Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.859090117482426
beta0.0739570283337536
gamma1


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
13299.5239.39449786324860.1055021367521
14347.4339.4926874107567.90731258924438
15338.3339.929491887113-1.62949188711269
16327.7329.22395755945-1.52395755944974
17351.6353.166427606604-1.56642760660441
18396.6400.389554566437-3.78955456643666
19438.8384.59954292543954.2004570745614
20395.6427.763510672222-32.1635106722219
21363.5393.90201437851-30.4020143785102
22378.8345.0763539586633.7236460413397
23357410.295571899348-53.2955718993481
24369383.104598762058-14.1045987620579
25464.8456.9763496283557.82365037164504
26479.1502.592157461922-23.4921574619217
27431.3470.50284979557-39.2028497955702
28366.5420.938726552737-54.4387265527371
29326.3389.460118106086-63.1601181060856
30355.1369.58551331217-14.48551331217
31331.6338.228558771616-6.62855877161644
32261.3298.551050153261-37.2510501532606
33249241.8295371107637.17046288923711
34205.5217.967581386681-12.4675813866814
35235.6211.95733168454223.6426683154577
36240.9241.988791886475-1.0887918864747
37264.9316.562325993368-51.6623259933685
38253.8289.312251522348-35.5122515223484
39232.3226.5697412314695.73025876853075
40193.8198.202113954416-4.40211395441639
41177196.401440515575-19.4014405155752
42213.2211.6793624025711.52063759742936
43207.2186.89836567157220.3016343284285
44180.6159.47044742172721.1295525782726
45188.6156.30095820607732.2990417939228
46175.4149.99447971846125.4055202815389
47199182.75018236709216.2498176329084
48179.6203.617154073344-24.0171540733444
49225.8250.581620945867-24.7816209458666
50234249.622858322185-15.6228583221851
51200.2211.96495270279-11.7649527027905
52183.6168.21438552810315.3856144718968
53178.2183.631603723917-5.43160372391736
54203.2217.078589038264-13.8785890382636
55208.5183.95588261148524.5441173885148
56191.8162.80003652860428.9999634713956
57172.8170.976618453961.82338154604037
58148138.5919296298149.40807037018644
59159.4156.3723356699593.02766433004112
60154.5159.424275934005-4.92427593400538
61213.2223.114609211206-9.91460921120554
62196.4237.594180801579-41.1941808015788
63182.8178.2627997603254.53720023967503
64176.4153.12978183564423.2702181643558
65153.6173.67493513226-20.0749351322602
66173.2193.709042121911-20.5090421219108
67171160.24037388481810.7596261151817
68151.2126.9305281610324.2694718389698
69161.9125.97343500233335.9265649976673
70157.2124.88167557348732.3183244265131
71201.7163.8270763267237.8729236732796
72236.4200.28973145665936.1102685433414
73356.1305.7324136332350.3675863667696
74398.3378.62546212398619.6745378760142
75403.7392.9303782937510.7696217062501
76384.6391.087800001002-6.48780000100203
77365.8393.366236037287-27.566236037287
78368.1419.833367569896-51.733367569896
79367.9374.892290362597-6.99229036259692
80347338.0537741138938.94622588610736
81343.3334.4198121734288.8801878265719
82292.9316.710509488051-23.8105094880509
83311.5311.77886280598-0.27886280597977
84300.9316.35329838902-15.4532983890202
85366.9377.367075471289-10.4670754712891
86356.9387.667386022288-30.767386022288
87329.7348.173160300283-18.4731603002825
88316.2307.7085006900448.49149930995566
89269309.768910811547-40.768910811547
90289.3310.533091409793-21.2330914097927
91266.2289.081542105615-22.8815421056147
92253.6230.81166774215422.7883322578464
93233.8229.9125323951363.88746760486373
94228.4193.8428897748634.5571102251398
95253.6236.61385954398616.9861404560139
96260.1249.22293544593110.8770645540691
97306.6330.57306919561-23.97306919561
98309.2322.565480154245-13.3654801542449
99309.5297.014561387112.4854386129
100271286.173816735983-15.1738167359828
101279.9258.68681702115121.2131829788488
102317.9317.1145787306170.785421269383164
103298.4317.408182699646-19.0081826996459
104246.7272.208856180452-25.5088561804516
105227.3227.393813157532-0.0938131575317982
