| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 9700 | 9700 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 9081 | 9420.75450143316 | -4.57323719029182 | -334.807899115417 | -1.94834013632446 |
| 3 | 9084 | 9148.23690533508 | -22.2229146322506 | -61.4760003105638 | -1.35940558228141 |
| 4 | 9743 | 9343.3410893296 | -8.81350400055626 | 396.802512755963 | 1.35792880524648 |
| 5 | 8587 | 9095.71792616632 | -19.3898286098834 | -504.931356723109 | -1.70068400570002 |
| 6 | 9731 | 9271.8098096163 | -13.6789709574988 | 455.875165586204 | 1.44995580907109 |
| 7 | 9563 | 9434.3419938712 | -10.0335857183998 | 125.612554401045 | 1.31903750930236 |
| 8 | 9998 | 9698.05321184868 | -5.3287449179581 | 295.19507000796 | 2.05149393903093 |
| 9 | 9437 | 9674.89339629866 | -5.61986801785221 | -237.5839449585 | -0.133514733832356 |
| 10 | 10038 | 9807.9599625221 | -3.34218991531362 | 227.636519697675 | 1.03724816845382 |
| 11 | 9918 | 9889.1118146233 | -1.93650787035048 | 27.4255473642788 | 0.6314277490997 |
| 12 | 9252 | 9667.92152658138 | -5.59569782119897 | -412.128213795466 | -1.63791142714891 |
| 13 | 9737 | 9552.09646360713 | -3.60297502605207 | 186.867956364579 | -0.867993514739218 |
| 14 | 9035 | 9409.60408920573 | -2.67806138231115 | -372.145429557391 | -1.07958564974153 |
| 15 | 9133 | 9311.8670562481 | -4.16396481957125 | -177.363252235036 | -0.67266590846052 |
| 16 | 9487 | 9154.7049266868 | -8.33657128828147 | 334.584414763756 | -1.05065058009594 |
| 17 | 8700 | 9193.58255742851 | -6.97670755254194 | -494.30617022458 | 0.333375757119034 |
| 18 | 9627 | 9253.45661914782 | -5.30619486369144 | 372.47736536272 | 0.487314530858606 |
| 19 | 8947 | 9171.22218329847 | -6.8489039452291 | -222.963887319412 | -0.570816284511288 |
| 20 | 9283 | 9097.5437699252 | -7.92764326966444 | 186.562643494913 | -0.499537504676475 |
| 21 | 8829 | 9104.99880734835 | -7.72006152946614 | -276.254767306947 | 0.115256870510946 |
| 22 | 9947 | 9330.401327745 | -5.08068646725834 | 612.71196511763 | 1.74690752842199 |
| 23 | 9628 | 9424.0075377992 | -4.23375213024213 | 202.345169841292 | 0.739029481362515 |
| 24 | 9318 | 9518.233353789 | -3.76373048259059 | -201.881264385133 | 0.738235804272518 |
| 25 | 9605 | 9459.67914841382 | -3.82810473375604 | 146.243003672187 | -0.412983398291401 |
| 26 | 8640 | 9244.05520062057 | -4.5614664474363 | -600.521714378761 | -1.58335108754847 |
| 27 | 9214 | 9214.62719890013 | -4.81019516280528 | -0.22464114649487 | -0.181371770740218 |
| 28 | 9567 | 9224.516761558 | -4.57400113307158 | 342.251417518535 | 0.105411069767361 |
| 29 | 8547 | 9155.49379595095 | -5.80539090009781 | -607.480281767522 | -0.463548212929267 |
| 30 | 9185 | 8982.94359899634 | -8.98969150139358 | 204.715084781184 | -1.21612242545158 |
| 31 | 9470 | 9195.95005020216 | -5.17614871686062 | 270.452461626172 | 1.64058433173774 |
| 32 | 9123 | 9183.67764068775 | -5.27922954825366 | -60.5613089813522 | -0.0528669508714306 |
| 33 | 9278 | 9382.19726346708 | -2.87328272037568 | -107.559720361746 | 1.5236769346327 |
| 34 | 10170 | 9524.09469487191 | -1.54036934419529 | 643.509448971725 | 1.08334525580578 |
| 35 | 9434 | 9459.83031998424 | -1.96703685693058 | -24.7907015091494 | -0.469402423735074 |
| 36 | 9655 | 9554.2111387519 | -1.49176664531097 | 99.1904466203823 | 0.721117644780371 |
| 37 | 9429 | 9426.44024351576 | -2.04143743527976 | 4.65246249873495 | -0.94390669372978 |
