913953207471-13.213953207471
265340.6319.58936998492221.010630015078
266379.4347.18028410871732.2197158912832
267373.3353.33766049524419.9623395047558
268355.2344.48298556249610.717014437504
269338.4346.387055178661-7.98705517866148
270466.9434.45740781397832.4425921860222
271451414.31319374295936.6868062570415
272422425.434985112541-3.43498511254069
273429.2420.4042296438898.79577035611146
274425.9428.077042793122-2.17704279312193
275460.7447.78665426951212.9133457304876
276463.6471.331531394263-7.73153139426262
277541.4534.2869271766137.11307282338691
278544.2560.382569088665-16.1825690886645
279517.5529.02007059113-11.5200705911302
280469.4495.605387268543-26.2053872685433
281439.4464.597282316297-25.1972823162968
282549543.9290551355775.07094486442315
283533499.478722234233.5212777657998
284506.1500.6368993951085.46310060489179
285484503.948599258886-19.9485992588855
286457482.529699094897-25.5296990948971
287481.5479.9683989844391.53160101556125
288469.5485.767856568259-16.2678565682593
289544.7537.8807614233396.81923857666152
290541.2554.821948325974-13.6219483259738
291521.5520.8594981550890.640501844911341
292469.7491.138419523182-21.4384195231822
293434.4459.986377618638-25.586377618638
294542.6538.843009599193.7569904008102
295517.3492.78335613909224.5166438609077
296485.7477.1905023343618.50949766563929
297465.8474.670562774211-8.87056277421073
298447457.818104143248-10.8181041432475
299426.6468.47914872836-41.8791487283603
300411.6428.489160341722-16.8891603417221
301467.5477.294453731101-9.7944537311007
302484.5469.9999976768414.5000023231601
303451.2456.91068802221-5.71068802221049
304417.4412.9228295510584.47717044894171
305379.9399.397295919868-19.4972959198679
306484.7483.9538120658540.746187934146235
307455434.37559840498420.6244015950161
308420.8409.07884621887211.721153781128
309416.5402.96849497445113.5315050255488
310376.3402.609844364408-26.3098443644078
311405.6392.12384130082213.4761586991783
312405.8403.265989317782.53401068221967
313500.8471.04691955405529.7530804459454
314514504.9530388555949.04696114440645
315475.5487.787076964122-12.2870769641224
316430.1442.623129418822-12.5231294188225
317414.4413.0724918327991.32750816720085
318538521.65294278661616.3470572133843
319526492.55057594979933.4494240502012
320488.5482.1042231066186.3957768933821
321520.2476.42274265980443.7772573401958
322504.4503.1043187927441.29568120725634
323568.5530.36456847970938.135431520291
324610.6571.1405202629339.4594797370704
325818686.816402393432131.183597606568
326830.9823.7244543835537.17554561644727
327835.9820.60737393256915.2926260674313
328782819.518684587333-37.518684587333
329762.3789.273262898023-26.9732628980232
330856.9892.68605183573-35.7860518357298
331820.9834.923070258653-14.0230702586531
332769.6790.581771362855-20.9817713628547
333752.2775.608807568446-23.408807568446
334724.4743.277586017291-18.8775860172912
335723.1761.808702989773-38.7087029897725
336719.5735.283276729274-15.7832767292745
337817.4811.4436843282845.95631567171586
338803.3810.358043321368-7.05804332136836
339752.5782.314249740775-29.8142497407749
340689718.324599906623-29.324599906623
341630.4680.416753181498-50.0167531814978
342765.5745.13937646478720.3606235352129
343757.7724.59346743089633.1065325691039
344732.2708.67000900014623.5299909998541
345702.6723.332569468268-20.7325694682683
346683.3685.84691080969-2.54691080969042
347709.5708.5586701268980.941329873102063
348702.2714.791330063735-12.5913300637351
349784.8792.424749328047-7.62474932804685
350810.9772.64253303650238.2574669634984
351755.6778.006062405979-22.4060624059791
352656.8718.604184623443-61.8041846234431
353615.1645.968578939569-30.8685789395691
354745.3734.3655311983310.9344688016701
355694.1704.226286331919-10.1262863319188
356675.7643.77423741845531.9257625815451
357643.7653.907648081476-10.207648081476
358622.1623.190251191307-1.09025119130649
359634.6642.901356733155-8.30135673315465
360588633.956006137359-45.9560061373586
361689.7676.17532814352513.524671856475
362673.9674.920698593797-1.02069859379719
363647.9629.39015581589818.5098441841016
364568.8593.584269672457-24.7842696724567
365545.7553.460453189644-7.7604531896435
366632.6665.417236164432-32.8172361644323
367643.8589.7612736283654.0387263716397
368593.1589.4726828544813.62731714551876
369579.7566.67458230677413.0254176932259
370546555.993761806176-9.99376180617594
371562.9565.266689948432-2.36668994843183
372572.5554.71776084740817.7822391525916


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
373662.728972325122615.085067232269710.372877417976
374649.600121689968584.775717000743714.424526379192
375609.557625618138529.496678783849689.618572452426
376552.432638033037458.034949763668646.830326302406
377538.25734516109429.979761907953646.534928414227
378656.101153149194534.16913838009778.033167918297
379625.712929861649490.216089728115761.209769995183
380573.299258922841424.241236727684722.357281117998
381549.881308357228387.208496635773712.554120078683
382525.11132770177348.730576688226701.492078715314
383545.023966161257354.814088633884735.233843688631
384540.477228178204336.296781562896744.657674793513