106209.1192.21164188139816.8883581186024
107259.9216.19113515040743.7088648495929
108266251.457955826314.5420441737
109320.6331.840111835225-11.2401118352251
110308.5337.869195516853-29.3691955168528
111282.2302.798685634971-20.5986856349709
112262.7258.1226023264044.57739767359607
113263.5252.47023978887711.0297602111226
114313.1298.36331492353214.7366850764681
115284.3307.831866174973-23.5318661749727
116252.6257.521531948133-4.92153194813298
117250.3234.97337077229515.3266292277048
118246.5217.41073864867529.0892613513254
119312.7258.40540905845954.2945909415411
120333.2302.08322849753731.1167715024629
121446.4397.55149551404748.848504485953
122511.6460.94521116662250.6547888333779
123515.5509.240413523156.2595864768499
124506.4506.2740724245880.125927575412106
125483.2512.512377188484-29.312377188484
126522.3536.512774692791-14.2127746927911
127509.8526.121899968481-16.3218999684809
128460.7495.489232971947-34.7892329719472
129405.8459.09880068269-53.2988006826901
130375389.12347213966-14.1234721396601
131378.5398.404078112998-19.9040781129979
132406.8372.21618999884234.5838100011579
133467.8470.525432412874-2.72543241287417
134469.8483.954123473305-14.1541234733052
135429.8460.286335606016-30.486335606016
136355.8412.522391646778-56.7223916467779
137332.7349.797567198498-17.0975671984976
138378371.2181956989526.781804301048
139360.5364.699191314889-4.19919131488905
140334.7328.7818508091135.91814919088711
141319.5314.2439783904015.25602160959932
142323.1293.30246578657729.7975342134231
143363.6335.50093976778628.0990602322143
144352.1357.280180836376-5.18018083637611
145411.9412.695121167534-0.795121167534489
146388.6422.818142247417-34.2181422474168
147416.4374.9838357368441.4161642631596
148360.7385.233730369835-24.5337303698354
149338357.730557989374-19.7305579893741
150417.2382.07192241625235.1280775837478
151388.4401.976465130285-13.5764651302848
152371.1362.4519171334048.64808286659621
153331.5353.362534337187-21.862534337187
154353.7314.05541302732639.6445869726741
155396.7366.57323390523430.126766094766
156447387.63308786344159.3669121365592
157533.5505.44674899559328.0532510044074
158565.4543.80544343758621.594556562414
159542.3566.284953845707-23.9849538457074
160488.7518.609150799593-29.9091507995927
161467.1494.376039391577-27.2760393915765
162531.3526.6970884566814.60291154331912
163496.1518.307181163603-22.207181163603
164444478.743739592731-34.7437395927311
165403.4429.564702208672-26.1647022086715
166386.3396.442329515043-10.1423295150425
167394.1402.89803553054-8.79803553054023
168404.1390.21557417592913.8844258240709
169462.1457.23088405414.86911594589952
170448.1465.976809417729-17.8768094177293
171432.3436.830999113449-4.53099911344941
172386.3394.975883254872-8.67588325487247
173395.2380.64693002769814.5530699723015
174421.9447.344493179188-25.4444931791877
175382.9401.40374633766-18.5037463376605
176384.2355.53106048658328.668939513417
177345.5358.342768894595-12.8427688945945
178323.4336.073935863088-12.6739358630883
179372.6337.53442842988135.0655715701193
180376365.50808892568410.4919110743164
181462.7427.90017818521434.7998218147865
182487460.61742294146926.382577058531
183444.2475.650295578897-31.4502955788973
184399.3412.65001012335-13.3500101233498
185394.9399.846762703068-4.94676270306798
186455.4445.18523678711210.2147632128882
187414434.151738608337-20.151738608337
188375.5396.700384154201-21.2003841542007
189347350.841962139078-3.84196213907836
190339.4336.9228191706232.47718082937701
191385.8359.68248802309726.1175119769031
192378.8377.4937989241081.30620107589158
193451.8435.82365094062215.9763490593784
194446.1450.391690398507-4.29169039850666
195422.5428.182394150977-5.68239415097673
196383.1388.765764693687-5.66576469368721
197352.8383.132498938445-30.3324989384452
198445.3406.57026663676738.7297333632328
199367.5415.337997290182-47.8379972901823
