| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 0.782582633269772 |
| beta | FALSE |
| gamma | FALSE |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 2 | 8915 | 9911 | -996 |
| 3 | 9452 | 9131.54769726331 | 320.452302736692 |
| 4 | 9112 | 9382.32810417635 | -270.328104176351 |
| 5 | 8472 | 9170.7740245632 | -698.774024563198 |
| 6 | 8230 | 8623.92560836001 | -393.925608360014 |
| 7 | 8384 | 8315.64626845724 | 68.353731542762 |
| 8 | 8625 | 8369.13871168179 | 255.861288318212 |
| 9 | 8221 | 8569.37131244565 | -348.37131244565 |
| 10 | 8649 | 8296.74197339629 | 352.258026603713 |
| 11 | 8625 | 8572.41298744623 | 52.5870125537658 |
| 12 | 10443 | 8613.56667020635 | 1829.43332979365 |
| 13 | 10357 | 10045.2494228278 | 311.750577172248 |
| 14 | 8586 | 10289.2200104346 | -1703.22001043458 |
| 15 | 8892 | 8956.30960963092 | -64.3096096309182 |
| 16 | 8329 | 8905.9820259814 | -576.982025981402 |
| 17 | 8101 | 8454.44591273955 | -353.445912739549 |
| 18 | 7922 | 8177.8452796294 | -255.845279629395 |
| 19 | 8120 | 7977.62520698738 | 142.374793012618 |
| 20 | 7838 | 8089.04524741443 | -251.045247414435 |
| 21 | 7735 | 7892.58159662298 | -157.581596622985 |
| 22 | 8406 | 7769.26097578291 | 636.739024217086 |
| 23 | 8209 | 8267.56187806035 | -58.5618780603454 |
| 24 | 9451 | 8221.73236931866 | 1229.26763068134 |
| 25 | 10041 | 9183.73586873056 | 857.264131269445 |
| 26 | 9411 | 9854.61588998712 | -443.615889987121 |
| 27 | 10405 | 9507.44979864069 | 897.550201359314 |
| 28 | 8467 | 10209.8569987123 | -1742.85699871227 |
| 29 | 8464 | 8845.92737924737 | -381.92737924737 |
| 30 | 8102 | 8547.03764507814 | -445.03764507814 |
| 31 | 7627 | 8198.75891288871 | -571.758912888712 |
| 32 | 7513 | 7751.3103172448 | -238.310317244802 |
| 33 | 7510 | 7564.81280164001 | -54.8128016400105 |
| 34 | 8291 | 7521.91725499568 | 769.082745004323 |
| 35 | 8064 | 8123.7880547835 | -59.7880547835048 |
| 36 | 9383 | 8076.99896143295 | 1306.00103856705 |
| 37 | 9706 | 9099.05269324781 | 606.94730675219 |
| 38 | 8579 | 9574.03911482194 | -995.039114821935 |
| 39 | 9474 | 8795.33878413816 | 678.661215861837 |
| 40 | 8318 | 9326.44726554538 | -1008.44726554538 |
| 41 | 8213 | 8537.25394896118 | -324.253948961177 |
| 42 | 8059 | 8283.49843973502 | -224.498439735016 |
| 43 | 9111 | 8107.80985960223 | 1003.19014039777 |
| 44 | 7708 | 8892.88904134499 | -1184.88904134499 |
| 45 | 7680 | 7965.61545523673 | -285.615455236732 |
| 46 | 8014 | 7742.09776017503 | 271.902239824974 |
| 47 | 8007 | 7954.8837310092 | 52.1162689907969 |
| 48 | 8718 | 7995.66901803222 | 722.330981967783 |
| 49 | 9486 | 8560.9526999929 | 925.047300007096 |
| 50 | 9113 | 9284.87865193155 | -171.878651931549 |
| 51 | 9025 | 9150.3694039001 | -125.369403900098 |
| 52 | 8476 | 9052.2574856645 | -576.257485664497 |
| 53 | 7952 | 8601.28838509176 | -649.288385091757 |
| 54 | 7759 | 8093.16657093517 | -334.166570935172 |
| 55 | 7835 | 7831.653615902 | 3.34638409800482 |
| 56 | 7600 | 7834.27243798134 | -234.272437981344 |
| 57 | 7651 | 7650.93489656337 | 0.0651034366255772 |
| 58 | 8319 | 7650.98584538224 | 668.014154617757 |
| 59 | 8812 | 8173.76212156449 | 638.237878435512 |
| 60 | 8630 | 8673.23600112306 | -43.236001123063 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 61 | 8639.40025751212 | 7288.58663839862 | 9990.21387662562 |
| 62 | 8639.40025751212 | 6924.11396630503 | 10354.6865487192 |
| 63 | 8639.40025751212 | 6624.52639346419 | 10654.2741215601 |
| 64 | 8639.40025751212 | 6364.04834731364 | 10914.7521677106 |
| 65 | 8639.40025751212 | 6130.46902241134 | 11148.3314926129 |
| 66 | 8639.40025751212 | 5916.85630567502 | 11361.9442093492 |
| 67 | 8639.40025751212 | 5718.82579400237 | 11559.9747210219 |
| 68 | 8639.40025751212 | 5533.39561744384 | 11745.4048975804 |
| 69 | 8639.40025751212 | 5358.42868626281 | 11920.3718287614 |
| 70 | 8639.40025751212 | 5192.33134631138 | 12086.4691687129 |
| 71 | 8639.40025751212 | 5033.87759002172 | 12244.9229250025 |
| 72 | 8639.40025751212 | 4882.10025178892 | 12396.7002632353 |