| 38 | 8739 | 9354.04484078152 | -2.44741155897752 | -613.887181820166 | -0.52257735361842 |
| 39 | 9552 | 9400.49104181577 | -2.02045921379527 | 150.715049174559 | 0.359346060548004 |
| 40 | 9687 | 9364.46944021814 | -2.42468218856774 | 323.075912981341 | -0.247865446690069 |
| 41 | 9019 | 9439.2406026585 | -1.34112591070702 | -421.473969794341 | 0.562504440206011 |
| 42 | 9672 | 9526.31204832682 | -0.0428513508651429 | 144.268435267398 | 0.64814736397209 |
| 43 | 9206 | 9354.37026517756 | -2.44559839392539 | -145.585843110317 | -1.2701001625453 |
| 44 | 9069 | 9291.78863492691 | -3.18985192897205 | -221.806596474209 | -0.4470367361601 |
| 45 | 9788 | 9527.2691993719 | -0.71589068617328 | 256.811673152004 | 1.78023707522975 |
| 46 | 10312 | 9624.42082805441 | 0.100170390095405 | 685.967142746008 | 0.730999398129028 |
| 47 | 10105 | 9836.12068994242 | 1.50193541449598 | 265.388717012408 | 1.58105311970829 |
| 48 | 9863 | 9824.44272464268 | 1.42873328858631 | 38.7747351140736 | -0.0984385370787065 |
| 49 | 9656 | 9747.28648110487 | 1.00259473583613 | -89.9922998100579 | -0.585806296407066 |
| 50 | 9295 | 9801.81326763457 | 1.34088482098732 | -507.69042163976 | 0.397302840410875 |
| 51 | 9946 | 9816.20255551631 | 1.44476309446794 | 129.585144443431 | 0.0963122419887453 |
| 52 | 9701 | 9677.00316972274 | 0.0714613300482087 | 26.270297346684 | -1.0336560688549 |
| 53 | 9049 | 9569.03808422818 | -1.13203119590869 | -518.296349569519 | -0.793453922902278 |
| 54 | 10190 | 9686.25380915568 | 0.255628143352628 | 501.834536365409 | 0.87166070665636 |
| 55 | 9706 | 9795.08371932902 | 1.49968239644785 | -90.8459012856327 | 0.803256547155335 |
| 56 | 9765 | 9964.8495425342 | 3.26806929279488 | -202.594791905987 | 1.24994318954811 |
| 57 | 9893 | 9928.3794111347 | 2.90356737883564 | -34.728420318324 | -0.295988750252327 |
| 58 | 9994 | 9736.87356064694 | 1.39315731484946 | 260.319591394797 | -1.45005227890209 |
| 59 | 10433 | 9841.16984845244 | 2.07211549502545 | 590.137780993964 | 0.76785759012792 |
| 60 | 10073 | 9924.9231069369 | 2.55428630773501 | 146.733500356274 | 0.609236964687423 |
| 61 | 10112 | 10052.7997058889 | 3.28499710432706 | 57.1422558867383 | 0.93330041507913 |
| 62 | 9266 | 9964.62348979044 | 2.70209668546316 | -697.126316059047 | -0.67926581475193 |
| 63 | 9820 | 9805.68357171138 | 1.51495021034942 | 16.9512711711893 | -1.19658207327127 |
| 64 | 10097 | 9863.91284314564 | 1.99306605262294 | 232.16612168332 | 0.418809574824304 |
| 65 | 9115 | 9841.34154179606 | 1.76455060490202 | -725.94329780538 | -0.181296573386226 |
| 66 | 10411 | 9901.66119152187 | 2.33417542623351 | 508.388716623748 | 0.432784215057325 |
| 67 | 9678 | 9895.0958122416 | 2.24852864652447 | -216.951027647743 | -0.0659462390872501 |
| 68 | 10408 | 10131.518557488 | 4.36911179243316 | 272.659302302699 | 1.73978933267392 |
| 69 | 10153 | 10180.004637344 | 4.73063532414807 | -27.7267648139687 | 0.328412380568315 |
| 70 | 10368 | 10200.9383803914 | 4.84828292513222 | 166.79586815495 | 0.120757261637749 |
| 71 | 10581 | 10156.2675107526 | 4.52786575459365 | 425.545517013987 | -0.369203429549534 |
| 72 | 10597 | 10266.9790642662 | 5.16437023326159 | 328.277479977141 | 0.791437348961157 |
| 73 | 10680 | 10388.5765997519 | 5.85381681877687 | 289.513630460247 | 0.866899581061993 |
| 74 | 9738 | 10404.3992444693 | 5.91598737040549 | -666.562423290676 | 0.0740933883024219 |
| 75 | 9556 | 10104.9944128139 | 3.83319949892939 | -544.009399803566 | -2.26486452572958 |