200355.1351.7780598017173.32194019828319
201326.2328.814714534774-2.61471453477384
202319.8316.3005086802243.49949131977644
203331.8342.794735054668-10.9947350546675
204340.9322.39431225762218.5056877423781
205394.1395.827214314572-1.72721431457239
206417.2389.46549335054627.7345066494545
207369.9393.743594079095-23.8435940790949
208349.2336.74328649325912.4567135067414
209321.4342.370587319689-20.9705873196891
210405.7383.34495918672622.355040813274
211342.9364.569053506191-21.6690535061908
212316.5331.084150283876-14.5841502838757
213284.2291.148261888218-6.94826188821833
214270.9274.74430073495-3.84430073495002
215288.8291.392175220439-2.59217522043883
216278.8281.406079633933-2.60607963393284
217324.4331.548573088642-7.14857308864231
218310.9322.033931876023-11.1339318760226
219299280.53620945195618.4637905480442
220273262.56839385803210.4316061419681
221279.3259.18860509352520.1113949064753
222359.2341.61418287413517.5858171258652
223305312.287709889258-7.2877098892576
224282.1292.819794800918-10.7197948009177
225250.3258.189017955925-7.88901795592506
226246.5242.2637795270814.23622047291923
227257.9267.392926941997-9.49292694199659
228266.5252.40100018442314.0989998155771
229315.9318.240445580035-2.34044558003501
230318.4314.5861962459853.813803754015
231295.4293.3416064871782.05839351282185
232266.4262.3470021429774.05299785702346
233245.8256.644862137143-10.8448621371432
234362.8311.94698767561850.8530123243816
235324.9309.63540494847315.264595051527
236294.2312.431512532697-18.2315125326971
237289.5274.64229006875314.8577099312466
238295.2284.30824957791110.891750422089
239290.3317.984531433373-27.6845314333725
240272294.296902373435-22.2969023734349
241307.4327.848256250696-20.4482562506962
242328.7309.6502155883919.0497844116101
243292.9302.3606364003-9.46063640030042
244249.1262.13262133736-13.0326213373596
245230.4238.949005941188-8.54900594118786
246361.5304.35905495315357.140945046847
247321.7302.27585778784719.4241422121533
248277.2304.030983001452-26.830983001452
249260.7263.075789422776-2.37578942277605
250251255.841984245508-4.84198424550806
251257.6268.030343313098-10.4303433130984
252241.8258.485597270855-16.6855972708549
253287.5296.035389246684-8.53538924668408
254292.3293.311460964079-1.01146096407871
255274.7263.16967956427511.5303204357248
256254.2240.20475181102413.9952481889759
257230242.322825473091-12.3228254730913
258339314.95794196670124.0420580332989
259318.2278.23294040030839.9670595996923
260287291.531480962192-4.53148096219155
261295.8275.00936559526520.7906344047346
262284290.631809056547-6.63180905654662
263271303.683088525327-32.6830885253269
264262.7275.913953207475-13.2139532074752
265340.6319.58936998492521.0106300150749
266379.4347.18028410871632.2197158912835
267373.3353.33766049523819.9623395047617
268355.2344.48298556248910.7170144375114
269338.4346.387055178653-7.98705517865272
270466.9434.45740781397732.4425921860229
271451414.31319374295136.6868062570488
272422425.434985112529-3.43498511252898
273429.2420.4042296438838.7957703561168
274425.9428.077042793118-2.17704279311778
275460.7447.78665426950912.9133457304909
276463.6471.331531394261-7.73153139426097
277541.4534.2869271766127.1130728233876
278544.2560.382569088662-16.1825690886617
279517.5529.020070591125-11.5200705911252
280469.4495.605387268538-26.2053872685377
281439.4464.597282316292-25.1972823162915
282549543.929055135585.07094486441963
283533499.478722234233.5212777658004
284506.1500.6368993951015.46310060489913
285484503.948599258883-19.9485992588831
286457482.529699094898-25.5296990948981
287481.5479.9683989844421.53160101555767
288469.5485.767856568263-16.2678565682633
289544.7537.8807614233446.81923857665561
290541.2554.821948325977-13.6219483259765
291521.5520.8594981550890.640501844910659
292469.7491.13841952318-21.4384195231802
293434.4459.986377618636-25.5863776186362
294542.6538.8430095991963.7569904008036
