| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 0.143275889337061 |
| beta | FALSE |
| gamma | FALSE |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 2 | 9.125 | 9.829 | -0.704 |
| 3 | 9.782 | 9.7281337739067 | 0.0538662260932909 |
| 4 | 9.441 | 9.73585150535546 | -0.294851505355457 |
| 5 | 9.162 | 9.69360639370328 | -0.531606393703282 |
| 6 | 9.915 | 9.61744001486818 | 0.297559985131823 |
| 7 | 10.444 | 9.66007318636906 | 0.78392681363094 |
| 8 | 10.209 | 9.7723909977672 | 0.436609002232798 |
| 9 | 9.985 | 9.83494654085467 | 0.150053459145326 |
| 10 | 9.842 | 9.85644558366182 | -0.0144455836618214 |
| 11 | 9.429 | 9.85437587981568 | -0.425375879815681 |
| 12 | 10.132 | 9.79342977233255 | 0.338570227667445 |
| 13 | 9.849 | 9.84193872280466 | 0.00706127719534067 |
| 14 | 9.172 | 9.84295043357468 | -0.670950433574676 |
| 15 | 10.313 | 9.74681941350318 | 0.566180586496822 |
| 16 | 9.819 | 9.82793944055889 | -0.00893944055888873 |
| 17 | 9.955 | 9.82665863426264 | 0.128341365737361 |
| 18 | 10.048 | 9.8450468575774 | 0.202953142422608 |
| 19 | 10.082 | 9.87412514955174 | 0.207874850448258 |
| 20 | 10.541 | 9.90390860362053 | 0.637091396379475 |
| 21 | 10.208 | 9.99518844002579 | 0.212811559974215 |
| 22 | 10.233 | 10.0256792055423 | 0.207320794457702 |
| 23 | 9.439 | 10.0553832767463 | -0.616383276746291 |
| 24 | 9.963 | 9.96707041459797 | -0.00407041459797419 |
| 25 | 10.158 | 9.96648722232648 | 0.191512777673521 |
| 26 | 9.225 | 9.99392638586706 | -0.768926385867063 |
| 27 | 10.474 | 9.88375777409723 | 0.590242225902772 |
| 28 | 9.757 | 9.96832525393773 | -0.211325253937735 |
| 29 | 10.49 | 9.93804744024043 | 0.551952559759574 |
| 30 | 10.281 | 10.0171289341118 | 0.263871065888154 |
| 31 | 10.444 | 10.0549352957473 | 0.389064704252711 |
| 32 | 10.64 | 10.1106788872588 | 0.529321112741243 |
| 33 | 10.695 | 10.1865178404316 | 0.508482159568359 |
| 34 | 10.786 | 10.2593710740558 | 0.526628925944173 |
| 35 | 9.832 | 10.3348243017711 | -0.502824301771097 |
| 36 | 9.747 | 10.2627817027546 | -0.515781702754557 |
| 37 | 10.411 | 10.1888826205886 | 0.222117379411385 |
| 38 | 9.511 | 10.220706685661 | -0.709706685660999 |
| 39 | 10.402 | 10.1190228291045 | 0.282977170895538 |
| 40 | 9.701 | 10.1595666349266 | -0.458566634926605 |
| 41 | 10.54 | 10.0938650924872 | 0.446134907512807 |
| 42 | 10.112 | 10.1577854681254 | -0.0457854681253966 |
| 43 | 10.915 | 10.151225514461 | 0.763774485538983 |
| 44 | 11.183 | 10.2606559831296 | 0.92234401687043 |
| 45 | 10.384 | 10.3928056424214 | -0.00880564242139847 |
| 46 | 10.834 | 10.3915440061723 | 0.442455993827711 |
| 47 | 9.886 | 10.4549372821805 | -0.568937282180467 |
| 48 | 10.216 | 10.3734222870991 | -0.157422287099051 |
| 49 | 10.943 | 10.3508674689135 | 0.59213253108654 |
| 50 | 9.867 | 10.4357057839103 | -0.568705783910287 |
| 51 | 10.203 | 10.3542239569494 | -0.151223956949412 |
| 52 | 10.837 | 10.3325572100284 | 0.504442789971584 |
| 53 | 10.573 | 10.4048316993813 | 0.168168300618738 |
| 54 | 10.647 | 10.4289261622107 | 0.218073837789285 |
| 55 | 11.502 | 10.4601708852611 | 1.04182911473888 |
| 56 | 10.656 | 10.6094398782126 | 0.0465601217874241 |
| 57 | 10.866 | 10.6161108210693 | 0.249889178930689 |
| 58 | 10.835 | 10.6519139154163 | 0.183086084583687 |
| 59 | 9.945 | 10.6781457370103 | -0.733145737010283 |
| 60 | 10.331 | 10.5731036295265 | -0.24210362952646 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 61 | 10.5384160166943 | 9.64239963518538 | 11.4344323982033 |
| 62 | 10.5384160166943 | 9.63324965092743 | 11.4435823824612 |
| 63 | 10.5384160166943 | 9.62419123935622 | 11.4526407940324 |
| 64 | 10.5384160166943 | 9.61522170492558 | 11.4616103284631 |
| 65 | 10.5384160166943 | 9.60633848179424 | 11.4704935515944 |
| 66 | 10.5384160166943 | 9.5975391252528 | 11.4792929081359 |
| 67 | 10.5384160166943 | 9.58882130386577 | 11.4880107295229 |
| 68 | 10.5384160166943 | 9.58018279225719 | 11.4966492411315 |
| 69 | 10.5384160166943 | 9.5716214644763 | 11.5052105689124 |
| 70 | 10.5384160166943 | 9.56313528788763 | 11.513696745501 |
| 71 | 10.5384160166943 | 9.5547223175354 | 11.5221097158533 |
| 72 | 10.5384160166943 | 9.54638069093812 | 11.5304513424505 |