295517.3492.78335613909624.5166438609038
296485.7477.1905023343578.50949766564275
297465.8474.67056277421-8.87056277420987
298447457.81810414325-10.8181041432497
299426.6468.479148728365-41.8791487283652
300411.6428.48916034173-16.8891603417301
301467.5477.29445373111-9.79445373111042
302484.5469.99999767684714.5000023231531
303451.2456.910688022213-5.71068802221339
304417.4412.9228295510584.47717044894159
305379.9399.397295919866-19.497295919866
306484.7483.953812065860.746187934139982
307455434.37559840498920.6244015950107
308420.8409.0788462188711.7211537811301
309416.5402.9684949744513.5315050255502
310376.3402.609844364408-26.309844364408
311405.6392.12384130082513.4761586991746
312405.8403.2659893177842.53401068221564
313500.8471.0469195540629.75308044594
314514504.9530388555959.0469611444048
315475.5487.787076964121-12.2870769641206
316430.1442.623129418819-12.5231294188193
317414.4413.0724918327941.32750816720568
318538521.65294278661716.3470572133829
319526492.550575949833.4494240502
320488.5482.1042231066126.39577689338842
321520.2476.42274265979943.7772573402013
322504.4503.1043187927361.29568120726367
323568.5530.36456847970638.1354315202941
324610.6571.14052026292539.4594797370748
325818686.816402393428131.183597606572
326830.9823.7244543835387.17554561646182
327835.9820.60737393255415.2926260674461
328782819.518684587316-37.5186845873162
329762.3789.273262898008-26.9732628980084
330856.9892.686051835723-35.786051835723
331820.9834.923070258651-14.023070258651
332769.6790.581771362848-20.9817713628479
333752.2775.608807568442-23.4088075684418
334724.4743.277586017288-18.8775860172879
335723.1761.808702989775-38.7087029897747
336719.5735.28327672928-15.7832767292801
337817.4811.4436843282955.9563156717054
338803.3810.358043321371-7.05804332137131
339752.5782.314249740777-29.8142497407767
340689718.324599906623-29.3245999066231
341630.4680.416753181498-50.0167531814983
342765.5745.13937646479520.360623535205
343757.7724.59346743090433.1065325690961
344732.2708.67000900014623.5299909998537
345702.6723.332569468268-20.7325694682676
346683.3685.846910809691-2.54691080969121
347709.5708.5586701269020.941329873098425
348702.2714.791330063741-12.5913300637409
349784.8792.424749328058-7.62474932805799
350810.9772.64253303650738.2574669634931
351755.6778.006062405978-22.4060624059783
352656.8718.604184623442-61.8041846234416
353615.1645.96857893957-30.8685789395701
354745.3734.36553119833810.9344688016622
355694.1704.226286331927-10.1262863319272
356675.7643.77423741845931.9257625815407
357643.7653.907648081476-10.2076480814758
358622.1623.190251191308-1.09025119130797
359634.6642.901356733159-8.30135673315863
360588633.956006137365-45.956006137365
361689.7676.17532814353913.5246718564608
362673.9674.920698593806-1.02069859380583
363647.9629.39015581590118.5098441840985
364568.8593.584269672454-24.7842696724545
365545.7553.460453189643-7.76045318964293
366632.6665.417236164438-32.8172361644375
367643.8589.76127362836954.0387263716307
368593.1589.4726828544833.62731714551694
369579.7566.67458230677313.0254176932274
370546555.993761806174-9.99376180617435
371562.9565.266689948433-2.36668994843342
372572.5554.71776084741117.7822391525889


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
373662.72897232513615.085067232277710.372877417984
374649.60012168998584.775717000758714.424526379202
375609.55762561815529.496678783867689.618572452433
376552.432638033045458.034949763685646.830326302405
377538.257345161095429.979761907971646.53492841422
378656.101153149199534.169138380113778.033167918285
379625.712929861659490.216089728147761.209769995171
380573.299258922852424.241236727722722.357281117981
381549.881308357237387.208496635815712.554120078659
382525.111327701777348.730576688271701.492078715282
383545.023966161265354.814088633936735.233843688593
384540.477228178213336.296781562956744.65767479347